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Crash x Dan - How to Find 100x Memecoins Without Relying On Luck
Recorded: April 10, 2024 Duration: 2:05:05Space Recording
Full Transcription
by the way it's great bro on my end cool sweet yours is good too so we're set um i think it's
going to take probably five seconds to load so let's see how it's looking over here and uh i can
share my screen and and are you going to share your screen at it at all yeah yeah i'll probably
share my screen at some point and if you want to share your screen you just got to press that button
and then um should be good to go.
I don't know.
Is there a chat on your end anywhere?
Oh, here it is.
Cool.
Oh, it looks like we're live now, I think.
Awesome.
How are we going, guys?
Can everyone hear us?
Can everyone see us?
This is the first time I've done a live like this.
So let me know if you can hear and see us.
Awesome, I think it's working.
That's good.
Awesome, we'll give a couple minutes for everyone to come in.
Yeah, that looks good
how many viewers we got just so everyone knows this is uh first time myself and dan have ever spoken before so um it's gonna be completely organic uncut just trader talking to trader. I mean as you guys know if you're just tuning in
You know I called Brett and Dan called Toshi and
Those have been the two best calls on base over the last six months by far. No, nobody's come close to those calls
Obviously a lot of you guys have followed us into that and you're up so many of you are
hundreds of thousands some of you are about to be cracking a seven-figure profit with us
i think there's a couple of you who have already cracked a seven-figure profit so it's gonna be
dope yeah we're like the only two guys on twitter who can publicly predict what the market does
months in advance in the
meme coin sector at least like we've done really well here so we figured we'd come together and
put on a bit of a meme coin master class i guess you could call it that basically explaining how
we've done what we've done how you can find meme coins before they go 100x basically just give you
a bunch of insights into how we've done you know how we like made a million dollars or more
uh from the in the past like even just in the past month i think we're up that much so um yeah i think
we'll get started crash thanks for joining this is the we only met each other like five minutes
ago so this is good to talk to you give everyone an introduction on yourself because a lot of people
who follow me probably haven't seen your stuff i'm sure a lot of them have but a lot of them haven't
so yeah give us an intro about why we should listen to you how much money you've made what
you've what you're doing in the crypto space you know all that sort of stuff okay cool so
my name is crash even though i'm like the biggest bull out here right now reason for that is because
back in 2021 is when i made my first public video about crypto and it was predicting the crash of Bitcoin.
So I said at 54k Bitcoin that I thought I was going to crash down to 30k.
And then literally a week after I said that it happened, market crashed down.
And at 54k Bitcoin, everyone was telling me we're going to 100k and that I was an idiot.
And so there we go.
I started getting a lot of views talking about crypto instead of stock and reading like charts you know I just
translated better on crypto so that's why my name is crash so that's when I
started publicly making videos and content about crypto and then I really
transitioned well into it from a background of being able to read charts
so my before even meme coins it I, I came from a background
of reading charts and using charts to predict the way price is going to move. But when you combine
that also with logic and trying to front run narratives and front run, uh, you know, what
people are going to do in the market, you combine that with your chart skills. It's, it's been really
good for me. So that's kind of what what I do I rely on the charts and then I
rely on the fundamentals or the the logic but you know obviously with meme coins a lot of times
they're newer and so you don't even have a chart history to go off of so you really just got to go
off of you know anticipating what's going to happen in the future and so yeah I don't know
when you have a combination of both of those things. It really is a
Amazing thing because 99% of people in meme coins. They have zero understanding of charts
You have that it puts you ahead of a lot of people so just the last month
Three plus dollar trades in me, i'll share my screen i'll i'll share with you guys
so the uh those plays and i actually have these positions publicly i can literally show you guys
my wallet right now so let me know if you can uh put up my screen yeah yep so uh on uh what's it called on Brett? I've turned so far
15k into 5.6 million
Another million dollar plus meme coin trade I had this month was on Bobo
So if we go over here, I have three Bobo wallets and
My internet's a little slower because I'm using a hot spot right now But my elbow position between three wallets is over a million and my resistance dog
i'll talk about that in a little and you know it's also over a million so i mean we can just
go through that um but yeah i'm up over around 800 900k on this one right here uh i have that
position to share with you guys as well so why should you listen to me i guess it's because i
mean like i'm probably one of the only people in the entire world who's actually up
millions on meme coins. There's very few people actually doing that in the world. Majority of
people on meme coins are losers. That's the truth. So yeah, I just showed you three positions that
I'm literally up over a million dollars on each this month. And those are dope. So yeah, that's
kind of a little bit about me to anyone
who doesn't know and uh we've been killing it and so i just want to say also props to dan
uh because he he was really the voice on base uh before before me even on on brett uh you know
really preaching the long-term vision of base to everyone um when Toshi was newer so yeah thank you for the intro
you've been yeah absolutely crushing it you guys can see that I would I only bring people up on
here who have been confirmed to have made a lot of money doing what they do and yeah Crash has
been absolutely printing so uh in case anyone's watching this and doesn't know about me, I'll give you a brief intro.
I've done similar things, not as well as Crash,
with mostly Toshi catching the base trend super early.
We got Toshi at $2.5 million market cap,
publicly posted about that,
and that's at $2.60 million market cap now.
I put in about $15K, took 25% profits at about $160 more market cap. So you can do the math on how much that is i haven't
checked the portfolio balance but yeah we're going to talk a lot about meme coins today
and we're going to talk about how you can do something similar to what we've done and you
can make your first million or even you know multiple millions on meme coins so crash what
do you like what do you think is the the most important skill set that you have that you think people need
to have success in meme coins? What is it about your strategy or what is it about the way you
view the market that has been able to get you so early into these positions? Yeah. So I think it
comes down to anticipation and knowing what has worked in the past, right?
So for example, right, obviously I've caught Brett now, the number one meme on base, and
then I've caught Resistance Dog, the number one meme on Telegram.
How did I have confidence that these would blow up?
Is it because I saw these early on and believed that they were the number one meme on their
blockchains.
And so whenever something is considered the number one meme
on this blockchain typically it's going to go past a billion dollar market cap and so that's
where you can load up at a 1 million market cap a 3 million market cap a 5 million market cap and
have confidence that there's a ton of upside in that thing now a lot of people may be like well
i don't get it how do you think that brett was the one and it's because the narrative right so
like what has a better
narrative quack or brett so like let me tell you something in a week from now why should anyone buy
quack like i'll wait i i can't think of any reason why you would buy that because you also have to
find things that whenever there's red candles is there still going to be sustained demand or is the
ponzi just it collapses and it's over so you have to find something that
makes sense on a longer time frame if you really want to catch the the 100x plus because if it's
just a pump and dump right if the Ponzi collapses as soon as there's a red candle good luck making
your way to 100x or a thousand x because really if you want to make the 100x to a thousand x
typically you need to do it on a longer time frame
I always tell everyone the biggest money is made on on big time frames
Not on what you see a lot of people do is they go on the one minute time frame and they're just over here zoomed in
And you know, they're like, oh green candle they buy and then green can a red candle they sell
All right
And then they just take a l when in the reality and the big picture this
thing is just going up and up and up right so a lot of people they get sucked into the smaller
picture instead of zooming out and just thinking where is the money going to come from and so
obviously we have a huge advantage like catching the number one meme on on base or the number one
meme on telegram because we understand how many users and how much money is going to flow into these blockchains because like, well,
Telegram has 900 million monthly active users. Of course,
a lot of people have multiple Telegram accounts, right?
So obviously those stats could be inflated. Uh, we know Coinbase,
Coinbase has over a hundred million users who have downloaded the app.
So that's a lot of users that they can bring in. And at the end of the day,
in meme coins,
the reality is you have to buy and then you have to sell your bags to someone else at a much higher
price um buy it from you around buy or blurf inu and then the you know after some red candles
no one wants to buy it anymore good luck making 100x there So you have to think what's actually going to have sustained demand,
and you have to see the bigger picture and where is the money going to come from, right?
So I think it's just a combination of logic as well as understanding what works and what doesn't.
And I guess that's kind of vague because a lot of people will say, well, I don't get it.
How do you know what works and what doesn't?
And like I said, I'm trying to look for the number one meme on each blockchain right now has been my strategy.
And well, to me, it's easy on base because you look at the competition.
Quack, Brett is better.
Blurf, Brett is better.
Bang, Brett is better.
It's just it's better in every way.
The stats don't lie.
And so once I have confidence that something is the number one meme on a chain, well, I can go in confidently, right?
I can go in with some size and I can have conviction to hold that through the long term because if it is indeed correct, right?
My thesis that this is the number one meme on a blockchain, then it's going to go to, in my opinion, decabillion plus, right?
10 billion plus.
So that's how I'm not getting shaken out on one minute candles because I see the bigger picture. And so I just want to apologize because I feel like it's a longer answer. I guess there's just so much that goes into it. But if I had to summarize it, I would say that another thing, by the way, is what are 99% of people doing? Do the fucking opposite.
percent of people doing do the fucking opposite right so if everyone for example soon is going
to be buying the political hype right everyone in the world right um yep so i'm giving you an example
here right because like this is one that that i bought is uh donald trump's dog think about this
we're five plus months away from the election so majority people, they don't want to buy that. They will buy it whenever we get closer to the election, right? So my job is to buy when nobody else wants to buy
and then sell it to them when everyone in the world wants to buy. See, whenever you buy when
nobody wants to buy, once again, you have the honor and privilege to sell to everyone in the
world when they want to buy. So you have to find things that nobody wants to buy right now sell it to them when they all want it right so this is a
prime example of like just waiting right be patient and let the let the what you're anticipating play
out because these things will play out but you just got to be patient a lot of times a lot of
times people don't have the patience you see i just bought this right here right think about that the election is in november right i mean
i don't keep up with politics but i'm pretty sure it's in november yeah like that's a long ways away
bro and see that's the thing i am buying it so far away from the election because nobody's to
fucking buy it because there's opportunity cost right they think well why would i buy it so far out like the the hype of the election won't be until here
so that's exactly when i buy god and god entry because nobody in the world wants to buy it
and then guess what they're all going to be buying it in november so once again when you can buy when
nobody else wants to sell it to them all when they want to right because that's what 99% of people do
the hype they buy into the news they buy into the event actually happening me i'm front running the
events i'm front running what everyone's gonna do later this is what 99% do and then i want to
always be the one percent who's doing what nobody else is doing in the market and that's buying
when nobody wants to buy right so yeah that's that's a key is doing in the market. And that's fucking buying when nobody wants to buy, right?
So yeah, that's a key.
Yep, that's the thing.
And that is what years and years of being in crypto or being in markets will teach you.
It will teach you how to predict
what is going to happen into the future.
Because what we're ultimately doing in crypto especially
is we're trying to analyze
what's happening and we're trying to look into the future and guess what people are going to
care about at a later date that they don't care about now and so with the whole base thesis the
idea is very simple it's base has a plan to migrate all of its users from coinbase to base
they've publicly stated this as early as 2016.
If you read the documents that they've put out from 2016,
their plan all along has been to build base.
And they're the number one exchange
and all these different things.
And you consider all these different elements
of what's going on.
And you can use sort of second
and third order consequence analysis to say,
okay, well, if this is happening and this
is happening and that's going to happen, then we can say that Coinbase is going to be moving its
users to base and there's going to be a meme coin that gets to an insane valuation. And you can say
also SHIB, you know, being on Ethereum was, you know, an amazing play in the last bull run. Doge
was an amazing play in the last bull run.ge was an amazing play in the last bull run and
you know bonk was another amazing play on solana there's a common trend happening here where
the the number one meme of each chain gets an insane valuation and people haven't really caught
onto this yet and you can front run the fact that people are probably going to care about this at a
later date so you know ultimately in markets you get six seven eight years of experience and what you ultimately end up gaining the ability to do is predict what people are going
to care about in the future and the goal as crash has just said is to buy things that people are
going to care about at a later date and the play that he did there with trump's dog is really smart
because when you think about it right as we get closer to the election people are going to care
more and more about and that is going to occupy more and more of the mindshare of people all around
the world. And let's imagine that crypto continues to be into a bull run until then.
Phantom wallet becomes more and more and more popular. Crypto is occupying more of the mindshare.
If everyone in the normal world is talking about politics and they're trying to find a way to bet
and speculate on what everyone in the world is talking about politics and they're trying to find a way to bet and speculate on what everyone in the world is talking about and crypto is popular at that time
it just makes logical sense that bowden tramp whatever you call it all these different political
memes just get insane valuations and that's why something like bowden could go to a 5 10
even higher billion dollar market cap simply due to just a few of these variables lining up right
all we need is a good bull market uh obviously biden not to die before the elections in november
and um we need yeah like a bull run basically and you add a couple of these variables together and
you have the setup for something even crazier going on with even in the political meme space so
yeah i think what you just said is spot on.
Yeah. Can I ask you, man, how did you find base? Like, were you there week one? And what brought you there? So I think the way that I found base was from a combination of things. I do have friends
who work at Coinbase. And I have friends who got onto the chain really quickly. I think
Base was very popular in its first one to two weeks. We had Frientech pop up very early
days and everyone sort of did, at the start, everyone did see to a certain extent the narrative
of Base, the fact that Coinbase would send its users there. But the thing was that a
month or two after Base launched, everyone forgot about
base. They wrote it off as if it was not going to be popular. And I think one of the things that
you learn when you've done investing for a long time is to recognize the difference between
expectations and reality. So the first month of base launch, it was very popular. Everyone had
massive expectations, but the reality was it only just launched a month ago. There was nothing really on on base besides frantech which was showing that it was a bit of a short-term trend
that wasn't sustainable due to basically sucking up all the money in absurd fees right you can't
run a sustainable platform when you take multiple percent cuts on every transaction it's not going
to work so you could see that the current hype at that time, month one, was unsustainable. The expectations were really high. The reality was not there.
And so I didn't buy Toshi on that first run from zero to 30 million.
I didn't touch it.
The first buy that I made on Toshi was a $2.5 million market cap.
And I publicly said at like a 10 million market cap, this is why Toshi crashed.
It's because everyone's talking about bass and bass is way too popular for what it is right now.
Give it a little bit of time for people to forget about base
and then we buy because this is the place
that you want to be making money.
And just from a logical standpoint,
it just made logical sense to me
after talking to guys who worked at Coinbase.
They said, Brian Armstrong has been planning this
for over five years now.
This has been the plan since they basically began business.
This is not something they just pulled out of their ass last week.
This has been their game plan from day one.
And Binance is dying.
FTX is gone.
Kraken sucks.
Coinbase is the only solid exchange that exists that has this user flow, that has this demand, that has this capital, that they can funnel wherever they would like it to go.
And just talking to people that I knew at Coinbase and considering just a couple of these things about Coinbase just made it a really logical choice that it was the place to make money.
Yeah, that makes sense. And see how you said you bought when nobody else wanted to buy.
You bought it on the dip and when the hype died down, right?
And that's the thing.
Hype comes and goes.
So if you can buy it when it leaves,
then you just got to wait until the hype returns a lot of times, right?
So another point I want to make, dude,
which is that the number one meme on each blockchain outperforms the actual blockchain itself.
You know, if you've held with you've outperformed Solana, if you've held SHIB, you've outperformed Ethereum.
And so that's why I think holding the you know, right now there is no base token.
But even if there was a base token, you would outperform it by holding Toshi or Brick in my opinion, right?
So that's another thing is just going off of the facts, which very few people in meme coins do.
If you actually think about meme coins, it's 99% losers, all right?
I know it sounds rude, but this is the truth.
It's a lot of people that are hoping to get rich extremely quick.
And I know I'm not the best example because I know I made a
lot of money and I set an unreal expectation for a lot of people. Although it's not unreal, man,
if you're just smart and you're ahead of people and you think ahead and you think about things
when nobody else is thinking about them, you legit can do it. And I've shared all these plays
with you in real time, right? But it's just like 99% of people who get into meme coins,
they have zero
understanding of the charts. They have zero understanding of their emotions. They just see,
oh, this is hot right now. Okay, let me buy it. So there's no thought process that goes into what
a typical person does in meme coins. They just hear what's hot and then they buy it. And a lot
And a lot of times by the time you're hearing something is hot, it's already late sometimes, right? And that's why I want to say another important thing is numbers. Like right now I can tell you factually that there is 4 million users on base roughly. In the future, right, Coinbase says they want to onboard a billion users on the chain.
of times by the time you're hearing something is hot, it's already late sometimes, right?
users on the chain. So if there's only 4 million today and they want to 250X the user base,
what's going to happen if there's 250X more users? By the way, I think they're crazy
on their billion user target. But let's just say they hit 20 to 30% of that, 200 to 300 million
users on chain in the next 10 years. That means the user base here could literally 90x. If the user base 90xs, the money is going to 90x plus.
If the money flow 90x is plus, then where is that money going to flow to? I believe it's going to
flow into the meme coins that don't rug to zero. A lot of meme coins are going to rug to zero. So
you have to find, okay, there's all this money flow. There's all these people that are going to
come over to this network. I just need to make sure I don't get in some bullshit that's going to go to zero because
the things that go to zero, guess what? They're not going to get the money flow. They're not going
to get all this user growth and money growth that's coming to the chain because they're going
to be at zero. They're going to be fucking rugged, right? So that's why you got to find what's not
going to be rugged, what actually has staying power. And if you can find the top memes on this chain that have staying power, then guess what? When this blockchain grows 30X plus
users, 30X plus the money flow, well, that money flow is going to have to find its place somewhere
on this chain. And where it's going to find it is in the top meme on this chain or the second top
meme in this chain, right? So that's really logical. I'm looking at the numbers. I'm looking
at where this
chain is going i know what's inevitably and ultimately going to happen here so guess what
i can be confident in that but a lot of people right now they're going to buy it if it dips a
little they're going to be down like a hundred dollars like oh my god i'm down a hundred dollars
i could have bought myself like 10 burgers and they're gonna and cheat it you know and then
they're gonna miss out they're gonna come back in like 6 18 months right now
That I was an idiot 10 billion market cap for example, so yeah, it's just it also comes down to
Having logic having a thought process because 99% of people in meme coins have no fucking thought process
So just by having a thought process, you get ahead of them and seeing the bigger picture because most people, they zoom in on the one minute candles and they just, you know, they have no conviction of what's ultimately happening.
Right.
So let me ask you though, man.
Let me ask you something here.
What do you think is the biggest area people go wrong in meme coins
that's a good question
i think there's a number of ways that you can approach meme coins i think there's like two
main strategies there's the you find a new coin at launch today there's not really many things
that you can find about the project you maybe got got two things that you like. Maybe the guy who launched it launched another coin that you like and the
name's cool, right? That might be what you are able to build a thesis on on your first day.
That's a strategy and there's upsides and downsides of that strategy. And there's another
strategy, which would be what I would do and what you would do more so. It's you find a coin,
you generally, it's been trading for a few weeks at least or a month or two. You accumulate it when no one's talking about it and you hold that thing for weeks to months.
And I think the problem that people have is they mix up strategies or they don't even actually have a strategy.
They don't really have any thesis, any strategy, any process behind what they're doing.
They're just buying into a meme coin straight up gambling without an edge and in any
pursuit in life the only way that you're going to be able to make it work for you consistently
is to have some sort of advantage some sort of edge over the people that you're competing against
because markets are zero sum if i make money from this coin it's because someone else will eventually
lose money on it right if i pull profit out that's someone else's loss. And the only way that I can consistently make money from crypto over the long term is if I'm
consistently better than a large enough group of people that I take their money and they give it
to me, right? And most people, the way that they are approaching crypto, they're not actually good
enough to make money. If all of you guys watching this, there's a lot of you watching, I think
there's like over, I think it says 2000 viewers. I don't know if that's right you guys watching this there's a lot of you watching i think there's like over i think there's it says 2 000 viewers i don't know if that's right or not but there's a lot of
you watching this you have to sit back and think and look at how you're approaching crypto and
genuinely ask yourself are you better than most people in the market with how you're approaching
crypto right now to justify actually making a million dollars right if you want to make a million dollars from crypto
that's the equivalent of getting onto the national level sporting team for any sport right think about
how much work how much sacrifice how much of a you need a coach you need a mentor you need to train
every day you need years of experience think about everything that goes into getting on a national
level sports team and then think about how much work you've done for your investing system, for your strategy,
for your approach, for how you're actually going about buying these meme coins. If you can't see
the same level of dedication and commitment and time investment in how a national level athlete
would approach things and how you trying to become a millionaire would approach things,
then you shouldn't expect to be able to make all this money from memes chase and i uh crash sorry we're online all day every
day we've been doing this for years you know we've genuinely put in 10 000 at we put in the 10 000
hours to say that we're like very good at this and that is why we're able to get these results
so a lot of you are like how do you find the next meme? You know, how do you do it? Well, you have to do the 10,000 hours to be able to do this stuff.
Like we can try to explain to all of you, okay, well, you have the front run narratives.
You have to predict what's going to happen.
But that skill to do that needs 10,000 hours of study.
So ultimately, it comes back to how do you make money from crypto?
There's two ways.
You either follow the pro,
follow someone who's really good,
like Crash or I,
or you become a pro and you commit to the 10,000 hours of study.
There's only two paths.
If you operate from a different path
from those two,
follow the pro, become the pro,
you will not make millions of dollars, right?
The other path that a lot of people take
is they will become an amateur.
They will stay an amateur, right take is they will become an amateur. They will stay
an amateur, right? Or they will follow an amateur. They'll follow some guy on Twitter who sucks,
or they'll just remain a shit investor forever, right? That's the path that most people take,
those two paths. But that doesn't work. You might make some short-term profits. I'm sure a lot of
you have no strategy and you've actually still made some money. On paper, you've made some money.
But actually keeping that money is a whole different story making money and keeping money is an entirely
different story all of you are making money right now everything's going up wait till the bear
market hits and we'll see who actually keeps the money right that's going to be a very different
story so yeah let me let me talk about keeping money man So I always tell people this when you make money set aside 20 or 30 percent in a wallet that you don't touch and because
The truth is a lot of you guys men and out there you're gonna round trip to nothing
Even if you make 500,000
Well, let's say you start round tripping Bitcoin starts dipping your 500k that you thought you had turns into 200k.
Now your 200k, you're sitting there and you're thinking, man, I was just at 500k. Shit, I need
to make it back. Like I need to get back to my 500k and then I'll exit the market. So then bro,
you start taking risks. You start making stupid plays to try and get back to 500k. You're trying
to force it because you have this imaginary number in your head. Then guess what? You end up blowing your 200k into nothing basically. Then you're
going to sit there being like, wow, I had 500k. Now I have zero. Where did I go wrong? Like I swear
it was just like last week I had all this money. Where is it now? And you'll be like, why? I should
have just bought Bitcoin instead. Like why did I fuck around in these meme coins and all this shit? Right? So this is the thing,
right? If you, in that sequence of events, which is going to happen to a lot of people,
unfortunately, if you just set aside 20 or 30% of all your money, so whenever you had made 500k,
but this is the way you really do it. Okay. You madeK today, set aside $20K. You made $20K, set aside $6K. You made $30K, set aside $10K. Just put that away in a wallet that you're not going to touch. Then, guess what? If you go to zero, because you set this money aside in this wallet, you're going to have something to fall back on. You're going to have that $100K or $200K that you saved up because every time you made money, you threw away some profit into that
wallet. And now guys, instead of having to start at zero, you don't have to, you can start at 100k
again, 200k. And well, in investing, right? The first hundred K is way harder, uh, you know,
than, than like, it's just like the first money is the hardest money. So if you can protect zero,
you're going to be able to bounce back away quicker if you are to fuck up. But what happens to most people,
they get fucked up, they go to zero, and now it's very hard to build back up again, right?
You can do it, but once again, it's a lot harder. So you fast track yourself a lot where even if
you mess up and you make the mistakes, if you set some money aside from 30% of what you win,
you set it aside, you're always going to have something to fall back on and you make the mistakes. If you set some money aside from 30% of what you win, you set it
aside, you're always going to have something to fall back on and you're not going to have to start
at zero. So that's a key thing I can say. Look, anyone can make money, but can you actually keep
it? And most people will not keep the money. So yeah, I've had to learn the hard way. That's how
I can tell you this stuff, right? I've made a lot of money and then lost it, right? Once again,
that's how I have these safety nets and measures in place to make sure i don't do that and that's how i share
that with you guys so yeah and that's that's the thing like most people will have to like i would
say like 95 of people watching this will have to lose most of their money or or pretty much all of
it they'll have to get hacked scammed something's going to have to happen for them to be able to learn what not to do because in crypto there's a
million ways that things can go wrong and to be able to consistently avoid making these big
mistakes that lose you all your money you have to have basically branded on your skin like the memory
of the pain of what it felt like to lose all of your money like right now have basically branded on your skin like the memory of the pain of what it
felt like to lose all of your money like right now if you haven't been rugged or hacked or scanned or
lost all your money before you're sort of in la la land la la i'm just gonna buy meme coins and
make all this money and become a millionaire and the path towards millionaire is just gonna be nice
and up and straight and easy nothing can go wrong i'm not gonna get scanned i'm smart and then
something's gonna come along and it's going to like humble you and you're going to lose all of your money.
And that is an inevitable part of the journey for most people. So like Crash says here,
it is so smart that if you just, if you make 50K, put aside 10K and don't put that back into the
market, just take it out to the bank account even, because you will probably eventually lose most or
all of your money. It's all, it's the tuition fee you have to pay it's all part of it so at least if you lose
everything you've still got that 10k that you pulled out and you're not going to notice if you
make if you turn 10k into 50k and you pull out 10 right you pull out your initial investment
you're not going to notice if the coin goes up 50x you're not really going to care that much
like oh i could have made a little bit more money you still kept 80 of it in you only pulled 20 of it out now if you lose it all you're
fine like like crash says you're not starting from absolute zero but you still got most of your money
and in the sense that you've still got that upside so yeah most of you are going to lose all of your
money and that's fine that's the journey right a lot of you are telling me in the chats here yeah
like it's like a therapy class daniel you're right i lost I lost all my money 30k it's like yeah like
read the chat most people have lost most of all of their money it's all part of the journey part
of the tuition of the first few years in crypto and then you you sort of hopefully graduate a lot
most people graduate from that and that's when they begin to make money like the the third cycle
people take the money from the first cycle people and then we all just it's just this endless game of new guys paying the
old guys and then they become the old guys and they get paid by the new guys and it just keeps
happening again and again over over generations and you know that's just the game of investments
let me say something bro though um it's a common saying the first cycle you lose your
money second maybe you break even or make a little and then third one you really multiply your wealth
yeah i just want people to know man you you don't have to wait three cycles to get it right like you
said uh you know be the pro or uh learn from one and it's like or just learn from history learn
like the way the market moves, learn how these things work.
And you won't have to repeat the same mistakes that others do.
And like, obviously we're sharing the same mistakes that we've made that others have made so that others who are newer, you don't have to.
Of course, sometimes the best way to learn it is to go through the experience yourself and then you'll get it even better.
Right. Taking it from someone, a lot of times it will never hit as hard as actually learning it the hard way yourself.
But there's actually nothing wrong with losing
because the more you lose,
the more you become familiar with it and how to avoid it, right?
Because you'll start to identify these patterns.
Oh, I lost because I did this
or I lost because I bought this dumb shit.
And so I'm telling you, actually, the more times you lose, the better you're going to get at not losing because you're going to know what it feels like.
And you'll stay away from that feeling of what a loser and what a losing play feels like.
So actually, the more L's you rack up, the easier it is going to be to not take L's anymore.
And that's why you follow me.
I don't really take that many L's, man.
I'm pretty on point because I've already gotten so many L's out of the way, I guess, you know, and the painful
experiences or whatever. So to me, like, it's kind of on easy mode now, you know? And so, and this is
the thing I should, I tell everyone this, man, it's not a hundred X play. That's going to change
your life. You got to be fucking rock solid yourself because i don't
care if you make 100x okay fucking turn um 100 000 into 10 million it don't fucking matter you'll
blow it anyways so it's not the 100x that makes you it's you being a rock solid person uh and
then you make the 100x's and then you make them count so a lot of you guys here man you know
you're thinking you're going to get rich you're going to get lucky you're going to make 100x's and then you make them count. So a lot of you guys here, man, you're thinking
you're going to get rich, you're going to get lucky, you're going to make 100x and life is
going to be good. Well, first off, you'll probably blow it when you make it. And two,
you probably aren't even good, a lot of people. And so congrats, you made your 100x, but because
you actually lack skill and you don't even know what you're doing you just got lucky and you made 100x it doesn't fucking matter right so focus on your skill and and and focus on your perspective of
the market first and and then do the gains will follow but you got to be actually solid yourself
you know and a lot of people and i just want to address that because man a lot of people think
they'll hit 100x and their life will be changed no it won't be okay it won't so yeah like making money and keeping it's a very different story like
a lot of guys are running up six figure seven figure bags and they're messaging me like thank
you for helping make me like make me all this money and i tell them like hey bro like you've
made a million your first million congrats usually you make your first mil and you lose it
but now that you've made your first meal you've got that out of the way
you can it's a lot easier to make a meal again once you've already made it so that's like generally
the journey of most people you make like make money and keeping up you go bro i i see some
people saying two mil and i'm out 10 mil and i'm out well that's probably why you're not going to
get there bro because if your mindset is only set on two mil, well, it's actually going to be harder to get to two mil with that
kind of mindset. Like if you're really making money, it's probably because you're thinking
outside the box. You're thinking, I mean, you don't have to think outside the box. You don't
have to be smart to make it to like two mil, right? You don't need to be, but you know,
you could just like save money, penny pinch,
not eat a, not drink a coffee, you know, live a, I guess I shouldn't make fun of that because like
at the end of the day, like if you're trying to save up the first hundred K, I mean, I get,
I get it. Make your sacrifices, do it. But at the end of the day, man, like saving your way up to
2 million is not cool. You want to make your way up to 2 million.
So saving, start making money, right, is what I think.
And I just kind of like disagree with the whole saving money
till you make it.
You know, I just think you need to increase your skill,
get better and make more money, right?
So that's another thing.
A lot of people save their way up.
Once again, if you got to do it, fine.
But I just argue, get the skills, get better.
Put your time in. Like Dan said, you know, a lot of you guys,
you maybe have less in the game, less than a thousand hours in the game.
So obviously you go against me and I have way, way, way more hours in this than you.
It's not going to be comparable, like a lot better because I put in the time. So that's another thing, way, way more hours in this than you, it's not going to be comparable
like a lot better because I put in the time. So that's another thing, right? Get your hours in,
but try to get in quality hours because dude, there's a lot of people who put in the hours,
but they're just, uh, I don't know. They're idiots. Um, unfortunately. So once again,
also think like I'm putting in the hours, but I don't want to be one of the goofballs who
is old, but still sucks. Okay. A lot of people, you know, they putting in the hours but i don't want to be one of the goofballs who is old but
still sucks okay a lot of people you know they put in the time like i said they still suck i don't
know why but it just is the case um so always put in quality hours and like try to improve on what
you learn and like i said the more l's you take the more you're going to be able to avoid them. So, yeah. So what do you think is the biggest area people in crypto need to focus on to improve?
What's the biggest flaw that you see with people when they come to crypto?
Yeah.
So like we were saying before, 99%, they don't have a thought process or any logic.
They're just going off of, oh, this is hot.
Let me buy it. Okay. So I think the number
one thing people can focus on if they want to be good is to focus on being the 1%. Just focus on
being different, man. Don't be like everyone else, man. If you're like everyone else, guess what?
You're broke. Stop. When you read your Twitter feed and you see what everyone's doing,
stop following them. Stop doing whatever else is doing. That's not how you make the
You know or at least no you can still make like a you know a 10x
But like if we're talking this the title of this live stream is how to make 100x plus
Well, bro, think about it. If if if you're gonna catch 100x
You think you're gonna catch 100x by doing what everyone else is doing? That means everyone's making 100x. In what world does everyone make the 100x? Only a limited group of people are going to be making 100x. So you literally cannot be doing what everyone else is doing if you want to make the 100x.
doing if you want to make the 100x so if everyone's going right go left if everyone's buying
something go look and try to find something else that maybe is underrated right now that's being
looked you know another big mistake i see a lot of people make man so obviously like this bobo
position right i showed you um between my three wallets is over a million dollars right so i only
put 30k in the bobo check this out this is when i
started buying bobo right here right here right here dude it was a long time i had to wait so
many months but guess what in yeah bro in this time dog okay there was other coins that were
pumping and so many people sold their bobo at the bottom and they went to go chase other shit.
So what do they do?
Oh, well, everyone is buying into this coin that's hyped up.
So what do they do?
They sell the 1%. What 1% of people are doing, they're buying this at the bottom.
Then they go do what 99% of people are doing.
They sell their Bobo and they go buy the shit that's pumping.
The shit that's pumping dumps.
Okay.
They lose their money. And then if they just would have held their Bobo. The shit that's pumping dumps. They lose their money,
and then if they just would have held their bobo, they could be up millions.
We're doing what the 1% would actually hold through and see the thesis play out. So once
again, you go from doing what the 1% are doing to chasing what 99% of people are doing. You get
slaughtered like the sheep that you are.
Okay. And then you wish you would have just stayed here. So that's another mistake that people make
is they're constantly, if their bags aren't moving, if they're not hyped, they go chase
shit that is hype. Are you dumb? That's how you make the real money. You got to buy stuff when
it's not hyped, sell it to people when it is hyped. So never sell your shit because it's not hyped.
That's actually more reason to buy it.
But yeah, that's just a clear sign that you're an idiot
is if you're selling stuff that's not hyped
to go buy stuff that is hyped,
you're the only one with liquidity.
100%.
Can I share my screen?
Yeah, let's see it.
All right, let's see if I can set this up.
Because I want to show what that means in another way.
I want to explain that same thing.
Can you see my screen?
Not right now.
All right, let me turn it on.
You can see it now?
Yeah, now I can.
Yeah.
So yeah, in the market, different coins bump at different times.
And the way I would draw it is
they have cycles like this where people care about them and they don't care about them, right?
Up here is when everyone wants it. Down here is when no one wants it. And each coin is on its own
little cycle, right? And they all tend to go up sort of at similar times and down at similar times,
but they're all a little different and when you're buying a coin
and no one's you know buying it and all the rest of the market's going up if you're going to do
what crash just said and you're going to sell to chase a coin that's pumping you're probably
actually exiting the better the better coin for the for the worst coin right i think in crypto
you also have to understand that you want to compound winners and cut losers but you also have to understand that you might own a winner it might just be a later winner
so one thing you need to understand is that when you have all these coins pumping right this let's
say let's say that this is a couple different coins in the market right they're all pumping
and then you've got one that's sort of like this. There is a type of trader in the market who does what's called a sort of catch-up trade,
where they look and they hunt for coins that haven't done what the rest of the market is doing,
and they will buy into these to play the catch-up trade, right?
So when you have, let's say, all these different coins in one sector pumping like here,
and then you've got one of the coins in the sector that isn't pumping,
this doesn't mean that this coin is going to be like this forever because you have to realize that what is happening with this coin right here right now well all the people who are
weak hands are selling to buy these coins so the holder base of this coin is getting stronger and
stronger and stronger who's buying this coin, the smart people are actually accumulating because they're seeing that this one is lagging, but it's probably only temporary. So the holder
base is getting stronger. The weak hands are leaving and the strong hands are coming in.
And what you also have is the catch-up trade people who are going to buy here
for the catch-up trade that's going to happen when this coin plays catch-up. So you own something
that's underperforming. That's okay because it's actually probably going to play when this coin plays catch up so you own something that's underperforming that's
okay because it's actually probably going to play catch up due to those three things that i just
said the weak hands are selling because it's it's too slow the strong hands accumulate because they
see that it's going to play catch up and there's also the catch-up traders who push this thing
in the short term using their buying power right and that's why you have to be careful rotating into coins
that are pumping. There's a very fine line between selling a loser to buy a winner and
holding the loser that is only a short term loser and it's going to become a winner.
So you have to be careful. Both of those instances can be right or wrong. You have to
analyze the situation properly. But this is just understanding one of the market dynamics that does happen uh especially like more so like especially in like a meme coin space right
where things are so driven by hype like the the narrative can change in the in the in the blink
of an eye right yeah exactly man and that's a cliche saying out there that a lot of people say oh cut your losers oh
instantly that's so dumb man yeah uh you know it's like that imagine uh imagine you bought
brett at 50 million and it was pulling back to 40 million oh no cut your loser right away you moron
okay now you just lost 20 of your money on a thing that was going up 20x plus, right?
So no, don't cut your losers right away.
If you actually have a sound thesis and it's a fundamentally solid trade
and you're confident in your thesis for it, you shouldn't be selling it for a loss.
You should probably be buying more.
So I highly disagree with the cliche-ass saying of cut your losses quickly.
I think that's stupid.
So yeah, that's another thing.
I want to show you here an example of this.
So Jupiter, when it launched, everyone hated on Jupiter, right?
They were saying, oh, this coin is shit, right?
And the total market cap is the orange line.
And that was rising.
So you can see the total market was pumping and Jupiter was lagging. And you have to understand that Jupiter was actually one of the top 20 coins in crypto
in terms of mindshare.
Like everyone was talking about Jupiter, like it's a very popular coin.
And it is actually a great project, there's a great team.
Eventually they'll build something, they'll release some news, a narrative will stir up.
Just because they're a great team, good things come up.
And so you could have used that concept of looking for the coins that are sort of underperforming,
which are actually solid projects and applying this concept.
So you can see here if the total market cap is rising and your good project that has mindshare
is going down, you can probably say that that's an inefficiency, right?
The expectation of what people are seeing versus the reality is different. And you can see here that if the total market is rising, meaning that
there's a bunch of coins pumping. And so all the people who have Jupiter, they're going to be
selling, right? They're going to be selling Jupiter to then put it into other coins that are pumping.
So you've got the weak hands leaving, right? And you've got the strong hands buying Jupiter who
believe in the project. And then you have, as you can see here, the gap between the total market cap and Jupiter,
it actually became quite large. And this is when the momentum traders came in,
playing the catch-up trade. They see that it's lagging and they see that it's a good project
or a decent project. And actually, these catch-up trade people, they actually don't really care
about the project. They just look at the chart, right right they're project agnostic oh the chart's lagging cool that's all i need to see
done it can be that's why coins that's why scams often pump the hardest because these guys who do
the catch-up trade stuff they don't care about the coin they just care about the chart and that's
like a big difference in in the way that uh someone who's selling here and someone who's buying here
would look at a project.
Yeah, I'm amazed how similar our thought processes are, man.
Because I noticed already, once again, guys, this is the first time I ever talked to Dan.
You notice some similarities.
We're both solid at buying when nobody else wants to buy.
It really doesn't bother me.
I actually like buying when nobody else is buying.
See, people are strange in that they need validation from the market and others to feel confident in their play.
Whereas I don't need anyone's fucking approval to be confident in what I'm buying.
If I decide I think this is a good play, bro bro i don't care if there's zero volume that day
i'll buy that shit confidently and be like yeah someone's gonna care about it eventually right
like because i'm anticipating this um you can still hear me right because i'm getting like some
more okay yeah see so that's another thing a lot of people should work on stop needing validation
from others stop needing to see green candles to you know validate that oh you're in a
good trade no you know just in your own mind have confidence in your thesis and you don't need to
see no green candles or volume to know that you're right or that you're going to hit it right so that
ask you man toshi is going to go to this cycle. Obviously, it's so hard to predict, but you can give ranges like a bearish target, a modest target, and a holy shit, everything came together so nicely target.
second part of my thesis, which I posted, I put a video in one of my groups about last week on
Toshi. And I haven't really posted it publicly, but I think this launch pad that they're building
is potentially really bullish. If you look at what made Degen have such a good rally,
it was because it launched a layer three where you needed to own the Degen token to participate,
meaning that if you want to get into this casino, you have to own the DGEN token to participate, meaning that if you want to
get into this casino, you have to own the DGEN token. And it's a very similar supply and demand
dynamic to the layer one tokens, right? You have to own Solana to participate in the Solana Eco.
You have to own ETH to do all the different DeFi stuff, right? Maybe you could also own stables,
but most people denominate in the layer ones ones like native token so you look at dgen
you have to own dgen to get into the layer three thing people are trying to speculate on the memes
that launch there that's what led to dgen's uh massive price rise and also when when you bridge
across to the layer three you're stuck there for seven days so that was also another component
and i look at the supply and demand dynamics of toshi's launch pad the launch pad will obviously
require you to own Toshi
and to probably lock it up. And that is the exact same supply and demand dynamic as what happened
with Degen. So I think if Toshi can pull off this launchpad, Toshi could definitely be like a three
to five billion dollar meme coin. Like imagine this future scenario. And this is how we do this
analysis, right? We're imagining future scenarios.
Imagine a universe where Toshi launches the number one launchpad on base,
and the base team has done a slight pivot from just shilling memes to basically saying, hey guys, we're actually building real shit on base here.
A couple great projects decide to incubate with the Toshi team
and launch through their launchpad.
People make a bunch of money from the first launchpad done on Toshi, right?
People now bid Toshi and lock it up to get into the next launchpad, right?
I think that rally, if that scenario plays out, it's a three to five, like a three to
five billion dollar market cap for that meme coin, or maybe more potentially.
But obviously that's that's
one universe that doesn't have to happen they could fuck up the launch pad it could never launch the
projects could be shit another launch pad could be the winner there's there's definitely risks
associated with you know scenarios that it might not play out in but if that plays out bro like
easy three to five billion market cap i would say what about you what do you think and with brett
yeah i think i think three to five billion is so damn reasonable like let's go through a
a scenario right like obviously if this is the market cap of you know we can do it we can do it the same for toshi because i do see these as the number one and number two memes on this chain right if this is when there's four
million users on chain and now let's just fast forward six to 18 months and there's now uh let's
say 70 million users on chain okay so the money the the humans on this freaking network right it
like 15 x's so what do you think the money is gonna do by the way look at this angel
number right here you see that is my screen being shared i just added it it is uh actually no it's
not sharing can you uh yeah i thought i was sharing my screen so one sec uh let me know when you can
see it yep okay if we have four million users on this chain today, right?
Remember, in meme coins, you got to sell someone.
Someone's got to be there.
Otherwise, why are you going to get higher prices?
Who's going to buy it from you, right?
So I'm showing you who's going to buy it.
If there's 4 million users on the blockchain today,
and we know that there's going to be 70 million plus,
then the user base is going to 15X plus, right?
And so what's going to happen to the money flow?
What's going to happen to the market caps?
If the user is 15X, the money 15Xs,
and we maintain a similar ratio to today,
and I think the price is going to minimum 15X, if not more,
because the thing is, as price goes up, FOMO rises
and the network effect rises and the
Traction and virality on social media can kick off to extents that you didn't understand were possible
so once again if the user base 15x is the the money flow 15x is the market cap is probably gonna
15x minimum if not way more because the FOMO right in the virality so that that's the way I see it man
15x minimum if not way more because the FOMO right in the virality
And and and it goes for Toshi. Why right think about that? We just you just said 3 billion to 5 billion well
15x on the users 15x on the money
Flow 50 cap you're at 3 to 5 billion literally right?
So it's not a coincidence that what you estimated would be the market cap this would reach literally lines up exactly with my numbers.
See, so when you have the numbers as well as a brand or, you know, because I think the top meme coins are like brands.
Like if we're on base, I think Brett is like Nike and Toshi would be Adidas on this blockchain, right?
When people come up to this network, who are they going to trust the most?
They're going to trust the most established brands, teams, and meme coins.
This is Adidas on this blockchain.
Guess what, man?
A lot of people wear Nike shoes.
A lot of people wear Adidas.
And so in meme coins, that means just a lot of people are going to buy the number one meme,
which is Brett, and a lot of people are going to buy the one meme which is brett and a lot of people are gonna buy the
You know the other meme toshi on the chain is the way I see it
So yeah, whenever you have a product
That is not gonna rug you have something that is legit and it's built that social credibility
And and it's built itself into that brand on the chain then it's going to receive a lot of that money flow
and it's built itself into that brand on the chain, then it's going to receive a lot of that money flow.
So once again, when the users and the money 15Xs, a lot of that money is going to find its way into Brett.
And so let's do a calculation.
Let's say on average between these 70 million people, let's say on average they have about $200 each.
You've got to realize some people are going to have a thousand dollars some people are going to have ten thousand dollars they're going to have forty thousand dude i think the
airdrop by the way let's go um the coin market oh the base airdrop if we have an air yeah if we have
a base airdrop right all this calculations without a potential base airdrop.
All right, so let's go without a base airdrop. Let's just say there's 70 million users on chain.
They on average have $200. How much money is that? 1.4 billion, right? So out of $1.4 billion,
dollars right is that no that's a lot more than 1.4 billion isn't it let's do the math 70 million
times 200 it doesn't even fit on the calculator i think it might be like 14 billion
yeah right are you math i think it's like i don't know if you're a map but it's like something like
that yeah all right i think it's 14 billion yeah the math was not my specialty, but I have basic math. I just don't have the
fucking calculator showing me. So anyways, if $14 billion floods into this chain,
he says 15X. All right, we're looking at $14 billion coming into this network.
Of $14 billion, what percentage of the money do you think is going to find its way into the number one meme?
I think 10% is very fair, right?
I think it's very fair.
Like if you look at the actual, you know, blockchain, like Brett is the highest market cap and it occupies the most mind share on this chain.
Like when people think base, I think they think Brett.
Like it's huge, man.
It's huge.
Like I said, it's the Nike of the chain at this
point. So if 10% of that money funnels directly into this chart, that's who you're going to sell
to. That's who's going to buy your bags. And I'm just looking at the numbers, man. This is super
logical, right? Now, obviously, what are 99% of people in the world doing? You think they're
trying to look at the numbers? You think they're trying to break this down in their head? No, they're just buying green candles and then
they're selling on red candles like Jeets. Okay. So we're actually looking at the numbers because
if the numbers back us, then that's going to give us a flow of money. It's going to give us a tail
wind, right? That's going to support the chart on the way up. So if the numbers back you and the
narrative is there and the brand is there,
then guess what? The money is going to find its way into the top brands.
Okay. So once again, 10% of that is $1.4 billion, bro. Do you know what $1.4 billion of money flow
into Brett does? Right. So, but let's also account for sell pressure. So let's say like
50% of that. Let's slash that in half.
So $700 million of money flow. Okay. What is $700 million of money flow going to do to this,
bro? It's going to send it past 10 billion market cap. So this is how I can just sit
confidently, chill here at 700 million, knowing that i see the 700 million dollars it's coming
it's going to come right into my bag it's going to come and pump my bags and see i don't give a
shit what anyone in the world thinks right now all i'm focused on is these numbers right here
because i believe this is exactly what's going to happen so if i'm correct on these numbers
right i might i may be underestimating these numbers. These numbers may actually be a lot higher.
These, these may be more when I say 10%, it could be 20%, right?
So things can actually go and do way better than I think they could do slightly
worse than I think as well.
I have to be open to all those, you know, possibilities, but yeah, when, when
$700 million flows into this, like I said, that's sending this well past
a 10 billion market
cap and that's basically what i'm focused on man i mean and also you have to look at the
the recent popularity of these memes on from crypto youtubers it's a really promising sign
uh the the correlation between volume and higher prices is super important especially in the meme
coin space as these projects go higher and higher you need super important, especially in the meme coin space. As these
projects go higher and higher, you need to see the volume consistently going higher and higher as
well. And not just fake volume, but actually like real volume going higher and higher.
And the fact that crypto YouTube is picking up on the base memes shows you that when this exit
liquidity comes in in larger amounts, the youtuber crypto space already is shilling
their audience to buy these things which is an amazing sign right because if let's say a sample
size of 20 big crypto youtubers all felt compelled to shill the base means right toshi and brett
mostly imagine once 300 500 crypto youtubers start shilling this stuff. And imagine once their audiences 2, 5, 10x as the bull run progresses
and they're still talking about the meme coins that they are talking about now.
You can see that the coins that are popular
and the coins that will get more popular due to this fact
is the meme coins on base of Toshi and brett of toshi and brett right
it just makes logical sense if if right now we are not at the stage of the bull run where it's it's
the end if we have more of this bull run to come and more retail are coming in they're going to
youtube they're going to these youtubers the youtubers are telling them to buy the base meme
coins it's the place to be and it is still arguably early given that fact and i put a video out
shitting on these YouTubers
because they have caught it late.
They have caught it after it went 100x, 200x, whatever it is.
But it is still early in the sense that the influencers on YouTube
have just caught onto it.
And they're the ones bringing in our exit liquidity.
And when, like, for example, Crash,
when you're going on these podcasts and different things on YouTube,
it's
good to spread the word and it helps cement these memes as a place to be because we have to work
for our bags like a lot of you guys are just deadweight holders you'd be like the guy who
goes to the club with the guy that gets girls and you just sort of you just sort of sleaze off of
him like he your friend does all the approaching and you just get the off cuts you don't do any work right that's like what a lot of you guys are with these bags
that you hold you buy all these mean coins and you're just a dead weight you're not actually
helping promote the coin the holders are the marketers when you hold a coin you should be
the affiliate marketer for that project because if you're not going to do the marketing someone
has to do it someone has to go to twitter and talk about the coin and spread the gospel essentially and if you're going to be that
dude who just leeches off his friend to get girls in the crypto space then it's just you're not
helping your bags so that's another big part of meme coin investing is you have to spread the
gospel if you want your bags to be the one that wins because there is no confirmed winner there could be another meme that comes up
If you want your meme to win you have to put in the work to make it win you have to be shilling you have to be
Spreading the gospel right and that's super important. The future is not set in stone. Something could take the top spot
Yeah, dude, I want to go over another point right like someone Like someone said, I see in the comments, is this not dependent on the macro?
So for me, it's really simple.
I believe Bitcoin is going to be above $150K later in this cycle.
So, well, if Bitcoin is above $150K eventually, I think the money that we're going to see in our memes is going to be way more.
Everyone is going to be richer. Everyone is going to have more money when Bitcoin's at 150K. What do you do when you have
extra money? You gamble, you throw it around, trying to multiply it even more. And so the later
stages of the cycle, right now, if you think this is a lot of money flowing, man, you have no idea,
right? How much money is truly flowing in the last quarter of the bull market and this is where
a majority of it goes into something like brett something like toshi this is where the meme coins
really go parabolic like we saw shib did so when everyone it's the wealth effect right when bitcoin
is above 150k everyone's going to feel like a rock star they're going to feel like you know
anything they touch goes up and they're just so good at this. And so they're going to be chucking money left and right at everything, especially the number one meme.
So once again, when someone said in the comments, is this not dependent on the macro? Yeah,
it absolutely is. But just like I'm not here anal about the short term red candles that we're
seeing right now. I'm just set on,
hey, Bitcoin's going to be above 150K. When that happens, this is going to be exponentially higher.
There's going to be so much more money flow and there's going to be so many people up big,
ready to chuck their money in with all that excess cash they have that they're going to give back to
the market and they're going to give it back to me whenever you know all that money that they're up they're going to chuck it in here and those become our those become our
profits when someone puts their money into the coin now i mean you could sell into it now right
like their money becomes ours because we're here front running them so that's the way i see it and
you know last cycle by the way right from um 2017-2018 peak to that peak right there, it's about a 295% increase.
So each cycle you have diminishing returns.
So let's say this cycle we don't get 295%, right?
But we get a little less, let's say 240%.
240% that gets us to a 10 trillion market.
That gets us to a $10 trillion market cap.
So in market cap right now in crypto,
and just based off the logic,
based on the numbers,
based on what we do every cycle,
which is,
you know,
have diminishing returns,
but we do get bigger and more money comes into space,
right?
Once again,
240% right here takes us to around 10 trillion market cap.
This is a very reasonable target, 9 to 10 trillion.
So yeah, this is dependent on the macro.
But just my macro view is that Bitcoin is going to be above 150K
and the total cryptocurrency market cap is going to be around 9 to 10 to 12 trillion.
And when that happens, man, that is the prime time for the top
meme coins. And so that's what I'm focused on. So yeah, if you think it's not a cycle top,
that means that the market is going to get more stupid than it is right now. And if the market
gets more stupid, that means they're going to buy the more stupid things, which is technically the
meme coin sector. It's the stupid sector. So meme coins going forward as we get later into a cycle people get
dumber they start buying meme coins more the the people who buy the meme coins are going to be
more likely to buy them as we go on and that's something to keep in mind this sector gets its
most popularity as we get later and later into a bull run, right? So like this is the worst time
to be looking to get into like utility coins
and, you know, think like,
like let's say a bridging token,
like Synapse or Wormhole,
like this is not the time for those coins.
The stage we're heading into in the market
is the retard phase.
And that is when meme coins that are most popular.
So, and you've seen that, right?
Meme coins have already gotten very popular
as we've gotten near the all-time highs maybe bitcoin's got to consolidate for a few months before it breaks
convincingly above the all-time highs but I think once we break the all-time high convincingly that
new level at about 71 72k I think that kicks off a positive feedback loop and we go crazy
for probably into into the elections probably is when that would happen just before then definitely and and also just think when we do finally cross 100k bitcoin the headlines that we're going to be
making the media coverage is going to be insane and that's when so many people are going to return
and be talking about this stuff so we're pre that like we're before that so if you think this is
hype man this is it this is not right
like i said the the last quarter the bull market is where there's the most hype the most money
flowing around and the most idiots that are gonna buy your bags okay right now those those idiots
that are gonna buy your bags they're not here right now right they're coming though so what i like you know uh i guess my whole thing is
i really think that the gains are yet to come and um you know i don't know if you've seen max
from because bitcoin i really love uh his charts he does such an incredible job of showing it
but basically man have you seen it who sorry max you said yeah max because bitcoin have you seen it? Who, sorry, Max, you said? Yeah, Max because Bitcoin. Have you seen him?
I'm not sure.
Okay, let me see if I can find the chart.
Actually, I don't think I have it.
Oh, wait, wait, yeah, I have a video up here, man.
I got to show you this, man.
This is sick.
Let's have a look.
Okay, when I find it, I'm going to share it with you.
But basically, you know, Dogecoincoin it pumps hard when Bitcoin dominance rolls over
Right, and and since I'm so bad at showing this on my chart, okay, you see you see my screen still yeah, yep
Okay, so see when when Dogecoin goes crazy as highlighted by these blue rectangles here. See, in the past right here, right here.
Okay.
When Doge goes crazy is when Bitcoin dominance is going down.
Bitcoin dominance goes down.
Guys, right now, Bitcoin dominance is going up, right?
Meaning Bitcoin is actually sucking most of the money in the market.
in the market altcoins haven't even really had their time to shine yet so we are still pre bitcoin
Altcoins haven't even really had their time to shine yet.
dominance falling phase which happens every bull market so once again look what happens when bitcoin
dominance actually starts to roll downwards that's when the real move happens in your altcoins
and your meme coins look at that bitcoin dominance falls dogecoin goes crazy bitcoin dominance falls
dogecoin goes crazy that's the same thing falls. Dogecoin goes crazy. That's the
same thing for your top meme coins like Toshi and Brett on base, right? So look at this right now.
Bitcoin Domino's is going up. It's not even rolling over. When this thing starts rolling over,
that's when the real gains are going to be captured. That's when the money is truly going
to flow into this shit, man. And that's when the
idiots are going to buy your bags 20X, 30X, 50X plus higher. So that is what you got to be focused
on is the big picture, man. And once again, are 99% of people looking at this? No, bro. They have
no idea. Bro, 99% of people don't even know what Bitcoin dominance is. They don't even know how to pull up this chart and see for themselves.
So that's the thing. When you get an edge, when you look at these things, when other people are not, that's how you beat them, right?
And so, you know, how would we know that the top is in? How would we know that it's time to be taking profit out of the market?
How would we know that it's time to be taking profit out of the market?
Well, I'll give you one example, right?
Look, when Bitcoin dominance comes down here, when Bitcoin dominance comes down here, hey, next time it comes down here, that's probably a great time to be locking in some profits on your altcoins.
Okay.
Right.
Because Bitcoin dominance at its bottom, right, in these lower regions, that is usually the worst that Bitcoin is going to be
doing and the best that altcoins are going to be doing you see this is the time to be bullish on
your altcoins before this move down eventually hopefully happens because if this move happens
that's when you're going to make insane money on your altcoins and then once it gets down here
kind of like you talked about the cyclical you look at this chart of Bitcoin dominance. It's cyclical, right?
Bitcoin outperforms, then it underperforms. Altcoins outperform. Bitcoin outperforms, then it underperforms.
So when Bitcoin is underperforming, that's when your altcoins are doing amazing. This is when your altcoins are doing amazing.
coins are doing amazing this is when your alt coins are doing amazing but no when historically
it's getting into that area where guess what bitcoin will start to become uh so favorable
at that ratio when bitcoin starts to actually have greater dominance over the market is at
these undervalued levels bitcoin dominance so once again the way i say it you're bullish on
your alt coins and your meme coins up here and, you're bullish on your altcoins and your meme coins up here.
And then you're actually selling your altcoins and your meme coins, locking in gains,
the further you see this Bitcoin dominance come down into these lower areas.
So once again, you think 99% of people have jack a fucking clue about this, right?
None. They don't know shit about this.
So by looking at this stuff you give yourself
a massive advantage because what is going to happen in the bull market man you know let's say
brett is pumping it's above a 10 billion market cap um you know in 6 to 18 months from now so
everyone's gonna be buying the green candles little do they realize that bitcoin dominance
possibly by that point is down here at support. So if it's at
support, man, this is not the time to be overly bullish on your altcoins and your mean coins
anymore. But what are most people doing? They're rushing in at the fucking top without a damn clue.
Meanwhile, people who are calculated, we've been putting our time in the market and studying this stuff well in advance. While these people blindly rush into the market top, I notice that, oh, Bitcoin dominance is in its lower region.
So I'm going to sell it. I'm going to start selling. I'm going to start scaling out.
I'm going to start taking profit because historically, this is the region where altcoins have made the most gains.
So once again, that's being on a different level from 99%.
While everyone's fucking rushing in and buying in the hype,
I'm looking at a different chart and being like,
okay, this is where I want to start unloading and taking profits.
So stuff like that puts you ahead.
And that's literally, guys, that's part of the main difference
between making like $10 billion or being dead broke by the end of the cycle.
It's like, do you actually put
in the time to see these at 99 don't see or see by seeing the things that 99 don't see that's how
you put yourself in the one percent that's how you actually make a lot of money while other people
are losing a lot of money because you got to see the market in a different way in a way that others
aren't looking at it that's how you get an edge 100 bro that's so insightful and i saw this guy's
question here and i thought it was really good and i wanted to answer this i'll give my take and i'd
be curious to hear your take on this question as well but he basically said uh regarding the timing
of a meme season so i i mentioned on this that the memes tend to pump later into the cycle and
they've pumped a bit earlier this cycle it was the meme season left translated how would i explain meme front rent alt so in my opinion we are in what you would call like a meme
coin super cycle this is meme coins v2 and i think the reason we're in this meme coin v2 super cycle
there's a few different reasons why reason number one ai has been the greatest advancement for meme coins of any tech that's happened in the past decade.
Because AI allows for infinite organic content creation around a certain topic, genre, or identity in a way that wasn't able to be made before.
And it allows basically a community to form around any sort of culture, identity or social movement and create an
infinite amount of content to post on social media and spread the message. So that was never able to
be really done at the same level as it is now before. So that's reason number one. Reason number
two is, I think, a financial cynicalism, if that's a word, cynicism, maybe is a better word, around
the future of crypto. i think in the last
cycle people had some sort of a belief that this stuff actually did something and was going to
you know become adopted this cycle i think people realize that crypto is a scam and that nothing's
really going to come from it other than a few different technologies or maybe way down the line
there's not much here really that's actually real. And it's all just basically trading a bunch
of potential future innovations that might happen. And so people have gone straight to the meme coins
because they realize like, well, what would I rather buy this really cool community coin,
which actually has a use case? It's a social movement. It's an identity. It's fun. It's
exciting. It's being honest about what it's trying to do, which is make people rich.
Or am I going to buy this sort of boring layer one technology, which I actually don't really think is going to really change the world. It hasn't in the past three cycles. I think that's
another variable. And I think one last variable that is leading to an early and meme coin sort
of super cycle is the rise of gambling and the sort of mindset of gamble or zero that has really arisen.
Like people, inflation is rampant, things are getting expensive, people don't have as much money,
you know, the economy is not great, recession, all these different things,
is making people want to take more financial risk to get themselves out of their financial situation.
There's more, you know, the divide between the poor and the rich is increasing to a point
where people want to, you know, escape that poor side as quick as possible.
And I feel like people don't think that the traditional path is as good as it used to
And so they're trying to find alternatives and sports betting and all these other gambling
related pursuits are becoming more and more popular.
The volumes for all these different gambling industries is increasing massively post-COVID.
And so meme coins is a form of sports betting on social movements.
And I think that's what it is emerging to be, right?
Buying Bowdoin is a sports betting on the likelihood of him getting reelected in a sense, right?
sports betting on the likelihood of him getting re-elected in a sense right buying the best mean
coin on base is a is a sports bet on how popular base becomes as a blockchain right all these layer
ones are sport teams right it's like a soccer it's like a it's like a soccer match it's base versus
solana it's i don't even know what the fucking soccer teams are called right uh that's sort of
how it is and we're all just betting on our teams talking shit in chats and being on voice chats with the meme coin communities
and it's just sports betting and you know and i think those variables is why we have this meme
coin super cycle do you sort of agree yeah bro 100 let me tell you from my own personal experience
during the bear market i loved gambling okay. Okay. But during this market,
I don't give a fuck to gamble. Why? Because like, I don't need the entertainment anymore.
I get the entertainment here. And, uh, you know, you make, you make way more money with meme coins
when the market is good than you do sports betting. So as a guy in between the age range
of 20 and 40 years old, right, it's a,
it's a great age group that loves to gamble on sports, myself included. But I can tell you from
my own experience, I don't want to gamble. I want to, I want to bet on the fucking memes that I know
are going to go up 20 X plus. Why the fuck would I gamble right when I have meme coins? So I think
we're going to see a major transition of guys who realize,
why am I betting on the Super Bowl and losing my money on like a 50-50 chance? I could have just bet on Brett. I could have bet on Toshi. I think people are going to start to realize how much more
favorable the odds are here in meme coins than it actually is in sports betting. So I think we're
going to see a huge shift man between sports
betting into actually meme coins because i think meme coins is just going to get more and more
popular and and more and more people are going to catch on they're going to launch more meme coins
like already this cycle it is a way more common thing to launch a coin than it was last cycle
right like who is even familiar with the idea of launching a coin last cycle like very few man
i just feel like it's more normalized it's just just more popular. And so, yeah, we're going
to see a huge transition, man, of guys in the age of 20 to 40, you know, betting on meme coins,
I think. So, dude, I want to show you a chart perspective here though. Okay. Give me a second
to show you this. So obviously everyone should know that when Dogecoin outperforms Bitcoin, right?
You know, this is when your meme coins are doing the best.
When Dogecoin is underperforming Bitcoin, this is when your meme coins are usually bleeding, right?
So if we know that, I want you to look at last cycle.
There was a period, and by the way, you can still hear me, right?
Yep.
Okay.
There was a period where Dogecoin pumped like crazy against Bitcoin, 1600%.
Then versus Bitcoin, it dumped for about 60 days.
It underperformed Bitcoin.
It shit the bed versus Bitcoin.
You would have been way better off holding Bitcoin than your meme coins
here. But right before the biggest breakthrough, the market will have you feeling down about your
memes. It'll have you feeling like, what the hell? If I just held Bitcoin, I would be destroying the
market right now. I'd be way better off than holding the meme coins. Bam, fucking explodes
higher again. So notice this chart squiggled it out here right
this right here could be this this right here right could be this right here where meme coins
are shitting the bed versus bitcoin and you could sell your your brett for example at like 30 cents
right before it goes to a dollar
you know 30 for example it's a 13 billion market cap right so you could
sell it right there right before it goes there and that would be the equivalent
to you giving up on your meme coins as they pull back versus Bitcoin right
before the real explosion now I want you to understand, okay, let's say you bought, you know, Brett at 100
million market cap, right? And right here, guys, you sold your Brett at a 2.7 billion market cap
right before it goes, okay, to a 14 billion market cap, okay? Let me tell you the problem with this.
market cap. Okay. Let me tell you the problem with this right here. You made a 27 X, right?
But because you actually fucked up the timing, man, the difference between now you making a 27 X
or you making right here, 140 X. Do you understand the difference between making 140 X and a 27 X is
bro? Uh, let's, let's just make sure people understand the difference. That is the
difference between turning 10,000 into 10K and a 270K or 10K into 1.4 million. So studying these patterns, right. The market likes to be the difference
between you making 270 K or making 1.4 million. Okay. How are you going to make it to the top 1%?
It's by hopefully not being this guy. It's by hopefully being more like this guy.
I'm not saying I need to be perfect. I'm not saying you need to be full stacking 1.4
million at once. No, actually, that's probably not the way you want to play it. You want to DCA out
because the truth is, even if we look at these numbers and we go through scenarios, it doesn't
mean it's going to play out exactly like that. Actually, Brett could go well beyond 14 billion.
It could be hitting a 25 billion market cap. Call me crazy.
25 billion market cap, call me crazy.
I see so much of that. I don't think that's crazy
personally.
It's possible.
It's possible.
Yeah, it is.
And bro, the thing is, in a true bull market,
in true mania, that's why it's called
the bubble, because shit floats
to absurd
third heights that people didn't realize let me tell you something this man is you know i'm 40
billion right doge hit 90 billion right so this is the number one meme on base right um you know once again toshi you know if we actually go based on
this right let's say um doge equals brett and shib equals toshi on base right so maybe obviously
base won't be as big as ethereum maybe all right here let me tell you another valuation
like model i guess guess I have.
ETH, right? If this hits a trillion dollar market cap, which I do believe it will,
that'll be around a $8,000 ETH, right? $9,000 ETH will hit a trillion. So what do you think
the number one layer two blockchain in the world would be? 10% of the value of Ethereum,
in my opinion, right? So if ETH hits a
trillion dollar market cap, I think you can say base then as 10% the value of Ethereum is a $100
billion market cap ecosystem. Okay. So if this is a $100 billion market cap ecosystem, and once again,
10% of that market cap, because like once again it's not uncommon
look ETH is 420 billion what's the number one meme on ETH 16 billion so SHIB is almost 10%
I'm sorry it's about 5% of ETH right but base has a lot less competition than ETH and there's a lot
less projects on base so if SHIB is about 5% of ETH's market cap, which by the way,
this will change. It'll go from 5% to probably 10% in the bull run, right? Simply because the
number one meme on each blockchain actually acts as a leverage bet on the blockchain, right? So
once again, if ETH hits a trillion, SHIB hits a hundred billion. Okay. Is it crazy to think, well, one, that means SHIB is 10% the value of Ethereum.
So then is it crazy to see Brett 10% the value of base, which I'm anticipating base
would be a hundred billion dollar, you know, you know, ecosystem.
Well, 10% of a hundred billion hits you at 10 billion, right? But then
once again, account for FOMO, account for virality, account for what could be one of the biggest
bubbles in history. And once again, that's how you're going from 10 billion to 25 or everyone
is comparing the last cycle, how SHIB and DOGE hit 40 billion and 90 billion and maybe shib is
actually hitting 100 billion so now the comparative values in the market are are absurd everyone is
looking at brett as it's at 10 billion meanwhile shib could be at 40 billion and everyone's like
man brett is cheap as fuck right shib on ethereum why is the number one meme on base only at 10 billion how crazy is that
to sound so you have to anticipate this shit well in advance so while everyone's sitting there in
the fucking full-on bull market is saying that brett is undervalued at 10 billion because shib
is the number one meme on ethan it's at 40 billion therefore this should catch up to 40 billion and you have all this bull market
money flowing around that's how this shit with the virality and the attention that's being
captured during the bull market can go to fucking stupid heights man and that's why i think it's
so important man to have a chart background because the emotions and the hype is going to be unreal.
Everyone's going to be making money, but very few are going to walk away with money.
And that's why you've got to look at these charts.
You've got to look at Bitcoin dominance.
You've got to know where are we within that hype cycle.
Where are we within the market?
Are we within the market?
Because I'm telling you, if Bitcoin dominance is down here, you think I'm going to go on Twitter telling everyone,
Oh, hey guys, I'm fucking taking profit on $80 million here.
No, bro, I got to worry about my own fucking bag to sell.
So, you know, fend for yourself, bro.
I made it at that point.
Like, you guys got to, you know, you got to remember everything I've shown you well in advance.
guys got to, you know, you got to remember everything I've shown you well in advance
because I don't want to be talking. I don't want to be announcing that I'm like fucking selling,
you know, as you know, in that stage of the bull market. And here's the funny thing, man. Most of
you, you won't even fucking believe me anyways, because the truth is in the height of the bull
market, people will actually make fun of you for selling. People will call you a fucking retard.
Bitcoin is going to be above 150K. Bitcoin's going to be above $150K.
Everyone's going to be like, you fucking moron.
I can't believe you're selling.
We're going way higher.
This is the meme coin super cycle, you moron.
These are mathematically not possible.
You idiot.
This time is different.
You're going to look so stupid selling, Crash.
And I'll be, you know, without emotions, start taking some profits, start scaling out.
Because I'll know that I plan this well in advance, man.
If Bitcoin dominance comes down here, man, fuck everyone, bro.
Talk all the shit you want.
I know what I'm doing.
And the fact I'm sharing my strategy with everyone well in advance man
You know that means you're my competition
Okay, you guys are all my competition and I still share the shit with you because I know fucking 99% of you won't even listen
You won't even pay
attention because then if it does happen like I believe it will
Bitcoins above 150k you guys aren't gonna fall back on my logic. You're not gonna fall fall back on my analysis. You're going to fall back on fucking, you know, you're going to see your
Brett. You're going to be up $2 million and you're going to think, oh, but if it just goes up another
double, I'll have $4 million and I can go buy that house in the Bahamas that I wanted, you know?
So most of you guys, fuck the strategy. Y'all don't give a shit, man. When the time comes,
Most of you guys, fuck the strategy.
Y'all don't give a shit, man.
When the time comes, you're not going to be remembering this stream anyways.
Very few of you will.
And the few of you who do, congrats.
Because you're going to execute this like a pro like me.
Very few of you will.
And you know what?
That's on you.
I shouldn't even be sharing exactly how I'm going to fucking do this.
But I am.
And that means that you're going to do this.
Once again, exactly I'm gonna fucking do this but I am and that
In liquidity from me fucking make drop a like on my stream Make sure you drop a like on Dan stream. Make sure you go fucking follow Dan right now, bro for putting this stream together
Okay, right here on Twitter if you you're not following him, CryptoDan19.
Because obviously, you know, he just got me to spit out the strategy and the game, you know, unfiltered for you all.
So, yeah, make sure you fucking like this stream.
Yeah, and I think it is important to analyze the market cap potentials of what these valuations can go to.
Like, some guys were like, oh, why are you looking at such absurd targets?
I think it is important to analyze what's possible
because I had a friend who owned, I think, 1% of the SHIB supply
in the last bull run.
And obviously, when he owned 1%, it was a much smaller coin.
It wasn't worth $50 million at the time.
But he sold his shib position
too early and i i did a live call with him it's inside one of the groups that i run but um basically
i spoke to him for an hour talking about like why he sold what he needed to have at that point in
time to have not sold to have held this position to such a large valuation. And basically, he told me that if he had built a
really proper strong thesis and looked at what could potentially have happened and analyzed the
different valuations and tried to map out the future possibilities, he would have been much
more likely to hold at least some of that SHIB position to where he would have made millions of dollars extra.
And so when you look at these coins and you look at the valuations, obviously some of these
valuations you could consider absurd, they're not guaranteed to happen, but it's important that you
look at what is possible because if you aren't mentally prepared and accounting for all these
different potential scenarios, you're going to be blind to
them if they were to happen if you don't think that and you aren't preparing for a coin to go
to a 10 billion market cap you're going to be much more likely to sell it early and that's a blind
spot because what if it does go to 10 billion market cap and you've and you've missed that so
um i think yeah it's important to look at what's possible.
I definitely don't want to come on here and say that there's guarantees of any of these coins going up.
You all need to do your own research and you need to understand that, yeah, we are all in competition.
Like we will eventually sell.
We probably won't tell you when we sell, at least not unless you're in our close circles.
But yeah, it is all a competition at the end of the day.
And like there's no guarantees but like you have to do these sort of mental calculations to see what's possible if my friend who had one percent of the shib supply did a mental calculation
and comparison of shib to doge and what was possible there he would have been much more
likely to hold that position and done a lot better so it is something super important um
to hold that position and done a lot better.
So it is something super important.
But yeah.
And I think one little,
I'll give you guys one little bit of alpha quickly.
I'll share my screen and I will get rid of this one.
Okay.
So if we load up,
I'll see if I can share my,
oops.
Let me see if I can share my, oops. Let me see if I can share Dex screener screen. Don't know if it will.
Aha, it is. Cool. So if you look at, here's just a little strategy for you guys. So a lot of you are like, okay, how do I buy these meme coins? When do know when to buy well my personal strategy in a sort of a
i guess a bull run for meme coins is you basically just want to add on 40 to 70 declines if you look
at for example toshi and you just draw what sort of a retracement that we saw each time
you can see that actually i don't think the wick really counts on this one let me go to a four hour
Actually, I don't think the wick really counts on this one.
Let me go to a four hour.
If you draw the retracement from the peak to the bottom,
you'll see that between a 40% to 70% decline consistently
is what we see on these coins.
And that's where you'd be wanting to accumulate.
So the goal is trying not to buy during the pump.
The goal is to try to buy during the retracement.
And I find that on these coins uh there's one pattern that works really well to spot like a bottoming formation
and it's the uh bullish shavasup fork so it's a bit of a obviously a retail sort of strategy but
i find that on a coin that's trending, especially a meme coin, which has really nice price action, you'll see this pattern play out a bunch of times.
And if you can recognize it, then you can also help time your entries.
So, for example, if you have the downtrend of lower highs and then you have a breakout and then lower highs and another breakout,
this is where you can see that there's highs and another breakout you know this is where
you can see that there's still strength in the market because this is a classic bottoming pattern
you've got the obviously the double bottom happening and then you've also got two bullish
breakouts to the upside where it could have gone down and that's obviously showing you signs of
strength in the market you'd be wanting to accumulate same sort of thing thing here. We have the breakout, sort of a retest happening.
So that's just a little strategy for you guys of what I do.
I draw this pattern and I look for 40% to 70% declines.
And that's how I get allocated into meme coins.
So I actually get good entries.
Yeah, that's a good trade.
That's my question too, like for leverage trading is we will see some flash crashes in
the market that'll you know be like 30 and then right after those flash crashes the market's back
to up only again and so if you can catch those flash crashes and and buy in with some size on
them right whether like see that's why i keep my spot positions and my leverage position
separate i think it's really nice you know obviously leverage is very risky and if bro if
you think meme coins are risky go do leverage trading and then coming back to meme coins will
be the easiest thing you ever do in your life actually because you can't get liquidated on
meme coins i mean you could go to zero but if you have any logic you're catching good narratives by
the way could you share my screen again yeah're catching good narratives. By the way, could you share my screen again?
Yeah.
If you're catching good narratives, man, you're not going to get fucking liquidated.
You're not going to lose your entire position.
So it becomes so easy, man, when you go from leverage to spot, when you go from leverage to memes.
It really is easy.
But I was going to make a point here, and I just forgot it, unfortunately.
But while I forgot my point, guys, make sure you go follow Dan again on Twitter.
Let's see.
You know, I don't know if we can hit like 29,000 followers right now.
And load up your Twitter as well.
Guys, I wouldn't jump on this live with Dan if I didn't think he was really solid.
And I can confidently tell you,
this is probably one of the best people in the entire space when it comes to this stuff.
And also, this is my first time ever talking to him.
But I have seen from afar that he's really solid.
So I just want to say,
telling you the truth of the way the market is, That he's really solid so I just want to say like
You know telling you the true way the market is like he's so he's so truthful I'll literally tell you
Yeah, these guys are gonna be our exit liquidity later And I'm just like waiting for them like that's the truth and very few people will say it like that
Most people are gonna lie to you. They're going to be like, wag me, you know, um, like everything's good. Everything's always going to be good. No,
everything is not always going to be good. And if you're, if you don't have an edge on the market,
like, like we've said, you're, you're going to lose all the money you make.
And unfortunately, man, the alpha that I've dropped, it's going to lead to, in my opinion, people like selling way more profits.
And so it's good on one end.
I'm helping make sure that you make a lot more money, guys.
But also, if you're selling way more profits, you're literally stealing liquidity from me
in the bull market near the peaks.
Now, I'm hoping that the volume and the traction, the virality is so freaking amazing.
The liquidity on exchanges is so damn good that, yeah, the few of you who really pay attention and you get this shit as you're watching it here on live, yeah, hopefully it's not too bad, the competition.
And we can all, you know, those of us, like the 1% of us, we can all make it.
But bro, most people, they're not.
They're going to buy the top, whether that's at 10 billion 20 billion of 40 billion
And so here's the thing man. It's really hard actually to know
You know, do you go to 10 25 40 because all of these are possible and so that's why my strategy
Right is I'm not really interested in selling much
Until bitcoins above 150 K really like I'm just so confident in my thesis
that Bitcoin will be above 150K this cycle.
Like it's a no brainer when you, in my opinion,
and I would love to hear what Dan thinks.
Yeah.
But when Bitcoin obviously topped at 20K,
then from cycle peak to cycle peak goes up 2.6X.
So once again, with diminishing returns here, right?
Look at this 136% gets
160k
Just 200%
Like I really think this cycle
And by the way guys
Anyone who's been following me, once again
My name is Crash because I called the Crash
So think about this guys
When we were here at 69k bro
Right
Everyone was screaming for 100k.
Okay, you want to know the hilarious fucking thing now, right?
So obviously my
But now so everyone who was calling for 100 calling for 150 to 200k
Okay, that is the hilarious thing in my opinion.
So yeah, I see that's the thing i move with logic these people don't so the thing is once we get into my targets which i do believe
we're going to see bitcoin between 150k and 200k based off simple math based on simple
diminishing returns from cycle peak to cycle peak to cycle peak, then this is when
everyone's going to be saying Bitcoin's going to half a million, a million. And they're going to
be the ones who are saying that I'm crazy now for talking about this price. They're the ones
that are going to be saying, I'm the crazy one. If I'm selling, they're going to sell shame me.
They're going to call me stupid. They're going to laugh their asses off. Man, let me tell you,
when I shorted the top at 69k guys by the way that's on my
youtube channel anyone you can go back on my channel and watch that when i did that shorted
the top in polka dot right and i remember i have my tweet it's actually one of my favorite tweets
ever um let's see by the way guys you better everyone better go follow Dan right now, man. I'm telling you put yours up as well so I can follow you
Okay, cool
You can put it up again later too
But I just want to show everyone this tweet when I shorted the top in polka dot. I'll find it here
I put it in my highlights man. Look at this. So
Shorting dot I don't think it'll get above 56 bucks or is the worst case
I can see it ripping higher one last time before setting the top. It looks like a beautiful jenga tower
I'm about to ruin family game night. Okay. Look at this shit
Polka dot was at 54 dollars at the time brother
Literally the fucking top bro. I shorted it. Okay
Look at this. I meaned it. Okay. So look at this.
I mean, you can see that, right?
So guess what everyone was telling me here.
You can see it on my YouTube videos more.
I got more dumb comments.
People were telling me, ho, ho, ho, you idiot.
You're selling polka dot.
This is going to $200 with ease.
You don't understand the technology behind this shit.
Brother, that technology was
fucking bullshit you just believe the price you fell into the hype you had no idea what you were
looking at you didn't see the charts so yeah i'm telling you at the market tops no one's even
going to believe you they won't they're going to be so fucking bullish out of their minds they're
going to be sitting at 54 polka dot thinking oh 200 is dollars is coming i'm gonna buy a mansion i'm
gonna buy a fucking rolls royce you're not gonna buy shit only thing you're gonna buy is a seat
all the way fucking down back to fucking the slums dude okay so that's why i can sit here and i can
tell you guys like my strategy knowing that damn well most of you man you're gonna get overly
bullish anyways at the at the peak so it really hard, man. It really is hard
to be super level-headed, to be super logical, and to be super on point, even in the heights
of the market when everyone thinks that, oh man, this is programmed to hit $200. And so that's
what I'm saying, man, is between 10 billion, 25 billion, 40 billion, obviously it's hard to know
exactly, but that's why we got to look at the
charts and that's why like i told you man my background in charts and being able to read
charts is is going to be one of the main separating factors between why i will become way more rich
than than everyone uh you know not everyone in the world but like most people you know so
yeah anyways that's some alpha i guess is i mean fuck the price targets right
focus on on the charts yeah i've it's funny everyone always does price targets on youtube
and i'm sure on most of these youtube live streams they draw these like estimations like
maybe it's a good idea to give yourself a bit of an idea of where you think it might go but
you have to also be fully open to
the reality that price will do whatever it wants to do, because what drives the price is a billion
different factors. And what a lot of people do is they'll look at three or four different factors
out of a billion. So they'll look at 0.0001% of the available information, and they will use that
to dictate their decisions. Now,
you can use a few data points to get an idea of where you think it's going to go. But to take your prediction to the level where you will actually action it, like Bitcoin's going
to 150k and I will sell here. It doesn't make sense. And that's what a lot of people online do.
And you need to be fluid with the way that you're going to be approaching selling.
You should have a number of data sets that you use
to help you determine when we're near an end of a cycle.
You should have your own intuition
to recognize what you saw at the last market top
and you should have smart people
that you surround yourself with
who you can run ideas by.
But you need to avoid saying,
a lot of people, I ask them,
what's your sell strategy? And they'll they come to, I ask them like, what's your, you know, sell strategy?
And they'll say, oh, I'm going to sell, you know, when this coin goes 5x.
You know, I'm not trying to be greedy, I'll just sell a 5x.
And I'm like, what the fuck? Like, why does your, what is justifying the coin to go 5x from your entry?
Why is your entry so important that it's not greedy to get a 5x?
It's just fascinating like people
don't a lot of people don't have a strategy at all exactly there's no strategy behind that man
it's just pure like yeah 5x i'll just do it when it's then what there's no thought process that
goes behind that and that brings us to our first point that we made early on in the stream man
99 of people have no thought process, no strategy, no logic.
That's why they fucking suck. Right? So you think about all these things, we go through all these
scenarios. It's to be ahead of those people and to have a strategy to execute through all the
emotion and the hype that eventually will be in this market to ridiculous levels. And so, yeah,
talking about selling, man, and I don't love to talk about selling too much, but the real people who really do listen to us, man, it's huge.
Once again, a lot of people, though, it don't matter if they listen.
They're still going to be sitting there at $54 polka dots saying it's going to $200, and I don't understand the technology at that point.
We're going to dunk on the fucking heads, and that's great, and I'm happy.
There's only so many people can win in this market,
and obviously, you will follow myself.
I believe we're going to have a much more solid blueprint
on how we're playing the market, and I guarantee you,
you and I, we're playing the market better than 99.9% of people out here, right?
So let's just talk about this though real quickly again is like
you know you don't have to wait for bitcoin to hit 150k you don't have to wait for it to hit 200k
but you do want to like a very sound strategy is like okay bitcoin hit 100k
right maybe sell 10 it hit 110k sell 5 It hit 110k, sell 5%. It hit 120k, sell another 5% of your bags,
hit 130k, right? And you're never going to go fuck yourself too badly like that. There's so
many ways to execute. I'm not saying, oh, Bitcoin dominance gets here. I'm full stack fucking
nuking. No, bro. bro by the way someone also commented in the
stream how are you gonna sell a 50 million plus dollar position with the liquidity first off by
this point it's gonna be on binance it's gonna be on coinbase on every fucking exchange in the world
and all the dummies who bought polka dot at you know 54 dollars while i was shorting it they're
all gonna be arguing with me saying oh brett is going to
A hundred billion fuck you might have some idiots who are gonna say it's gonna be the first meme coin to ever hit a trillion for all
I know I mean the stupidest shit you'll ever see in your life
It happens in the later stage of the bull market
Everyone's gonna be making the dumbest thumbnails you've ever seen and that's another thing about a bull market is
It should be fucking annoying how how obnoxious and and just stupid people get um making youtube videos
content that gets them clicks they'll do the stupidest thumbnails to and it works and it and
it gets the attention and the views and so like right right now, when I open up YouTube and I don't
spend a ton of time on YouTube, I'm not annoyed by moon boys. I'm not. Actually, you have a lot
of people who are like still like, well, you're so confident Bitcoin is going to go to 150K, but
like, what if it's already topped and like, and they're like their targets. Okay. So, you know,
keep that in mind too, how I know we're not at a market cycle top clearly is like here we were euphoric.
Everyone in the world was euphoric.
Here people are on edge and market tops are never made when people are on edge.
Market tops are made when everyone is overboard going fucking crazy trying to sell their house to get into this asset.
Right now, there isn't that, that you know so it's a big
difference that you need to understand the psychology that actually creates a market top
and the psychology in the market right now is not that of a ultimate top you know could it be a local
top for a little yeah but it dude it's not going to be the ultimate top and i really don't think
um you know you're going to see any ends you dip and and at the worst man you're going to be the ultimate top and i really don't think um you know you're going to see any easy
dip and and at the worst man you're going to see like what worst case during the bull run we at
some point see a 30 to 40 percent dip okay that's like the worst that happens in a bowl because like
think about this all right right here was the bottom okay obviously you had the coveted crash
so that was a pretty pretty uh dip. But besides the the covid crash
Look at this bro on the way up
The dips are very short lived like what seven percent there
15 percent there
28 percent there and then this was the bad one that caught everyone surprised
uh when we actually came back up 55 so
you know no dip in bitcoin ever exceeded 55 in the bull run right so i mean this was a truly a
special case actually right here right this was a weird one but um that was a weird one yeah and
and this goes with your strategy that you were explaining to everyone earlier, right? Which was like, hey, buy on meme coins, you know, 40 to 70% dips.
Well, that makes a lot of sense because if Bitcoin's never dipping more than 60% in a bull market, right?
Then it's in line that like, hey, if it's a right here, a 30% dip, hey, your meme coin's probably dipping 40 to 50%.
So that fits perfectly into what
dan is telling you buy 40 to 70 dips it's like if you even get them you may not get them right
if you're in a truly crazy asset you know like if you go to shib for example oh yeah if it's
gone parabolic yeah good luck yeah good luck where's your good luck. Where's your four?
One if you find a 40 to 70% dip in a top tier asset like a number one meme on base like a you know
I'm like Toshi on base, right? And I just want you to know by the way, bro I like I put I only put 10 B
And it's worth around 180k.
It's on my other browser right now, which I don't have open.
So my Toshi is 10k into 180k.
Now, keep in mind, I put 15k into Brett, right?
And then obviously the Brett is worth 5.7, right?
So the funny thing is I put roughly the same amount in both brett and
toshi just brett has treated me a lot better it's made me a lot more money and uh you know
obviously my entry into brett was a little better but um yeah i guess if it seems like i'm biased
it's because i i really am like as someone who owns both brett and and toshi one has treated me
far greater and i held toshi for a lot longer
than than brett and it's it's not doing the same stuff so i mean also you know at the end of the
i think both are going to the billions right but yeah i i just feel bad when i say like the number
one meme on base brett and then i'm just like oh the the other meme toshi i'm like i'm not trying
to be like that it's just like i guess the the metrics now at this point they they do i feel like lean in favor of brett but
i i know dan you may feel differently but how about we do a we'll do an influencer boxing match and
we'll we'll fight it out over who's the winner of the base chain yeah i mean bro i don't think
there's any need for a fight simply because i think Brett is just going to be, it's going to be, I don't think Toshi is going to come close at this point.
But like I said, I still think both are going into the billions.
Like I think what we, when we were going through the money flow and the numbers, Toshi hitting three to 5 billion makes so much sense, man.
I would actually, if you put a gun to my head and you told me, will Toshi hit three billion this bull run?
Say yes or no.
If you're wrong, I'm going to blow your head off.
Okay.
I would say I think Toshi will hit three billion.
I really believe that.
that well i do believe brett and especially in the case that toshi's hitting three billion plus
i think brett is easily crossing 10 billion this bull run so yeah it's just a crazy example there
i love to use that example man i just like to make people think about that gun to your head truly
pull the trigger if you're wrong you're dead that's a tough one i feel like if someone
had a gun to my head and i had to pick one i would i would bet on it not hitting three billion and
then i would fight it just so i didn't die like because i feel like i could i could kill it easier
than i could pump at the three bill like i could keep it below three bill but easier than i could
get it i'd probably take that side of the bet to be honest it was like
that's funny bro like my guys we own like five percent of toshi just from accumulating low so we just i just tell them we're selling it all now the guns at my head we're killing this coin but
anyway um i would actually say selling five percent at once i don't think that's the way to kill it
man but i don't know anyway i'm just talking shit
but let's wrap it up with like a final point uh we've been doing we've been going for two hours
now it's been really good is there anything you want to any final message you want to leave for
the audience and also i want all my guys to see your twitter and anything you want to show for
them to find you so yeah so on um on twitter my username is crashes clay 69 and then on youtube
my channel is crash trading about to hit the golden 69 000 uh target here so if you guys
want to be a part of hitting 69 000 i'm there um but yeah and then once again, make sure you guys are following Dan.
Really good live stream.
And yeah, guys, fucking get these numbers up, man.
He deserves it. I'm telling you, if I had to say, like, legit, probably top five.
I personally, I don't follow people because I get my own alpha from myself mainly.
Personally, for me, the most money I ever made has always been listening to myself, not others.
But there are a few people that when I see them, I'm like, okay, this guy's solid. Respect.
Dan is definitely one of those top people that I see from
afar and I'm like yeah he's he's rock-solid and I don't say that about
many people to be honest like I think most people they don't have much of a
thought process they don't really know what the hell they're doing Dan is
someone who's literally trying to show you just like I am how to front-run 99%
of people how to fucking be ahead of the game where's the money gonna come from
that you're then actually gonna be able to sell into someday and actually make a huge profit so yeah
props to dan make sure you guys are following him um actually though i guess one last point i'll make
is have you gotten over to telegrams blockchain yet i haven't and that's i i saw your thesis and i
i'm you know hitting myself in the head for missing that.
Yeah.
So obviously this chart is resistance dog.
It's the number one meme on Telegram's blockchain, right?
So this reminds me a lot of Brett's chart early on, like legit.
Let's go back to, I don't know, a one-hour time frame on Brett.
back to like i don't know one hour time frame on brett and it you know obviously telegram right
they have dude it reminds me of this right here okay look at uh look at this
it reminds me of like brett right here kind of okay why because look at this You have this like dip right here and then it just pumps out
Dip right here pumps out, right
So it's like this price action. You don't see this type of price action usually unless it's a fucking it's a runner
you know so
Like brett for example, I think this was around uh 80 million market cap right here
right, it's kind of funny how it's playing
out at a similar uh spot in the chart and then this is around 62 million so it's just interesting
because like i said i caught brett obviously since 2 million i caught a resistance dog bro this is
where i told everyone to buy resistance dog i'm not kidding go back to my uh youtube channel right here um right here
number one meme coin on telegrams blockchain will 100x with ease to this video and literally
the first two seconds you can see this man one 1.49 million market cap look at where the chart
was right down here and uh this is the thing people should know about me man i don't soft
shill man if i believe
in something i go hard for because i believe i'm going to be correct so i can fucking i'll go to
war for my bags if i am if i'm confident where it's ultimately headed to right so that's that's
where i told people about this and basically oh my god a 26 dollar buy just came in fucking chads
so once again this was spotting what i thought would be the number one
on telegrams blockchain brett obviously i spotted that down uh down here i shared it with everyone
in my telegram and um you know you're just seeing similarities play out and so you know coinbase by
the way uh has like over 100 million downloads, right?
And then what do you notice?
A similarity for Resistance Dog.
Well, being that it's Telegram's blockchain, right?
They have 900 million daily monthly users.
Now, obviously, a lot of people, we have multiple Telegram accounts.
So the number is probably like 300 million real users.
So very similar to Coinbase.
What do you think happens, right?
Onboard their 100 million plus users into base.
What do you think happens when, you know,
Telegram is trying to onboard these 300 million users, right?
Onto their network you know actually you can argue telegram has more
users than coinbase but what i will say i would say the quality of a coinbase user is actually
higher than the quality of a telegram user right that's basically a coinbase user legit has
crypto loaded up in their coinbase account whereas not every single Telegram user has money.
So I legit, though, I do think it balances out.
I do think you could say the quality of 300 million Telegram users,
it might actually be equivalent to maybe 100 million Coinbase users
or maybe even less.
Maybe 100 million Telegram users is equivalent to 60 million Coinbase users.
You know what I mean?
In terms of the money that they can bring to a chain.
And so, you know, soon on Telegram, there's going to be an airdrop for this thing called Notcoin.
Right?
And Notcoin is like this tapping game you play in Telegram.
They're going to have a big coin.
I expect that to be at least $100 million market cap, probably more.
So there's an airdrop event that's coming to this blockchain as well.
I'm not sure if you know, but Telegram is going to be paying people who have Telegram channels.
Like I think you have one, right? And I have one.
So they're going to start paying guys like us who have these Telegram channels.
If you decide to monetize it, they're going to pay you in their blockchain currency ton.
monetize it, they're going to pay you in their blockchain currency ton.
Right.
And so I expect that all the people who have Telegram channels, they're going to
get paid in ton for the views that they bring on their Telegram channels.
And that's going to onboard a lot of people into this blockchain.
And so you're going to have two, two main things, right?
An airdrop catalyst, as well as a catalyst of more people actually getting paid in
this blockchain currency who are then being integrated into this blockchain. So two major catalysts and a whole lot of fucking
users that can come over to this blockchain when we say there's 900 million monthly, but really
there's like 300 million I would say. So you have just the speculation and the numbers that support
this obviously are so much greater than something like, you know, whatever, random pork dork Inu, right?
Like, I mean, there's literally coins out there called pork, right?
And like, what is that shit?
Oh, wow, that's actually $116 million.
Okay, maybe not the best example.
Maybe pork Inu, I'll just do that, right?
Like, who is going to buy Porkinu?
Nobody.
But who's going to buy Resistance Dog?
A lot of people, right?
Because you can see factually those numbers.
You can see all the people that are about to come over to this network in the coming year or two.
You can see all these things legitimately through through the numbers whereas like pork inu what
numbers does it have none bro no numbers support this thing so that's another thing man it's like
just acting with logic acting based on the numbers looking at the fucking facts man 99% of people
they don't do that and that's how I can just be confident in something is because I look at those
numbers I know that the users are coming that money flow is coming to this blockchain and i know that the number one meme coin on a blockchain
actually outperforms the blockchain itself and you can actually switch the price right this is
resistance dog over the blockchain currency ton bro this is fucking crazy look at this resistance
or ton right in a sea of red uh you know, Ton has been up. Oh my God, this is crazy, right? So not only has Ton went up in like the last month, like 260%, right? Resistance dog is literally outperforming Ton in that same period of time.
literally outperforming in that same period of time.
So as if these gains weren't already good enough,
now this thing is acting as a fucking leverage bet on Telegram's blockchain
rapidly finding out about, which is now the number nine coin in the world.
I remember earlier when I made this YouTube video, bro,
Telegram's blockchain, it was the number 15 coin in the world now it's moving up
to number nine number one meme on its blocky performing rapidly rising blockchain everyone's
starting to find out is telegrams blockchain like think about that 99 of people don't even
know that telegram has a blockchain so like if you're looking at this dan yourself thinking like
like damn why didn't i get into this earlier um like just obviously look at the numbers know how much money flow there is and dude like i said 99 of people don't even know this exists right
ton it's so slept on yeah bro i can't believe that's ridiculous i'll be uh yeah bro i'll be i'll be you should have been friends earlier
i would have fucking told you man yeah uh i i'm a million dollars poorer because i met you
one i've met you two weeks too late then damn yeah i think um i think i'll be looking on using
my 40 to 70 dip um strategy for this one that was a that was a good catch but uh let's let's wrap it up here um again
just show them your twitter just before we leave and um i want to thank you crash for coming on and
dropping some absolute sauce for everyone here and um yeah everyone go follow crash on twitter
guys really really smart um made millions of dollars confirmed on meme coins and just overall
really good at crypto and knows what he's talking about.
And if you guys liked this live stream, let us know in the chat.
We might consider doing another one in the future.
But yeah, overall, thank you, Crash.
If you have anything you want to say before we go, let me know.
But I appreciate your time for coming on.
It's been a good two hours.
Yeah, bro.
It was great.
Like I said, guys, this was the first time I ever met him.
But respect from afar, as always.
Like you guys know the saying, real recognize real.
And that's what it is.
So make sure you're following Dan.
And yeah, man, thanks for the time.
And it was a good stream.
And I think we'll definitely do this again in the future.
Awesome.
And the Brett times Toshi influencer fight is always there. if you want to take it that'll be uh entertaining but yeah
hey if it's mma bro uh do you actually last thing before we wrap up the stream do you uh
do you do any martial arts i've had one amateur boxing fight but i've only done boxing so mma i'd
have to you'd have to give me a bit of time to prepare.
Yeah, because I grapple.
So I think if it's MMA, I should be able to kick your ass because of the grappling.
But if it's just boxing, you'll probably beat me up.
So we'll see, man.
We'll see, bro.
So yeah, thanks again for your time.
And thanks, everyone.
And we'll catch you all soon.
So cheers.
All right, man. Take care.
