🚨LIVE FUTURES TRADING

Recorded: Jan. 25, 2024 Duration: 1:20:40

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morning, Paul. How's it going?
Morning, Will. Going pretty good. Just
seeing how the market reacts to this morning's news.
Impressive.
Anything specific that you're watching within there?
You know,
still trying to wrap my head around
you know, how ES is reacting
to these numbers
that just came out.
You know, I don't look at the numbers too much
I'm just looking at price and
the price reaction and
saw it wasn't
going down any further
you know, ES wasn't going to drop down
and check out 4891 again
so, you know, it took a little
long up into 4915
and just kind of seeing what it does
above this level of, you know,
wait until New York opening.
Very nice. Very nice.
Alright, Evan, I see we got you in here
you want to cover some of the news this morning?
I don't have too much news. I was up kind of late.
the news that
he was talking about, there was Q4 GDP,
which I thought was the big one.
The advanced rating, so there's two more revisions
so this one came in at 3.3%,
above expectations of 2%, the previous was
And yeah, we had those Tesla earnings yesterday
we had a couple earnings this morning
including Comcast and a few others.
It's one of the top
of mine that I shouldn't know.
But we'll see, I could come back and read
some of those as I dig in a little bit further
what was everyone I was looking at.
Service Now,
Black, Snow and Union Pacific,
so there's a few names people care about.
For the people who use Webull,
they announced a partnership with the Wall Street Journal
to get some of their news.
Palantir also announced an expansion of a partnership
they have. A lot of Tesla downgrades coming in
and price target decreases off of
that earnings yesterday, so
definitely something to keep an eye on.
Oh, quickly, I love Blackstone.
Their earnings were a beat on EPS
and a miss on revenue.
Service Now is another big one
that I know FinTwit cares about.
Blackstone also declared a 94 cent dividend.
I do not see Service Now's numbers up here.
Oh, interesting times.
We will see how stuff kind of
unveils and I'll talk more
as this basis goes on.
But yeah, not too much from
my perspective. There was a couple stories
here and there. The European Central Bank
they did not raise interest rates today
but they didn't also lower them.
So that release came out
today. A lot of ECB
commentary off of that one.
The Q4 GDP advance reading
was another thing that was pretty interesting.
It's probably moving the markets a bunch here
pushed NASDAQ futures up
to two new all-time
highs and we're still
at that level. Tesla around
190 off of their earnings
and yeah, that's a lot of the
news that I was seeing this morning.
Like I said, a couple other stories but nothing too big.
Yeah, Tesla down to that 190 level.
got some interesting stuff that I'm watching too.
I'll go over it in a little bit here but Zeus,
what are you watching today? Good morning, good morning.
I'm actually watching Crudo.
I am interested in Crudo to the upside.
Currently in some CVX so
very likely Crudo will run.
When it comes to NQ,
I do want to see a pullback to about
17,640 to take this
back up to all-time highs.
That's pretty much the game plan for today.
Got it, thanks Zeus. Yellowbird?
today I'm going to be watching
MNQ. I'm going to be
playing with the micros today.
I've currently got a
that I'm managing and
a long in gold
and live cattle that I'm
managing.
Very nice,
very nice.
Kim, good morning. What's
going on about you? Good morning.
Yeah, I was just listening to
Christine Lagarde's
talk and answering
questions on Bloomberg.
Basically, one thing
that I thought was notable is
she was stating that
she did not think that the
issues going
on in the Red Sea
and where all the
container ships are needing to go around
to get their products to Europe, she did not
think that that was going to add to inflation.
So that seemed significant
that she had said that
because I think people
were talking about that being the
next possible inflationary
especially in Europe.
yields are down and
I am long silver. I went
long silver two days
ago. I'm long with
silver futures.
So watching that and definitely
it won't happen during the hour that we're on here
but I'm going to
see what happens with the
bond auction because that's what
sent the market down yesterday, though I don't know that
the seven year is as important.
But yeah,
probably won't have a bunch of
longs on at that point
until after that's completed.
Sounds good. Thank you, Kim.
We got Bezill up
on stage. What are you watching?
Hey, what's up?
Let me check.
Well, the main thing is, of course,
next week, I believe it's FOMC.
Definitely want to see if they run
it up, especially if they're going to do rate cuts.
Not sure. I'm not really
into all that data
I've been watching that.
upside moves were hit for me yesterday.
So that's when I kind of go lighter.
kind of see if 4900
That's going to be
downside 4900.
Definitely watch yesterday's lows
and below that 4874
kind of last week's highs.
Definitely pretty simple target set
downside and upside.
See if they actually
just load up a little bit more to go
longer. Semis are looking strong.
AMD getting upgraded.
I'm still continuing to watch
Apple to see if it continues
to all-time high. They do have
tomorrow.
I'm kind of watching by the rumors
Sounds good.
Appreciate you being up here.
Frank on stage. What's going on, Frank?
What are you watching today?
Good morning.
I'm looking at IBM up 7%.
That's like a 50%
move for some of these other stocks.
Exactly. That's incredible.
What does that tell us
about the market?
IBM, the old stalwart,
really does nothing.
It's not the greatest trading stock
but up 7% on earnings.
I'll be watching that.
Obviously Apple.
a little better.
I've been watching that 10-year
yield closely.
Yesterday it came in a couple times
and then it spiked
when the bond auction
came out.
I'm going to watch that.
We're up 100 points
already this morning.
We just made new highs in NQ.
trendy right now.
You can't fight it, that's for sure.
You missed it on
Spaces yesterday.
There were some good talks about the
prop firms.
I know there was something you were interested in
or maybe start testing out or doing the research
based on that conversation.
I'm going to do some research. It was pretty funny.
I'm going to give it a shot
in the next month. I'm in the middle of
moving to a new office.
When things settle down
I get myself set up.
I'll take it on
as a little bit of a challenge.
Very cool.
Sounds good Frank.
Morning shark.
What's going on?
Testing, testing sharky.
By the way,
why are we doing that?
Paul and Kim, I was looking at this.
I want to go along
MSOS. I was curious
is there, I think we talked about this before,
is there cannabis futures?
Not that I know of. You mean Frank?
Well yeah.
Oh, Paul is elite. I'm sorry.
I was thinking the other Paul.
Not that I know of.
I don't know if there are cannabis
futures. I know
some of the exchanges
when they were playing around with
smalls in the beginning
of the cannabis
market getting on board
they did introduce it
in the smalls but I think those have
gone away. So I'm not sure
if they've brought back any cannabis
Got it, yeah. Just an area
where I'm watching. I think it's really breaking out this year.
So I'm going to continue to keep my eyes on it.
Okay. We've got just a few
more minutes here until the open.
Things that will be coming up.
Paul, another question for you.
We're coming into the thick of earnings season.
How does that typically affect
futures trading?
Well I think it's
depending on
what day it is
and who's coming
to announce their earnings and stuff
with some
of the market cap that they're holding
it can really move the market
but I think it's more
of looking at
are you able to take advantage
of that with your account?
Some of these accounts, say for instance
our Diamond Hands account where you can hold
past closing, you can
hold overnight, you can hold over in the
weekend, you could probably take
advantage of some of these
announcements that are
happening, say after hours
and stuff. So I think it's good
to look at what you're trading
if it's ES or NQ, especially
NQ and coming up who's
going to announce it, see
how that's going to position
if it's going to be an after date. Like when you
look at Netflix,
everybody's sitting there drooling over
Netflix. You're watching things move
and then, well okay,
they're announcing these big
signings and stuff. They're spending a
lot of money.
Is it going down, sitting there ready
to take off? Is it going to base?
Well, you may have got into that and taken
full advantage. So I think it's
important to see who's announcing
that could really be
affected.
Can I add to that really quick?
When Google,
I think it was in
when their earnings came out
and the stock got crushed,
that or Facebook, I was short
NQ, luckily I wasn't long.
it was down 400 points
in literally like
in less than a minute. I mean it dropped
And that was after
hours. And I mean I
just remember like, oh my
gosh, I'm making such great
money, thank God I wasn't long.
Because it would have been the opposite,
right? And I was doing it
as a hedge, honestly. So I just
happened to be fortunate. But yeah,
it was so fast. It was like
a good lesson and fortunately
I was directionally right.
Yeah, that's a great
point, Kim. You know, it's
really looking and
seeing how the market
is sort of basing
for this move. Because sometimes, you
know, yeah, it could be a
50-50. You hope you're guessing,
right? And so it
quite the gamble.
Perfect. I see we've got Alex
on stage. What's going on, Alex? What are you watching this morning?
What's up, guys? How's it going?
Yeah, I'm
watching ESNQ here.
Got long after that data came out
pretty much keeping my stop.
I'm watching ES
mainly, although I'm going to use
it for both, but
just under 49.15
basically
under the low of this hourly candle.
So targeting
to 49.32,
you know, scale as we approach there.
And then on the Qs targeting
7.50, up to
7.84-50. That's the supply
zone I have on the hourly. So
just seeing what's happening here, you know.
It's a pretty good, the data was
nice. I know I missed the beginning of what everyone was
talking about, so I don't want to repeat
anything, but
I was a little surprised by Tesla. I mean, I know
the chart has been weak, but
man, I didn't think they'd continue to dump. So I'm
watching 180. If we lose
180, it's going to be 150
pretty quick, I think, so.
But everything else looks
good, man. See if Apple can
pop up, get up over that
Google, I'm still in. That's a good
position. We were talking about that
a couple weeks ago, I think, even.
So that's about it.
But how's it going, everybody?
Good, good.
Got the open here.
Yeah, if we can
hold that without dipping too far,
man, it'd be
alright. Yeah, just
stop out.
Not yet, almost.
Anyways, we may come back down.
If we dip down, I'm looking at
49.05 on ES and
on NQ. Possibly
660s, but
let's see.
Gotta let the cache open
and shake out.
good. Yeah, so I just stopped out of
the queues.
But, I mean,
it was a nice trade going up, scaled out
anyways. I mean, the data was pretty
it seemed pretty
positive, and then we had that initial little jump
and we just climbed the rest of the way, so
it was a nice trade.
Very nice.
Frank, you got to watch any
equities or
just the futures?
Oh, definitely.
but it just went down
right there, so let's see.
But, in the
future side of things,
mostly ES and Q,
gold I think could be interesting here,
see if it gets a bounce.
Absolutely.
I was looking at RTY,
the Russell, to push back up
to that 2075,
the 2075 level.
I don't know if we'll get it or not, but
that breaks 220, I'll probably
go long on that and target
up near 2075.
That's on the RTY.
I don't remember, Wolf, whether
it was you or Evan that was asking me
about Boeing last
week, I remember, and I was like
they tend to have these big runs
and then they go back down to 80.
They got a big pullback
today, too.
Basically, I was listening to Bloomberg
this morning and things are
very unfavorable for them
right now.
Makes sense.
That could weigh
on the Dow
Shark, Frank,
you guys feeling short here?
You know, unfortunately,
I don't really like to trade
the open open, but I was
leaning more towards right at the open
to tag in a short, but
I missed that, so
just sitting on my hands for now.
My trade to my
WM, though, some RTY, looks like
a real strong trend so far,
so that might be where I might
accept myself.
How's that on the top here?
Yeah, the roughs have definitely
had some nice performance.
What about oil? Anybody looking
at oil? I got a level
up at 7760.
I got a level up at 7760.
Yeah, I've been keeping my eye on
the oil trade.
A lot of people tried to catch that
on that move down.
Everyone got stopped out trying to tick
the bottom. Now nobody's kind of looking at it
or thinking about it anymore because
everyone's been brought to the barn
the barn burner, getting
stopped out. That's usually
the time when I start to think, well, maybe
it's going to be the time
that oil starts to see something.
I haven't done anything yet, but
no one's talking about it anymore
because everyone was trying
to catch that oil trade, but no
one is anymore because they all got
screwed, so that's usually
when it happens.
Yeah, I like it.
I got 7715
up at 7760.
Actually, 65 is the level.
So, 7765, but
I don't know.
It's definitely extended a bit here.
Yeah, if RTY can break that
2020, it's back down to
2000 now, or 2002, but
that was kind of what
I was thinking as far
Man, it just stayed in that
I should have gotten back in that
NQ position.
So, I had an
old demand on ES
to 4915, basically.
And we came up
closed back inside of that the last
hour, so we were holding that, and obviously
we're above it now.
That looks positive.
If the queues could push up, maybe
we'll get that move up to
I don't know.
Be right, though,
about when people
stop. I mean, the oil...
I wonder if people are hesitant with the oil as well,
just because of the way the markets are ripping.
Not that they have to be
or whatever you call it,
inverse, but...
By the way, Taiwan Semiconductor now has a larger
market cap than Tesla.
That's wild.
Well, I guess it's not wild.
Which semiconductor?
Taiwan Semiconductor.
You know, SMH, I've been in shares of that
for a while.
And that thing just continues
to perform. I don't even...
I got a pretty wide stop on it, but man,
it's just like running.
Gotta love it.
I would, yeah,
I think with the GDP,
what was it, 3% that you would see
oil taking
a larger bounce here, maybe?
I mean, it's, yeah.
I can see it push up 77.
I have daily supply at 77.15,
all the way up to 78.51.
That's a pretty big
level though, so there are some in between, but...
Alright, so I am watching SPX
to see if we get a pullback back down to
That's SPX spot.
Not sure if it's going to happen, but
I'll probably correlate it with a yes.
Mega long there.
Look at Google rep.
Tell you what, if Google breaks over 151,
that'll be a big level to break.
I'm not even sure
what I have next.
I guess I have the
all-time highs
up at what, 151.55,
something like that on Google.
The intraday high.
Yeah, 151.55.
And then there is an earnings
pre-market after hours
high, that's up there
quite a bit more.
Up around 156.80.
And that's on GOOGL.
But weekly supplies right here,
we're approaching the top of that.
150.97 is the resistance.
So basically 151.
Let's see where we go.
We can close a week over 151
on Google, on GOOGL.
That is just going to
keep pointing me to be more bullish
longer term, like I expect
pullbacks of course, but
we keep seeing these key levels
getting broken and held,
especially on weekly closes.
That's a good sign.
What's up, Sam? What are you watching?
What's up, guys?
I just took a video for
the calls a little bit ago,
but they're already up.
The SPX for a little pullback
back down to 48.85-ish area.
I want to see if bids hold there
and I'll take it for calls.
Kind of low volume this morning.
I might just also wait
next 20 minutes right here.
We got new home sales data
that's coming out, so
might be something that I just kind of
wait for, but just kind of being cognizant of that.
Apple is ripping earlier,
had a little pullback right there at
a little bit of supply at 195.7,
so I'll be watching that
level 2 for another break, but
as of right now, haven't taken anything
else besides the video.
Sounds good, sounds good.
Yellowbird,
what do you think in here with some of these
other areas like oil and gold and other pieces?
I liked oil on the daily
a couple days ago
when we broke that trend line
to the upside. I took a long
74.20 was my average
and on this long
and I've got two contracts that I'm still
managing.
Just going to see
how high I can
follow this on the way up
I know it's a stretch,
but possibly holding this
till 90.94
one of these contracts
all the way up there.
just looking at it from a price action standpoint
went long on the micro of it
and I am targeting
up there about the
level is what I'm targeting
on that long.
What's the contract
for gold?
What letter?
Yeah, I like playing those micros in gold and silver.
I'm sure it's a men cue at all five.
I just been like working into it, but I got a tight stop.
I'm going to get stopped out probably.
I may join you on that.
I'm not convinced, but like I can definitely
see a pullback here.
Yeah, just a pullback.
There's nothing really.
I mean, after yesterday, after that failure.
And they went up a light overnight.
I mean, they broke out this morning pretty much
on going through 6.50, 17.650 through that little flag
they're making all night, that 40 area, 50 area.
So I just don't see them running again today, but we'll see.
Yeah, that's right.
I'd like to see SPX pull back to 48.80
and try some longs there.
And Mike, that should give us a decent pullback on the S
and accused, or should correlate with it.
You know what I mean?
What's up, Frank?
How you doing?
You know, I struggled a little yesterday,
but got myself in the morning.
I got myself a little handcuff trying to short that.
I was an anxious short, and I sold it once up around,
gee, 7.50.
I started shorting, and I got stopped out.
And then I got stopped out near the highs again.
And then I finally got on board later in the day
and got things moving.
Yeah, it was tricky.
It was kind of out of chart wise.
I feel like the structure wasn't there,
and then it just popped, so.
Very nice.
Yeah, right now, just continuing to keep my eyes on ESNQ
and Q going a little bit lower here.
So that short working out so far.
Also, if anybody wants to try futures trading alongside us,
the main benefits are you do not
have to deal with theta decay.
That's a big thing.
That's what a lot of people keep their eye on.
By the way, feel free to interrupt me
if anybody's taking anything off.
Yeah, big benefit.
If you're an options trader in the audience,
you've probably dealt with theta decay,
especially recently with the increase in zero DDEs.
You seriously see it in those, especially
even if you're taking a weekly.
You'll often see the big pullbacks.
And then in addition with that, IV spikes.
I mean, look at the IV on some of these names.
I saw the highest percent I'd seen recently on DEWAC or FUN
where they had 1,000% IV.
That's going to kill those contracts
to get the slightest move down.
So just a couple of things that you
can avoid with the world of futures.
But trust me, as you see from us up here,
there's still plenty of volatility in this market.
So I think we've seen more and more people taking a stab
into them.
I saw Jordan was trading some futures.
And here you go.
You're getting your down move as well right here.
Very nice.
So a couple of things I encourage people to check out.
And if you are looking for the best way to start it out,
you heard Frank talking about the profit
from everything that is the way to go, in my opinion.
We do have a link in the top of the space.
If you want to take a look, they've
got a bunch of simulators that you can check out.
The way it works is you instead of throwing 10 grand
into account and going at it, you spend $40, $50, $60
on a simulator.
You put your skills to the test.
And if you perform well, they provide you
with a fully funded account.
And then you can take regular withdrawals of those profits.
Keep 80%, 90% plus of the profits.
It's a much simpler system than going at it
with your own money.
And I think that we've seen a big onslaught of people
really using a lot more of them.
So I do encourage you all to check it out.
If you can't find it, just DM me the word simulator.
And I'm always happy to help and get that over to you.
And they do build in a nice little discount
on them for our audience.
But to the shorts, you guys seem
to be having it here on NQ so far.
Yeah, I covered half my short right here at 76.
Nice, very nice.
Doesn't take that much of a move.
I got stops up at 05.
I'll try to let this run.
But you know what, I'm not going to do that.
I'm going to keep a tight stop on it.
It's too early today.
I'm liking downside here, I will say.
Deathly's looking more appealing to me.
Don't leave without me.
I don't know.
Breath is all positive so far.
Yeah, it's too early.
I just covered the balance.
You know what, when you're on short cover,
especially if you're right, it's just too whippy for me
right here.
And it looks like this is a typical setup.
Opens, holds, higher low, rips.
We just had a little bit of a lower low, but I just...
I just added into 4890 calls a small size here
because I do think we could dip a little lower,
but on SPX though.
They're already, they're fluctuating up and down though.
I really think, I don't know,
I can see us get to 4880 on that.
So that'll correlate to what, like 4910 on ES,
something like that.
So we could go a little lower.
I don't know, you could do anything really.
Five minute doesn't look too good,
but you look at like the hourly,
it's still a...
Yeah, I got one eye on,
I mean, I don't think Tesla really affects the market,
but I am looking to eventually go starter in Tesla.
It's down, you see this down 20 bucks at 188.
Yeah, so I, yeah, I got, I am long Tesla.
I'm down on it.
I sold some, I sold some puts yesterday.
That didn't work out too good.
Well, I don't really care.
I'll buy shares on it.
I'll buy it all the way down to 150 if I have to,
but I think this 180 is kind of the next main level.
If we don't hold.
So I have daily demand at 186.54 to 184.47.
So it's a tight zone.
We wicked right off of that this morning.
So let's see if we hold it here.
The second deviation down of the weekly expected move
is 181.29.
The first deviation was 196.74,
which we held obviously, you know,
we held there for a little bit yesterday,
but earnings, earnings shook us, so.
I was listening to Dan Niles this morning
and he's a big Tesla bull and he was like,
I hate to say this, but the bears are in control.
He said, I'm still a Tesla bull, but medium term,
the way Elon managed the conference call, saying that.
And look at the weekly.
Profits don't matter, whatever you say.
Yeah, it's wild, dude.
I don't know what the fuck he's doing.
Well, he's not trading it short term, you know?
He's trying to run a business.
So I mean, whatever that is.
But if you look at the weekly chart, I mean,
it looks rough.
I mean, I can see it down to 160 easily.
You know, 165, 65 is the next demand I have.
I don't know.
Not that I want to see it there, but.
I think that's the area that it broke out of too,
like that 164 area where it just went up from there.
Yes, that's exactly that.
Last little dip is where the demand's sitting.
So it's, I mean, there's 180.
180 is a level, 180, 40.
You know, we're just say 180 to 181.
But you get below that, especially if like next week,
you know, takes another hit on it.
I might be selling more puts
and allocating more of the portfolio.
Because I do think it'll rebound, right?
Like I like buying it down here,
a little bit longer term trade, but.
I think he needs someone else
to give his conference calls.
He tries to be so too philosophical and people don't,
you know, the business community isn't relating to that.
Hey, I'm starting to take profits on these 48, 90s guys.
Sorry, not to cut you off, Kim.
We just got to pop almost up to it.
Yeah, I don't know.
I don't know.
Well, he made some comments obviously about like AI
taking it to a different company.
That was not bullish in my opinion.
Yeah, you know what?
I was waiting for that.
That's what hurt him.
So like, there's something going on that we don't know.
I think you have to read into that.
So what's going on there, I think is,
you know, he wants more ownership of Tesla
in order to wrap all his new companies into it
as he goes forward, because he's got a thousand ideas.
And, you know, if he creates 10 new companies,
at least one of them will score big.
So I think he's probably negotiating with his board
about more ownership in Tesla in order to do that.
Otherwise, he's going to start other LLCs and do it outside.
I mean, and that's what no one wants to talk about
on a call, but that's what I think is going on.
I agree, man.
And I think it's smart from his perspective.
I mean, he's got so much cash.
He's got, you know, he's got the ideas.
He knows how to put teams together.
I don't, you know, I mean,
not that I think you should abandon Tesla or anything,
but I feel like...
Let's be honest, did they announce today,
which they should, that he is,
that they're giving him options for another,
let's say, 7% of the company
over a long, long, long-term period of time?
Stock would go up 50 points.
Yeah, I was listening and they said that
before he bought Twitter, he owned 22% of the company.
And now that's essentially what he wants back.
And he wants to, you know,
he wants to do something with Twitter too.
He wants to roll that into something.
So probably not Tesla, but at some point,
he's got to get some money off the table in Twitter, in X.
But, you know, he's, you know, the guy's an intense guy.
And I think that he is, you know,
boards are fighting back these days
and he's not the type of guy you should fight back
because he is the company.
He's like, he's Warren Buffett, right?
Even bigger, because he's Warren Buffett's investor.
This guy is a genius.
And, you know, he's honest about the earnings
they're going to look like.
So right here, you were right probably to take it off
on some of that with the action.
Still feels like you were going lower.
Yeah, I hate it on my entry when it popped up to 7.0, 7.0.2.
I know NQ's looking weaker for sure, but.
Yeah, I mean, yeah.
See, if it comes down to 650, I am going to get long there
or I'll start in at 652 down to 645.
Meanwhile, SPX is still just holding.
I'm out of most of that position though,
because I don't trust.
I mean, looking at the Q's,
I feel like it could drag us down.
Kim, what positions are you in?
I'm only in silver.
Interesting.
Why is that?
Because it had been bouncing every time
it is getting down into that 22, the futures 22.5 area.
It bounces straight off of there.
So last time it was down there and I didn't take it
and I was like hesitating.
And then it was up where it could have been a thousand
dollars and it just, every time it bounces,
it jumps right over 23 again.
So that's where I've been taking it at.
So this time I didn't hesitate and I got in.
And I just think the metals have room to run.
If interest rates, you know, they definitely correlate
with interest rates, right?
If the interest rates are going up,
the metals tend to pull back.
If interest rates are going down, they tend to go up.
So, but it's been holding that area really well.
About 22.5 or six on silver.
Speaking of interest rates, does anybody trade
interest rate futures, you know, like the 10 year,
the five year, any of the big ones?
I don't, but I looked into it because I do track
or I chart the 10 year and the two year.
Probably should.
It'd be nice, nice to swing it.
Some of the bigger levels I feel like follow pretty well.
I don't know what's the...
Gone long the two year before,
but the micros, not the big contracts.
How are the contracts for those?
They're good.
I mean, they're tradable for sure.
Yeah, I think Nasdaq, thank you.
Like I see a six, seven, six, 17, 650 area, 55, 50 half gap.
We'll see if it holds there.
Yeah, it looks like it's headed there.
I'm getting long down there for sure.
But down to 645.
If we can actually get down here and touch it,
but I like that area.
Cause look, yeah, we're trying to get there.
Yeah, yeah.
I want it a little bit lower, but I missed that short.
Yeah, sorry.
Come on, just get a little fucking lower.
I mean, like the way ES is holding,
it makes me a little more confident
that we might see a bounce here in tech,
but it doesn't always have to work that way.
I mean, Apple holding above 194.50 is big.
Google's up.
Amazon's holding the zone 155 to 157.
Go and queue.
Sorry, I'm just looking for downside.
Go for it.
Are there any big earnings after hours today?
I mean, I'm sure there are.
I just don't know which ones they are.
Visa is the big one.
And Intel, Intel's a bigger company than Visa.
From my perspective.
Intel's placed the size of Visa.
Which one Evan?
Sorry, wait, revenue.
Is this revenue?
Why is it says, it says Visa 8.54.
I'm just looking on Savvy.
Is the data wrong?
Visa is a $550 billion company.
Intel is a $200, roughly, billion-dollar company.
We also have T-Mobile, KLAC, which is a...
What's this number?
Is this just revenue?
That's kind of funny that Intel does twice the revenue.
I'll look pretty good.
Yeah, I'm gonna let this hourly close happen,
and then I'll probably get long in a queue here.
Yeah, we also have home sales coming out.
New home sales coming out at 10.
So I'm kind of just waiting for that
before I enter into anything.
I think you're smart.
When you mentioned that before,
I just realized I'm like,
we're about a minute and a half or less.
Or less than about a minute now, so.
Yeah, Intel brings in $14 billion of revenue.
Visa brings in 8.6.
But on that,
Visa brings in $4.7 billion of net income a quarter,
while Intel brings in $297 million.
Come on, baby.
I would like to see ES close, the hour above 49.15.
It's blurting weather right now.
Yeah, it's blurting weather right now.
Yeah, it's blurting weather right now.
Yeah, it's blurting weather right now.
It's blurting weather right now.
And then get the dip.
Test positive.
And you know, with data coming out,
you gotta really play it cautiously anyways,
you know, not sizing up on anything here.
All right, there we go.
So, come on.
Oh, nice.
Paul, I saw you guys are still offering 50% off right now.
Is that like the whole month?
That's right, that is the whole month.
You know, you guys can come on over
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I just got a long NQ and yes,
but yeah, I just sent that code actually to a buddy.
So, ETF24, is that what you said?
That's correct, ETF24.
Excellent, Dave's been asking about it.
So, I just did it while you were talking about it.
Appreciate that.
Oh yeah, no, for sure, man.
We'll still got other things coming this month
or well, maybe we'll wait
till the beginning of next month then.
But yeah, no, this is good stuff, man.
You guys are a great company.
Never, always had fast responses,
great customer service, so.
That's the name of the game, I feel like,
for a lot of people, especially getting into this new,
there's a lot of questions, a lot of confusion,
people aren't sure.
So, it's nice to have upfront, honest customer service.
Yeah, I think that is one of the things
that we pride ourselves on this first year,
going into our second year,
we got our second year anniversary coming up here soon,
is that customer service.
We can sit there and talk about the prices
of the evaluations, how we're working the payouts,
the days and things like that.
We continually to try and work with our customers
to find that middle ground
while not trying to be in a race to the bottom.
But one of the things that we do bring to the table
is our customer service, responding fast,
helping people out,
knowing that we're a technology firm
and this is technology that we're playing with
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of the trader's control
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let's work together and figure this out.
And we have had some great response to that.
And so, again, I thank you for bringing that up
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Long M&Q here.
Yeah, it's gonna say I added it at 651.
Yeah, guys, playing dangerous games.
I could, I'd just pile on to that customer service
with ETFs being the greatest.
I bought at 56.
We're all watching the same chart.
Yeah, I've dealt with some other prop firms
and their customer service definitely does not compare
with the customer service that ETF provides,
that's for sure. Agreed.
Agreed, yep.
No, it's legit and it's always fun trading on Thursdays,
but we don't always talk about it,
but definitely a good company, so.
To me, that's where it's at
and anybody that asks me for advice like where to go
and I'm not like a big fun trader or anything,
it's just, you know, but I've dealt with a couple
and nobody, you guys are definitely the best, so.
That's it, that's all, that's all that matters.
Look, we're getting this pop up,
so that was a nice wick down.
I'm gonna take some off here
if we can approach 85, 685 on NQ,
but I like ES here as well,
if we can break like 4920, that'd be great, but.
I don't like how, I don't know,
the SPX chart isn't as exciting as the others, though.
And that retest right down to 650, though.
I mean, it was just two at T.
I should have waited right to the bottom.
I mean, I still have a decent average,
but it was just, you could see it coming
and right down to it, right?
What did we wick off of?
It was like 40, like 650 or something.
So Alex, I waited, I saw it bounce off 50
and then I just hit buy, I just bought like market
and I bought him at like 56, 57 area.
Yeah, yeah, that's why I like setting the orders.
I mean, obviously you can get stuck, you know,
if you're wrong too, but obviously, you know,
but at the same time, I do think,
I mean, we're seeing kind of the shake out for the morning,
so it's still up in the air,
but I do think we could see, you know,
now that we got that dip as long as we hold here,
I think we'll see a push back up, but.
I like ES, the hourly close on ES.
I mean, it would have been nice if it was over 4917,
but the fact that it held over 4915,
you always expect a bit of a move
in the opposite direction, right?
Before we get that foul through,
when you're looking at hourly candles.
I'm stalking this potentially short,
haven't done anything yet.
I don't know, we're pushing up, baby, let's go.
Order filled.
The scale on the left here.
Are we going down or are we going up?
Well, I just scaled it 85.
Yeah, that was the first target there.
And you can see it on the five minute,
if you look at the five minute chart on NQ, right?
You're looking, you see all the bearish candles,
you got one bullish candle, right?
Sitting there right up around 690 or whatever,
you know, it's the 945 candles.
So that's going to act as a liquidity pocket
as we push up into that.
And you can see we're kind of wicking
towards the body of that candle.
And it's the only one standing out there.
So like, that's the first liquidity pocket.
And then if we can get over that,
you know, then we can make a move possibly up higher,
but, you know, 710 all the way up to 720,
but that's how I like to target it.
If I'm just, you know, taking quick trades.
So you might have to skip.
But I don't know, the right start or an add-in to that.
That is a stock, but rather, I think I've met with stocks,
the main purpose for this order field.
That's what we think.
They considered for intervening along the curve.
There goes a yes.
Let's see if that wants to make a move.
For clarity, hopefully, next Wednesday when we hear
from the manager on Palahansa.
Yeah, I'm scaling here at 30 points.
Next is a 40 point take profit.
You know, pretty crazy.
If Tesla hits down 10%, which it is right there.
I mean, we're down 9.8, 30%.
This would be the fourth earnings call in a row.
I believe that Tesla has a 10% down day the following day.
Yeah, it's pretty wild.
All right, I tax them.
I sold a little bit at 90, 75.
Well, shout out to the longs there.
Nice job, guys.
Watching a yes here, if we can get a break over
the high of discussion,
there's cash open.
Yeah, I'm about half out right now.
Let me re-position.
Yeah, I got out.
60% of the position, but I'm watching.
So I'm watching for a five minute close
over the body of that candle.
We were just talking about from 9.45.
So that would be 92.50,
which we're holding over right now.
It looks like we're gonna get that five minute close.
So that tells me that we should,
even if we get a dip back down to like 6.90,
we should see a move up towards 7.
And the main target on the hourly is up at 7.50.
Doesn't have to go there right now,
but that's what I'm seeing.
Yeah, I was kind of wondering if ES was gonna tag,
you know, 4,908, 4,909,
or 4,925 first things.
It's really looking like 4,925s.
I'm gonna go first.
CGO in, CG oncology, shares priced at $19.
That's open for quotation also.
So keep in mind, you guys on SPX,
the expected move up to the upside is 48.97.
Got above that yesterday.
Came back down to watch that level.
That's on SPX, not ES.
48.7 SPX.
That should put us up around that 49.28 level.
Well, we'll see what happens.
It's up for grabs, man.
We could chopper.
This is pretty, I don't wanna say sloppy,
but it's just not fast, that's for sure.
Yeah, I'm all out.
I just blew them out.
As soon as I get like, I don't think,
I don't see it anymore.
I use, especially this early in the day.
That was a good start to the day.
Yeah, I mean, so if you,
I'm watching that 692.50, right?
Down to 687.75.
That, if we retest that, it can hold this.
Obviously we just smashed through underneath,
but that is, you expect to kind of see that retested.
The question is whether or not we're gonna be able to hold here
or is it just gonna drop back down to like 660 again?
But I like where it closes on the five minutes.
And that's the call moving under this.
You know, my trades usually don't start until like,
you know, after 10 o'clock,
unless I see it clearly early
or if I've been up really early watching.
Yeah, 30 natural gas storage.
Yeah, I got my last tick profit there, 50 points.
And I've got one contract remaining as a runner right now
on the M&Q.
But other than that, I went out at 50 points.
That's beautiful.
Which is a great trade.
I mean, you know, it's,
there's nothing wrong with taking profits at 50 points.
I mean, it's, you can't make money, you know,
with a 50 point move.
It's amazing, yeah.
I mean, 50 points, that's all you need in a day.
Fuck yeah.
You only need really 27 points.
You can still make it, it's D1 right there.
I worked fully into the short now.
So my average is 9825 or 69825.
Yeah, I mean, I'm still long here.
I got 40% of the position left.
I want to see a close, a five minute close over 692.50
for continuation to the upside.
Got about a minute left on this five minute candle.
Sam, what are you seeing?
Did you get along at 4885?
I know she talked about it.
Yeah, I just, like right when I was gonna come on
and say it, it popped to 10%.
So I didn't want anyone to chase it.
So I didn't talk about it, but it was pretty decent.
I mean, I was waiting really for that 4880,
but then I saw those bids holding pretty nice.
So I took a little advantage of that upside move
for about 50%.
Right now I'm looking for a little pullback to 4890
on SPX in particular, and then I'll go along features
and SPX at the same time for something like that.
But I mean, the volume is pretty relatively low today.
I was waiting for that data release,
which really did absolutely jack shit for us.
So I expected like something.
I mean, I just didn't expect it to stall,
but yeah, I'm gonna see right here
if this 4890 holds on SPX.
I like to go along right there.
I think we get roomed directly up to that 4900 zone.
4905 really is my price target for right now.
Unless this gamma flips, then I'm fucked, right?
So I'll go ahead and look for shorts then
underneath the 80 level.
But as of right now, I like the fact
that we're holding up pretty well.
Apple looks pretty decent as well.
We're not getting that aggressive downside move
that we got earlier today.
So looks pretty decent across the board right now.
I was watching Nvidia earlier, pretty much it chopped up,
hit my breakeven stop, so I got out of my runners.
But we popped right back up over the 620 level,
and now we're holding with our previous little bounce.
Was that 622?
So I'll look for another bounce at 622,
so we can pull back there.
Other than that, I'm just kind of chilling.
Made a good chunk of money this morning,
so I'm just kind of relaxing and just observing right now.
Yeah, I like it.
I think we'll, I don't know,
definitely guess we approach 4900 SPX.
I'm gonna be probably just sitting and watching as we go,
because it's just so light here,
and I know that that's a pretty key level.
I mean, up to 4905.
I'm sure the gamma spread pushes us up there,
but yeah, it doesn't look bad.
I'm looking for 720 or 719 as the next fill.
I don't know if I'm gonna get it or not,
but I'm on the NQ trade here.
If you look at the five-minute candles Ray Legos talking about,
actually I put the chart from a few minutes ago
down in the comment section of the space here.
You can see how once we got that five-minute close
above that 945 candle, we had that wick down to retest
kind of that area of liquidity,
and then we got the pop and closed back above.
That just tells me that we're continuing
to see signals to the upside.
I mean, it's five-minute signals,
so they can get chopped around,
but they're nice to follow if you're in a continuing trade.
But I don't know, we'll see.
It is slow as dog.
I won't swear.
How about that?
I always like to watch the VIX futures.
I mean, it's a lot of fun.
It's a lot of fun.
It's a lot of fun.
It's a lot of fun.
It's a lot of fun.
I like to watch the VIX futures,
which that's, well, the one I look at is BXM.
That's the micro.
And it's not always like a tell for sure,
but it's been, it was up yesterday,
and the whole morning when the market was way running,
I think SPX was at 36 points or something,
the VIX futures were not moving down.
They were kind of flat and slightly moving up,
which I thought, that's interesting,
and the market felt really heavy.
Today, it's sort of similar.
They're just really, it's down a little bit,
but it's pretty flat, so I don't know.
It feels like it's waiting for something, you know?
Yeah, and you're seeing the dollar hold
with some strength to the Dixie.
I mean, it hasn't broken out again, but it's...
It's pushing the highs on the intraday.
Yep, yeah, exactly.
Yeah, yeah, no, for sure.
It's not weak.
I mean, you got the two-year drop
and the 10-years just sitting.
My level on the 10-year is the 4.2.
I really want to see that hold,
especially as we go into the end of the month.
Shares up about 26% on MIMO.
All right, let's see.
If we can get a move back to 693 on NQ,
I'm going to add it back into this position.
I'm still in the 40% of it,
but that's not going to do it, never mind.
Thought it was for a minute.
Going to dip back down.
Yeah, still moving up.
Doing those things to stay a slow crawl today.
I'll throw the hourly chart from earlier
in the comment section, too,
if anybody's interested in looking at it.
Obviously, it was from earlier this morning,
but it gives you the supply that I'm targeting above.
On ES and NQ.
Man, I should have held more of that fucking SPX position.
I have to talk about you guys.
Neil, on the bottom, they're there.
Well, I think there's one or two other guys here
that actually waited for 651.
I actually waited for it to start sway back up
and jump in.
Oh, that's right.
You said you end up covering it specifically.
It looks like they're invalidating me here.
How's Florida treating you, Wolf?
I mean, it's good.
I've just been in a hotel room working.
But the view's nice.
What part are you in?
What did you say?
What part are you in?
Fort Lauderdale.
Oh, nice, dude.
Yeah, I mean, it's warming back up, too, now.
It's beautiful up here, like up near West Palm.
Yeah, I'm in Los Olos.
Yeah, it stays slightly warmer further south.
You go for the most part.
It's still warm down here, don't get me wrong,
but I'll tell you what, it was not warm.
I mean, it was cold.
I mean, the heat on a couple days there earlier this week.
I mean, I'm not even that far north.
You know, I'm not that much further north of you, but...
They got heat on in the houses down here in Florida?
I didn't know that.
Listen, it was like 60...
They didn't know they built that in.
Well, no, it's part of the AC unit.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
It's like an electric toaster oven that basically heats up
and they blow air over, but I'll tell you what,
it kept the house at a nice 73, 74 instead of 64.
All right, so we got the 720, so...
Yeah, I got out of there.
49, 25 coming in on the ES.
Let's go.
I did take off.
I'm down to 10%, so on NQ.
Trying to follow my plan.
Evan, Dave Portnoy's about to have a field day, huh?
Why? What's Save doing?
They're not save, but Business Insider just laid off 8% of their staff.
The Bill Ackman effect.
Oh, they're boys now.
Yeah, I'm looking forward to that week from them.
We'll see.
Yeah, I mean, we're still...
Man, it's only 10.22.
So I'm watching, as we approach the end of this hour,
which is obviously still a ways out,
that chart I put down in the comment section,
the levels at the top, I want to see a close inside of that.
So like ES over 49, 28, spot 25.
And NQ, I want an hourly close over 7, 14, basically 7.50.
17, 7.50.
Now, I mean, we still have a lot of time to touch it,
test it, pull back a little bit, whatever.
But I don't know how long we're running today,
but that's what I'll be looking for as we go into the rest of the day.
I still can't catch a fucking break, man.
Oh, look at Google.
Let fucking go, baby.
Microsoft breaking in new highs.
Nvidia needs to be next.
I don't know if it's going to happen.
Still pushing.
Testing that pre-market high here, trying to get over.
We can do it.
The bulls are relentless.
Yeah, this 2527 area in ES, it's going to be interesting
to see how much resistance it puts up.
CYN, send in.
Yeah, and if people aren't following,
if you look at spy and QQQ, it has the same structure.
You guys could put anybody in the audience.
Even if you're just trading contracts on spy or QQQ,
you can still see.
You should be able to spot the same structure
that we're looking at here on ES and Q, for the most part.
Did you, uh,
What'd you say?
Nothing. Sorry, I was talking, talking to people in the house here.
We're going to do another five on here.
Again, if you want to try some futures trading,
you've heard it from the panel.
ETF, Lee Trader Funding is the best to start with.
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Yeah, and that code is ETF 24, I think, right?
Yeah, ETF 24 is going to get you a 50% off discount
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So you can just really load the boat on this one.
We've had it going on all month.
And that each time you use that code,
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And the winners will be announced on this next spaces on February 1st.
All right, so Tesla did hit 10% down on the day.
So that is officially four earnings calls in a row
that the five days had a 10% down day.
Yeah, dude, that's a great point.
You know, I don't think you're going to see, like, you know,
a snapback like we did when it, you know, in October.
I think that, you know, you need to watch it for three days,
like today, tomorrow, maybe Monday or Tuesday.
You know, I really think you have to wait for, like, a higher low.
Yeah, something to come out, you know, policy wise or.
You know, yeah, from a technical point of view,
like I got really negative at 241.
I actually had some friends that watch it closely and trade it.
And I'm like, I don't like the way the chart looks.
I didn't, I didn't short it myself, but,
and I didn't buy puts on it, but they did.
And now they're like all ganging up.
They all want to buy it.
And I said, you know, one guy can buy it whenever he wants,
because he just keeps buying and narrowing down.
It doesn't matter to him.
But the other guys are like, you know, just wait to see.
I said, I'll let you know when I see a higher low,
something more constructive happen, you know,
because you look at the points.
It's not about the points.
It's about buying the right time, right?
And your time, it's got to be right.
And it's the same thing with futures, like futures.
You got to be, you know, I'm looking at that screen probably,
you know, 70% of the time I'm looking at this screen.
And then if I'm in a position that I'm comfortable with,
you know, I'm scaling, watching, you know,
there's a lot of watching that goes on in futures.
If you're successful, if you're,
if you're banging them around like yesterday,
I was banging them around all day because I was down,
I was down a couple of grand and it was like, you know,
I was banging them around all day to get, to get green.
And I got green, I stopped because I'm like,
I'm not seeing this.
I'm just banging, you know, extensions.
So, you know, you can play that way,
but eventually I think you're going to get run over if you don't
have a feeling for direction.
Yeah, I mean, I agree with Tesla.
I mean, it's, it's, you know,
I look at the chart had weekly demand.
Like if you look at the weekly, you can see the, you know,
the candle from 10 23, you know, October 23rd, you know,
two 10 to two 0730.
I mean, we came right down to it.
Wick closed above last week this week, you know,
right before earnings, we were,
we were just testing and holding.
We were holding the earlier to begin the week
and then we dipped down to the expected move.
And it's like, we could have bounced, but anyways,
it just didn't, it didn't happen.
Obviously this is a flip.
So I don't know, man.
I can see it down 165.
We'll see.
We'll see what it does at 180.
Look at GWAC down another 6%.
Yo, this is Evan.
Did you see this tweet from Bill Ackman?
He actually tweeted about that layoff a little earlier today.
Yeah, I didn't know what came out really interesting,
but I read it for a second.
This is one of the wildest tweets that I've seen.
I mean, not wildest.
It's a Bill Ackman tweet,
but just for anyone who hasn't seen his tweet,
Bill Ackman obviously hates Business Insider.
They run smear campaigns.
This was the tweet this morning.
He said, Business Insider is a sleazy,
unethical defamer of some of our greatest heroes.
It is a worthless POS rag run by the lowest of the low in journalism.
It is a stain on humanity.
That's just the first paragraph.
There's about four more.
I love it.
Oh my God.
He said, it's refreshing, man, you know?
I love seeing it, honestly.
He's very emotional.
It's like when he was crying on CNBC when he...
Yes, don't ever forget when he was trying,
saying the world was going to end while he was long as fuck everything.
Like I was watching it.
He had me scared.
He said he commented underneath that he's suing Business Insider
and that he is going to share with the world
their disgusting and illegal conduct.
Hey, so you guys, if you look at SPX, right,
we went right up to pretty much to that $48.97 level.
We got above $48.98.
And we are seeing that pullback here.
I didn't grab puts, but just watch that level.
Obviously, $4900.
You know, you could just watch that, although the expected move is $48.
Keep an eye on that, Vic.
Listen, I've said this a few times.
Any time we get down near this $13 level,
buying some calls on Vic's has paid out.
Just buy the 14s or 15s.
I mean, it paid out three times, I think, in the last month or two.
Or maybe even less than that.
I posted about it here and there.
I mean, even if you don't want to buy calls,
if you want to trade it some other way,
it's just the fact that we do get pops off of this level.
Basically, $12 to $13 is a very key level on the weekly and monthly charts.
The futures are nice to trade.
Yeah, perfect.
The XM is the micro, and it's $100 for every point.
So if you get a two-point move on that, I mean...
And it's cheap, too, right?
Well, even if you trade the mini, I mean, it's a couple grand.
Yeah, that'd be $1,000 for every point move.
Which is also a great point.
For all the listeners in the audience,
we got a great board of speakers here,
and I really appreciate them coming out
and sharing their views of the market.
I would encourage you all to follow them.
They've got some great eyes and great comments on the market.
If you're not taking advantage of the things that they're sharing,
you're really missing out.
Appreciate that.
I'm going to wrap up here in a couple minutes.
If anybody else has any comments, feel free to get them in.
I'll leave you open for another minute or two.
I feel like it's been a successful morning,
considering how slow it's been.
Oh, yeah.
You guys nailed the turnaround.
Yeah, we just had a, you know,
we just rejected off R1 and then Q.
I saw it.
The charts didn't get me short,
but that would have been a nice short.
Here we are back down.
We're going to trade down to the figure here.
Looks like an inside day, guys.
Yeah, keep in mind QQQ, right?
The expected move for the week is 428.57.
So pretty much where we're at.
Very close.
You know, a lower high from yesterday.
So far, you know, it's a puzzle.
You got to put it together.
And as you get towards 11, it usually comes together.
And you don't get as much chop.
Just, you know, if you're short or long,
QQQQQ, you know, you got to have a 10-15 point stop
in order to survive it.
And that's why it's key to, you know,
to buy on the pole.
Like trying to go long.
You know, wait for a confirmation,
but then buy on the pullback.
You know, don't be don't be fearful
of getting in the wrong position.
Like just know that, you know,
you're not going to win every one of them.
need to have you need to you need that dip so that your stop is low enough that
you're not just gonna get tagged out because that's what kills people in the
beginning they just you know you get in something tag out and it fucking goes
your way anyways and it's just like you know then especially it's been fun
trading with you guys I'm probably gonna bounce to man I know you said you're
wrapping it up so thanks all really appreciate you coming out this morning
thank you wolf have a good one yeah I'm doing a newsletter right now you should
check it out and just get some thoughts okay you can still close the space