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NVIDIA JUST SENT IT | After-Market Close
Recorded: March 16, 2026 Duration: 0:57:31Space Recording
Full Transcription
all right guys welcome to a new episode of the solid report man there is so much going on in
the market right now first of all jensen wong is sending it or at least he did send it for a minute
and then it faded quite a bit but it doesn't matter the nasdaq is still up about one percent
today more than one percent that's p500 is up almost one percent today and i mean things are
looking pretty good since last week.
Let me tell you something.
Last week did not look good, but I told you people on Amit's live stream, I covered my puts last week because, I mean, we were hitting the 200-day moving average on the indices.
And here we are today where it is the complete opposite.
We see quite a decent bounce.
Still not exactly the best momentum to see.
We need to see some falter for the rest of
the week but ideally we have one of the most bullish events of the entire year other than
the nvidia earnings as well the gtc event and all morning jensen wong has been dropping names across
the board and been seeing a lot of pumps across it. But the most important thing that we heard today,
ooh, NVIDIA is 182 after us.
That's pretty interesting.
The most important thing that we heard today
was that NVIDIA is getting $1 trillion of revenue by 2027.
That is a dramatic increase for where it is today.
So in addition to that,
we're going to be discussing a few other things today.
We're going to be talking a little bit of technical to see why the market bounced, how it bounced, like I just mentioned.
Oil fell off a cliff, definitely not looking as good for oil as it did last night, right when the market opened, did pull back quite a good amount.
The art of the deal, we had Nebius sign an up to $27 dollar deal with meta announced this morning meta meta is
getting a little bit of a bounce here but nebius is up like 13 today i think it closed above
130 now right at 130 bucks of close today pretty insane move for nebius in the last few weeks
in addition to that we're going to go through some gtc highlights
obviously not over the entire thing gtc is still happening but we're going to go over a key few things on the announcement that jensen wong had made and finally we're going to look at
the crypto comeback crypto has been insanely strong back above 74k we're going to take a look
some charts and see what's actually happening there and my favorite play when it comes to this entire crypto sucker and a little bit of hint it's not bmr so let's get on with the show
today let me open up the charts over here and let me just say hello to everyone wow we have 136
people here already what is going on june ed my man how are you yep i'm gonna do a little bit of
breakdown we're still going on
right over here ray is in the house we got more than a few people gonna go through that list maybe
a little bit later on yep cyber security is getting cooked software is not exactly having
its great day today and you would think it would in fact let's start off with just looking at some
charts here and see where we are today close at the end of the day i apologize for not being
live earlier today um doing a little bit of the aftermarket close instead of the market close.
Didn't have time to do it at the actual close, but here we are providing you guys with some
information, some news that came in throughout the day. But if I take a look over here at
the big watch list, we have IGV is up about one percent which is still a pretty decent move
uh but the socks is up about two percent this is actually a lot higher today it was at 342
so that was about two percent higher than where it is right now and honestly it was very bullish
what jensen wong was saying but we've seen these random shake-offs from getting that massive pump
and video was all the way at 190 bucks or almost 190 bucks today 189
dollars and faded pretty much that entire move for the rest of the day like look at look at this
thing like that's a crazy massive move it had and then pulled back and that honestly that move is
like a four percent move in nvidia and nvidia is a four and a half trillion dollar company so we're
talking about 250 billion dollars just
moving in a single day like within an hour it's pretty wild to see nvidia but like i mentioned
earlier meta had the day with uh nebius as far as that news goes but i would even say this is way
more bullish for nebius as it is for nvidia i'm sorry for meta we're going to talk a little bit
about those details today i'm going to pull up the press release and i'll give my thoughts on that
one i read did have a pretty decent day today it's up about eight percent uh
but this is bullish for the entire sector you had applied digital up the two and a half percent
you had cypher holdings up about seven and a half percent core scientific three percent core reeve
six percent high three percent you had terra wolf 12. That's a very big move for Terra Wolf.
And you even had the energy sector as far as utilities making a decent move today.
Not so great for VG.
But again, VG is really associated with the risk off and oil going up.
So if oil pulls back here, which it actually did, it actually did over here.
did uh it actually did over here it was at 123 early early this morning for uso and it closed
down today about four percent at 116 dollars if we look at the oil futures derivatives we can see
here that last night oil topped out here at about 102 and it closed down about five percent at 94
so i would say that uh natural gas what are we looking at? The Henry Hub?
Actually, no, I want to look at NG over here. Yeah, that is the Henry Hub. So if I look at
Nat Gas over here, yeah, Nat Gas was all the way up at $3.30 and it closed down about 3%,
down to $3. So you're going to get these big volatile moves when it comes to oil.
I pointed this out during the podcast with Amit last Friday when I was on the market close.
Actually, let me get my screen up over here so that way you'll be able to see my narration over here.
Yeah, if you look at the crude oil volatility index, this is basically the VIX for oil.
And you can see that it's pulled back pretty dramatically.
And not just from yesterday, not just from today, but also since basically it topped out back in March 12th. It's just been pulling back considerably. So you're going to get oil basically come down as this VIX starts to come down. And really, if you're long oil, you need some sort of massive escalation in this entire event with the war in order to keep it propped up. But to be honest, guys, things didn't
look good over the weekend. You saw a massive escalation, especially last Friday with Trump
sending warships out there along with other countries sending warships. And then Trump said
he was going to attack the Karg Islands, which is basically a lot of oil refineries for Iran.
And Iran said that they wouldn't tolerate it and so on. And you saw an escalation of those events
throughout the entire weekend. And in the midst of all that escalation, oil managed to close down, right? So what you need
to pay attention to is when you have cataclysmic events or climatic events and the underlying
closes in the opposite direction where it should have from a sentiment perspective,
that kind of shows you the move is a little bit exhaustive.
So I would not be chasing oil up here.
I would definitely wait for a pullback if I was going to go long oil.
But if I am long the market, I do not want to see oil to go up.
If you are long the stock market in terms of risk assets, in terms of tech,
which is basically not looking good as far as inflation goes,
it will have that recovery if inflation starts to rescind its fears in addition to oil rescinding its rally. And that fade in the
oil rally is the reason why you see tech up about 1% today. You see the S&P 500 or SPY up about 1%.
The NASDAQ, sorry, did IWM yet, it wasn't up as much, but you did see software pull back.
So this is of course, again, the semiconductor trade back in the mix here with the outperformance
of semiconductors versus IGV. You see IGV over here. It was leading. It was leading
semiconductors for quite some time. You had about two weeks of action here and it's pulled back,
but this could just be a little bit consolidation. It doesn't mean that semiconductors
are not going to lead the market, but it does mean that there probably is going to be more
upside with software if it does recover. However, today's event for NVIDIA, we're going to go over
it, but I would say that semiconductors are looking very bullish today than they did a couple of weeks ago, especially when you have Jensen Wong pumping those socks just like I have on this thumbnail over here.
I mean, come on.
Jensen is definitely sending the semiconductors to the moon right now.
It will be nice if it closes at the highest high of the day, but we did not close at the high of the day on the semiconductor.
So we will see how that's going to turn out throughout this week.
We have a large sequence of events throughout the entire week.
Let me pull those events from our trusted, from our rusted, trusted.
I don't even know what that full term is, but I mean, if you're not following stock
up and stock market moves or stock market news or Evan, I mean, he is always really
on top of all of the, uh, all of the goodness in the stock market moves or stock market news or evan i mean he is always really on top of all of the uh
all of the goodness in the stock market i mean i've been following evan for years and it is truly
amazing to be uh partnered with him on the stream but he had his yeah here we go he has a full
catalyst of events coming up uh i don't want to go over every single one but today obviously we
had gtc uh tomorrow we do have some earnings watch here actually no nothing really that coming up. Uh, I don't want to go over every single one, but today, obviously we had GTC,
uh, tomorrow we do have some earnings watch here. Actually, no, nothing really that important
tomorrow. Uh, Wednesday, of course you have the fed meeting, uh, with the FOMC rate decision.
And then you have Jerome Powell on the presser as well, going to be discussing basically where
he sees it going. Uh, I do wonder, oh no, this is not the last meeting that Jerome Powell is going to be.
If we do have the nominee for the Fed, Kevin Warsh.
But I believe the next one is going to be his last one.
So we will go ahead and see.
Wednesday after close, he doesn't have it on here, does he?
Oh yeah, he does.
Mike Rod's reporting on Wednesday after close.
And I believe Thursday, there is another earnings after close.
Planet Labs, Thursday after close. And I believe Thursday, there is another earnings after close planet labs Thursday after close FedEx. Oh, I thought there was another big important earnings events
after close, but yeah, you basically have GTC going on all week and he announced tons of stuff
on there. I'm pretty sure there's another, let's see here. Oh yeah. Okay. Ppi is going to be happening uh later this week on wednesday and i think there
is another uh oh wow okay yeah we already got the post market announcement so um lights or
lamentum holdings coherent is going to be sp500 and those are obviously photonics plays uh and
then in addition to the sp100, you have Micron in there.
You have Lamb Research, Applied Materials, GEV, Vernova.
You have Target leaving the SP100, which kind of sucks for Target, actually.
You have MetLife leaving.
You have PayPal leaving.
You have AIG leaving.
Obviously, this is very semiconductor-driven when it comes to this stuff.
Why is Tanner cooked?
Oh, it's because he has NVIDIA. I mean, he still has a lot of other holdings so that's not really a big deal and to
be honest if nvidia is cooked we're all cooked baby i mean come on let's be completely honest
and videos cooked we are all cooked in this scenario so hopefully we had a little bit of a
shakeout uh today when it came to that fade that we saw toward the end of the day after jensen wong
did announce that one trillion dollars all right so i want to
play this clip over here um trump did have a press release this morning regarding any updates on the
war and his input on it the clip is about eight minutes long i'm not going to play the whole
thing i'm going to play certain parts of it that are very relevant most of most of it's going to
be in the beginning i'm going to play this clip for you guys we're going to take a look at this
together i'm going to skip to certain parts that I do want to highlight from it.
And here we go.
War on Iran.
The team continued in full force over the past few days.
They have been literally obliterated.
The Air Force is gone. The Navy is gone.
Many, many ships have been sunk.
They're war fighting ships but I guess they didn't know how to use them.
And anti-aircraft is decimated.
Their radar is gone and their leaders are gone.
Other than that they're doing quite well. They've been a terror for 47 years and now I guess the world through the
United States with the help of Israel is is doing what should have been done many
years ago should have been done many years ago. Since the beginning of the
conflict we've struck more than 7,000
targets across Iran. And these have been mostly commercial and military targets. We've achieved
a 90 percent reduction in their ballistic missile launches and a 95% reduction in drone attacks. The missiles are trickling in now at very low levels because they don't have too many
missiles left.
We've also attacked the manufacturing plants, the places where they manufacture the missiles
and the drones, and that's going on today.
We just hit three of them today. It's getting very hard for them to
manufacture. More than 100 Iranian naval vessels have been sunk or destroyed over the last week
and a half. It has to be some kind of a record. Additional strikes continue to launch from
all directions every single hour. As you know know we attacked karg island and knocked it
knocked it literally destroyed everything on the island except for the area where
the oil is i call it the pipes we left the pipes
okay so trump is discussing let me see if i can hide this over here yeah so Trump is discussing, let me see if I can hide this over here. Yeah.
So Trump is discussing basically the updates in the war over the weekend.
They did hit Karg Island, which again is where a lot of the oil refiners are on there.
He said that he left the pipes there because he plans to utilize, he basically plans on
taking over the oil production or at least taking stand of the oil and they're controlling
the oil supply that's coming from Karg Island, which is pretty important. We've heard also from Iran's side that, look, if Trump does do this,
we're going to take this as a massive escalation of events. And I don't know if that means he's
going to target more US bases or not, but that is something of a warning that came from Iran
as far as attacking Karg Island. I want to play the next portion of this that I want to
move on to. So the call for other nations to help secure the Strait of Homoose. And that is 644
right here.
I think it's a very good thing.
Needed 90, 95 percent of their energy or their oil comes out of the straight and they should
be in here very happily helping us.
And it's incredible.
We have such great, we're number one in oil by double.
Now we drill baby drill.
We're double any other nation and it's going baby drill with double any other nation and
it's going to be soon triple any other nation and that doesn't include
Venezuela who's been great by the way the relationship with Venezuela has been
fantastic millions literally millions of barrels a year before he did I said you
better get him he's a bad guy I watched him be interviewed one time, and I said, that's a bad guy. You better get him.
One year before exactly, I wrote it in a book. You can even check about a year before the
World Trade Center then came down. President Clinton actually had a shot at him,
and he didn't take it. Unfortunately, I'm not blaming him for that, but he didn't take it. And he ended up knocking down the World Trade Center. But I predicted that
I predicted a lot of things. We strongly encourage other nations whose economies depend on
the straight for blood. I mean... But I'm going to play this clip over here, see what he has to say. They might be there. You mean who are the countries? Yes, sir. I'd rather not say yet, but we'll be announcing.
Marco Rubio and the various people that are doing that will be announcing.
And we do.
I have to tell you, we have some that are really enthusiastic.
They're coming already.
They've already started to get there.
You know, it takes a little while to get there.
It's like, in some cases, you have to travel an ocean.
So it doesn't go that fast fast but it'll go fast and we have some that are fairly local that are doing it but uh we'll be in that
we'll give you a list some are very enthusiastic and some are less than enthusiastic and i assume
some will not do it i think we have one or two that will not do it that we've been protecting for
about 50%. Yeah. So I think he's talking about France actually, because not France, UK actually.
And I believe Germany said they were not going to be getting involved in the Strait of Hormuz.
But from what I've gathered this morning is that Germany and UK will not be involved and France is going to be involved.
But Trump did say that the backing from France is an eight out of ten.
I'm not sure what an eight out of ten actually means, but if he was very enthusiastic about it, he probably would have said a ten out of ten, but he said an eight out of ten.
But from what I gathered this weekend is that he is that Japan
is planning on sending ships as well. But other than that, they are going to make a formal
announcement that's going to come from Mark Rubio himself. Oh, Nick, my man, what is going on,
chief? How are you today, sir? Mr. Zeta himself is in the house. All right. So yeah, actually,
that would make sense. That sucks that they took down Tanner's stream.
Trump is talking right now with JD Vance.
Let me go ahead and check this out and see if I can capture this live.
Man, there's like so many things happening.
You have NVIDIA GTC happening.
You have all these war updates happening.
It's like this is clearly not the best time to be getting like one headline at a time.
This is like a million headlines at a time.
So let's see if I can pull up this Trump advance live stream right now.
Signing time.
Is this the one that's live?
No, that's not the one that's live.
Let's see here.
I'm trying to pull it up.
I don't think it's actually live right now.
I think they're going to be live.
Oh no, I think it just ended.
Wow, that's 53 minutes, dude.
I'm not going to play that 53 minute one.
Maybe I'll capture some highlights there while I'm playing another video or something for you guys. See if there's anything important there. Yeah. I mean,
sometimes like sometimes these clips are like 20 minutes long. I'm not going to sit here and
stream the whole thing. But I do want to select certain parts of it. Like the Trump was eight
minutes long and I'm not going to play the whole eight minute thing. That's going to be way too
long. GTC was mind blowing. Unfortunately, vast majority of Wall Street retail won't understand
ramifications just yet, but AI is about to see a massive massive ramp up dude ai is seeing a
massive massive ramp up it's pretty wild people are calling out people are calling out bitcoin
right now how's uh how's bitty coin doing let's take a look at the bitty coin charts real quick
see what's going on over here um yeah 74.2 this thing has actually been ripping throughout the day, which is pretty wild.
Uh, let's see over here. Yeah. I mean, it's just been going up the whole day.
A circle is a pretty interesting one. Actually, we're going to get a little bit more into that
one. So, um, that was pretty much it as far as, uh, the market's bouncing and oil somewhat falling
off a cliff. I don't think there really is a reason why oil is falling off a cliff other than it looks like the oil long trade is pretty exhaustive.
I mean, you had people talking about oil at $200 and stuff. That's usually when the top is,
when people give these egregious price targets of the commodity or whatever stock prices or
anything. We saw this happen before in 2022, when they're saying that oil is going to be at $200 or above $130
for like years it ended up only being like a peak for like a few months and it basically has been
pulling back since then we had oil down to $53 and it's basically double since then um but that is
usually what happens with these commodities especially when it comes to oil is that it gets
so sensitive to these geopolitical events that do come up. And you had this random surprise with
the Iran event, which is obviously we knew what was going to happen, but I guess the market was
not ready for oil to make such a massive move. So you had a lot of shorts covering and that's
what brought oil to like $110 or $120, I think. And now it's here at $94. Now, are we going to
see those highs again?
We do need to see a massive escalation event so the market wasn't expecting, but it doesn't look
like that's going to be happening anytime soon because we already did have that escalation this
weekend and it didn't really keep oil prices sticky up there. It just sold off in the midst
of that. So I am not trying to long oil here. Yeah, actually, I don't really want to make a joke out of it,
but it was pretty funny how Pete Hegsworth said that the straight is actually open,
just that Iran continues to shoot things at the straight.
So let me actually see if I could find that clip because that was like a pretty –
I mean, it was funny.
It was funny because it's like, dude, like the straight is closed, all right?
Like it's not open. It's closed. All right. Hold on. Let's see if I can find it.
Yeah, here it is. Here it is. Let me share this screen. It is funny.
Here we go.
The only thing prohibiting transit in the streetsits right now is Iran shooting at shipping.
It is open for transit should Iran not do that.
Yeah.
So basically the straight is open, but if Iran doesn't shoot at you, you know, there
wouldn't be an issue, but it is the issue on its own, right?
All right.
So real quick thoughts on Rubik, because I have to answer this one.
The earnings were amazing.
They beat top line, bottom line.
They had great guidance.
The problem is that software continues to get wrecked.
Rubrik is trading at, I know, it's like such a sad thing.
It's down 3.5% today.
It's trading at $51.67.
I mean, a lot of software is not doing so great.
I don't see how Rubrik is actually getting disrupted by AI.
But if the market wants a soft Rubrik, then that's just the way it is.
Yeah.
All of this propaganda on Twitter, I don't know if that is.
There is no credible source that's actually saying that's true.
So make sure you guys don't follow certain people who are spreading false information whenever i post news
that i find on twitter i look for the source and i reply with the source in there otherwise
i don't post it at all and if i do find out something that some news was fake i take it
down all right i don't want that stuff on my feed or I quote tweeted saying this is fake or something like that. Don't follow people who intentionally post fake news, even if
it's a joke, unless they clearly say it's a joke, which something like this, I probably wouldn't say
it's a joke, but just be careful who you follow when it comes to this stuff. I don't know how
I don't know how people are getting away with posting these fake videos on Twitter and all that stuff.
people are getting away with posting these fake videos on Twitter and all that stuff.
Nikita is obviously doing things that he can and X is doing things they can to basically get rid of this and prevent this from happening.
But it's still happening, unfortunately.
So be careful who you follow.
And the problem is that people can move markets when they do this.
These are big accounts that are posting this stuff.
So, again, be careful who you follow.
The Fox News reporter is the war
king of the U S. Oh, that is interesting. Um, did I watch the GC? I haven't watched the entire
thing. I've only watched, uh, certain portions of it, or at least some of what I can watch.
So we'll see. All right. So let's move on to the next segment over here. Um had the art of the deal. Now for me, guys, I am long Nebius.
I've been long for quite some time. And this morning we had some crazy moves when it comes
to Nebius. For the most part, oh, actually I could read part of this because this isn't too long.
Nebius Group, the AI cloud company today announced a new long-term AI infrastructure supply agreement with Meta, straightening its collaboration between new companies.
Under the five-year agreement, Nebius will provide $12 billion of dedicated capacity across multiple locations.
One of the first large-scale deployments of the nvidia vera rubin platform nebius will deliver
this capacity starting early 2027 furthermore in connection with access to these nvidia vera
rubin deployments meta has committed to purchase additional available compute capacity across
certain upcoming nebius clusters up to15 billion over a five-year period.
Nebius currently intends to sell this capacity to third-party customers of its AI cloud business
with remaining capacity to be purchased by Meta.
The agreement has a contract value of up to $27 billion.
Arcadia Veloz, who is the founder and CEO of Nebius, also the founder of Yandex as well,
we are pleased to expand our significant partnership with Meta as part of securing more large long-term
capacity contracts to accelerate the build-out and growth of our core ai cloud business we will continue to deliver
and again nebius's guidance for 2026 remains unchanged that is the seven to nine billion
air by the end of the year not revenue by the in the end by the end of the year
arr so you take the last month of the revenue that they got,
that they're going to get for this fiscal year of 2026, multiply that by 12, and that will be
anywhere from $7 to $9 billion. So that remains unchanged. If you look at unchanged, it means two
things. One, it means that they don't expect it to go over that range
but it also means that they don't expect to be below that range and seven to nine million dollars
of air is a lot for uh how big is this company now let me take a look here
this is a 32 billion dollar company so it is going to be trading at three times AAR by the end of the year.
If it continues to trade at 130 bucks, guys.
One thing to remember when it comes to these companies, expect dilution.
I know there's been a lot of criticism about IREN having a $6 billion dilution event,
which they're not executing all at once.
They have the right to do it over a period of time.
I would not be surprised if Nebius has a dilution event where they're raising capital at the same price.
So even if the stock is $130 and they raise $6 billion in capital all at once,
that would put the market cap much higher than where it is because
they are, sorry, not the market cap.
That would make the shares valued a lot less than it actually is because it is a dilutive
event.
So guys, again, make sure you're aware of the risk when it comes to these.
And I said it when it was $112 and I'm going to say it at $130.
If you see a dilutive event, we don't know how
the market's going to react, but don't be surprised if it goes down. Okay. It is a nature of this
business. It is a lot of CapEx to build all this infrastructure right now. It's about three
gigawatts of capacity or about 3.6 gigawatts capacity by the contracted capacity. So not
actually built to have a contracted by 2027. That costs a lot of money. All right. So if they
decide to raise $6 billion of capital, don't be surprised. Now, I don't know if it's going to be
6 billion. I would assume it's going to be more than $6 billion
because you have to do it very quickly.
If they do, don't be surprised.
And if this stock comes down to $60, $70 range,
I will be a buyer.
I was not a buyer recently
because I already built my position at $28
or $30 or something like that.
But I mean, we'll see what happens,
but I would not be surprised if they raised the capital. Why are cooked we're not cooked man i think the long-term game when it
comes to nebius this thing is going to go higher it's going to go higher yeah yeah but i wouldn't
be surprised right so don't be surprised that it happens i know that oh the raising capital this is
so bad it's like what do you expect what do you expect my thing is that nebius doesn't make really
any money off of bitcoin mining as it does today in fact they don't
make any money on bitcoin mining they have an active cloud business and they're very well
diversified in a portfolio of companies plus 28 stake in click house which is near i think it's
like about a 15 billion dollar valuation it's going to go higher these other companies other
miners and stuff they do have revenue coming in from crypto and it is keeping them afloat like
bitcoin miners right they still do that some of them are selling off those assets like um They do have revenue coming in from crypto and it is keeping them afloat like Bitcoin miners, right?
They still do that.
Some of them are selling off those assets like Cypher selling off their Bitcoin mining assets.
IRN is focusing more on repurchasing their Bitcoin mining projects into actual accelerated compute projects for AI workloads.
Like they're all doing that because they see the shift toward that
right so i think bitcoin moving up is very bullish for a lot of these bitcoin miners that have now
turned to data centers and that's the reason why you see a lot of these other bitcoin miners up a
lot because bitcoin moved up at the same time we got the nebbius announcement so let's say bitcoin
was still flat you probably would have seen these other stocks near flat or maybe up about a few percentages versus 8% for IRN and 13%, 14% for TerraWolf.
Nebius would still have a lot of that appreciation because they're the ones who got the deal.
Okay.
So again, it is my, I'm only invested in Nebius when it comes to Neoclouts.
I sold my IRN position because I wanted to one, focus on one of them.
But two, I don't need multiple exposure to the same sector. They're all going
to go up if this happens, which is likely going to happen according to GTC that we saw today.
All right. So the next segment of the show is the GTC highlights. I do have a video that I want to
play over here. It is a three minute clip and specifically one part of the GTC event that
Jensen Wong did discuss that made the stock go all the way up to about $189.
So let's go ahead and take a look at this one.
I'm here to tell you that right now where I stand, a few short months after GTC DC, one year after last GTC, right here where I stand,
One year after last GTC, right here where I stand, I see through 2027 at least $1 trillion.
Now, does it make any sense?
And that's what I'm going to spend the rest of the time talking about.
In fact, we are going to be short.
I am certain computing demand will be much higher than that.
And there's a reason for that.
So the first thing is, we did a lot of work in the last year. Of course, as you
know, 2025 was NVIDIA's year of inference. We wanted to make sure that not only were we good at
training and post-training, that we were incredibly good at every single phase of AI, so that the
investments that were made, investments made in our infrastructure, could scale out for as long as
they would like to use it
and the useful life of nvidia's infrastructure would be long and therefore the cost would be incredibly low the longer you could use it the lower the cost there's no question in my mind
nvidia systems are the lowest cost infrastructure you could get for ai infrastructure in the world
and so the first part was last year was all about AI for
inference and it drove this inflection point. Simultaneously we were very pleased last year
that Anthropic has come to NVIDIA, that MSL, Meta SL has chosen NVIDIA. And meanwhile,
And meanwhile, meanwhile, and as a collection, as a group, this represents one third of the
world's AI compute, open source models.
Open source models have reached near the frontier and it is literally everywhere.
And Nvidia, as you know, today, we're the only platform in the world today that runs every single domain of AI across every single one of these AI models in language and biology and computer graphics, computer vision and speech.
and otherwise edge or cloud any language NVIDIA's architecture is fungible for all
of that and we're incredible all of that that allows us to be the lowest cost the
highest confidence platform because when you're building these systems as I
mentioned a trillion dollars is an enormous amount of infrastructure you
have to have complete confidence that the trillion dollars you're putting down
will be utilized, would be performant,
would be incredibly cost-effective
and have useful life for as long as you could see.
That infrastructure investment you could make on NVIDIA,
you could make with complete confidence.
complete confidence. We have now proven that.
We have now proven that.
Pump our bags, Jensen. Pump our bags. I got the bags. I want you to pump our bags, baby.
Bring NVIDIA back to 200 bucks. Let's see it. You know, it was actually really funny because
Ahmed said that he was going to wait for Jensen Wong to say something good so he can sell covered
calls or roll the covered calls up after he does.
I wonder if he did that.
I doubt he did.
I mean,
if you're sitting there watching the godfather of AI up on the stage,
you're not going to be like,
holy crap,
let me roll my covered calls.
Like,
I don't think he did that.
If he did,
kudos to him.
But I mean,
guys,
bullish,
bull ish.
And if this is bearish, we're all cooked.
I don't see any way that a $5 trillion company could go back to $2 trillion
and we're not cooked.
We will be cooked.
If Nvidia goes back to $100, we are cooked, okay?
So I'm sorry.
Yeah, we will be cooked.
Yeah, let's see here. He was on yeah he was in tanner's dream today's algo did it again clack yeah you know what we've seen this happen oh wow
good job man were you a gtc yeah yeah dude pump our bags like seriously like honestly the stock market
has a lot of bags of nvidia so it's not just my bags it's like the whole world's
bags okay like that he needs to pump them and pump those bags i mean we saw we saw the nasdaq go all
we saw the q's go all the way up to 60386 today close at the low end of the range on the day
because remember the market basically capped up overnight and it didn't revisit that low end of the range
until later on today so we will see yeah dude we're all going to be freaking janitors like
there's going to be a janitor shortage um if nvidia is cooked because we will all definitely
cook in fact um let's just hope they don't automate the janitorial responsibilities uh with ai because
if they do then well then we're all
going to be cooked when we're cooked like it there's nothing worse than being cooked than
when you're already cooked i've never been cooked while i was cooked but if we get cooked and then
we're cooked after that we are we're basically screwed at that point and hopefully uh judgment
day will be upon us we don't really have to worry about that well not hopefully but
um there might be judgment day as far as that. NVIDIA announces DLSS5.
I don't even know what that means, but there actually was just some breaking news here.
I don't have access to a Bloomberg terminal, but I did confirm the source over here.
I mean, it is Bloomberg, so that is a credible source, right?
Isn't Bloomberg a credible source?
I mean, if Bloomberg is not credible, I don't know what it is.
Trump says he asked China to delay Xi's summit due to Iran war. Now, I don't know
exactly what the repercussions of this actually are, but I'm looking at the after hours
market moving and it isn't doing a lot. We'll know in futures when they open in 27 minutes um to see if um this is actually a
bearish event for us but i don't know if the market really care personally i don't really
care about if the market doesn't care about it and i don't think we market really cares about it
however futures are closed right now so they're going to open in 27 minutes uh 37 minutes and
then we'll know how they react after that uh once we see what happens but i mean looking at the charts today i mean like
risk that network was up 1.3 arm was up five percent today estera lazul six percent today
marvel came back like a cookie here up about four and a half percent today i am long marvel technology
long marvel technology um yeah dude this is fun okay there is a lot of fud going on on twitter
with the situation with taiwan okay in fact there were multiple images showing that there's a lot
of ships around taiwan from china and that picture was taken from 2024. Okay. Like be careful who you follow with this stuff.
It is so much fun out there regarding this.
Now, who knows what's going to happen?
We'll see.
But it's not from credible sources.
People are just posting a headline, taking a picture of an AI generated picture, a picture
from a long time ago, in this case, two years ago, put it in on there saying like China's
doing this to scare you because they're probably short the market. And they're saying they're putting all these news
out there, which is obviously fake. And people might be getting scared from it and selling,
or algos might react to it and sell. And the issue is that this happens in both ways. Okay.
This isn't just bear, bear news. It's also bullish news too, that people try to pump a
stock and so on. Like we don't know if these are actually true or not because we're not the boots on the ground in Taiwan. We're not the boots in the
ground in Iran. So we don't know. We're relying on credible sources like Bloomberg or CNBC,
or I was about to say another name, but we don't even know if that's credible anyway. But if you
have like five news outlets reporting the same thing that are all credible, chances are it's probably true.
All right. And if it's fake, well, that credible source was wrong. Okay. So if that's the case, we don't know exactly if something is 100% true or not, but it's all from credible sources that
gets put out by Wall Street Journal, by Bloomberg, by CNBC, by Forbes, whatever it is,
or even a press release from the companies
themselves. Most likely, if you have the White House saying something, it most likely is true.
Okay. Well, I kind of take that back, but you get what I mean, right? So be careful who you
follow. You see some random 300K account say something and you don't see it on Bloomberg,
you don't see it on CNBC or anything like that. It's probably fake. Okay. It's probably fake,
unless maybe it just takes a little bit of time to come out there but it's most likely fake so be very
careful who you follow on twitter about that one i actually posted that on twitter where it's like
that this is ridiculous i haven't given any examples because i don't like to i don't like
to call out certain people but you just you just got to be careful guys you just got to be careful
all right so um the last part of the segment that we're going to be doing is talking about crypto
in general.
Now, crypto has had a massive bounce in the last few weeks, actually, because crypto did
bottom before the market did.
So if I take a look at the Bitcoin chart, this is the daily chart of Bitcoin.
Okay.
And Bitcoin basically bottomed here at about 60K. I still remember this because
I definitely bought the dip when that happened overnight. And it's just been kind of going
sideways, but we're getting a little bit of a breakout here. And there is a long ways to fill.
I would think that Bitcoin likes to travel in ranges and go from one range to another.
Bitcoin likes to travel in ranges and go from one range to another.
And if you look out here on the weekly chart, see here it hangs out at this range and it's back in that range, right?
Or it hangs out at this range or this range.
And then it hangs out at this range or this range and then up here, right?
Bitcoin likes to move from range to range.
It's not like stocks where they go oscillating up and down.
Like Bitcoin likes to go make a move and then big move up, range,
range, range, range, big move up, range, range, down, fake out. Like it likes to do these crazy
moves. It doesn't, it likes to stay in range. So we do need to see a breakout above here.
And if we do, I don't think we're hanging out in the 70K or low 80K range for too long. I think
we're going to go straight to the 90k range and if that happens
your boy circle is going to be that is not how you spell the stock ticker circle uh this thing is probably going to go to 180 bucks if that happens okay so circle has had massive outperformance
when it comes to crypto lately if i do circle over eth ETH, I think this is your new BMNR, right?
So this is the circle ETH ratio.
So you take the circle stock over Ethereum
and you basically see how much circle
is outperforming Ethereum, right?
And it has massively outperformed Ethereum
in the last few weeks.
On the days, it's massively outperformed, but Ethereum didn't make quite a move in the last couple of days. So Ethereum has been outperformed ethereum in the last few weeks on the days it's massively outperformed
but ethereum didn't make quite quite a move in the last couple days so ethereum's been outperformed
but that's because circle has been flat and over the weekend ethereum has been moving right so
that's the reason why you saw the sort of outperformance of the weekend but if you look at
the bmr eth ratio not as good right so this is why I look at ratios guys, because ratios tells you
the relative outperformance of something. And this is the even better picture right here.
Circle BMNR ratio, massive outperformance. It outperformed it by over 25%
outperformed it by over 25% in the last couple of weeks.
Okay.
So for me, I would purchase circle instead of BM&R mostly strictly from the relative
outperformance.
Even if you look at the circle hood ratio, like guys, this is obviously relative outperformance here the market likes to pick a leader in a
sector a few leaders sometimes and usually like when a sector goes up you have the leaders and
you have the laggards okay in this case bmr isn't exactly the leader neither is hood if ethereum and
bitcoin move up it is circle circle is the one moving up
because there's a lot that has to do with the stable coin transactions that we saw in the,
in the news over the other weekend is that circle is actually regressing on this matter.
And if you really think about circle, you have a $31 billion market cap company. All right.
What's a market cap of BM&R?
BM&R is a $10 billion, but they're currently down in their Ethereum holdings.
This is more of a debt, right? So I'm not being bearish BM&R long-term, but if I'm strictly looking at the relative
outperformance, like Circle is the crypto play right now.
So I would, if you're trading around this, right, I would,
I would look at circle more than BMNR. But if you're like fundamentals and everything,
I would even say circle has better fundamentals than BMNR. Let's actually take a look
at the fiscal AI over here at a circle real quick. And then we're going to end the stream after that one.
So Fiscal AI over here.
And by the way, guys, in the show notes,
you're going to see the promo code for Fiscal AI.
You get two weeks free without using a credit card for Fiscal AI.
I use it all the time, all the time, all the time.
And you don't have to if you don't want to,
but if that's something you're looking at, you get a pretty good discount and a trial, if you want to check it out. Okay. So circle, uh, they mostly run an operating revenues because
there's a lot of transactions going on in the system. Actually right now, technically speaking,
they don't necessarily have any dramatic revenues, but they are planning to, as soon as
things start to pick up with this. But if you look at the dramatic revenues, but they are planning to, as soon as things start to pick up with this,
but if you look at the operating revenues, they actually have been performing quite well. They,
they grew last quarter about 59% actually is this quarterly? Oh yeah. Because they had that one. I
think I'll just do last 12 months. Um, last 12 months. Yeah. They grew at about 58%. Um, gross
profit is still in the negative because they aren't exactly the most profit.
They actually, they're not really profitable right now because they're not operating basis.
They're down $96 million, but you can expect that as this continues to happen, as you start
to get more stable coin transaction, as you start to get, uh, more of the staking, you will start
to see circle come back. So if you guys don't know, circle is actually the holder for USDC, which is
the, uh, us, uh, stable coin. And that is likely going to be the stable coin. That's going to be
used for all of the payment transactions, uh, in the backend. And if you really think about like
swift wires locally or domestically in the U S and also wires on the international perspective,
like crypto is instant settlement or near instant
settlement. And it's totally transparent and it's decentralized. Now there's obviously a reason why
I haven't invested a lot in circle at all is because like, guys, I'm not a crypto guy. Okay.
I'm, this is more of a trade for me than anything because, um, just look at the relative
performance. I am bullish crypto in the short term if i bring
up the charts i've brought up the charts before you and showed you guys already and i can see
crypto getting 90k which means the theorem probably around like 3 000 or something and if
that happens most likely circle is going to be near 200 bucks because of its performance
and that doesn't mean that hood isn't going to go up it doesn't mean that bmr is not going to go up
it just means that circle might might outperform Now, past performance doesn't exactly signify future results, but I
don't know from what the chart's telling me, and usually markets tend to favor more of the leaders
in a sector from a performance basis than the laggards. It probably has more upside if crypto
does continue to go up. And I don't think this really,
this signal necessarily works the same way as it would work for something that has to do with more fundamentals, right?
Cause fundamentals,
you can't really tell about the relative outperformance.
And usually when something outperforms on a fundamental basis,
it's already outperforming on a technical basis as well.
But I look,
if I look at this strictly from a crypto from a technical standpoint i would say circle is a buy once you get a pretty decent
pullback i do have a small position in circle but like nothing too dramatic or anything mostly just
like threw on like a small starter position uh yesterday overnight when it was like 117 bucks
which is up pretty considerably but i mean i mean i wish i went full port in that thing that would have been very fun today because it's up about uh it's up about
nine percent today i mean bmr is up about 14 today but that had a little bit of a catch-up to do
so we'll see what happens with this one you know one thing that was actually pretty interesting with
the uh with um square was that this kind of gave up a lot of its gains that it saw after it had its round
of layoffs and we did see last weekend that meta was laying off um was doing a round of layoffs
that could affect up to 20 of its staff and um over here like i i would expect this to be higher
right like if you're laying off up to 20% your staff that's a lot of operating
income you're gonna realize in a very short period of time with opx so I'm
surprised that meta wasn't higher especially when it comes to the nebius
deal but with that being said I mean if stocks were really rallying today you'd
see the majority of that rally from the semiconductors, which has massively outperformed today.
Does Circle gain anything if ETH is 5K?
BMNR will have 9% increase. I mean, I guess if that happens, if Ethereum goes to 5K, you're going to see a lot of appreciation
with BMNR.
But right now, Ethereum is underperforming Bitcoin, I believe.
Let me take a look at this Ethereum Bitcoin chart.
Okay, so the last couple of days you did have Ethereum outperform.
But on this scale, basically Ethereum has been flat for quite some time while Bitcoin has moved up slowly.
And Bitcoin has been outperforming Ethereum until just the last couple of days you saw Ethereum get a little bit of a bid over there.
So we will see what happens with that. ethereum until just the last couple days you saw ethereum get a little bit of a bid over there so
we will see what happens with that of course i will monitor the situation because i am a situation monitor um as with a lot of you guys of course monitor the situation with your 12 screens and
your twitters uh same here i also do monitor the situation as well um if there's a situation that
is not going to be monitored uh then i will likely just be doing fundamental and due diligence.
But I mean, there's a lot of situations to be monitoring lately.
Let's take a look over here.
SBET is about 8% set of pretty decent.
Yeah, the Clarity Act would really lift all boats,
but I don't know if the market is waiting for the Clarity Act to pass
before it rips crypto up.
I think what you're seeing now is probably the event unfolding in the background before the actual event is announced.
And that's what's going to be happening with a lot of these stocks and with a lot of these cryptocurrencies is that you don't wait until the event happens to buy it.
You buy the rumor all the time.
And that usually is what works out pretty
well and wow look at this bitcoin is all the way at 74 600 just after hours yeah dude situation
room is where it's at it is where it's at xrp is moving to yeah xrp is moving as well always be
monitoring always be monitoring yeah i mean i'm in the monitoring room all the time we're always
at the money with monitoring or at the moment.
Or for some reason, I was thinking the at the money debt issuance.
All right, guys.
So that is about it for today.
Sorry, I can't have a three-hour stream, but I'll be back again tomorrow.
Hopefully, we'll be able to do the market close.
We're going to have a couple of guests here on this week.
It's going to be very interesting.
We're going to have Danielle Shai, who's a very active trader in the markets. She's actually been shorting a lot of software stocks in the last couple of guests here on this week it's gonna be very interesting uh we're gonna have uh Danielle shy who's a very active trader in the markets she's actually been shorting a lot of software
stocks in the last couple of months so I'm very interested to hear her input when it comes a lot
of these software companies if we are finding a bottom over here uh and also I believe I'm going
to be uh doing a partner stream uh at some point later on I'll give you more details on that when
that happens but yeah pretty busy week I'm hoping to stream uh the fomc event as well as the micron event uh to see what's gonna happen with that let's
be honest if if um micron uh does really well i'm pretty sure the markets can do really well too
and something that's actually really interesting today is that this photonics play
aoi um this is kind of getting interesting at these levels let me actually share the screen
yeah aoi is getting actually pretty interesting around these levels now it was around here where
i believe citron was uh citrini was bearish aoi um but the other photonics companies have actually
rallied pretty considerably uh you had lights uh rally a
little bit you had coherent rally a little bit um but there was this one that was up 11 today
tower semiconductor um obviously a small cap or oh wow this is a mid cap my bad uh mid cap there
was another small cap is it soi yeah soi was up seven percent today this is euro stock yeah this is like a mid
cap 2.1 billion dollars and then uh serenity was talking about another stock out there i forget the
name of the ticker but he she i don't know it's like a hundred million dollar market cap and i was
up 50 today and it's like guys like be careful with these with these micro caps because like
anyone with
100k falling can pump these things especially when they're anonymous right to be honest serenity
serenity releases a lot of good dd um but i would say you'd have to um be very well acquainted with
the thesis and fundamentals to hold on to that one because if something moves 50 today we don't know
how it's gonna move tomorrow so be very careful if you're chasing that move. Um, Oh, wow. We got some breaking
news over here, actually real quick. Let me share this one. Uh, I see, I'm going to actually
show you guys some real time DD here with confirmation. Okay. So first squawk, sometimes they post fake news.
Sometimes they don't. South Korea, a foreign minister, I think Cho affirms freedom of
navigation. The straight of Hormuz is crucial to global security and economy, including South
Korea's ministry. I mean, it affects everyone in my opinion. I honestly don't know why a lot more
countries are not involved in it. Maybe it's because of some disagreement with the US,
but this is impacting the whole world, not just the US. South Korea Foreign Ministry Cho and US
Secretary of State rubio discussed
ensuring safe navigation through straight of humus i mean this south korea is all in on memory right
samsung mesquite hynek so if this is affecting that as far as the helium trade goes um this is
going to affect south korea's economy as well and And let's go ahead and see something here.
North Korea operates infiltrating U.S. companies through remote... Oh, God, get out of here.
We're not going to get into that, guys. Oh, yeah, Saib. Saib was the one. Man, I don't even know
how to... I don't even know what to say about that one. I would be careful, guys. You can't
even trade this one. I think it's on the otc
i think saib is on the otc or it's like a international stock um it is not an otc it's an international stock yeah it's on the swedish stock market or something uh be careful with that
stuff guys i'm not trying to chase those moves i'll stick with us companies or otc companies
but other than that i'm gonna try to i'm gonna try to keep an eye i'm
gonna try to be careful of that poet is early i mean i don't know too much about this one but i i
did find it interesting how this morning even after their deal um that they end up closing right in the
day at after being up eight percent that's usually not the most bullish sign if you see that that
again nvidia did it too so we will see what happens there. But yeah, guys, that does it for today. Again, if you're interested in
fiscal AI, you can go ahead and check out the description. On top of that, this video is
sponsored by Public, where you can open up brokerage accounts as well. That description is going to be
at the bottom of the description. If you'd like to check that one out, if you're interested. And by all means, you have any questions or anything,
go ahead and leave a comment. Like and subscribe to the channel. It really helps us out over here.
And again, you can go ahead and check out the Wolf Financial YouTube where there's lots of
great material on there. I actually did post the Amit collab that we did last Friday, or not really collab,
I showed up on the market close with Amit last Friday.
It was about an hour video on there, so go ahead and check that one out on the Wolf YouTube
or on my channel as well if you haven't.
And that about wraps it up.
So let's go ahead and maybe we see some bullish moves overnight.
If not, I mean, that's cool as long as we don't revisit those lows and oil doesn't revisit those highs all right guys take care thank you very much thank
you very much for watching have a good one
