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Why did prediction markets go mainstream right now?
Recorded: Jan. 27, 2026 Duration: 1:25:19Space Recording
Short Summary
In a recent AMA, experts discussed the rising significance of prediction markets in the crypto landscape, highlighting their role as decentralized platforms that aggregate user sentiment and provide actionable insights. With a focus on community engagement through initiatives like giveaways, the conversation underscored the shift from traditional airdrops to more interactive and outcome-driven opportunities, reflecting broader trends in user behavior and market dynamics.
Full Transcription
Thank you. Thank you. you
Hey guys waiting for non-speakers to join us. Could you please let me know in the comment section if you hear me well and
Whether my internet connection is good and the sounds clear Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. you Guys a few more moments. We're waiting for another speaker to join us. Also, Chucky,
hello, happy to see you here. Can you please accept the invitation as a co-host if you're
going to speak and be a part of it? Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. you Had any glad you joined, could you please approve the request for co-hosting so you
could speak? Thank you. Good!
So seems like we are ready to start finally. Also, I saw the comment yeah, happy to have you here. So, let's
get started. Hello everyone once again. Welcome and thank you for joining us today. Super happy to spend the time with you. Before we start we have a quick announcement about what we are doing here. and $50 in free bets split between five people.
So in general, five winners and $30 each.
It's kind of promo code.
And to receive this, the rules are very simple.
You need to stay with us from the beginning of the AMA until the end.
We will fix the participants at the start and again at the end of the MA.
And after the stream, we will record a short video where we will be selecting the winners for the specific service by random.
And we will publish a post tagging of the winners so please keep an eye on our feet after the stream today we will be talking about
prediction markets as you as you can see the topic of the conversation this is a
topic that's getting more and more attention in crypto right now and we want to
unpack this narrative together with the community, with you,
because that's what's really happening right now and we're curious why people care about this,
why prediction markets, cybernip, you everywhere. And I will quickly introduce myself and the platform.
My name is Sonia and I will be hosting this event today.
I'm a part of the Deadspot team.
It's a platform, as you know, where we focus on on-chain mechanics,
user engagement and new market formats.
Today we are having Crypto Revolution Masters aka Danny. Danny, so happy to have you here.
Could you please quickly introduce yourself, what you work on, how we connected to prediction markets or the space in general.
Hey everyone, sorry for the late, but this time zone sometimes is a little messy.
So happy to be here with all of you today.
My name is Dani, founder of CryptoRevolution Masters.
My name is Danny, founder of Crypto Revolution Masters.
I'm in Web3 already a few years.
Started my crypto journey back in 2017, actually.
One of the very first Binance users as well.
Maybe using Binance few days after they were live.
And yeah, prediction markets actually are a hot topic lately,
so we'll dip more into them.
into them and you guys also I mean involved in everything in web3 I mean I
do everything I also do conferences sometimes I go to conferences I speak
to conferences it's a lot of different things.
So I'm not just your regular KOL who is just giving some signals.
No, no, no.
I'm far away from that.
I'm in many things and I like to speak for many things, not just for one thing.
So thank you.
Thank you for the invitation, Dexport.
Yeah, you're totally not the regular KOL.
That's why we're happy to have a conversation with you about this Y topic.
And speaking about that, I'd like to you know quickly go deeper into
that to introduce this kind of topic to the audience what are prediction markets
in a simple way is a market where people trade on the outcome of future events it can be anything from selection
elections sports future prices or even product launches or very niche events and the idea itself
is not new at all as you might know prediction markets actually existed long
time before crypto speaking about traditional prediction markets which
were used in finance and economics and even academic research to aggregate
opinions and probabilities and a fun fact about this, prediction markets were often more accurate than individual experts
or polls because they combine many independent opinions into one market signal.
And it's a very good point to discuss today, exactly opinions of people that are affected
Exactly opinions of people that affect by conviction markets
by prediction markets.
Another interesting detail about that earned prediction markets were sometimes used inside companies to
You know some kind of forecast internal decisions like product success or timelines
You know some sort of internal tools for research and
Now it's happening in crypto.
So prediction markets in crypto are decentralized, open, global and permissionless.
Anyone can participate, anyone can create a market, and everything is settled exactly on chain and this removes a lot of friction.
So no geographic limits, no need to trust the central authority and that brings a very very
deep context because prediction markets became an important topic right now because we see them gaining attention
across the space uh as you know people talk about them on twitter they show up in discussions
and they feel like a narrative worth unpacking so big question that we will be talking about right
now why prediction markets are and why they are suddenly matter and
That's where I want to
Move next with my honest opinion or let's call this hypothesis
So from my point of view prediction markets feel popular today
Not because the idea is new because it isn't
But because the crypto environment has changed in some sense so the narrative of airdrops which you are mostly familiar with
is gone the era of easy and fast money with zero thinking is not what it used to be
and fast money with zero thinking is not what it used to be.
But crypto users still love fast outcomes,
small entry amounts and minimal time investment.
And prediction markets fit perfectly into that.
So you don't need to lock funds for months,
you don't need to grind for months, you don't need to grind for months you need to
make a decision you just place that and you get a result so it's very crooked simple and
for me it feels very native to how quickly you would already think so the hypothesis is prediction markets became popular now because they replaced
an old metal with a new one, a different format of quick engagement and potential profit.
And I'm really curious to hear what you didn't think about that, because it might be completely different from my hypothesis and starting
from the beginning of the prediction markets why do you think it matters in this particular market cycle this was for me right
Sofia
yes yes exactly for you
also
sorry Danny can I drop a quick
notification for
listeners
guys you can raise your hand and
join our discussion
if you have things to
speak and to elaborate on.
I see many
quests from you and
I think I will be
accept
all of them while
Danny is speaking.
So yeah, Danny, sorry for interruption, you can go ahead.
So why prediction markets matter actually? It's because for me personally,
they become way more than just like some infrastructure.
It's... they are practical now.
I can say they're practical and they are relevant at time when volatility is high, you know, in crypto market.
We have seen last few weeks actually last few weeks
how is market going also they turn decentralized sentiment into
forecasts that the first forecast forecast you can measure actually.
And it's in like in macro, in crypto, in the prediction markets, they help signal expectations ahead of events.
And we have seen actually even before especially like a year ago with the
with the voting for US president it was predictions was a hot topic about Donald Trump. So another thing, unlike traditional markets that are based
on fundamentals or technicals, prediction markets they reflect event outcomes, not just price speculation.
So you can bet on a lot of events, actually.
There is more and more prediction markets coming. And you can even...
Actually, you can...
You can predict everything now, pretty much.
You can predict everything now pretty much.
And the other thing which is important and I want to mention is that prediction markets, they act as real-time barometers for risk and reward expectation in a way better way than capital one step
thank you okay that's quite that's quite interesting
yeah uh any of new speakers would love to elaborate on this question
yep you can just unmute because you are already accepted.
Can you hear me? Am I audible?
Yep, yep.
Yep, yep.
All right. Thank you for the opportunity.
My question is, what is a marketing strategy?
How do you intend to reach out to non-speaking English continents
continent in order to make your project go globally. Thank you.
in order to make your project go globally?
Oh sorry could you please come again because I'm not sure that I got the question.
Can you hear me now? Uh yep. All right I said my question is um what is your marketing strategy
and um how do you tend to reach out to non-speaking English continents
in order for your project to go globally?
Oh my God, sorry.
Can you please put it in the text in the comment section?
All right.
I will do that.
And do you have any ambassador program?
Oh, yeah.
Which I'm going to do. You can check it out on our landing page,
or I will elaborate in the end of the AMA, if you don't mind.
So if you'd like to join us as an ambassador,
you can apply on our landing page or we will
handle this by the end of the AMA.
Guys, please could you join this conversation to speak about prediction markets and all
the questions that are not related to that particular view, we can handle at the end. Hello.
Can I ask my question?
Hello.
Okay. My question what is your strongest advantage that you think will make your team leading the market? That's my question
Okay, see guys if you don't mind can we please
Put all the questions that are not relative to the prediction markets into the comment section
And I will answer at the end of the AMA and now as time is going
We can just talk about prediction markets and if you'd like to join in this particular theme you can
Okay
Can I ask another question?
yeah it was relative to position market of course it did what is your vision and
Yeah, it was relative to prediction market of course it is
mission and what is your target audience okay okay yeah speaking about our
mission it's all about you know simplifying new journey and people betting if you are into sports or
games you can quickly engage with the export platform by making deposits in
crypto without any friction without without any doxing
your personal data.
So, yeah,
I think it's all about that.
Thank you so much.
Actually, Sofia,
sorry,
he just mentioned why people target, maybe I can add something for prediction markets here, if you don't mind.
Of course, of course, the place is yours.
the best with prediction markets is that actually you don't need like a big knowledge to enter the prediction markets,
you don't need technical expertise to enter, it's just they have very lower barriers so everyone can just go and predict the event he likes and also the connection with the wallets, with the decentralized exchange, with DeFi ecosystems.
DeFi ecosystems, it's making it easy to participate in all the prediction events out there.
So yeah guys, it's way easy than like doing for example futures or something is so easy to participate in prediction markets you just
find the event you like and you just predict and that's it thank you sofia
um sorry if there were any questions to me please uh come again with it hello can you have me now
i am me please come again with it hello can you help me now I am your head hello yep yep you can speak okay okay thank you thank you for the opportunity my
question is what makes Solana more attractive than other lovers on Bolot Saint Trude?
This is my question.
What makes Solana more what?
Sorry.
Repeat my question.
Yeah, what makes Solana...
If you're speaking about Solana, what makes Solana more what?
about solana what makes solana more what what what makes solana more attractive than other
lower on blockchain today
oh yeah i guess solana yeah i guess solana had its momentum on the market uh because it's you know um
the market because it's you know just answer all the market requests first of
all it's it is speed and it's all about TPS and low commissions low taxes, low gas fees.
And in this cycle, from a point of view,
people just don't ready to pay for every move and for every on-chain action. They want it to be executed very fast, cheap, and without any extra friction.
And Solana just gives it to people, to regular users, to newbies,
to people who are into minis or defile trading on any other on-chain activity.
So, yeah, I think it's all about it's all about
onboarding which you know for me Tom blockchain just couldn't handle and
Solana just did this right and in right time Donnie and Danny maybe you have
another perspective on this question?
Yeah, yeah. Thank you. Thank you very much.
Clear to answer.
Thank you. So, you know, Suana has always been one of the fastest blockchains out there.
And it's a lot of prediction market actually you can use
to predict.
So it's any...
It's the taxes on Suwana blockchain are one of the lowest ones in the market.
So it's definitely a good one.
You know, the interesting thing actually about Suwana I can mention.
It's years ago actually.
And you guys can go and search on my profile i was talking about swana when was
under 10 dollars and everyone was laughing at me but you can see when is where is swana now
and how the team is what the team is building actually and how is Solana going so pretty much one of the
fastest
blockchains
out there and will improve
in the next few years
yeah I think in some way
I think it's
in some perspective Solana
you know covers all the entertainments in crypto.
So if it can be compared with our real life,
Solana is some sort of entertainment park for users.
Because there are a lot of memes, there are a lot of narratives that we can just unwind from a greeting routine, etc.
There are no, as far as I know, at least, there are no airdrops that people need to greeting from day and night.
Solana is just a simple entertainment entertaining if I can say that but it's it's only from my point of view
If you have another question or another perspective on this you can talk in comments or just unmute and speak
Danny, how do you think?
Should we keep going with prediction markets?
Hello, can you hear me?
Yeah, we can hear you.
Okay, so my question for prediction markets,
with global regulation and, you know,
gambling laws stay unclear in many regions.
So how are projects in compliance
without like holds and innovation of prediction markets?
Oh, that's a good question. Danny, can you handle this?
Can you please repeat the question?
Okay. With global regulation and gambling, like Stenonclair mini-region, how are projects
balancing compliance without hosting innovation of prediction market?
You know even you have regulation in your country, yeah, gambling is maybe prohibited in some countries. Still, you can, there is a lot of platforms that even you don't need to know your customer, you don't need to verify yourself and you can predict an event as i said that's that's the beauty of prediction
market that it's it's available everywhere you can predict everywhere and it's uh easy to
easy to predict and you know it's actually in this cycle as some people they are calling this cycle
even super cycle if you are are actually following easy you know he he's calling that we we will be cycle decide this year so prediction markets they bridge the gap between
sentiment and actionable data so they offering participants a way to both
measure and monetize so yeah even as I said even with the regulation it's a lot of people
they just do VPN and they can predict thank you
thank you then any other questions beyond the prediction markets or we can move forward with it?
Okay, so Danny, as far as I recall, you broke down the question why the market feel more relevant than before,
right?
And I'm just curious to have another question about users' behavior.
What changed in users' behavior and expectations regarding production markets compared to another cycle narratives?
Thank you, that's a good question.
Let me try to answer shortly. The first thing is users, actually, they no longer want passive charts.
You know, they not just want someone to throw a chart at them and to tell them by yourself.
They want forward-looking signals tied to real outcomes.
This is very important today.
And you know, the other good thing of prediction markets
are actually they allow users to profit from forecasting skills.
And then we know actually a lot of people they are good in this
and also users they can expect cross-market integration like
tokens, staking, you know, a lot of prediction markets, they already fit in this, because
some of the prediction markets, they have tokens, you can buy these tokens, you can
stake these tokens, and there are a lot of utilities of holding these tokens.
utilities holding these tokens and it's you know prediction markets they they have way higher
engagement than the regular markets of course this is happening right now i have way better engagement and it's like you can call
demand for transparent pricing of uncertainty fosters greater heralian
so a lot of people they just predict
collective on the markets
so it's they are giving way more opportunity opportunities actually than the regular markets as I can say and they are
way more
it's way
easy to understand them
thank you Sofia
yeah that's an interesting
take and also I just saw
the question from
actual if I can
pronounce it well
it goes like in a few years, do you see creation markets being taken seriously by mainstream finance
or staying more niche and entertainment focused?
So that's a good question.
Thank you very much for this.
I can see this as i have mentioned this before i think that tradition markets went far away from
just traditional um betting and traditional production markets it it is already a very
uh a very big narrative among uh crypto users and uh i don't think it's I don't think it's niche or entertainment
focus for to be honest because it really affects the social interests and social social mindset, if I can say that. So only because of this, it's already not a niche or entertainment focused.
Danny, what do you think about that?
Of course, I also believe it's just the start for prediction markets and the future should be bright for them and should be good. term in web 3. Not just like you know we have a lot of meme cycles for example some memes they
are getting popular and they die after that but I believe prediction markets they will list because
there are there are millions of events around the globe every day so it's just the beginning for me
yeah I feel the same it's it's very important for me is the contrast with
what we saw before I mean a lot of people were spending nights
grinding airdrops, as I mentioned before,
with very unclear logic.
And it was a white narrative before,
I mean, in a previous cycle.
And now production markets are very different from that.
So if I can speak about airdrops now prediction markets are very different from that so
If I can if I can speak about airdrops as an entertainment narrative for users
it will be very fair because I
Don't know just feel like that people were sitting day and night
doing quests or just clicking through simple tasks and winning points and all of the gamifying meta that we were seeing from time to
time. Prediction markets are very different because it's much more
transparent and you understand what you are betting on and what's mostly important
you think before you act you know if we're speaking about airdrops you don't think at all
like you don't think about the project that you are involved in you don't think about um potential income because you don't know about that
but in prediction markets you see the you know you see the event that you are going to bet on
and you will be seeing the result of it uh in short time in a short perspective. So, yeah, I think it's much wider than an entertainment narrative, if I can say that.
So it's like a product of mature market, you know?
Yeah, I like the naming of mature market.
If we can speak about prediction markets as mature markets. It's it's it's not an entertainment at all
What do you think then I?
Agree with you here fully agree. Okay. Thank you
So yeah speaking about about nature and maturity, we've already talked about previous cycles
and we already talked about prediction market as a whole narrative.
Also, we just spoke about users and its behaviors and its expectations.
So the main question that we need to talk about right now,
why are prediction markets getting attention exactly right now?
Because for me it feels like this is just a popularity.
Maybe it's just because the old forms of fast mining Started to disappear
Like as I mentioned before the airdrops for example
To burn as airdrops is a very is a very good
Description of fast mining
So it's already gone
And the desire for quick results never left crypto users to you
seek for that and it just change shape you know prediction markets feel like you in new form or
the same impulse or intention but in just in a more structured and interactive form so
then what do you think why prediction market getting attention right now why it's a narrative right now
no actually i'll give you a short answer here uh you know in earlier cycles, people mostly they wanted just answers.
And now in this cycle, they want probabilities. So, you know, many people, they say that the prediction markets didn't fail before they were
waiting actually for a cycle where insights are more valuable than
attention and the moment is now. The moment came.
So this is it, Sofia.
Yeah, I think earlier cycles were, you know, full of easy opportunities and, you know, shady ones when people just don't need to think too much,
as I mentioned.
We just needed to be, you know, early birth as it as it often called and
the prediction market just require attention and opinion is I can say that
and attention was very cheap back then there was no pressure to use tools like this. So this time, why position market changed in user behavior, for example,
because time became more valuable as we already discussed it before.
People simply don't want to waste time and production market just ask for
very little time and very little capital and very little commitment if there is so and that makes
them i mean incredibly efficient for today's users, I think.
And for this cycle, it feels like it's very slower and more maybe skeptical.
And as I have mentioned, it's more mature.
And prediction markets reward timing and thinking instead of blind optimism as it was before,
when people just clearly had no idea why they are doing this or that.
So that's why they resonate now in a way they couldn't before, you know, from my perspective.
before you know from my perspective the main very interesting question about
users is who do you see using these markets today I mean I don't see only
traders I see people who like opinion and answering on previous question about entertainment narrative.
I said that prediction markets really affect social mindset.
So now people can literally give the results of their honest opinion.
Like people who want to express a view on what will happen next
even with small stakes and maybe this emotional involvement is very powerful
and that's why prediction markets have a wider audience and much more wider than
for example airdrops or mini coins or another narrative that are popular right now.
What do you think about them?
Who exactly are a target audience for prediction markets today?
You know, prediction markets are more frequent and they have high impact events.
Like you have mentioned airdrops, but a lot of people, they work a lot of months for these airdrops
and at the end, they just don't get anything.
Projects disappear or they get just a few dollars for all their work.
So prediction markets, there is higher demand for outcome-based markets.
They have also better liquidity aggregation across DeFi
And you know before, markets were focusing more on price rather than the information
with the prediction market. This is not...
It's not like this.
And the prediction markets, you know, they don't live in isolation.
They are not pulling into trading governance or DeFi flows.
As you said, pretty much everyone can participate.
It's not necessary to be a trader or to, as I mentioned,
to get some skills.
Even without skill, you can participate in the prediction markets.
Yeah, I just wanted to add a quick and very short opinion about that.
I wanted to mention about users' interaction, continue the thing with airdrops.
I think that prediction markers just got users in some kind of emotional attachment because being right feels very good and
so answering the question how do users usually interact with prediction markets i can say it's
very light because you don't need to do deep research or complex strategies. It's not about strategies at all.
You see the majority of opinions and you just go like that.
Don't you think that maybe people do make complex strategies and deep research in the digital market?
Because I'm really interested in user engagement. complex strategies and deep research in the different markets.
Because I'm really interested in user engagement, in particularly these questions, like how users interact with them.
Hello, GMGM, can you help me now?
Yeah, I can hear you.
Can I ask my question?
Yeah, it was a question for Dan, but yeah, you can go ahead and join me.
No worries.
Okay. My question is, which Soluna best project made you most bullish on the ecosystem?
This is my question.
Sorry, your microphone was kinda blurry. Could you please come again?
No, I still can't hear you. Can you please put it via the text?
Hello?
Yeah, it's buried by town.
Can I read it next to you?
No, you should totally do something with your microphone.
Okay, I will wait for your again with my question to you?
Yeah, go ahead, please.
Yeah, I said that I'm just curious about interactions between users and prediction markets.
And for me, it feels very light. Like, you don't need to go with deep research or
complex strategies but it's my perspective do you think people haven't um like do you think
people do this deep research before going into production markets or they just see the majority of opinions and go to
this option
no actually you know
actually with the prediction markets i can also mention a dexport sinceport since it's part of it.
As I said, this is the beauty of prediction markets because we see
crypto and sports fans, we see Web3 participants,
we see speculators and traders, we see speculators speculators and traders we see
token holders
we see gaming
communities
so it's pretty much
everyone out there
okay so
do prediction markets affect how people think about the outcome or about the result?
As I said, this is the beauty of Prediction Market because they don't just get the people
who are thinking just for the outcome, they get both.
They get the people who like to gamble and the people who like crypto enthusiasm. It's a mix.
Actually, you can call this a mix.
It's like traditional betting
with decentralized market
dynamics.
So you get a mix
in the prediction market.
Okay, now I get it.
Now I get it. Sorry.
Didn't get it before once you said
it's a mix.
And also, how do tradition markets influence market sentiment in general?
I mean, they turn opinions into numbers.
and that alone change, I mean, everything instead of bulk emotions on social media that people are used to express,
And that alone change, I mean, everything.
you get something measurable and I can say comparable.
So what do you think exactly prediction market affects in a global market like in global
sentiment hello GM GM yeah just a little bit so I can answer the question
yeah and then you guys can go uh here with yours
sir can i another one more question
hello sir just a little bit patience so uh sofia let me answer your question people people they don't have
patience which is uh you know i have been this is a little bit outside the prediction market
i i am talking about the patience in crypto and web streams to make it in this space to make it
even in the prediction markets you need patience to make it in this space, to make it even in the prediction markets, you need patience.
To make it in life, you need patience.
If you don't have patience, you're not going to make it.
This is the most important thing when it comes to regular life, when it comes to crypto,
when it comes to trading, when it comes to predicting markets. So the impacts of prediction markets.
As liquidity grows, prediction markets can act as leading indicators,
often moving before spot for traditional markets and you know instead of asking what do people think
users in traditional markets they see what does the market believe will happen
you know this is the interesting thing uh whoever out there, could you please turn off your mic?
And, uh, you know, the sentiment becomes, uh, quantified, comparable over time and actionable.
overtime and actionable. User prediction prices as inputs for trading strategies,
like you can use this for your trading strategies. Also, they run markets as feedback mechanism rather than rewind solely on forums or snapshots.
And the interesting thing is prediction markets, they act as a soft forecasting infrastructure. I mean, we can use them for price theories, for track shifting expectations around macro
or regulatory events.
And the most important thing, prediction markets, they don't replace analysis, they aggregate.
they are dedicated.
Yeah, that's
a good takeaway
that it's some sort of
aggregation.
It's
a really good one. Thank you, Benny.
I think that
the main and the
main question from
today
what kind of long-term value can they create for the whole crypto ecosystem?
Because we have already discussed that traditional markets have its own beauty in mixed opinions.
beauty and mixed opinions it creates a huge affection for regular users for
institutions for traders and all of the people from crypto and what is the
long-term value that you can determine right now for the whole crypto
system determine right now for the whole crypto ecosystem.
You know, there is actually a lot to say here because
the long-term value
it's
I can
talk for many points here, but
most important
thing is that prediction markets, they create
long-term value by turning
uncertainty into a shared tradable
signal that improves decision-making
capital
efficiency and trust across the ecosystem.
it's efficiency and trust across the ecosystem. So,
it's, you know, they are... Yeah, Danny, are you with us?
Sorry, my internet is not good, it seems.
Yeah, that's great.
I mean, yeah, yeah, sorry.
The prediction markets, they create a living probability layer that reflects what the informant participants believe will happen.
And they provide a historical record of how Belize evolved over time. I mean, there is
asked for
long-term value. It's
a lot to say here. I mean, we can talk
another one hour for the long-term
values.
I guess this is
a good thing
for another AMA that we are going to
have with you.
To summarize
and to add a little
into your opinion, I can
see that prediction markets can be
a life signal layer.
I mean, we have a lot of layers
right now. It's L1,
L2, it's roll-ups,
it's even reputation layers as as i don't know galaxy passport
uh zvx core or trust labs or i can call that trust elapsed so all of the layers we have right
now and prediction markets can be another huge layer for the whole crypto
called signal layer it's a very massive big way to understand what people actually believe
not just what they you know say publicly in social media but what they actually believe
and that's extremely valuable and speaking about the long-term perspective of the markets
uh it can be like poor group or crypto primitive if i can say that a way to organize and collect
expectations but in a transparent and even on-chain way if we are speaking about the central-like crypto markets.
So it's kind of something that's been slowly forming and is finally getting attention.
And this is a super huge narrative that we will be elaborating even more in our upcoming AMAs.
So keep an eye on our announcements.
I can say that we have a very great conversation on this, Danny.
Thank you so much for joining us today.
And I can say that we can make a little conclusion about prediction markets so my above this that was about changing
cycle kind of was approved so prediction markets all about opinions and expectations and information and incentives
all of the things that
previous cycle in my point of view
had not have and
They turn what people think and feel about the future into something measurable in numbers
What makes them especially interesting is that they sit between
entertainment and decision making and yes they can be engaging in fun but as i have mentioned
before it's not about all of them i mean future markets are not about only entertainment because they create signals and can be a
huge signal layer for the whole crypto so yeah Danny if you have any other
conclusion for this conversation please go ahead
Yes, you know, actually, I'm going to talk here, you know, I think, matter the most valuable decide where capital should go and this is exactly where prediction markets are becoming that wire so
it's uh you know prediction markets do what price market
market do for value so way or i don't know way better than traditional market at the moment
and way more accessible way easier to understand
thank you yeah thank you Danny thank you for a very huge explanation of your opinion.
I think I can take some time to answer a few questions from the comment section because
we are kind of running out of time.
There was a question about marketing strategy that we used to be connected to non-English speaking regions.
It was something, how do we plan to reach non-English speaking regions to go global?
So first of all, thank you for your question.
I think that global growth starts with simplicity.
It's not about language alone.
So I think we go with clear user experience and, you know, intuitive mechanics and culturally,
relevant narrative, meta, modern, heavy marketing.
So local communities and regional partners and localized content help projects scale naturally.
And I think that's exactly what we are going to stick to to go beyond english-speaking
users um thank you for the question uh the next one is about e me ev and front running
that is existing across the five how serious are these risks for prediction markets and how do you mitigate them?
Speaking about us and us being connected to prediction markets, it's a very good question that I would like to request to you.
to you go to comment section and answer whether the export is need prediction
market section and option and would you like to be would you like to be engaged
in prediction markets using the export because we will be you know reading your
comments and of course we'll keep it in mind.
So speaking about front-running of Core of DeFi,
I think it's just a risk,
especially in fast-moving markets.
And maybe prediction markets just need a strong market design,
like clear resolution rules,
time-based mechanics and maybe maybe
infrastructure that use exploitable behavior Danny do you have something in
mind regarding this question
Can you please repeat the question?
Yeah, it's about MEV and front-running that exists across DeFi.
How serious are these risks for prediction markets? Danny, are you with us? Okay, while Danny might have a bad internet connection again, I can pick up another question.
Aside from volume and TVL, which metrics show that the market is actually healthy?
Thank you for your question i think we'll look at repeat participation like
um it's called retention uh how even liquidity is distributed and how often markets resolve
cleanly and whether users come back after outcomes are settled you know so yeah we first of all determine retention
uh the second question about liquidity is often hard especially for niche markets what strategies
have proven most effective here i think liquidity works best when markets are you know well scoped and
outcomes are easy to understand and clear incentives fever but higher
quality markets and good timing matter more than launching hundreds of markets at once.
Danny, do you recover your internet connection? Can you hear?
Yeah, I can hear now.
Okay, good.
Would you like to answer the question that I addressed to you or...
Shall we summarize it up and go to the conclusion?
Maybe we can go to the conclusion in future.
Mujun, thanks, you too.
Yep, sure.
Yep, sure.
Guys, for all the questions that I didn't ask today, I'm really sorry, because we are kind of running out of time.
I will conduct maybe a quick article gathering all the questions that you asked today and I will personally
answer all of the questions in an article and we will you know drop this
into our blog and double announce it via our socials to keep in mind that get into a little drop we talk about
rich markets it's a very big thing much bigger than just betting or entertainment
and it's a very broad space that brings together opinions expectations and signals about the future and
what makes them special is that they turn collective thinking into something
visual visible visible oh my god and actionable it's not about just fun because it's very very meaningful for the market as Danny said
Thank you so much to Danny for joining us and for sharing the perspective on traditional markets
Thanks to all of you that for all of your questions
Quick reminder about the giveaway. We will
Announce the results after the AMA so stay focused on that
Right after the stream we will record the short video
And we'll select the winners by the way
so yeah
Thank you for joining us. Thank you for joining us thank you for
asking questions
Danny thank you so much
for sharing your
opinion and perspective
and thank you so much
for being our
main KOL
I hope that
we will be
having another
another joyful
on prediction markets
and maybe
we will circle back on this with an update,
some kind of product update.
So, yeah, I think we can drop a call.
Thank you very much for joining.
See you very soon.
Thank you, Sophia.
Thank you, everyone, for joining. Thank you, Sophia. Thank you. Thank you, everyone, for joining.
Thank you for inviting me.
I just want to finish, actually, with something very short.
You know, just like price markets answer the question,
what is this worth right now?
You know, the prediction markets answer what is likely to happen next so very simple guys you just
find the right answer of this question what is likely to happen next and you will make it in
the prediction mark the markets and as sofia said what is what is likely to happen next here maybe we will have another uh
a i may and we'll talk about uh prediction market maybe in few weeks again and now also
we will see the question in the comments and am i i might answer some questions in the comments if I have
time in the evening later
so thank you everyone for joining
and thank you for inviting me
thank you
thank you for listening, thank you for joining
see you in the upcoming AMAs
stay focused on our updates
and announcements
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and, you know,
be in the loop with us.
Have a great evening.
Have a great time.
Bye-bye. .
