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Trading Weekly | $ONDS $AMD | Requests! with @ShaunTrades_ + @InvestKaye
Recorded: March 15, 2026 Duration: 0:59:52Space Recording
Full Transcription
Hello, hello. Welcome back to another Trading Weekly. It's Sunday the 15th of March in the UK.
It's Mother's Day. So happy Mother's Day in the UK.
Obviously, I hope they're all getting spoiled as they should be.
How are you doing, Kay? How's the week been?
I'm doing great. I think Friday was a crazy day.
Apart from that, I think pretty much the week was pretty much in the same range bound.
But then Friday we saw this news. Things are getting out of control in the same range bound but then the friday we saw this news um things are
getting out of control in the geos you know political space as well uh and then my main
concern was with meta nobody actually cared about meta's ai model until they dropped the news that
they'll be delaying that and then boom we saw this big drop on meta on friday so yeah crazy
and that certainly wouldn't have helped the overall
spying qq price of course we'll get into that a little bit later on but overall i mean how is
trading sort of thing like generally trading has been decent i would say but it is getting
extremely difficult to pick tickers it certainly is yeah there's lots of different because we're
unsure which way the market's kind
of going it's hard to kind of decipher which way or which stocks rather to kind of pick to kind of
go in that direction um it's tricky but maybe just taking the short sharp wins is definitely
the market that we're in um but again we'll jump into all of that a bit later on make sure you get
your audience requests in the comments ready to go um as we do every single week probably get
about 20 25 minutes or so something like that and so make sure you stick them in the comments ready to go um as we do every single week probably get about 20 25 minutes or so something
like that and so make sure you stick them in the comments ready to go um obviously this is not
financial advice just a couple of guys looking at charts giving our perspectives and thoughts
and feelings on the market it's what we love to do week in week out and we do it every week at 1 pm
eastern time um obviously massive thank you to wolf as well for the new platform we really really
appreciate it every single week we like to kind of bring as much knowledge as we can
and as much thoughts as we can as well around the market.
So hopefully that was good enough for the audience.
If you've got any feedback, generally, just keep them in the chat as well
or DM one of us.
Anyway, yeah, my trading personally as well.
I mean, my day trading was a bit off this week.
Made a few mistakes here and there.
It's very emotional in the market. So I think I just kind of got caught up in that it's normal but the main thing is i'm still in the game didn't make any large mistakes and the spring trading
things went really really well i spoke about the hymns position last weekend and obviously the news
that came out last friday not the third 5th or whatever that was.
Yeah, the last week, yeah.
Yeah, so we got pretty lucky with that, to be fair,
and obviously took profits from that, as you would normally do.
But yeah, anyway, we'll jump into the stream then, shall we?
Yeah, and then we got a couple requests from Ramesh, Meta, and Adobe,
which we'll touch upon.
We'll get into the audience section, and then we'll touch upon that.
That should be around like 15, 20 minutes.
Exactly.
But you've got Meta, Adobe there from Ramesh.
Hello, Ramesh.
How are you doing?
I think we've had you a few times on the stream before,
and obviously Verla as well.
Hello, hello.
Hope you're doing well.
I'm sure a few more people will come in very, very shortly.
But today, as you can see on the stream, as always,
we've got market overview, fear and greed, earningsying qqq charts yearly performance our picks of the week i've gone
for onds which is a drone stock kind of focused within um defense and enterprise which will be
interesting you've got amd everyone knows what amd is and of course your audience requests and
with that we'll move on to the next slide um and, my face has just gone red because of the amount of red
on the screen here.
We can see some pretty big numbers, actually,
in just the space of a week.
We've got Apple, Microsoft, Amazon all down 3-ish percent.
Surprisingly enough, NVIDIA was flat.
Google was actually green.
But the big one you mentioned at the top of the show there,
it's down 5%.
And that's Meta, the top corner there.
But weirdly enough, I mean, down the bottom left there,
we've got Micron up 12%, and obviously we've got earnings this week as well.
What are your thoughts on that?
That should be very interesting, honestly.
Did Micron report earnings, or are they coming up with earnings?
This week, coming.
318, yes, you're right.
You're right.
I mean, I think they're going to probably blow it out of the waters.
They're going to do one, I think they're going to probably blow it out of the waters. They're expected to run, I think.
Yeah, I see no reason. I mean, they have 26 up revisions, so it's 24 up revisions.
So it's pretty much going to be, I guess, expected.
We'll see.
Obviously, we'll jump into the earnings slide in a bit.
Oh, let me touch upon the micron for a second so previous quarter 2017 2025 december quarter they reported 13.6 billion in revenue okay the expected revenue jump is 19.18 billion so they're basically three billion extra they're
guiding this quarter come the last quarter basically.
That stock has gone quite wild.
But yeah, 12% on a week, that's kind of flat.
They must have had a bit of news,
something around that sort of thing.
But down, up, sorry, 12%.
A few other names on the screen here.
You've got Tesla down, obviously, almost 2%.
And retail trading not doing too bad as well
with Walmart and Costcoco up which is interesting
to see um yeah we'll move on to the next slide then there's the fear and greed we're down into
20 now last week we were at 25 so we're down another five points at what point do you start
buying okay or do you use the fear and greed at all no i do use fear and greed, but I generally buy things or specifically, so I buy index, which is spy or QQQ when it's closer to its, when it's like five or 10% from its all time high.
That's when I'll start nibbling in, you know, and depending upon how wild in the recovery is, if generally we see a wild v recovery then whatever you were able to add you will add um so that's that's for the index fund
for the mag 7 or the the big tech i tend to add at different moving averages so a 50 moving average
or 100 moving average or 200 but but most of the stocks that we're looking at, like Meta, for example,
Meta has been down.
Meta is what?
If you look at Meta, let me see.
That's 20% down, isn't it?
Correct, exactly.
So most of the big tech is actually
on the 52-week range.
They are closer to the lower side
or middle or closer to the lower side
for most of them.
So the problem in this market what
we have been seeing at least on the spy is has been this you know in this bar coding in this zone
and then finally this week we started seeing some sort of a direction finally forming um is this a
fake out i don't know and we'll touch upon spy in uh in a few seconds but that's that's generally
how i'll tend to add things yeah and we can see obviously we've got a few events as well coming
up this week we've got ppi fmc which are always market movers so just be careful with that that's
on the 18th so that's probably wednesday i think that's that's wednesday and friday yeah and then
friday we've got a quad witching as well so So that's when all the options expire. Yeah, so there are the four types of options,
you know, the futures index,
the futures stock options, single options,
all the four types of options expiring,
futures and options.
It's not necessarily bad or good per se.
It just means that this is going to be a lot of volatility,
a lot of contracts are going to expire.
A lot of folks are going to get into the zero DT kind of, so it's just going to be a lot of contracts are going to expire, a lot of folks are going to get into the zero DT kind of so it's just going to be a lot of volume. Not necessarily means it's going
to be good or bad. That's just you know four times a year that happens. And volume creates opportunities
doesn't it but of course it also destroys opportunities. So be careful when you're trading
like that on Friday especially on the options market market so just to add to that uh what basically we are saying is for example if you are trading options
on robin hood right so generally let's say if if a contract is expiring on a friday
you might get assigned on a thursday afternoon on a regular week but in a quad witching day it could be very well that
you might even get assigned as soon as the wednesday closes so be careful on your options
expiring this week if you are really in the money you should be looking at adjusting that contract
sooner than later like don't drag until thursday because sometimes you know robin
hood type of platforms that will go ahead and start to you know um execute those contracts so
if you didn't want to get a sign you'll suddenly get a sign that's i think that's really good
advice for the people watching here um for the options traders out there we've got a message
here from ken glad i caught the live this week we We're glad you're here, Ken. Glad we can be of service.
Hopefully we can supply some interesting content for you.
Moving on to the next slide, then we've got earnings next week.
There's a few names on here that are quite interesting around the market.
So we've got Otclo there, aftermarket on Tuesday.
Mike Cron has been mentioned a minute ago after the close on Wednesday.
We have Alibaba actually before the market close on Thursday there.
A few other names we can see are quite popular but Lululemon, D-Local, Xpeng on Friday although
that is kind of coming down a bit I think in terms of popularity. Anything else that pops
off the screen there for you K? Apart from just DocuSign I think you already covered Lululemon
that will I'll be watching that closely but then DocuSign from a think you already covered Lululemon. I'll be watching that closely. But then DocuSign from a SaaS perspective.
That's about it for me.
Are you still in your Lululemon position?
Yeah, I am still.
I'm still down like, I think, 14, 15% on it.
That's not too bad.
Let's see what they can provide for us on Tuesday.
I was on the market then.
Yeah, I think I don't expect any magics to happen
because I think in general, the consumer sentiment is pretty low.
So I'm not going to expect that, you know, I'm going to be able to recover or get out of that position anytime soon. any magics to happen because i think in general the consumer sentiment is pretty low so i am not
going to expect that you know i'm going to be able to recover or get out of that position anytime
soon that's that's basically i'll end up holding it for a while the chinese market's accelerating
isn't it that that's the only you know the silver lining yeah um okay so there's not really much
else to kind of focus on here on the on the earnings side
of things we're coming to the end of the season now um but don't worry i'll definitely be coming
back around just as quick as you can uh say earnings pretty much but on the screen now we
have two charts the first charts of the day actually we've got spy and qqq spy on the left
which is the daily chart and the qqq on the right which is the weekly chart i don't even know where
to start here but we
this kind of red box we've spoken about this for a number of months now probably
at least two months and it's been drawn on the chart for for that length of time as well
and we've you know we've talked about obviously breaking to the upside or to the lower side
uh this week we've seen obviously a break to the lower side and we can see it's kind of trailing
down to the 200 million
average, which is the top part of this cloud.
And the 300 million average is the bottom part of this cloud.
So I just kind of like clouds at the moment,
just the way I do things at the moment.
But you've got all this kind of support line around that kind
of 655, 653 area, that kind of area as well.
So I wouldn't be surprised if we get a bit further downside, i would like to see a higher low um from this area you can see on the screen here
which is probably about 652 so i would like it to get around 655 and make a higher low and push
higher but of course with everything that's going on in the market i wouldn't say that's certain
um obviously nothing is certain in the market but i wouldn't say it's let's say likely for example um so just be careful when you're out there in the markets um use it as
a you know potential buying opportunity for some certain stocks i wouldn't be buying indexes at
this point at least personally that's my view of course um so yeah just be cautious and what's
going on in the market at the moment moving on to the qqq uh okay i'll let you speak in a minute
don't worry um qqq on the right obviously, we've got some really ugly candles. These are weekly candles. You can see a massive hammer,
a negative hammer set last week and kind of the week before. A couple of dojis actually in the
two weeks before this week just posted. But this doesn't look good either. And I think we can go
to at least 570. Which makes sense because this isonacci on the weekly time frame so that you know you
think it's a bit more um stable you know solid should we say which will probably transfer to
the spy maybe spice 644 640 so yeah it's not looking great. What are your thoughts? No, I agree with your analysis and I think I'll touch upon the SPY.
We are already down 5% from the all-time high at the current point in time and we are
less than a percentage left to touch the 200 SMA. Now, 200 SMA is a long, very strong support level if that breaks there is not much volume to hold spy
until you come to the 644 where you start to see some like the middle of that range exactly
but then coupled with what is happening geopolitically that's going to matter a lot especially now if the the price of gas price of oil keeps
going up which will impact every single industry because end of the day energy is you know you use
energy to produce goods and services and all that so that's going to get impacted everything is going
to go skyrocket we are already seeing uh consumer
sentiment turning like they are not spending as much because they have to now spend more on gas
or or petrol or diesel or whatever right whatever you want to call it um so that's that that has to
be very careful now generally in springtime this this season everybody's coming off from the from
the winter and then people tend to generally
start to spend especially in the spring and summer again but if the oil prices you know keep
rocketing up and there is no solution i i i wouldn't be surprised if we actually get to the
10 down on spy which i guess you know we can in a lot of people will put that as a checklist and say, hey, we are down 10% from the all-time highs and then we are good to go.
But the problem is that there is, I don't see any news that's coming out.
I mean, if, you know, tomorrow the government says, hey, we are backing out from the war and we are, everything is great.
The market is going to rally again.
Yeah.
It's going to be interesting
because obviously we've got this
rounding pattern as well.
We spoke about this a couple of weeks ago,
how this period of time
and price action
hasn't happened for five, six years.
Yeah.
I think it was before 2020
off the top of my head.
So this price action alone
is enough to create, create obviously not much volume.
So when the volume comes in, you know, such things are happening around the world and the direction it's going to go in, it might actually come down to 15, 20% correction.
Because we haven't really had a proper correction since last April.
We haven't. And the April correction was more of, again, a weak recovery, right?
You know, you had a crash and then they took it back
and then we had a solid recovery.
The second, the problem is that even the SPY was in this range bound.
If you look at all the MAG7,
they are down considerably from their all-time highs.
They are not like 5% down from their all-time high.
They are all like considerably down. Like year all-time high. They are all like
considerably down like year-to-date meta is down 7% I think Microsoft is down probably more than that
Let's see year-to-date Microsoft are down 18%
year-to-date
It makes you wonder what's holding the spy up?
Probably the mid-caps.
Right?
I mean, I haven't done that.
I haven't looked at the analysis,
but, you know,
I think Apple is the only stock in the Mac 7,
which is 8%.
Okay, it's also 8%.
So what else?
NVIDIA, right?
NVIDIA is,
year-to-date, 3%. NVIDIA has has been flat right? What else is their Mac 7 Tesla?
Tesla is down 13%. So all these stocks are down like almost like 10, 8, between 8 and 15, 8 and 15%, 20%.
There's room to go.
There's room to go.
Okay and before we move on to the next slide,
I want to ask the people watching here
if they could possibly share the stream.
We don't do this.
I don't think we've ever done this.
But yeah, just a quick repost, whether it be the Wolf,
obviously, the Wolf stream on X or the one on YouTube as well.
We can share it with friends or whatever,
just to get the word out there a little bit.
Yeah, appreciate the support there.
We'll go on to the next slide then,
which will be basically our past performance.
So actually I won last week, surprisingly,
even though we both had negative stocks.
We're now 4-4.
Can't actually see your four.
Yeah.
I need to adjust that slightly for next week.
And it's 4-4 in the year so far,
halfway through March.
It's not too bad, level pegging.
Yeah.
It turns up, maybe.
The last five weeks we've kind of won, lost, one last it's been yeah yeah yeah i mean considering i
don't know if you if you watch rubrics performance i mean from a earnings perspective that was a
great earnings performance stock was down actually was it good yeah it was good pretty good okay i'll
have to look into that i think one of those stocks that does appeal to me and but obviously heavily depressed at the moment with everything that's going on
um but i think i think the important part we want to touch on here is obviously these are
stocks that we pick as a bit of fun from week to week um in terms of performance wise but
actually these stocks have bigger um more anticipated moves kind of moving forward so
grab is one of those i'm looking for for the two to three years even a week before of course NIO everyone knows my fact
infatuation with NIO and Joby again at least one year out rubric I picked as
well one year out and obviously it's those kind of stocks we're bringing up
to the table for people to kind of get into have a look and do their own
research on and perhaps maybe invest in them themselves of course after a lot of
due diligence but yeah we move on to the left side
of the screen then now where can we find you k well you can find me on x youtube and substack
substack i have kind of slowed down on writing but because i'm i'm hoping on uh providing more value
on substack so it's uh not going to be just like ticker symbols that, you know, but really looking at some key investment opportunities
or some key trade ideas.
So it's going to be slow on the sub stack, but it will come out.
You know, subscribe is free.
Yeah, periodically it will come out.
And I think when times are tough, obviously at the moment,
those kind of gems, they kind of get discovered.
And Kay's really good at picking those. We've seen it in year out the last three four years at least since i've known him i've known you for more than that about six years now
yeah we've always uncovered some gems for the longer term so definitely pay attention to the
sub stack there um obviously you can find me on youtube as well at sean at sean trades underscore
as well as obviously on x as you can see on the screen there okay we'll move on to I think the first pick of the week which is my pick of the
week this is one I've never brought up before and I haven't really traded it much but I like
I kind of like the set up and I like the kind of anticipation around it now it's a drone stock
this is ONDS on DAS essentially it works with Defence and of course Enterprise as well so that's kind of a
bit of an overview of what they do but generally I like the technical setup here. Now of course this
comes with a massive kind of risk warning. It's a very volatile stock as you can see.
Essentially in the last three weeks there those wicks are just wild and these are daily wicks.
You can see how much it
really does kind of move and the volatility is obviously quite high just be careful if you are
kind of looking around the stock in terms of trading of course and but i like a break to the
upside just because we have essentially three points of confidence we have the 20 million average
and the 50 million average kind of coming in below there that's the cloud that's the difference between
the cloud and we have obviously the volume profile here on the right side where my cursor is.
So that's three points of confidence there. Of course we have the support line of 960,
which is again, it's rough, but it's valid. You know, you've got a bit of resistance here back in,
what's that, December of last year, and obviously support in recent months as well.
So there's definitely support there.
It's just whether it can get that move
and breaks to the upside.
Now, if we do get that move and breaks to the upside,
I'm looking for $12.50, that sort of area, $12.50,
where this volume peak kind of pops out.
And above that, we're looking at $14.50.
But again, I want to warn you of something else.
If it does come up to $12.50, the company needs cash.
They're in a transition phase.
They need cash.
They will probably dilute at some point.
Just don't get too hopeful with a large move.
If we do get a large move to $14, $14.50 without a dilution,
I would seriously consider taking some off the table.
But again, wait for the break.
I wouldn't necessarily wait for the retest in my opinion
this one just because of how volatile it is but again that's going to come down to your risk
appetite because getting into a non-retest breakout is a tricky one made you put your stop
I'd probably put mine after the last candle blah blah blah but just be careful when you
look at these stocks like this not just this stock but stocks like this
obviously it being a defense name or linked to defense,
it's quite popular at the moment with everything that's going on.
So, yeah, I wanted to bring this to the table.
What are your thoughts on this, Robert K?
Have you ever traded it?
Yeah, I did trade ONDS, but only like two times.
And those were like, I think, bi-weekly call options.
And I closed them with decent profit like 20-30 percent I never
it's it's interesting name it's on my watch list and I and I track it but interestingly
right now it's at a point where you have the maximum volume right you have the the Bollinger
band is in the middle RSI is in the middle so and you have this little
you know the it's coming to a this you know a very very tight formation where you will see
some sort of an action the only concern that you know that that is a 50 SMA rejected in what way
because it looks like support for me oh because you're using probably EMA right I have a 50 SMA
which is 1105 okay right slightly different MAs, yeah. So that is where it got rejected.
So it's been rejected.
So it, you know, I don't know.
I mean, there was once when the wick crossed it,
but then end of the day closed below the point of control. So you have one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight rejections.
So unless we have a very massive catalyst on ONDS,
I don't know if it will break that.
But hey, a news comes out and then, know suddenly you know you gap up 10 on the other on the other side of that if you do
break above it forget a bit of volume a bit of news it makes it even you know supportive support
i mean if if it really breaks this area where the majority of the trading is happening you could
easily climb to those 11 12 13 dollar level because there is the volume completely recedes
at those levels exactly and that's the move i'm looking for exactly yeah so very interesting i
mean anything that's like always in a in a range bound and it's getting closer, getting tighter,
you will see a response, whether to the ups or the downs.
But it's getting interesting.
It's getting tighter in the range.
Yeah, it's definitely coiling up.
Interesting to see what happens this week ahead.
So that's my pick of the week, ONDS.
And we're going to move on to Kay's pick of the week, which is AMD.
You haven't had this one for a while, have you, Kay?
No, it's not.
And it's a very interesting setup here.
And the reason I say setup, it's... I'm not looking to trade AMD next week.
Let me just say that.
The reason it's a nice, interesting setup
is because we are at the close of the 200 SMA.
That is the purple line that you see on the chart.
If that breaks, it's going to fill that gap 100%.
And you know me, we talk about the gap fills all the time.
Not all gaps fit, but most do.
And at some point in time time the gap does get filled and if you see that when
we had that first gap that was back in october of 2025 we had this massive run up we tried we
touched the gap a little bit here and there and then we had another gap down so what i'm looking
at if we see a strong supported the 200 day sm, we could very well go towards the upside and fill that gap,
which is almost like 20-22% upside to that gap. Just like we're looking at a downside gap,
it's not necessary for it to completely fill the gap, but it could come at 50-60% of the gap fill
and you can see a reversal. That also has happened many times. And most of the gap fill and you can see a reversal that also has happened many times and most of the
time you know you will consider that as a gap fill and move on with life so it might not be super
clean but there is a very good chance that we may be able to hold the support but if not
then you're looking at the 300 day that's when the majority of the volume will start coming in so
very interesting place to watch because we haven't seen amd at
those levels in a long time i like um i like this and i've just spotted something else in the chart
potentially as well if you drew a line line from this this high here around 268 across the peaks
down here so follow my cursor yeah if that line would be around where that
price action is now so that's again a retest of that trend line breakout so we broke out of it
with this candle a nice strong candle as well um obviously a bit of the negative price action to
come back down and retest it obviously where that 200 and that trend line would be is a really nice
support so i don't even mind taking a trade you
know i'd have to see how the market opens tomorrow and obviously the news related to
everything that's going on um i wouldn't even mind taking the trade around kind of 192 191
and having a really tight stop loss down below these lows here i would be out of the trade
really quickly if it was to punch down but that's okay i would lose very minimal money at least in
my opinion um but the you know the reward to the upside like you say with the gap for above 235 you said that's
about 20 percent that for me is um risk to reward ratio wise that's that's really appealing so i've
just written that down on my on my notepad here so i'm looking forward to kind of doing a bit more
um analysis into that tonight uh ready for the market ahead but um no i like it and of course
like you say breaking down to the lower side that gap feels around 170 is that right correct
yep yep that is 170 just sounds ridiculous doesn't it 170 171 exactly 171 yeah so that that sounds
really nice for even like a longer term um addition for people that are holding it since
kind of 50 you know 100 it could be a nice time to add and that gap feel um but again
in the market like this you have to constantly evaluate what's going on and i know lots of
people don't like to look at the news i would have to follow the news but if you're investing
in stocks especially on a regular occasion you kind of need to pay attention to it if you know
just slightly
loosely i mean i don't watch the news every day but i know what's going on um and platforms like
x and stock tweets are not too bad for that you know i'm rambling a little bit um a and b i like
it we'll see how it performs this week um yeah so i've got onds you've got amd yep who's gonna win
put it in the chat who's gonna win um for next week? Obviously, we'll be back this time next week, 1 p.m. Eastern time, as always.
So, yeah, we'll move on to next part.
We have a comment here from Ken.
Also, I picked up Hood puts at 50 strike January 2027 expiration.
What do you guys think of that?
guys think of that what's the current price of hood uh currently it's 73 dollars
What's the current price of Hood?
Currently, it's $73.
so i'm assuming ken is talking about selling a put not buying a put so if it's selling a put
uh you must have gotten i don't know six six and a half dollars premium on it um But it's not a bad idea.
Let me see.
What's your ROI on this one?
So this is going to be 6.
So let's say you've got 6.5.
That's like a 13% ROI.
That's not bad, actually.
So basically what is happening is Ken is, if it's a cache-secured port, That's like a 13% ROI. That's not bad, actually.
So basically what is happening is Ken is,
if it's a cash secured put,
meaning Ken has put $50,000,
$5,000 on the allocated,
and then he got $650, let's say, premium.
So that's 13% of it.
So even if nothing happens, there's nothing burger,
come January, his collateral will be released and he made 13% on it.
Awesome. Well, good luck to you, Ken. Hopefully that's the details that we provided there that they were correct. If not, then obviously stick it in the chat and we discuss.
And now we're going to move on to the audience request section so make sure you put your
requests in the comments we've had a few already but we're always welcome to have more you can see
here on the screen put your particular request in the comments here um i want to talk a little
about that kind of approach to the markets at the moment obviously they're very volatile um in terms
of it i know you trade slightly differently to me because i'm a bit more of a day trader and a swing trader.
But in terms of long-term investing, I just come up with this on the spot, so I do apologize.
But in terms of long-term investing, what's your approach in the market like this?
Do you sit and wait or do you continuously add in tranches? What's your approach? For my long-term portfolio, I generally decide on the allocation percentage of each stock.
For example, let's say I want Amazon to be 15% of my portfolio.
Now, Amazon is going down.
Let's say it's like 10%.
I'm deciding, okay okay now there's a good
opportunity for me to add more to amazon to increase my allocation to 15 or if i'm building
completely a new position and i'll say okay uh i'll build uh let's say uber for five percent of
my portfolio so then i will take these opportunities when the market is pulling back to actually add
to those positions so it's not like i you know if the market is down i'm actually add to those positions. So it's not like I, you know, if the
market is down, I'm going to put money in across the board. That does, I don't do that. So what I
do is for my long-term portfolio is each stock in my portfolio has, should be at a certain percentage
level. Whenever that deviates, I add to that specific one. Now, nobody has unlimited cash.
So, you know, based on the limited cash you have, you have to pick and choose so if let's say i have to pick between meta and microsoft
you know depending upon the my interest and how i want my portfolio to look like or and more bank
for your buck i will put money in one or the other because most of the times you know you will not
have unlimited cash you know you're down 15 and you want to just put money across all the board so you have to like kind of concentrate yeah i think a lot of
people do input their money across the board as well so it's interesting you say that you focus
on more on the balancing side of your portfolio on my long term yes so on my long term portfolio
i designed it in a way where um you know i just want to build my position percentage-wise.
I don't want a certain stock to go beyond a certain level.
That's interesting.
So for me, long-term position-wise, I will add when the stock is obviously heavily red,
so low RSI and below the 200 million averages, whether it be the monthly, not the monthly,
the daily or the weekly, of course, i'll add it more on a technical basis and i'll basically if it's in
a bull market like we have been i'll just save that cash on the side i won't add as the market's
going up i'll kind of add as the market kind of goes down i don't know what people think of that
of course leave in the comments if you know what you think of that but of course i think for me i kind of hold cash until the market is depressed and then i add
through the depression yeah no i'm a strong word but you know what i mean there is there is i don't
there is any you know right or wrong way i think it depends on the cycle your portfolio size your
portfolio maturity level your your maturity level in investing, the length, how you've been
investing, right? And every year is a different kind of a theme, right? So what you are doing
this year might not be what happens next year. Exactly. Right? And some folks may follow one
methodology, some may follow another, some may follow a hybrid of many methodologies.
Everybody has their own way of doing it.
But I think in general, I think anytime you have a stock 200-day, 300-day SMA, and it's your long-term portfolio, you should add it.
That's a very generic, broad-brush suggestion.
Yeah, and of course, as we get older and we get more experienced around the markets and now even with the trading side of things it makes you realize certain things about
kind of large-term investing and your strategy towards adding these positions will change over
time. Exactly. Because the thesis of a particular ticker may be weaker or stronger compared to what you did in analysis so for example let's say tesla last year
everybody's talking about tesla going robo taxi in and expanding to multiple cities
so last year that was the narrative right now that narrative is a little shaky so do you want
to build more on it right this could be an opportunity if it's doing so again i'm not saying buy or don't buy it's you have to assess on a long-term portfolio how you are looking at
that thesis and how that thesis has evolved because long-term portfolio is very different from trading
you don't buy and sell all the time right you're you're doing strategic buys and you're doing strategic exits
definitely i feel that was enough um insight to what we kind of think around the markets and obviously if you've got any different ways or any interesting ways that you think other people might
benefit from make sure you stick it in the comments down below we'd love to hear your thoughts um okay
we get back into the stream then we get into the charting side of things yeah first is meta
we're getting to the charting side of things yeah first is meta
okay okay i'll let you talk to this one because you're in this one aren't you yeah while you are
already bringing it up so the first thing the the reason meta fell on friday was the news coming out
there ai model avocado uh is getting delayed well i don't know if the market was actually even
anticipating it's going to be delayed uh because nobody was talking about that model per se.
But again, we found the news and the stock fell.
Apparently, yesterday the news came out that they are also looking at a massive layoff
at Meta.
So, I mean, Meta has been in the realm of
getting laid off for a, like,
layoffs been a long time going on in Meta.
Like, for a couple of years now.
Like, when they screwed up with their whole
Metaverse, they did a lot of
big layoffs, if you remember.
Yeah.
And it's the same thing repeating again. Rinse and repeat.
I mean, it's catching up, right?
Meta paid 14 million dollars for
alexander wang's company it's not that he mark zuckerberg wanted alexander wang's company he
wanted that guy so basically and then you know you heard that news right meta was paying
exorbitant amount of money to the ai researchers who were actually making more than the ceo of apple can
you believe that the ai researcher at meta got a bigger package than tim cook that's ridiculous
so think about this if they are spending money over here they have to recoup somewhere else right
so they're gonna lay off people it's it's math here crazy world
i'm about to chart then obviously we've got a few gaps on the screen here you can see the green gaps
are to the lower side um the next one is 549 which is another drop of probably about 10
percent and i'm sorry 20 18 20 something like. So the reason I say that is because obviously this trend line that we've had since April of last year,
you can see on the screen here, it's broken that to the downside.
It's not filled the gap.
It's got a filled slash broken that gap as well.
So there's definitely room for more downside, especially obviously given the catalyst of the move,
as you mentioned, with the news down Friday.
I'm not saying it will.
It could bounce straight back up and hold this trend line nicely. And of course, this is a higher low
technically as well, so it's not the end of the world. We'll have to see what the price action
is in the next few days. Yeah, and then another 9% drop to 554, you're looking at that gap fill,
percent drop to 554 you're looking at that gap fill where we had that gap up back in April of
2025 so a year back yeah yeah we've got pizza that says that's wild sounds bullish yeah
we all know what AF means but yes maybe it is bullish for some people. No, I mean, I think Meta as a company and as a stock is a very, very strong ticker.
And I mean, this is definitely a blip.
And this is actually an opportunity for you to add Meta to your portfolio
or increase the position size of Meta in your portfolio.
Because you don't get this kind of a dip often in MAC7, right?
When it's below its 200 and 300 SMA.
Yeah, 23% down from all time highs.
Yeah.
Let's have a look at a weekly just quickly before we move on.
I always like to have a look at a weekly because there's always,
you know, in my head, the bigger timeframes
and their support zones are actually more stable.
You can see here on the screen, obviously,
it hasn't broken the trend line because it's still
wouldn't play technically, obviously,
depending on what happens next week.
We've got the bottom of this cloud, which is the 50 million
average.
And that's stayed in place, actually,
for the last three dips.
One here, obviously, November of last year,
and of course, January this year as well.
So there's room for support there, for sure.
So it'll be interesting to see what happens in the next couple of weeks.
Yeah.
Okay, we'll move on.
All right, next one is Adobe.
I think Peter was referring to the AI employee, the researcher.
Oh, right.
Crazy.
I mean, that was crazy.
No wonder Apple was not planning to hire anybody.
Oh, man, Adobe. I see it in a world of AI. I'm not too sure. that was crazy no wonder apple was not planning to hire anybody oh man adobe
i think adobe also i mean if you go on reddit and you read couple comments from people who
wanted to unsubscribe from the adobe uh products and the way adobe has been you know um like there was this screenshot i saw from somebody
about adobe they said adobe gave them a message that you they will charge you an early termination
fee if you actually terminate before i have never seen that happen so maybe i don't know if it's
true if it's fake it doesn't make any sense yeah it's like but again adobe has been um you know has been doing these
things in terms of charting it's difficult to say um we've got a comment here from ken
oh okay yeah how to step away very Very cool. No worries. Problem.
Okay, back to Adobe.
I don't even know how to even dissect this.
It's obviously... So here's the thing, right?
I think at the current period,
the narrative that AI cloud agents are going to replace SaaS companies is very strong. That narrative will change.
When? We don't know. Until then, regardless of the SaaS company, you may think it's the best
SaaS company out there, but there's an AI that can replace it. I don't know if it will do or not.
There's an AI that can replace it, right?
I don't know if it will do or not, right?
You know, it's even for the CEOs of ServiceNow and Salesforce,
when they go on CNBC and they talk,
people are not taking them seriously.
But, or the market, at least they pretend not to take them seriously.
But I think the narrative has to change for the price to recover here.
Right now, SaaS is in a very, very bad shape.
Very bad shape.
Yeah, in terms of technicals, if we are to continue going down uh 211 would be my point of call i've still got a bit of support here back in 2019 so there's
a long long time ago and it's support nonetheless but yeah tricky one um okay but i i would not touch
um sass at this point in time time. You want the narrative to slowly change
until that narrative changes
because you may get in today thinking it's a great price
and you will see 50% down from your position.
Exactly.
Coming here from Pete says,
African into please survive.
He might be invested in interest.
I don't think they are going to be out of business,
but sometimes the narrative can last longer
and really wreak havoc on the stock price.
Now, if you actually are getting into the lower prices for the SaaS,
the chances is it might pay you well.
But if you have been in a position for a long time, your cost basis is higher and then of course, you know, you're feeling the pain.
Exactly. It's a tough time.
But tough times...
Well, Prussia makes diamonds, doesn't it?
All right, next is Soun.
S-O-U-N. I think it's Soundhound, right?
Soundhound, yes.
This one's gone down for
quite some time i'm not too sure the link is with nvidia anymore it's clearly not as strong as it
used to be um the comment regarding this one was a bit earlier on with verla um a very regular
watcher um could you guys talk about soon i don't have the information in front of me but um maybe
k can talk to kind to what they do,
just in case anyone doesn't quite know.
I mean, I forgot what they do, honestly.
So they provide independent voice AI solution that enables businesses across the automotive,
TV, IoT, and customer service industries to deliver conversational experiences to customers
in the US, Korea, France, basically internationally.
Let me ask you this. Let me put it this way.
I don't think it's going to go out of the business in terms of
the company is going to shut down and everybody's going to leave.
I think most likely it's going to happen. If the stock
depresses even further,
it's a $3 billion market cap. What stops from any company to actually purchasing SoundHone?
Yeah, that would have been my first comment. I was going to mention what if they actually get bought.
I mean, this stock is not going to go and become a trillion dollar company, the most likely outcome is that this stock or this company is probably going to get sold
to a bigger competitor.
And that will reward the stockholders.
Oh, for sure.
Yeah.
Talking on a technical basis,
we've got a bit of a broadening wedge here.
Again, it's very loose, but it seems to be a pattern that does come into play every now and then
so maybe it moved down to kind of 670 something like that it could be worth
some sort of leap call if you still believe in the kind of company but that
also presents us as support down here which is why I've driven drawn that I
didn't know exactly like that but that looks really nice actually so 665 from a technical basis for sound hound um looks very attractive for a bit of a
punt i must admit it's not exactly a setup that i would normally take and i probably won't take
this to be fair but it's just an idea that i've had just by looking at this chart here um and
obviously obviously if you do get a bit of a bounce here then move back up to the top
side of that wedge which will be about kind of 950 to 10 dollars which is that's almost 100
um about 80 or something like that so that's not too bad at all um especially for long dated calls
yeah soundhound interesting a name that hasn't come up on this stream for quite some time so
i'm glad this has come back up um one to watch definitely not one to trade at the moment but definitely one to watch
i would say i'm gonna write that down now what's next uh i think it's panw palo also
oh a v-shape recovery for this one look at that crazy right
so we had a big dip obviously because, because of earnings. Earnings actually wasn't too bad,
judging by the little pop-up here, which you can't quite see.
Yeah, double beat by the looks of it.
Broke down, obviously, there must have been a bit of support.
Yeah, it's both on top line and bottom line, double beat.
That's good. Good news for the investors here.
Obviously, we had a bit of support at these levels.
You can see on the screen, I know it's a bit distorted,
but you've got support there, there, there, and obviously most recently here.
Bit of resistance coming up, perhaps, because we do have support that was made last year in august
we did struggle to get through it in february and we're struggling to get through it at least
on friday but friday was a tricky day for a lot of companies not just this one um which
would be interesting to see if we can hold this volume on the right and make a move towards 188.
that's an incredible move that happens. 30%, something like that.
Do you invest in PanAlto?
I have traded
PauloAlto before, but
I have not invested yet.
Cybersecurity
stocks are pretty much also hit the same as
SaaS is down.
You look at Rubrik or you look at
any other, Okta, you look at Zscaler,
you look at any other, yeah, it's the same.
CrowdStrike, they're all getting the same treatment as Sass.
Because every time Claude comes up with,
oh, we have this new module that's going to do security
and you have a 10% down day for these companies.
In this case, would you look at something,
so not you personally, but if you were bullish on cyber security you sort of could future perhaps five ten years time would
you look at something maybe like an etf i i i think so i mean see cyber security is going to
play a very very it already plays a very vital role so it has to yeah right so i i don't see at least in the near term how ai is going to because for ai because
again i'm going back to the same point i said last week so if we are saying that ai is going to take
over the world and is going to take over everything which means that your data center ramp up has to
go berserk right which means that the chip business has to go berserk right which means that the chip business has to go berserk
right which means that nvidia has to keep producing a lot of chips amd has to keep producing a lot of
chips they have to keep building all those picks and shovel play should be you know going all guns
blazing but that's not happening look at the um the data center stocks right all getting beaten up
you look at these Mag7 stocks,
which are hyperscalers like Amazon
laying off people because of
kind of recovering costs
from building the too many data centers, right?
Same with Google, same with Meta.
So the problem is at some point in time,
this whole narrative has to be,
it doesn't make any sense.
That's what I'm trying to say.
So if cybersecurity is dead and SaaS is dead and ai is going to take over then then ai picks should ai stock should
be working right they should be going all-time highs they are not so there's a completely
disconnect over here that says to me opportunity it does it does. It does. Now, question is, you have to be very selective.
You cannot just go and say, buy all three stocks of or five stocks of cybersecurity.
You have to be very selective in what ticker you want to own and which has the most potential.
So that's where you'll have to do a lot more fundamental analysis on the ticker per se.
Because see, you could get a V-shaped recovery on this
PANW, right? Palo Alto? But you could get a rejection and it could come back and you could
lose that 20% gain. Yeah, tricky one. Obviously, we'll see what happens, but if you wanted to get
a bit of a V-shaped recovery over the next next couple years, this is the weekly chart now on the screen.
Obviously, to the top of this channel here would be the target,
somewhere around maybe 240 over time.
Obviously, we're nowhere near that yet,
but just an observation that we have here today.
Okay, let's move on then.
Next is SoFi.
This one's taken a bit of a hit, hasn't it, recently? Yeah, I mean, SoFi. SoFi, this one's taken a bit of a hit, hasn't it, recently?
Yeah, I mean, SoFi is...
It's coming down to my level.
I don't know, maybe, and maybe the audience who are watching,
you know, how do they feel?
I feel, again, I have not been following SoFi for a while now.
I feel like there has been fewer conversations about the
company now uh or did the a lot of accounts don't talk about sofi i see a lot of people
you know shifting towards hood more because i see a lot of people talking about hood a lot more
compared to sofi or it's just because i don't follow sofi more enough so i don't get that
content anymore that could be the case also right yeah these platforms do have a tendency to kind of throw stocks that you've kind of looked at
more most likely yeah i didn't word that properly but hopefully people knew what that meant
we do have a bit of a trend line here on the weekly obviously it's not perfect so a bit of
a breakdown um last march but of course lots of volatility there, but the bottoms do touch. I'll zoom in a bit more
so if people can see. So this zone that we've drawn probably a couple of months ago now when
we did our research on SoFi, all of a sudden we're kind of almost at that zone. So this is a zone
that I'm kind of looking at between 14.40 and 16-ish, that sort of area.
I've just set an alert here while you were talking there.
So maybe if we can come down to 16, it could be a good time to nibble potentially.
Obviously, you'd have to evaluate the market at the time.
But yeah, I kind of like that.
And RSI-wise, we're obviously turning as well, which we've just seen.
Kind of turning around.
Not RSI, sorry, MACD. Turning around to kind of turning around and obviously sorry macd
um turning around to kind of potentially be bullish for the future at least temporarily
there's a trade in there i couldn't tell you where exactly but there's definitely a trade
in there somewhere if we get the right price action yeah i mean honestly um on the daily
i'm looking at it it's it's getting rejected from the 20 SMA and there has been what?
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 7 rejections on the 20 SMA.
So if that continues and we lose this level of 16, 90, 16, 94 level, there is not much volume left.
and then you are looking at the 1463 level on SoFi.
And then you are looking at the 14, 63 level on SoFi.
And that would be the, yeah, and that is the highest,
that has been a high multiple times.
So that could provide a good support.
I think, honestly, if it starts to get into that 14, 13, 14 range,
I start to get interested in SoFi then.
14, 13, that's the range you say, yeah?
13, 14, yeah, yeah. Yeah yeah it's a bit lower than my range
um yeah this is what that's why we do these these uh these streams for a bit different perspectives
so different types of traders um right because i i if you remember that was a couple months back
i did divest from sofi completely and i even put it on my ex yeah you said yeah i saw that yeah
and somebody was upset about it you know we'll see i'm like i just need to raise cash that's why
you can't please everyone that's what i found um when you're on the internet okay what's next
uh the last one is o-n-o-n oh is that is that the on shoe yeah no no that's on semiconductor sorry
no this one's the shoe one oh and when is a shoe one
pretty sure yeah on on i recognize the logo oh yes yes yes yes yes you're right
um difficult to say isn't it really consumer type socks um
so the last three weeks have not been good the earnings went too bad but i'm guessing the guidance
so i less than desired if you remember the narrative i'll take so the narrative against Nike was that these companies like On Shoes or Hoka or even the narrative against Lululemon that you have Vori, Alo, I guess, Alo, I don't know what it is.
They're going to come and take over the market.
The problem is they face the same problems as the bigger brand right they are just in a different life
cycle of that brand the second the point the other point is that right now the consumer sentiment is
fairly negative people are not spending as much as they would be spending because ultimately it's a
retail stock and it depends on people buying more shoes. So I think that's a challenge right
here.
It's always a tricky story to get into, isn't it? It's so competitive.
So this is what the legacy ones like Nike.
One of the news headings is ON is dealing a is dealing with tackling a high
labor cost and tariffs through
robots at its plant
so I mean tariffs is a
real thing right and that's going to remain a
real thing for the next at least couple more years
yeah to the term end
exactly
technically wise
technically wise coming down to this 35
level would be of interest for me um i won't be trading this it's not a name that interests me
at all um however there's always an opportunity in every single stock at some point but for me
it's just not something i'm comfortable with obviously this is the weekly chart so this is a
bit more dramatic coming down to 35 i've to 35 about three dollars actually until that happens and you can see nice
resistance back in 2023 uh once twice and once again in 2024 support um kind of middle 2024 and
twice within 2025 as well so there's definitely that area of around 35 dollars yeah it's very very interesting very
interesting we break that it gets very very dark um potentially but 35 would be an interesting
place to to get to and whether we get there or not is another thing but it's looking like it's
definitely making its way down there again um but yeah as i say i'm not overly interested in
this stock let's jump into the daily quickly while we're here.
Yeah, similar sort of thing.
We've got a gap fill here as well, which I know you like.
Gap fill is around $35.85.
So maybe that's an area of interest to kind of get involved.
Around that kind of $35.36.
I'm going to put it on my watch list and just watch it.
So perhaps if it comes back up in a couple of live streams time and we
can have a few more words on it. Yeah and see I personally think that all these stocks which are
retail stocks for that the consumer sentiment has to improve right people have to spend money
on buying products that's ultimately the issue right the? The tariff, the wars, high energy cost, high interest rate, it doesn't help these companies.
And ultimately, if you're going to compete, you're competing for the same consumer which has limited discretionary income to spend.
So they're going to ultimately go for the cheapest out there.
Now, let's be honest, ON is not the cheapest shoe cheapest shoes it's great but it's not the cheapest shoe no i've never actually worn a pair
it's pretty good actually i like on yeah i have a i have a i have two pairs of on it's pretty good
i'm a new balance guy personally i have a hoka i have a i have two on i like i like on yeah i want to buy a pair of
hokkas um are they running shoes to run huh who are they just designing hoka hoka whatever you
call it hoka it's it's um i think it's a are they running shoes it's just a kind of no they they
they know they they have a running shoe i have the hiking shoe from them, though. I remember my wife mentioned it before
around running side of things.
I mean, it's very popular in New York.
I mean, if you go to New York City,
you'll see people just running in Hoka all the time.
Oh, there you go.
Yeah.
And then after Hoka,
ON took over,
and suddenly you started seeing people,
you know, running in that ON shoe.
Now, I haven't been to the city in a while,
so I don't know what they're running in now,
but you know,
you can see the trend.
Yeah.
Okay.
Right.
That's the end of another live stream for us.
It's obviously the middle of March as well.
So we'll be back next week.
Hopefully it's,
it's been insightful.
We had a little section in the middle talking about long-term investing,
kind of what our thoughts are
around kind of adding
at these tumultuous times.
That's a great word as well.
That's a great word.
I was struggling for that.
Yeah, it just came out
off the top of my head.
But yeah, no, thank you very much
for everyone who tuned in.
We really appreciate it.
Obviously Verla, we had Peter today.
Ken has come in a few times,
obviously before.
And Ramesh at the top of the
stream as well we appreciate all the names um I'm sure we get a few more watches on the post
recording as well obviously people are busy around 1 p.m um on the east coast at least I'm not too
sure on the west coast but what's that like 11 11 a.m yeah three hours behind yeah so it's 10 a.m
um yeah actually in the west coast so they're just waking up getting used to their day and that's
completely fine um anyway I'm kind of ruffling a little bit thank you very much to wolf and that's with the platform we
really really appreciate it um yeah any final words here okay enjoy the next week man let's have fun
be safe yes and we'll see you guys next week yeah we had that was it cpr something coming
out this week yes uh and fmc yeah so it's gonna be a volatile week make sure
you trade safe and take care and uh we'll see you next week see you next k take care bye
