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Why This Week Could BREAK the Markets! [Crypto & Stocks]
Recorded: March 31, 2025 Duration: 0:29:38Space Recording
Short Summary
The crypto market is experiencing a decline with Ethereum and Bitcoin showing significant losses. Trends indicate a bearish market with altcoins particularly vulnerable. Innovations in automated trading, such as smart bots and PINEX bots, are emerging. Technical indicators like the 50% level and RSI suggest potential support and trend reversals. Security measures like NordVPN are emphasized for safe trading practices.
Full Transcription
tariff week also known as liberation day uh which trump has called it in the us and this is going
to affect markets if you have a look over here you can see this is where they're going to be imposing
those 20 tariffs right to more than 25 different countries around the world and you can expect
this is going to bring volatility into the market and you can actually see it right now you can see
the market busy pricing it in within the crypto sector we'll talk about what this means for your favorite altcoin as well as bitcoin where are things going next we'll talk
about the stock market make america great again you can see if you do look at the stock market
heat maps well the majority of the things are down significantly so smash the like button hit
the bell notification and subscribe to the channel if you're not ready subscribe and we'll get straight into the show content there's a lot to talk about because it is getting really really serious out
there right we spoke about this last week we've warned you actually for the last month or so
you know in the sense that the volume has been diminishing any price rally into that with low
volume could be a trap and we're looking for a local top or the next
lower high to form at least um anywhere around the 50 level is the first area of interest and we said
if it does smash through that maybe you come into the golden pocket of the 0.65 to 618 and then the
stock market comes down now you need to be paying attention to the stock market because the stock
market is ultimately going to drive the cryptocurrency markets, right? Crypto is going to be looking to the stock market for direction and the stock
market is looking to Trump for direction, right? Because of course, we have all these tariffs,
which are still ongoing. And as the current status does look like a lower high, which means you
should expect a new lower low. And where would that lower low be found? Well, support will be
found over here
at about um the 5200 level that's the area of interest that's the zone that we've been targeting
for quite some time and that's given us the bearish bias but there are some more significant
things which are taking place as prices do come down you can see now this is starting to lead into
the 200 ma uh rolling over right this is starting to angle towards the 200 ma uh rolling over right this starting to angle towards
the downside which is not a good sign and you're seeing this across the board right if we go onto
the qqq uh which is the nasdaq you can see also it's lost that you're pretty much coming straight
into those lows uh which means you're going to probably take that out right double bottoms are
not very very common in this type of environment so you should expect that that level should
be lost and
you'll see the nasdaq trending down to new lows also dow jones doing the same thing over here
right losing that 200 ma once again and the ma starting to roll over let's have a look at nvidia
same thing that 200 moving average is starting to roll over angle towards the downside that is
one of the easiest things that you can utilize to determine the overall trend micro strategy still holding up with the 200 ma angle towards the upside but probably going to
roll over let's take a look at coinbase i think coinbase is a very very interesting one the reason
coinbase is so interesting is because it's maintained this parallel channel towards the
upside it's held the structure and it's found major support every single time at that trend line
but it has
lost again the moving average and i don't think that this one is going to defy all odds and go
against what the stock market is doing which means you should probably watch this level very very
carefully if it does start to break that you're probably going to see a lot of panic coming into
the market over there tesla we played the long trade we moved the stops into break even over
there you could have even taken about one third of your profits
off of this trade over here.
So I'll keep leaving that open.
Leave the other two thirds on the table with no risk
because you've moved your stop loss to break even.
If it does manage to find support over here on the white line,
that is your prior horizontal level.
You can see in terms of Tesla's massive range,
that is your mid-range, right? So if it can find support at mid-range, it gives it an opportunity.
If not, expect that it could easily come all the way back down. Yeah, let's highlight this
where you make it nice and big. That would take price down to about 164 to 170-ish region,
depending on when it gets to that. So this looks the same across the board, right?
Here you have Apple.
Look at that.
Perfect rejection straight from the 200 MA
and coming down that to the next lower high.
And this one's next major, major support.
This would be the equivalent of Bitcoin finding support
at about $70,000.
For Apple stock, you'll be looking at $197.
So sweeping that psychological $200 level.
Now, crypto is probably not going to survive
in this type of environment.
We do have to look at where the major support zones are
and what's most likely to happen next, right?
So the stock market is very, very, very significant
because we do have to consider the monthly scale as well.
Now, the monthly scale, similar to what occurred back in 2021, where the stock market put in the top and crypto went into
a one-year bear market before it found its bottom at the FTX lows, where FTX collapsed,
and you spike down into that $15,500 level. Well, we're seeing something very, very similar. Now,
I'm not insinuating that the exact same thing is going to happen again. But I do think that it's noteworthy that you pay attention to similar
signals that happened in the past, right? You had price creating higher highs on a monthly scale,
and you had this bearish divergence taking place across all major momentum oscillators. Now we've
seen exactly the same thing. What happened next was the stock market corrected for nine months,
right? So if the stock market went for nine months, right? So if
the stock market went into a nine-month correction, a deep correction like that, well, of course,
crypto is going to lead into a bear market as well. And we've just come into the monthly close,
right? Today will be the monthly close. It will also be the quarterly close. That means there's
going to be massive, massive options, expirations across the board. And you can expect that the market makers are always going to try and create a max pain scenario.
So right now looking a little bit more dismal for Ethereum than it is for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin down negative 2.7.
It does look like it's going to close the month red.
Ethereum is definitely going to close the month red at negative 19.53%.
And then you can see the
quarterly returns here, Bitcoin down 12.18% and Ethereum down 45.97%. Now, tomorrow, once we get
this monthly and quarterly close, we'll also get a lot of valuable information. And that gives good
insight into what's probably going to be coming next. So make sure you do come through to the show
tomorrow. It is going to be a very, very make sure you do come through to the show tomorrow.
It is going to be a very, very important one, right?
Now, this is a little bit of a hopium case.
So, you know, keep praying, keep hoping over here
that Bitcoin does play out like it did previously
back in August of 2023.
And then again, leading through that June to September period,
where we also found the August load, $49,000 during 2024.
We saw a specific print on the RSI.
You can see the RSI hung around that 44 region
and ultimately found a bottom
and then started to move back towards the upside.
And you'll be looking for something similar to occur, right?
This is your one bit of hopium for the uh bitcoin market but there is some danger signs when
it comes to the macd so the question is which one are you going to trust right now if that rsi does
manage to hold up and find support at those key levels you can see if you draw the most conservative
trend line that you possibly can in over here and this um you can't adjust this anymore there's no
other way that you can adjust this this is the absolute most conservative you can't adjust this anymore. There's no other way that you can adjust this.
This is the absolute most conservative.
You can see those touch points over there on the weekly scale, touch points on the weekly,
and we extend that further up.
Well, it would line up really, really nicely
with this key horizontal support over here.
So if you simultaneously do see the RSI
holding this level over here
while price actually goes down lower into these key zones.
That would give an opportunity for some bullish divergence
on the high timeframes to form.
And that could provide a major opportunity.
And this is kind of the last line in the sand,
the final place where bulls have to step up to defend price
and you have to be a buyer, right?
So ultimately, where does that line up to?
Well, that lines up to 69 000 68 to 69
the key area that we outlined on the dailies is 72 000 of course you can expand wicks into that
region but you want to see closing price action about that the other significant point that we
have to outline is if you do measure from the ultimate low over here from the cycle the cycle
low for this bull run to the current highs. While your 50%
level, which we know is very, very, very significant within these markets, we've used
it time and time again. Price constantly respects that 50% level, at least for the first test,
right? That's why it's worth bidding into that area for the first test, right? Whether that
first test leads into a lower high, we can reevaluate. But I would be looking to step in as
a buyer at that 50% level, which is currently at $62,000. So within that region, this is where
your high timeframe support should be, where you should at least be looking to find that support.
Now, we've spoken a lot about the oil tanker analogy, right? You know, the short term,
you're going to get moves in both directions, right?
You're going to be able to play long trades, you're going to be able to play short trades,
but where's the broader trend moving to, right? That is your oil tanker analogy. It takes
a lot of effort and energy to turn the oil tanker around. And once that oil tanker is committed to
that turn, the chances are that you're not going to stop it, right? Now, we use certain things to determine
whether that oil tank is going to turn or not.
And one thing that we're looking at over here
is MACDs, right?
MACDs on the two-week, the three-week, the monthly.
We've shown the two-week, we've shown the three-week,
and we've shown how those are coming towards the downside.
And now you have the monthly as well
coming from a serious, serious height.
If Bitcoin now, again, it would happen in steps. If we are about to transition into a bear market,
as per what I've just showcased over here with the stock market, with the bearish divergence on
the monthly that led to nine months of downside price action, as well as the stock market losing
the 200 MA on at least most major assets and that's starting to roll over.
Well, if we were to play that out,
I would still, again, as I've just suggested,
expect a very sizable bounce, which is tradable, right?
Coming off of this key level.
And if that bounce leads into a lower high,
then inevitably you're gonna see the MACD on the monthly
with those moving averages
cross towards the downside over here.
And that's probably going to lead to extended continuation and ultimately a move into a
bear market, right?
Now, again, I want to line it up with a little bit of hope and then you be essentially the
judge, right?
It's your capital.
You do with it as you please.
I'm just here to give you the facts and the information.
You guys know my stance.
You know that I exited the market 100% out facts and the information. You guys know my stance.
You know that I exited the market 100% out between 92 and $94,000.
You do you, right?
You can trade your own game.
That's completely up to you.
But your bit of hopium case is again,
going back to this chart over here
that price comes down into 72.
RSI holds this level
and starts to give a similar print
to what we previously saw
providing you with a bit of bullish divergence while simultaneously we see something similar
take place to uh with regards to every major correction that we've had within this bull run
right we had negative funding occur over here with the ftx collapse negative funding with the usdc
collapse uh or the dpeg that occurred and negative funding
with the yen cash carry trade unwind scare that was occurring and now i've labeled this one over
here with a question mark because it's not complete yet but maybe we see that one more dump and maybe
that rsi does actually hold this level to bounce price significantly and continue the bull run at
which point uh we can call this the Trump tariff wars scare, right?
And that printing negative funding whilst coming into key support is tradable. Again, it is tradable.
And then you might see the stock market also bouncing. And that we can call again,
Liberation Day, right? Maybe Liberation Day, I think this comes up tomorrow on Wednesday. There
we go. It's on Wednesday. Liberation Day is on Wednesday.
That gets priced in leading into Wednesday, and you find negative funding over there.
Again, it's tradable.
You buy the dip over there, and then you reevaluate.
If it turns into a lower high, you exit that position.
So I've been very, very, very clear.
Now, remember, there are ebbs and flows, and this is what the transition from a bull market to a bear market can easily look like, right? If you look at the Elliott wave counts, you know, we've essentially had the five waves, you usually go through five waves, and then you go through three waves to the downside, which would be your bear market, right? So wave one, two, three, four, and we've printed wave five. And now you could be could be right i say could be
because we have to still see do we sit in a macro lower high maybe hit 70k 72k bounce up to about
a hundred thousand dollars sit in the lower high over there um and then you know that you're moving
into an a b c correction right um and that's going to be leading into a bear market. So these are the things that we're looking at. These are the scenarios. And ultimately, you know, it was very, very challenging
to exit those positions when price started to break down over here around that $94,000 to $92,000
region. But right now I'm feeling a lot more comfortable. And I'm sure for those of you that
followed me, you're also feeling a lot more comfortable because this chart is looking heavy and it looks like it does want to fall down at least to the bottom
of this channel, right? The rising channel over here to the low boundary, which you can see
I've labeled depending on when it hits. Of course, it depends when it hits, but anywhere between that
68 and 72,000 dollar region is going to be major support. And you're seeing an almost inverse
relationship between Bitcoin and the USDT
dominance, right? You can see the USDT dominance as Bitcoin comes down towards the lower boundary
over there, where the USDT dominance bouncing off of its lower boundary, and now it's heading
towards the upper boundary, right? I do think USDT dominance will probably find major resistance
coming into this mid-range region. And this is really the sweet spot for me. I'd love to line up and see USDT dominance rising to 6.24%,
which is going to be a major, major resistance area.
And then we can line that up and see where Bitcoin is
and if it's holding those key support levels,
which I think it would, right, at least for short-term bouts.
So the trends remain down.
The volume is low.
The volume is diminishing.
So we can't trust any of the pumps.
Lower lows and lower highs has been the name of the game.
And this volume profile has been incredibly useful
in determining the next major market moves, right?
So again, I have it marked off on the chart over here
in green for Liberation Day.
Let's see what happens over there.
Seven-day moving average exchange volume is still declining. You've got
a little bit of an uptick, but it's really nothing to write home about. This is lower lows and lower
highs, and there isn't much volume in the market, right? If you want confirmation that the trend is
down, you can put on a simple indicator like this with the EMA ribbons. It's red, right? It's red.
You've got major resistance above over here. Chances are that we'll probably be able to soon move that there to the new validation point, right?
I'm going to leave it for a little bit longer.
But ultimately, we said in order for bulls to get back, we would have needed to see price get back above that $94,000 region, hold this key level of support, and then you'd get continuation.
So we'll leave this to break down a little bit further.
And if we get a confirmation that this is in fact the next lower high,
then this will become the new validation point, right?
Or invalidation point,
depending on which way you're trading the market.
Then you need price to get back above that key zone.
I'm not moving it yet.
I'll let you know throughout the week.
Let's let price action develop
a little bit further over here.
Bear Moon doing its job once again.
Let's see if we can finish the job.
We've been viewing this as an overall trading range.
And I think I was one of the first people to say or to suggest that this would probably be a trading range where we're looking at this key zone over here as major support coming into that $73,000 region, right?
So that's what I'd like to see.
I'd like to see this level hold over here.
And then you would get almost, you know,
triple bullish divergence over there,
which is hard for the average eye to see,
where you have lows, another low, another low.
And then when you line that up with your RSI,
the RSI would be putting in higher lows, right?
So there it is, here's your RSI.
Then you would see the RSI, let putting in higher lows, right? So there it is, he has your RSI, then you
would see the RSI, let's quickly highlight it for you. So you'd have the lower lows on price,
and the higher lows on the RSI. That's what we're looking for, right on your daily timeframe.
And this is essentially the trade plan, right? So let's see. Hopefully we get our price action
level that we're waiting for. I'm not going to be jumping in anywhere in between. It's either you break structure towards the upside, taking out the last lower high,
or you hit my key level, which is most notably between that 70 and $72,000 level where I will
be stepping in as a buyer, right? So for those of you that want more information, it is in Whale
Room, right? Please guys, also smash the like button because as I just said to Whalroom,
you know, I've just landed, literally, I just landed.
Look at my sleep score.
There's my sleep score.
I got three hours and 45 minutes of sleep on the plane,
but yet here I am.
So if you appreciate the videos,
please do smash the like button.
Also, if you want all this information,
you know, I update everybody in Whalroom.
Everything is over there.
And in fact, you know, the team are actually killing it, right?
These are some trades from the weekend.
You can see over here, this is our Whaleroom Twitter account.
What I'll do for you guys as well, actually,
if you go and follow the Whaleroom Twitter account,
so if you want to find it, go through to my Twitter account.
I've retweeted it just so you don't go and copy a scam one or whatever.
But if you go and follow this, what we're going to do
is we're going to give away five free Whale Room memberships. So go through, follow it, like this
post over here, the most recent post. This was Farouk, one of our traders, taking the Sui short
trade over there over the course of the weekend and, of course, paying absolute dividends to the
Whale Room members. All right. Okay, so we've covered Bitcoin. That's
the plan for Bitcoin. There is a couple of other plans in motion, right? We've been trading as
well the PINEX bots. Remember, this is more something passive, like you set your bots up,
and you pretty much just leave it. Remember, you can follow these. There's a link in the
description below that will take you through to the two bots which you can copy. One is an ETH long that we're busy setting up right now.
It's trying to build that position currently.
And the other one is the hedge bot, right?
Which is going both long and short depending on
what point in time the chart is at that certain level.
So you can actually see over here,
these are the 24 hour transactions, 62 transactions,
these things are constantly working. And these are the profits, right? You can see a rising equity curve over there, right? So there's been tons of different transactions. There it is, we're already
on transaction number 704, right? So the bots are constantly working. And this is what they look
like, right? These are the types of grid arbitrage returns that you can be looking at.
You know, smart bots over here,
constantly building positions.
So I'm going to be building a couple more.
I'll release those from next month.
Right now, we're just leaving these two on.
And that's because we need to see,
is Total3 going to find support over here, right?
Is it going to find support?
Well, it's deviating, what looks like a clear range, high level,
but also similar to Bitcoin, measuring from low to high.
Well, you do have your 50% level coming in at the orange line, right?
That is 721 billion.
I want to see if that level can hold.
I expect that this is all going to happen over the course of this two week
paired with this whole Liberation Day thing going on with the Trump tariffs, etc.
So let's see if we can hold this.
We'll get more information.
But right now, if Bitcoin goes down,
most of these altcoins are going to get obliterated, right?
You can see total three measured against Bitcoin
is still definitely in a downtrend.
Others measured against Bitcoin.
We spoke about most major bottoms for the altcoin sector
have been
found on this rising trend line over here. But we said, you know, we have to probably be more
realistic and look down towards the white line, which is going to be the range lows. And you can
see the way price is forming and consolidating over here. It's actually indicative that it's
much more likely that you are going to take out this week that occurred from the week of the 3rd
of February, right early february we
had that crash so this is probably going to fall down um at the time i told you it's about a 45
loss for the altcoins versus um bitcoin right now we've we've completed about four percent of that
so you've got about 41 still left to go so only time will tell right something drastic would have
to happen in the market for that to take place um So again, we either wait for key support or we wait for price to prove
that it's putting in high highs and high lows, and then we can buy at those levels. So you can
see again, Salat or Sui losing the previous month's low over there. This is looking like a major,
major bull trap that occurred last week with this
price moving towards the upside and i actually wouldn't be surprised if this ran all the way
down to possibly even create new lows or new local lows right let's see solana quickly so solana
also really struggling at that support this is theoretically support you can see all the SR flips that occurred around this $120 to $125 region,
but it's spending a lot of time over here, which again, makes me think that it is probably going
to roll over. Now, if this does roll over, this is going to be a very, very key area. I do believe
that around that 80 mark, if you get a pretty sizable correction, I mean, that's still a big
way down for Solana, That'd be about 38%,
right? You need something, again, drastic and significant to occur for that to fall that hard.
But if you do get that 30% to 40% drop over here, I do believe Solana will find support at 77%,
between 77% and 80%. And that becomes a tradable bounce, right? Even into a bearish retest, that would lead to around a 50% move at least, right?
So again, not advocating that you catch a falling knife,
but it's food for thought.
Do keep your eye on the ball
and see if you can take that trade, right?
We got Sonic, right?
Sonic, which I think fundamentally
is a really, really fantastic coin
to be looking at for the long term
if this cycle is going to pick up again.
But right now, again, also looking like a major rejection from that previous month's mid-range over there.
You can see narrowly, narrowly missing that level and rejecting.
And now it's starting to come down.
Closing candles, consolidating at these lows makes me think it's probably at least
going to retest back down to about uh 40 right to 40 cents over there let me know in the comments if
there's any other ones that you do want to have a look at over there um let's let's hear can i think
of anything else that was really really pressing which we wanted to look at let's see eth quickly
so if you know key support major support over here, coming down into this $1,500 region.
And that's actually how we are building this bot, right? So this is the ETH bot right now that we're
currently building into that position. Again, you can copy it, right? There's a link in the
description below. Here it is. PINEX, there you go, automate your crypto, your crypto portfolio
over there. And you can go through, just click sign up first.
And then you can come through over here
and you can pretty much copy those hedge strategies.
If you do copy this, please do make sure
that you understand the risk parameters, right?
Where your liquidation levels would be, things like that.
You can, I think, edit things ever so slightly
if you do want to for that.
Okay, cool.
Let's continue.
What other ones have we got?
Let me know in the comments, guys.
Let's, maybe we should also have a look
at some of these things on the weekly.
I did want to do that, right?
If we go to, let's see quickly hype.
So, I mean, guys, you can see this on weekly scale, right?
These charts are still pretty bearish, right?
If we go to Phantom because it's got more price history as well, you can see on on weekly scale right these charts are still pretty bearish right if we go to phantom
because it's got more price history as well you can see on the weekly rejection from that key level
design this can easily easily come all the way back down into these lows uh let's see only time
will tell right we do have a bit of support over here as well i guess you can look at that you know
maybe it comes one more time down into that. That's still essentially retesting the lows.
We can have a look at some of the major memes,
you know, like Pepe.
This has been pretty brutal, right?
You know, if we are going to continue down further again,
look at this.
This is a pretty significant rejection, right?
From a key point of view.
You had this area of interest.
You had your previous breakdown level, immediate
push into that straight down rejection. If this leads into follow through, you know, Pepe could
easily drop significantly down deeper into this inefficiency candle, right? This big candle over
here. And as a percentage, you know, let's just spitball over here and said makes it to like uh the midpoint uh which
is usually the balance point that you get to that's another 50 down another 50 move down so
it can get bad guys be careful out there protect your capital what about spx 60 6900 also not
looking good right pretty much consolidating right at those lows look at those those weekly candles
um it's not great.
Okay, SUI, let's look at SUI on the weekly as well.
Okay, SUI on the weekly.
It's a little bit choppy.
Let me just quickly turn off all of that.
Just get a bit of a viewpoint over here.
So critical support for SUI is gonna be $1.75.
But that looks like a major ejection.
Again, look at this on a weekly scale this is telling you who anyone who was brave enough to try and catch a
falling knife and you have to understand that most people who try to catch the falling knife were
probably wrong most of the way down maybe one percent of the people got it perfectly on that
little wick over there price moved up uh. They thought, man, we finally made it.
We bought the bottom.
Price is rallying.
And then immediately you give up those gains.
What does that mean for the last few buyers
that did step in over here?
They're probably going to start to exit those positions, right?
Because now you're approaching back to break even.
They might have small profits that they're still holding.
And I think consequently,
they're probably going to want to take those profits.
And that's what leads into that next leg down. All right. And that's based on
the weekly close. Look at that weekly close. It's not good. Not a good weekly close. Look,
let's see ETH over here. You know, ETH, I'm not even sure who's selling anymore. If it's the
ETH Foundation, this is just, it just keeps bleeding. It's unbelievable. All right. Cool, cool, cool. Also, guys, please
stay protected, right? Stay protected in terms of protecting your IP address. I'll quickly do,
you know, just a quick mention over here on NordVPN, because I was actually in the
airport lounges, which is notoriously one of the places where they hack people the most.
And I'm always grateful to have something like NordVPN, which you can just turn on in the airport
lounge. And then it masks your IP address, right? If you are going to connect to public Wi-Fi, it
does give you malware protection, remote file access, dark web monitoring, and it's literally
only $3 a month, right? So there's a link in the description below. Protect your IP. Don't get hacked. Stay
safe out there when it comes to your crypto trading. I don't know what's worse, right?
What do you think is worse? Let me know in the comments. What do you think is worse? Is it worse
to get hacked and lose all of your money or get liquidated due to exchange manipulation?
liquidated due to exchange manipulation?
If you're on a dodgy exchange,
which is worse, hacked or exchange manipulation
and getting liquidated?
Let me know, let me know in the comments, guys.
Hackers can steal my alts, they are worthless.
Yeah, look, you never know if they could return, right?
What do you do if you're 99% down?
Some of you may be wondering, what do you do?
99% down, to be honest, there's no point in selling. Don't let it get hacked. You just never,
ever, ever know if those coins can return. But if you're 50% down, what do you do?
You take the loss. Take the loss. Take the 50% loss. You can always recover. This is stuff I
cover pretty extensively actually in Whale School.
If you go through, there is a link below for any of you that do want to join Whale School.
Let me quickly see over here. We start with this today, right? We're doing the Welcome to Whale School event today. You can register. There you go, 3 p.m. GMT. But what do you do if you take a
50% loss? I cover this in the risk management video, right?
So if you go into WellSchool,
we've got all these videos over here.
You can see, and it'll show exactly strategies
and plans that you can follow
when it does come to risk management.
So let's quickly see if, here we go.
You have to understand the drawdown death trap.
So that's what this video is for.
Understand the drawdown death trap.
Okay, go to the videos
that you need to gain full access into the school to unlock it to get in and to do that you can use
any one of these links they'll get you into school okay let's see what happens later on today thank
you so much for joining appreciate each and every single one of you i hope you have an absolutely
wonderful day guys um and let's see how the monthly and quarterly close goes.
