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Bitcoin $86,000: Major Support Tested – Time to Panic or Buy?
Recorded: April 1, 2025 Duration: 1:46:35Space Recording
Short Summary
The discussion highlights potential market trends, innovations in technical analysis, and shifts in market sentiment. Key insights include the confirmation of the hash ribbons signal, the impact of macro higher lows, and the potential for growth in specific assets like Monero and Ethereum/Bitcoin. Additionally, there are concerns about market declines in certain sectors, such as the China large cap ETF and NASDAQ.
Full Transcription
Thank you. Субтитры создавал DimaTorzokご視聴ありがとうございました Субтитры сделал DimaTorzok so so Thank you. Thank you. so Thank you.ご視聴ありがとうございました Субтитры подогнал «Симон» so so Субтитры сделал DimaTorzok so Thank you. so Продолжение следует...次回予告 Thank you. Oh, baby, we're back, but I'm faceless right now.
So let me just fix this over here.
If you haven't noticed already, we are actually also live simultaneously on Twitter here.
I'm just kind of testing out this feature.
And, you know, if all goes well, then I guess we can also do live streams on both
YouTube and Twitter. I mean, why not? Why not? Why not? Twitter, very easily accessible for many
people out there in the world, of course. And I just logged on to Twitter and I see Mr. Pizzino,
Mr. Pizzino, half naked in a sauna. Beautiful, man. I was just in a sauna myself yesterday,
that is, because we have one in our house and I absolutely fucking love it. Anyways, plenty to talk about today because we do have
the next monthly closure. I'll give some time for people to join in before we get into the
actual analysis, but the new monthly and quarterly closure are now, well, they're now there. They're
now on the charts. They're now in the charts. And so that is going to be the main focus of
today's analysis and just kind of looking around what the major pivots are.
What are the obvious areas that would indicate that Bitcoin is flipping around and going to be massively fucking bullish and vice versa as well for the downside.
Although we did go into great detail with that on yesterday's video.
But, you know, repetition is always good.
And there is a few points of hopium especially with
the way that the monthly close so i do want to be bringing up that uh as well and uh and going over
the actionable pivots with that anyways i see a lot of familiar face in here this is really
fucking good man what's up sushi yum yums i see el satoshi fuck her asti erica crown crypto cave
nice one sushi yum yums and og at this point mig Mig DS YB Tom Brines. There we go. Fucking nice,
man. Long live the Genghis Krong. Yes, indeed. The Krong. Oh, God. Oh, God. Now, I hope I can
actually see both of the comments from Twitter and YouTube in the same place over here. I don't
know if that's actually working, but I do see that there are some people commenting on Twitter,
if that's actually working. But I do see that there are some people commenting on Twitter.
So that's good. I'll keep up with my Twitter tab here. Did I? I think I put in the wrong title for
this video. This video seems to have the title 86,000. Wait, what's going on there? Hold on.
This must just be for Twitter, hopefully. Let me just double check over here. Did YouTube get the
right one? Hey, shut the fuck up i hate that guy
all right nice one okay yes we're good we're good to go it looks like i still have a few things to
figure out regarding twitter uh but we'll we'll get through that one a little bit later anyways
what's up j3f and a little baller little baller seen any good polish movies lately uh polish
movies not that i can think of honestly um why poland i don't know
anyways uh holly says hey crown how you doing after the american primeval discussion have
someone suggested 1883 i have seen that one um uh somewhere around so i can definitely add it to
the list i can confirm it's absolutely awesome as a european i can now better understand yeah man i i've i don't know recently i've been obsessed with that portion of history it's can confirm it's absolutely awesome. As a European, I can now better understand. Yeah, man. I don't know. Recently, I've been obsessed with that portion of history.
It's just so crazy, like the lawlessness that was going on and just people could get away with
fucking anything, like murder someone. No problem. No problem. Rape someone. No problem. Murder and
rape. No problem. Indeed. I mean, it was just fucking insane, like what could actually go on
and there were no repercussions at all. I jesus i would have fucking hated to have lived
during that time anyways apparently jay pazino is trans is he really uh well that explains a lot
why am i so attracted to him um did i do i remember what i was supposed to say something
about gay ass April Fool's.
I fucking hate April Fool's, okay?
I really do.
I really fucking hate it.
What would you like to say?
Elsa feels like she needs to have a message here.
You are transitioning.
I'm transitioning.
Yes, that's right.
I'm transitioning on April 1st.
Anyways.
You can use your name.
Elsa's been learning Rapper's delight from sugar hill gang she's absolutely
obsessed with it that's because she's a europe whore and it's her first time hearing it
they just have no culture okay you can't blame them kidding okay i'm kidding look i live in
finland i fucking love finland it is what it is and there we go. We have Filson as well and OG at this point.
Holy shit, man. Very, very good to see. Let me just double check over here on Twitter. I'll try
to keep this one open because it doesn't look like it gets spit over to my main feed of where
the comments are coming from. I do want to and I do want to kind of keep on track here. What's up,
Steve Green comedy to check out that that comedy a little bit later, man.
I've been enjoying some Kill Tony recently.
Anyways, Mr. Iggy Niemusey on Twitter says or X Twitter, whatever the fuck you want to call it.
Sir Crown, I'm always here every day.
Fucking nice, man.
Would you recommend taking a small loan based on the hash ribbons at seventy nine thousand bucks?
No, I wouldn't.
I would not.
I would not suggest taking a highly risky thing
off of something like that. Can it work out? Sure. But if you're not in a position to easily do that,
which if you were, I think you'd probably just have that liquidity as cash already,
then I wouldn't fuck with that, man. It can go so poorly. And there is a real threat
of Bitcoin and just all markets coming down significantly here. So don't discount that,
or at least that's what I have to say for right now. Now, if you come up with a nice plan,
could you make that work? Maybe. You might take a loss, but at least it'll be an expected loss.
And again, the same error to be managing at least for quarter two that I can, you know,
that I can see is the exact same thing that we've been looking at throughout all the fucking March,
which is the March low from the 10th slash 11th of March, depending upon your exchange there.
And as long as Bitcoin's above there, there is some hopium.
There is certainly hopium abound, but it is certainly unverified, unconfirmed.
Hash ribbons, I would not be looking, I would not say are confirmed to play out until Bitcoin's
above a very, very specific pivot.
The same one to the upside, actually, that we've been speaking about for a while.
Maybe you could move it down to like 91,000 bucks.
But if you want to be, you know, buy the book and conservative, then it'd be a little under
93,000 bucks.
Again, that March 6th high right here.
As long as Bitcoin's below there, you know, it's still fucking risky, man.
It's still fucking risky because what is it?
It's a fucking downtrend.
And well, are downtrends bullish?
Obviously not.
Obviously fucking not.
Anyways, what's up, Diablo?
Diablo on Twitter.
Fuck yeah, man.
This is good.
This is good.
I need to figure out a way to...
Oh, here we go.
I think I figured out a way to get all of the
chats in one area. Holy shit, it worked. Oh, that's awesome, man. Okay, nice. Okay.
I'm learning something new every day. It's beautiful. All right, we'll give it another
couple minutes and then we'll get to the actual analysis of the day. I need to water up over here
because I'm damn thirsty, man. This time change has completely fucked me up. I don't know what it is, but just one hour time difference
between waking up and going to sleep is just,
it's like my whole brain is coming off
of like some massive drug bender.
It's terrible.
I feel like I cannot do very simple things,
you know, very simple motor activities,
especially in the early morning.
It's like I'm tripping over everything.
I'm fucking falling into everything. I feel completely redacted it's crazy man anyways um let's see uh
nyan heroes looks like the best game of the year only one million mark wait what the fuck oh it's
some crypto uh shit coin nice all right sweet maybe we'll look at that a little bit later smash
the like says matthew smead always a good idea if you are interested in the content of course if you do want to get updated on these things um then well you can like and subscribe and
it'll actually tell the algorithm to put it into your inbox each and every day I love you as well
Ronnie Roland ultimate team Dave says hello crown sir good morning sir don't melt down crown yeah
man honestly it yesterday was a was a big mean, shit, I recorded a whole video yesterday, but I forgot to hit record.
And at the very end, I look at it.
I'm like, oh, my God, I'm actually retarded.
Like, I'm actually fucking retarded.
This is good news for me, actually, because I was hoping I wasn't normal.
Anyways, I'm going to get my notes ready over here.
I want to be coming at today's video from a more hopium angle compared to yesterday's video.
Because yesterday, we went over all of the potential for downside and what that would look like.
In today's video, I want to be showing the other side of that just because, well, there is still hopium to be holding on to.
At least for now.
At least for now.
And especially when we go over and look at other markets, I mean, most markets are looking for big bounces here.
I think you got a big bounce coming on NASDAQ.
I think you got a big bounce coming on SPY futures as well.
You know, these have hit some really, really, really, really, really critical regions.
In fact, yesterday, the last day of March, NASDAQ made a new low, a new low compared to the 11th of March low, which Bitcoin did not follow.
In fact, Bitcoin had a higher low or has a higher low as of right now.
So is Bitcoin going to be considered a little bit of a little bit relatively strong compared to that?
I don't know if I necessarily say that, but but, you know, if this one starts to bounce more, hard not to see Bitcoin bouncing more as well.
Same thing with spy futures over here.
This one did not make a new low yesterday, but I do put certainly significantly more weight on NDX here just because it does include and focus on techs as well as financials.
But it's more accurate compared to Bitcoin.
Anyways, as always, Bitcoin and traditional markets are correlated on the downside, but on the
upside, maybe a little bit less so.
Anyways, these nanos better fucking bounce, sir, or otherwise I'm requesting a refund.
Yes, send refund requests to Elsa at crowntrading.net.
Just kidding.
Just kidding.
But on a serious note, look, Elsa is our lovely customer service uh for the most part everything's all
well and good but for the for the love of fucking god don't send her like page long texts and book
long book long emails it's not relevant okay you can get it done with just a couple of sentences
she's got a lot of shit to work through because i've she's a slave labor and i give her no pay
and no rest at all so she needs to be she needs to free up her schedule a little bit.
Anyways, holy shit.
I have turned up the volume way too loud there.
So let me turn it down.
There we go.
All my friends are Polish, are dead.
Polish 2020.
Well, I don't understand.
I don't know.
I'm out of the loop with this one, I guess.
Legendary leads that ramen, vegetarian, or got meat.
I don't know what you're saying, sir. We need some hopium, I guess. Legendary leads that ramen, vegetarian, or got meat. I don't
know what you're saying, sir. We need some hopium, says Sophia. Sorry, Sophia. Sophia, I apologize.
Butchering everyone's name. Again, I am redacted. It is the time change. I blame it on that, at
least. And if it continues on, then maybe I have to just capitulate and recognize that I actually
am fucking retarded. There's nothing wrong with being retarded. It's just a word. It's just a word,
and there's nothing wrong with being. That's It's just a word. It's just a word. And there's nothing wrong with being, it's just, that's just the identification of it.
That's all. I mean, it is what it is. It is what it is. All right, sweet. Let's go to the actual,
um, analysis of the day before I say more stupid shit. That's probably going to get me banned from
this, from all of these social medias. And, um, and we'll actually start it off here with the new monthly. I do think that there's
several things to really be aware of. Actually, let's go over from this angle here first.
All right. We have the new monthly open for April, and there are several things to be aware of that
would indicate that Bitcoin is indeed going to be bearish or bullish for this month. The pivots are
incredibly obvious here. We've gone over the downside of pivoting yesterday's video very extensively. That is essentially March's
low. As long as Bitcoin is above March's low, that does mean that there is still hopium alive.
Hopium in the sense that Bitcoin might be actually completing some sort of major macro higher low.
But the second that Bitcoin really starts to come back down below March's low, especially close
higher timeframes above there, you know, above a daily, That's where I say, hey, that's extremely unlikely to be happening, and we should be
getting ready for significantly more downside, perhaps down to like 50,000, 60,000 bucks.
Over time, there would be bounces, obviously, as well.
But as it stands right now, there, like I said, is some hopium.
And as we get into it, probably the biggest and first portion of hopium that's not related to the Hashribens indicator, which maybe we could go over a little bit later, would be the monthly open for CME on the HPDR bands.
We can see that the HPDR bands, the median, is still somewhat supporting price action.
It would imply that as long as Bitcoin is above it, which it is currently at $79,900, as long as Bitcoin is above it, which would also currently at 79,900, you know, as long as Bitcoin is above
it, which would also be the March close as well, by the way, then, you know, we could, we could
actually expect, you know, a move to test back to the back on the top side of the 38,200 level,
which is 98,500. That would be very fucking significant because if it happened, it would
initiate and green light several bullish conditions along the way,
actually much sooner than even hitting that number as well, like significantly sooner.
To the upside, the pivot here is, well, it depends.
Do you want to go by the book or not?
If you want to go by the book, then we would say, again, about $92,800, that March 6th high.
Or if you want to be a little bit more aggressive,
then we would use the most recent lower high here at about $88,500. If Bitcoin could close above there, probably a good signal.
But for right now, I do think that there will be a little bit of downside tested, even if you are
super, super bullish. Typically, the new month does put in a bit of a low compared to the actual
open. And if it does come back down to the median here on the monthly HPDR, again, around 79,900,
just anywhere around there is fine, you know, we would be anticipating a bounce on the first
pass.
If that bounce fails, yes, big problems.
But for right now, that signal, or sorry, this setup right here combined with, of course,
the hash ribbons signal as well, which did fire off and did actually confirm on all higher timeframes. Now, it's confirmed on a daily, a five-day,
a weekly, and so on and so forth. And again, this one did fire off recently. That was about last
week. And that does indicate that that last low over here, again, is going to be the management
low for that. In the cases where we have seen the Hash Urban's indicator setup fail, which has happened three times in Bitcoin's history out of 20 full times, that is when we have seen significant downside movements after that.
So I really do want to express severe caution if Bitcoin does lose this low, because it's probably going to get much, much worse if that does happen.
because it's probably going to get much, much worse if that does happen.
But for right now, Bitcoin has a bit of a chance.
And we could actually go into a very quick MetaSignal setup right here.
In fact, I forgot to bring it up to begin this one.
But this would also be on the more short-term hopium side.
Let me just pull it up right here.
Where is it?
There you are.
Yes, finally.
Fuck yeah.
This one was fired off, I believe, for free in their Discord.
You can find a link to that in the description below if you're here on YouTube. And this one actually already has hit target
number two based off of an hourly setup. Again, target number two is around a 50% probability.
That was just under $84,000. This one opening at $82,130. There is a target three on this one
as well. It is very low probability. It is under 30% probability to be hit. And that is just under
$86,000 if it does get met. I would really
only look at that as relevant if Bitcoin can trade back above this morning's high. If you can see
that, okay, probably does go for target number three, probably even goes on for more than that
as well. I mean, maybe that would just be a good signal of the actual low, but I think that it would
be a little bit too premature to be saying that for myself. Anyways, also on the topic of hopium here,
I want to go back to the April statistics. So here I've gone through each and every past April
and recorded all of the monthly data pertaining to whether it's likely to close positive or
negatively, the average returns, these sort of things, and then also the open to a low.
That's what we did yesterday. Now I want
to actually go over the open to the high data because I do think that is super interesting
right here. And maybe also the open to low data as well, but the open to high data. So this is
going to be most relevant in, you know, in the face of essentially, yeah, you know, essentially
a breakdown, a negative closing month. On average, we have seen when April closes
negatively in the past, we've seen that there has been about a almost 8% to 9% move to the upside
first before the month actually did come down and close down. Now, we should acknowledge that 2014 was a big outlier right here. This one was
double the next highest percentage differential there at 20%, everything else coming in around
10% or lower. So if we do get rid of that, that actually would bring down the open to high data
for those negative months close to about 5% to 6%. So if we go back into the data right here
and seeing as
we already have the open for this month well what would that look like if Bitcoin were to play out
that upside and how high would that kind of anticipate? Well that would be somewhere around
87.5 to 88,000 bucks. It's not necessarily good enough to get Bitcoin back above that last swing
high from last week but it'd be pretty
damn close. So I would, again, express major concaution, even as long as Bitcoin's below
there, because that even would be playing out perfectly with the open to high data, meaning
that you expect a wick up there and then close it back down. Of course, on the other side,
we should be looking at the open to low data. The open to low data has found that the average
differential when it is a positive closing in April, because I think that's more relevant to
be looking at here, has been about three and a half to four and a quarter percent. And if we put
that into action, that would imply that even if Bitcoin is going to close this month positively,
we should still anticipate a somewhat shallow move to the downside, 3.5% to 4%.
That would put Bitcoin just below $80,000.
What do you know?
That also aligns pretty much perfectly with the HPDR median over here for CME at $79,900.
Anywhere around there is honestly fine.
I mean, these are averages, so we do expect some variance.
But I just want to show that this does align from multiple different angles,
meaning that as long as Bitcoin is above there, there really is legitimate hopium alongside the hash ribbons indicator
signal. But that all gets completely fucking nullified and destroyed the second that Bitcoin
comes back down below there and closes a higher time frame below there. On top of this, I do want
to acknowledge that all of the higher term time frame momentum alsoiders are still not great. Monthly right here, we can see the monthly stochastic momentum alsoider is coming
down hard, losing the critical zone for the first time in actually over almost like a year and a
half now since the end of 2023. And this one's going to continue down. And the pivot actually moved up from March to April,
and it moved up to 106,150. So hard to be bullish over the very long term, as long as this one is
pointed to the downside, just naturally over the full history of Bitcoin. It's just never been
a winning proposition to be on the bullish side when that is happening.
But, you know, weird things can happen.
Maybe Bitcoin spends a lot of time going sideways here without making new lows.
And that could be an indication that it's just going to be a bullish reset.
But that would naturally take a long time.
This is a monthly fucking chart.
It take, I would imagine, like six to eight new months in order to get this down to the bearish control zone.
Anyways, on top of that, the quarterly is also closed.
So we have a new open here as well.
And the quarterly stochastic momentum offset continues to be pivoted to the upside for
now, to be fair.
And it should be known, though, that the pivot here is actually all the way at $93,000. So that's, I guess, a little bit more
in alignment with the traditional last high. So if Bitcoin can reclaim, again, those low 90 numbers,
then you're going to see quarterly momentum continue on to the upside. That's also very
relevant just because anytime we have seen the quarterly stochastic costs that are crossed to
the downside, these have been around or just after major macro highs. So I do think that that deserves a little bit of consideration. Also,
the bi-monthly is a little bit better in this case. Obviously, that one did not close last
night, but it is going to close at the end of this month, April. And this one is going to have
a real chance to turn down. And this one actually has been incredibly accurate in calling the past
three market cycle tops when it crosses down. This one will cross down at the end of April if Bitcoin is still below $91,100.
So I would say that if you actually don't see Bitcoin go above $91,000 by the end of this month,
then that's going to be a signal that, or at least that's a signal to me,
that it's looking fucking bad.
That also means if we can see Bitcoin above that pivot,
well, we're going to see several things start to switch back on to mega fucking bad. That also means if we can see Bitcoin above that pivot, well, we're going to see several things start to switch back on to mega fucking bullish. And at that point, you know, take out
your loans and fucking long your longs. Kidding. Okay. I'm kidding. Don't do that. Like, don't
actually do that. It's fucking redacted. Like it can end really, really poorly and requires a lot
of luck in order to make that work. So yes. Anyways, I think I've hit just about everything
here. There's maybe one last thing I want to get into let's go to yes it's on this chart um referencing the monthly macd uh you know
not something that i bring up too often but i do think that it does matter on the weekly and the
monthly uh again the monthly is accurately called like bull market definitely over whenever we see
across the downs out of the monthly um you know, even when this has like a strong negative slope,
it has been a pretty bad indication in the past as well. But as it stands right now,
it is still in the bullishly cross direction, but it will cross below the signal line.
If Bitcoin closed below $61,200 by the end of this month, you know, that would be,
oh, that'd be pretty fucking ugly, guess but um and we'd know obviously very
very much uh prior to that that uh that bitcoin you know is is is looking bad because it would
obviously imply that bitcoin would already be below the march lows but that would just further
kind of exacerbate the higher term time frame look in stating that hey this is this isn't just
like come down to 65 000 and then back to the fucking moon, alt season and all this bullshit.
It would indicate that, you know, we're getting ready for somewhere around a year, you know, a year of sideways and down.
But until that happens again, until that happens, I still hold on to some hope.
It could still be viewed as an opportunity, as a major opportunity.
And, you know, I will be likely taking positions based off of that.
But I do want to see one more try a little bit lower than what we did see this past week.
And then perhaps make a decision.
Not necessarily right now.
I'm in no rush personally right now, especially with the way that traditional markets look,
even though traditional markets probably do set up for at least a short-term bounce here.
But higher-term timeframes looking not great.
Not great there.
So that's where I'll end this analysis for today.
I'll be posting just this Bitcoin portion actually to my YouTube a little bit later
for the people who just, you know, just want the fucking analysis.
We'll get on with the YouTube, or sorry, with the live stream comments and requests now.
Looking at all kinds of shit coins, I'm curious actually what we're going to find today.
Are we going to find any diamonds in the rough or are they all just going to be rough? And that is what we'll end it
for today. As always, wish you the best, best, take care, much love and see you hopefully tomorrow.
Very lovely. All right. Nice. Let's, uh, let's carry on. I see. Okay. This is cool. It actually
tells me if people are from Twitter or from YouTube. That's, uh, that's actually really,
really awesome. All right,
nice. This guy's talking at 1,009 miles per hour. Yes. Are you fucking new here or are you just
redacted? Who leaves a comment? Who cares? Who fucking cares, dude? Anyways, I actually don't
think I'm getting all the comments here. Oh, shit. That's unfortunate. Damn. I was hoping this would
work, but I guess we'll just have to go over here and Holy shit. We have almost 2000 people watching right now. That's
crazy. Anyways. Um, I will go to my regular charts. We'll see what, uh, what requests Elsa
has already accumulated. I can see that joke in his first. He's, he says thoughts on today's SPX
close, uh, reminds me of those final lows. We put him back in Oh nine on closing hours. Good
sign for all. I do think that there's going to be a bounce here, regardless of whether you're like super
bullish or super bearish on traditional markets.
You know, your SPY futures, your NAS futures are the ones that I like to watch here.
I do think that this one is going to open up this month, at least with a bounce for
now somewhere around $19,600.
For SPY futures, I think that this one could actually trade a little bit higher. It is
operating in a relatively stronger position than NASDAQ. It didn't make a new low yesterday,
for example. But I still look at this as an obvious downtrend and pressure down.
And here's the thing, with the monthly, with the quarterly, this is concerning here. I mean,
this one could easily rally up at some point in April to even 5750, which is, you know, a decent move, right? I mean, it's tradable on lower timeframes,
but that's exactly where you'd be expecting a rejection if this one is going to try lower
overall, maybe closer to like 5400, somewhere between like 5250 to 5400, something like that
in this pocket right here. I mean, that would be kind of like the traditional play. And there is good reason to believe that it likely does come down somewhere
around there because we do see that there is several drives of bearish divergence coming off
of the monthly timeframe right here. Even the quarterly has it as well. One, two, three drives.
I mean, it doesn't happen very often. So I do look at that as like rather concerning.
And obviously, if SPY futures would come down below these numbers in last month's low, it's hard not to see Bitcoin do the same thing as well.
I mean, fuck, SPY had a 10% move to the downside.
Bitcoin had a 30% move to the downside.
I don't think it would end very well.
I mean, that would probably put Bitcoin somewhere between 40 and 50, I guess.
Just making like a one yeah, like one to three, uh, uh, relationship right there.
Um, but, uh, but yeah, as far as, you know, as, as, as far as SPX, I do think that you have a
local low here, but I wouldn't be, um, I wouldn't be jumping the gun on this one. As long as you're
below the, the late March high of the 25th of March, as long as you're below what exact number
is it? 5830 or so 5830, as long as you're below there you know it is still a
downtrend and it is still um and it is still risky but for spy at least you know we do see that there
is a a higher low in place right here so there is a you know there is a potential for a real reversal
um back into an uptrend but that is the main pivot to be aware of as of right now anyways i'll move on
um um uh from there all right All right. Nice. Tobo says
Tesla date, uh, quarterly weekly monthly. Okay. Very high term timeframes. Nice. Uh, TSLA. Let's
see what this one's looking like. Um, you know, it's, I don't hate it. I don't love it. Um,
the reason why I don't hate it, it didn't, you know, it didn't, didn't, didn't, didn't,
didn't, uh, close below any sort of critical levels. That would have been about $225 on the quarterly.
Same thing, actually.
Just bounced off of the yellow 21 exponential average.
I do look at this as still potential for hopium,
but where would be the obvious area to be getting bullish on this thing
and blindly bullish on it yet again?
That just has to be above that last Thursday high,
the 27th of March, which is 292,
292. Above there, yeah, I mean, there's your continuation of uptrend. Until then, it does
look to me like this thing's going to spend a long time consolidating here. Your highs, let me just
do the quarterly range here, the highs coming in at 415 essentially, and the lows coming in here
at around 150 or so and you know you just tested
the top side of the range typically you're going to come at least to the middle of the range after
that and in many cases to the bottom of the range as well but for right now we do already have the
test to the mid side the mid portion of the range that would be the 50 level right here at 225 so
i guess in the most um in the most bullish of scenarios and we would expect that the lows are
in and and next move should
be back above that high. And if that happens, yeah, that's my obvious signal to be bullish
and trending in motion again for something like this. But don't underestimate how long
a major monthly consolidation can take. I could easily see this taking and dragging out till next
year, honestly. I mean, it's been in this range since 2021. I
don't think it's ready to break out just here, or at least just yet. But hopium still is abound,
as long as it's above that 225-ish number, essentially the March lows. If it loses March
lows, then you're probably looking somewhere very, I mean, extremely likely below 200 bucks,
probably between 150 to 180. So yeah. All right right all right um but i to be and i don't
know if this is relevant to you but uh because you are in such higher term time frames i i wouldn't
like call this uh completely fucking wrecked unless if it really came back down and closed below
about 130 or wouldn't even really need to close below there just just come back down below 130
if you know if if if that happened, then yeah,
I'd entertain downside targets as you're asking for.
At that point, you have to be looking sub 100,
but give it a chance here first.
I don't think that's relevant to be focusing on just yet.
Just my opinion.
Anyways, no more paper says,
hey, Crown, I put my sideline cash into XAUT, okay?
Is this a crypto or a stock?
Let's find out. I'm going to hold my
breath. Holy shit. It's a crypto. Oh God. This is tether gold. Is that, is that what this is?
That's actually kind of a cool idea with the four, two madness coming. Fuck. I forgot to
mention that in my video. I do want to acknowledge that tomorrow is liberation day, right? Reliberation day. Um, but here's the
thing, you know, with just like with bullish events, it's, or, you know, anticipated to be
bullish events. It is typically a bearish outcome. Well, when you have a bearish event, a bearish
expected event, the, um, you know, the real outcome is typically bullish or, you know,
typically Mark's low. So I'd look at tomorrow, um, tomorrow um as uh you know as a better day to
potentially be positioning just because you know things probably have an initial reaction when that
event happens um but uh but after that you know should be an opportunity i mean if that does play
out anyways as far as this thing xa i guess it's like some gold sable corn or something um similar
to gold you know i do think that you're in the end stages of a parabolic blow off top here i mean this one
like it really does look to me like this might actually be it which is probably a good indication
for traditional markets as well um because we do see that gold and and traditionals are playing
opposite of each other and at some point in april you know i do think that you're going to come back
down closer to three thousand bucks and test around there and probably bounce as well. So that's really all
that I'd be saying for right now. Basically, short term slash medium term likely coming down
closer to 3000. I'd be expecting a bounce there and then we'll come back to it after that. I don't
I can't really get get get too far ahead of myself. Other than that, what's your thoughts on holding this until
Bitcoin gets above 93? I mean, you're going to lose out on some, but you're also going to have
the added sort of confidence that if you do wait for a 93 level or something like that to get
taken out, I think you can honestly make that decision above about 90. You're going to have
the confidence that it's a lot more likely to move in that direction right now.
It's still risky.
But yeah, I'm glad that you brought this one up because I haven't really been looking at gold.
And if this one's having a bit of a local high right here, we should probably be looking for local lows on risk assets like crypto and in traditional markets,
which I do think traditional markets
is pretty obvious, at least for the short term, at least for the very short term.
All right, cool.
We have Anima next.
He says, hello, sir.
My friend asked if it's dumb to give up, my friend, to give up their nine to five to become
a full-time trader, software engineer, solid logistics, BG Fairbit, paper trading, crowns,
TA Basics, net worth of $650,000 in liquid.
All right, you're in a pretty good position there, at least I would say.
Is it a dumb idea to give up your 9 to 5?
So here's what I'd say, because I never want to dissuade anyone, because, I mean, if someone, like the people who try to dissuade me, I remember what that was like.
Fuck, it sucked, right?
But here's what I would say. If you already have a couple years of successful history of trading, especially in these environments, okay, if you want to do it, give it a try.
I don't think, though, that you need to necessarily give up your job alongside of this. I think that you could do both, depending upon how serious you are, and especially if you're using very high term timeframes as well, you know, you don't need to be at your desk looking at trading view
all fucking day long.
Um, so that's, that's, that's, that's a personal thing.
Maybe it's relevant to you.
Maybe it's not, I don't know.
Um, but if you do not have that multi-year long of, uh, of, of successful history, I,
you know, I would say at least two years then fuck man.
No, I, I, I can't, I can't,
I can't say that I would do that myself. Um, you know, spend, if, if that is your case,
what I would suggest to do is to, is to continue to practice while you still have the job. So you
do both. And then once you've proven to yourself that, Hey, I can be consistent for a couple of
years, then, okay, sure. Go ahead. Um, you know, at least you can be consistent for a couple of years, then OK, sure, go ahead.
You know, at least you'll be safe. And you do have a nice nest egg there as well. So it's not like you're going to go fucking broke the next day. But my fear is, is that if you haven't really
gone through the full learning phase just yet, you know, you're just naturally, you're naturally
going to be a net loser, at least in my experience. I mean, what can you expect? It just takes time, man. It just
takes time. So yeah, that's what I'd say, or at least the parameters that I kind of give around
a decision for that. You know, you don't want to put yourself in a tough spot. You don't want to
risk money unnecessarily. And I look at risking money during the learning phase as unnecessary.
You know, you don't need to lose that you can just paper trade you
can just trade a very small dollar account and you can learn that way
Nishant says try your best to be serious all right I'm getting very serious here
we are talking about the magic internet monies and there will be no jokes no
laughing Elsa stop it be respectful for once of your life like seriously get
serious if this is indeed the end of the cycle why didn't we
have an alt season what was different okay so i will repeat the same shit that i've said uh a
million times a million times or it feels like a million times hey all right we're getting very
serious here um okay look alt season has always been a lie the reason why alt season has been a
lies because people are so fucking concentrated and focused on 2017 where there actually was an alt season. In fact, it actually wasn't necessarily an alt season because what rallied was was a very particular sector. It was the ICO sector.
prior cycle didn't do shit. Like you didn't, you didn't see anything from the prior cycle that was
in the top 10 that's not named Bitcoin or XRP, um, in the top 10 for the next, uh, for the next
cycle as well. You know, there's big, big changes, um, during that time, but, uh, but people have,
you know, who came into that cycle looked at it as, okay, shit, like literally everything's
rallying because everything was, that was an ICO. We saw the same thing in 2020 and 2021, okay, shit, like literally everything's rallying because everything was,
that was an ICO. We saw the same thing in 2020 and 2021 as well. It was just a couple of sectors,
really. It was not a market wide rally to new all-time highs. Most things got bounces into
macro lower highs and didn't do shit. And that's the big issue with most shit coins, to be honest.
And what were the sectors that were hot last cycle?
Well, it was DeFi. And then you had NFTs. And then I think there was maybe one more thing as well.
But those were the ones that did really well. Everything else was not much. Certainly,
the overwhelming majority were not making new all-time highs, especially if the ones that were
around during prior cycles. And then for this cycle, we did have an alt season. If you don't recall, memes went to the
fucking moon and beyond. Like it was their job because it is their job, which in my opinion was
your alt season. Everything else did exactly what everything else has done in all prior cycles,
which is not fucking much except for a very small handful of things. I think the days of things being like super easy,
like it was in 2017, they're long gone. And people are holding onto this belief of like,
we deserve an altcoin season. We deserve the alt season must happen. Otherwise the cycle
isn't real. It's like, no, there are no rules like this at all. There's no rules like this at all.
And it could be a career, any mistake to be holding on to these outdated beliefs. At least
that's just my opinion. Anyways, Nishant says, or he's back in, he's looking at nifty, nifty 50.
Let's see. Let's check it out. Local high, short term, I'd be looking for this one to come back
down. In fact, even the week leaves a local high plus hidden bearish divergence. So I am looking
for this one to come back down closer to the last couple of weeks lows,
somewhere between like 22, seven to 22, three.
Um, other than that, I don't really have much to say about this thing.
Um, yeah, that would be another test to the 21.
So let's just say tentatively 22,500 or so best pray for a bounce there because if it
fails there, then I think it's going at significantly lower.
Um, but for right now, you know, give it a chance. Like I said, there's a little bit of hopium
abound. But yeah, I mean, this one isn't a weekly downtrend. Monthly hasn't flipped around just yet,
but it will if it takes out last month's flow. That will look pretty bad if that happens. So,
we'll see. We'll see. But short term, yeah, down. Medium term down. I wouldn't make any correlation to the higher term timeframes just yet.
There we go. We've got 2,100 people watching. This is awesome, man. I think we'll stream to Twitter more often from here.
Dr. Checkmate says FXIETF. OK, I'm glad that you specified it is indeed a real stock.
Let's check out this one. It's a China large cap. Okay.
As I always like to repeat this whenever I see something that's Chinese, the first thing that
my mentor told me when I came into trading, one of the first things he said, avoid the China shit.
You don't know what the hell is going on over there. But yeah, this one monthly did get rejected
right at that 200 simple moving average on the, again, monthly time frame, very, very high term time frame. So I am looking at this as a high probability for a local high. I do think it can
in the short term retest around there, 37 and a half bucks, just for what it's worth. But I would
be looking at that as yet another opportunity to probably offload because this one very likely does
play out a pullback from here. I suspect that you also have bearish divergence on the weekly time frame as well. You do.
So, you know, I'd be anticipating a bit of a short-term downside move,
maybe down around, you know, I think very likely just below 34.
If things get really crazy, maybe closer to like 30 and a half bucks.
But I wouldn't call it a reversal back down towards the lows just yet,
as long as the things above the January lows of this year,
the January lows of this year at 28 and a half bucks,
it is possible that it does put in a higher low
on those daily, weekly timeframes
and then does complete the reversal.
But for right now, short-term, medium-term downside,
and then come back to it after that.
If you do see this thing, especially below,
again, that January low,
yeah, you should be expecting this thing to come all the way back down to the lows from the last
couple of years, 22 and 24 right here. But until that happens, like I said, I think it's okay to
have a bit of hoping right here. Quarterly didn't close terribly. Closed actually better than what
I would have expected, but yeah, fair enough. Not much I'll say about it other than that.
Or you're also looking at the daily.
Daily, yeah, short term.
Maybe another very small try back up towards that 200 simple.
I think you get rejected there.
You come down and try for a higher low, a little bit lower.
Cool.
William Valadez says, great streams crowned.
Awesome, man.
I'm glad to hear.
I'm very glad to hear.
Short term targets you like on Filecoin. Any major resistance you see?
Let's see. I haven't looked at this thing. This was like a cycle. This is so last cycle, sir.
Okay, there has to be a better chart than this, I'm sure. I'm sure of it.
Do we go to Coinbase? It's on Coinbase, but not really much else.
Coinbase, okay, here we go. Yes, now we go to Coinbase? It's on Coinbase, but not really much else. Coinbase and...
Okay, here we go.
Yes, now we have the full history.
Short term, you know, I do think that this one will try a little bit higher.
You can see several drives of bullish divergence on the daily time frame right here.
So, you know, does it pop back up closer to that March 26th high?
Probably.
But I don't know how short term you are here.
But generally, yeah, you know, I think it's going to trade back up towards three bucks.
Yeah, that's that's really all that I have to say about that, because I don't know how short term you are.
Like if you're very, very short term on the hourly.
OK, well, this is probably a short term pullback right here on the hourly.
But I do think that the full hour and I do think that the 12 hour on the daily have a little bit more upside to go overall. So I don't know which one's exactly relevant to you, but you know, I could easily
see this thing popping back up above three bucks. Um, yeah, other than that, not much else to say,
I would still maintain a long-term bearish buy. So as long as it's below about three and a half
bucks, uh, in long-term, I mean, this thing has been massively fucking bearish. Like I look,
this thing is not fucking reversing here.
I'll put it this way.
OK, I shouldn't be that that that direct because obviously I can be wrong.
But look, it's in a monthly downtrend.
It's never really known what an actual uptrend is anyways.
Had one pop up, you know, over here, similar to most shit coins and then didn't do shit
after that.
I mean, this is the dead heartbeat chart, right?
I mean, this is what the real chart looks like, you know, on a linear scale. It's bad. It's really
fucking bad. There's absolutely zero things bullish about it on the very long term, as long
as it's below the December 2024 high. And I don't think that you, honestly, I wouldn't be surprised
if you'd never trade above that level ever again. Maybe that's a little bit too low. Maybe I should
move that up to like $10, but yeah, either which way, very fucking bad.
But yeah, in the short term, it depends how short term you are.
Extremely low term timeframes, yeah, a bit of a pullback.
But I do think that those medium timeframes try closer to $3.
So yeah, cool.
Anima says, excellent advisor.
I'll convey it to my friend.
Awesome.
I'm glad to hear your friend.
Hopefully your friend, uh, hopefully, hopefully your friend, um,
takes it well.
Uh, you know, again, the, the main thing is just, we don't want to fucking unnecessarily
give up money, especially during the learning phase.
Um, we want to save that money for when we actually have the skill and then, yeah, sure.
Okay.
Put your risk on, you know, that's the time to do it, but not before then.
Um, and, and, and again, you can, you can learn trading while doing even a 9-to-5 job.
I mean, shit, most 9-to-5 jobs, at least from what I've seen from my friends,
is that they can kind of just get away with studying something while they're working.
Like, they're barely fucking working, a lot of them.
Like, they're just surfing the internet, it seems like.
So, yeah, you know, that would be a good time instead of, surfing fucking memes on twitter uh to actually study um nice all right brody bennett says daddy crown usl on the asx cam
i'm glad that you specified the exchange as well it's this one right here silver it's some sort of
silver i'm guessing is it like a silver mine or something like this uh overall you know i do like
it on the reversal it's just short term i do think that it could come down a little bit more.
In fact, I think that it's very likely to come down a little bit more, maybe closer
to like, uh, 24 and a half to 25 cents.
But, um, I'd be looking at the reversal as real as long as you're above last month's
low.
So does it have a short term pullback and do something like this, put in a higher low
and then try higher, something like this.
Yes.
Um, I just, I would maintain a bullish buy as long try higher something like this yes um i just i would maintain
a bullish buy as long as you're above this area right here on the higher term time frames um which
you are on actually so that's cool uh yeah and quarterly again like overall this is fine i just
think that it you know it pulls back short term here and then and then you probably get a rally
uh later on in q2 of this year um guiles debosh DeBosch says, hello, sir. Could you, uh, could you take a look at
super on the daily weekly? All right, let's check this one out. Um, where is my super?
There she is. There she is. Okay. Quarterly closed. Don't like how that one worked.
Do you think you could very easy, you know, even if you're the biggest bear on this thing,
you could still easily have a, um, a, uh, a short-term rally to open up this quarter back to that red moving
average, which is all the way at 70 cents or a little bit above 70 cents, to be fair. So even
if I'm super, super bearish, I do think that this one probably does trade a bit higher.
The thing is, though, is that if it does hit that number, it'll naturally take out this last
lower high right here as well, play out the LARP line simultaneously. And at that point, you have a, you know, you have a real reversal. You know,
is this a higher loan right here, at least for the daily? I think it's definitely possible. So,
you know, at that point, 75 to maybe even a buck is certainly possible. But what timeframes were
you going? Oh, you're going off of a weekly. Sorry, I'm like way off here. Yeah. You know,
again, this looks like a low to me. This thing has been beat up a lot. I mean,
it basically went straight down from two 27 all the way to 37 cents. It's an 83 and a half percent
decline. I mean, this thing has had a bear market already basically. Uh, you know, I think, I think
you're ready for a bit of mean reversion here, um, in, uh, in Q2. And I, again, I wouldn't be
surprised at all. I'll see to see this thing, you know,
at least around like 75 to 80 cents. I think it could even get a buck plus, honestly.
But higher term timeframes, yeah. Monthly, quarterly, like they're not great. They're not
great. But I do think that you try some upside here, at least in the short term. So yeah,
hopefully that was helpful, ma'am. Weoo next mr peepoo on youtube and he's
looking at uh tether dominance tether dominance oh this would this would have been a good one
fuck i completely forgot to include this in my analysis
oleg on youtube says is it possible to get hair from the balls for a hair transplant will solve
two problems hairy balls versus vanishing head actually i i would like to know this as well for
my own um for my own understanding uh probably does work, but then you just literally
have your ball hairs on your head and, uh, well, there's nothing wrong with that. Honestly,
what if you use someone else's ball sack hair? Uh, even better, even better. Um, anyways, uh,
okay. Now, now that i recognize this because i did not
look at this tried at all actually before this stream um the monthly chart for tether dominance
there is actually good reason to believe that this could very well be
a local high in progress here for march actually and if this one is putting in a high and likely
to come back down then obviously you have to to be bullish on cryptos or Bitcoin.
And I guess a lot of the rest of the stuff, too.
Why do I say that?
Because, one, it got rejected right at the last closure for the last local high.
And then on top of that, there is potential here, although unconfirmed.
Oh, sorry.
Actually, there's not.
I was going to say there's potential for hidden bearish divergence.
Let's actually double check.
Okay.
So this high right here is 5085.
This high right here is 5087.
So actually, there actually would be a very slight amount of hidden bearish divergence
possible if it can confirm a local high right here.
How would you confirm a local high right here?
Coming back down below last week's flow and that is 502 502 percent
by the way and uh and i do think that that's still very much possible here the reason being that this
one has been perfectly rejected right around the 200 simple moon average as well in the weekly and
there is hidden bearish divergence on that one as well so um again i just need to see below last
week's low and at that point i think that this thing is going to be coming down a lot more um
at least towards about 460 ish region um which would be this green line right here and potentially all the way back down
to these same lows that we saw throughout uh 2024 and 2025 uh close to about four percent so
take it one step at a time but for right now i mean this is looking still like a local high to
me so i do favor short-term um, short term upside for probably most cryptos as
we've been going over. Uh, so yeah, I think we just finished with those ones there. Let me get
onto my other comments here. Very nice. Uh, for whatever reason, my, yeah, my YouTube doesn't
want to, uh, doesn't want to update on it. So, you know, I'm going to bring up the Twitter spaces
here. Let's see. Oh, nice. Okay. I can see over here. Nice. Thank you for
reposting the event. Uh, as always, um, Hey, it's, it's, uh, it's all good, Dan. It's all good,
man. I'm, I'm, I'm just talking shit as well. It's no problem, man. Yeah. Fuck. Yeah. Tales
from the crypto. We got a thousand people on Twitter. Actually, that is wild, man. That is
so totally wild. Anyways. Um, I am back on the YouTube comments here. I can see that there is a few requests for Ethereum Bitcoin.
Is there a reversal there?
Let's I don't know.
Let's see.
Haven't looked at this pair in a while either.
Is there a reversal on the four hour time frame?
Still pretty far away from actually confirming a reversal.
But, you know, you do have some bullish divergence coming off of this low.
So I think there is two drives.
Yeah, just two drives.
I do think that it could trade a little bit higher, maybe closer to like two and a quarter.
Two and a quarter million Satoshis, just basically around this green line right here, somewhere around there.
I'm curious, though, where is it in the greatest scheme of things?
Yeah, daily time frame also has potential for bullish divergence here.
If it can just close above yesterday's high i would
say that that is essentially confirmed well let's actually make that two and a quarter i mean that
would look really really good and i could easily see this thing going uh decently higher from
there closer to like two spot three and a quarter million satoshis something like this um
still higher term time frames are pretty fucking ugly though like it's actually crazy this thing doesn't even have potential for bullish divergence on the
weekly timeframe what the hell the monthly closed on the lows so yeah it's
like it can have a short-term upside move maybe it comes back up close to
like quarter millions Toshis or something but it's kind of where you'd
be expecting a pushback at least I mean there's this is like this is not
fucking bullish
when you see something like this,
but can it bounce?
Sure.
Is it a tradable bounce?
I guess if you're on the lower term timeframes, sure.
But I wouldn't be surprised to see this one
move lower at some point during this quarter.
I don't know if that's relevant to you or not,
to be honest.
So maybe it is, maybe it ain't.
Who knows?
Only God knows why.
Anyways, let's see. Nishant says,
my internet got disconnected after you asked us to take loans and longer longs. Thank you for the advice. I'm submitting my application now. No problem. Also get the applications for McDonald's
as well. Ready? Just in case. Just in case. We have to have a plan B as well. This is a smart
way to do it. Don't put all of your eggs in one basket.
And let's see what else we got over here on YouTube.
XRP.
Yeah, let's look at XRP.
This one, we switched around to being bearish on this in the past couple weeks.
And do I still stay bearish on this?
Let's see the monthly closure.
Just like Bitcoin, just like the rest of the cryptos, there is potential for a hopium scenario here. It's still above all major moving averages on the monthly timeframe.
Um, I'm curious where the new monthly momentum pivot is. Cause that was to the upside. The last time I checked, uh, it is going to cross the downside at the end of this month. If XRP fails
to reclaim two 73. So that, so failure to reclaim about two and three quarters by the end of this month, if XRP fails to reclaim 273. So that, so failure to reclaim about two and
three quarters by the end of this month, or, or if this one comes back down below that February low
and closes even a daily below there, you know, at that point, I would say that this one's wrecked
as fuck and, you know, probably going to come down to like one and a quarter, maybe even one,
maybe even below $1 after that. But for, you know, but for now, I still think that there,
it is appropriate to have some hopium here, to be honest with you, man. Um, however, in the short term, does it look like
that? No, I mean, by all intents and purposes, this is a fucking downtrend. Like it looks ugly.
Don't get me wrong. Uh, it's just, I have those rules on the higher term timeframes for myself
because more often than not, that's going to be on the right side of things, but not always.
Anyways, in this case, um, it's XRP, like,
is it ready for a bounce at least? Is it ready for a bounce? I mean, this thing could easily
bounce to two and a quarter. I am more inclined to say that things are going to open up this
month on a bounce. I think that this thing could easily trade close to like two and a quarter.
It doesn't really do anything. I guess the earliest area that I'd be getting massively bullish on would be if this thing can close above two and a half dollars
or essentially the 200 simple on the 12 hour time frame here. Just this last lower high.
Until then, yeah, risk remains to the downside, but short term can very easily bounce. Just doesn't
mean that that bounce is going to materialize into reversal. So yeah, I think that's where I'll leave this one at. Uh, IP USDT for Matthew Sherman. Um, this is, what is this thing? I,
I don't think I've ever seen this thing before or have I? It doesn't sound familiar. Um, anyways,
I can see that this thing's in one massive long, Oh, this is very new. I was looking at a four
hour timeframe. Uh, again uh again short term if it wants
to bounce like a little bit above five dollars is completely fine overall though not great as long
as it's below this last lower high from the 25th of march it could very easily be bounce up here
reconnect come back down you know it isn't a downtrend to be fair um so i do have to favor
the downside here and we are seeing momentum costs continue to the downside. Yes, it's getting into critical zone. So that's why I do think in the short term
probably does bounce. It's not even enough history to, to, uh, to populate a five day timeframe. So
I look at that as a signal that, uh, that's about as far as I can go. And as always, you know,
when, when, when, when, when we're looking at an asset that has very limited history here,
like some like this, I don't really trust, uh know, traditional analysis all that well, to be honest.
So, yeah.
All right.
Cool.
Hiro.
Yes, indeed.
We're on Twitter.
It's a Twitter special.
In fact, there's significantly more people watching on Twitter than there is on YouTube.
That is crazy.
1,700 people watching on Twitter right now.
Fucking awesome, man.
Anyways, let me get back to the comments here.
But a lot less comments on Twitter Twitter or maybe I'm missing something like is it not
updating or what's going on wait what's what's the deal with what's anyways um all right let me
let me read let me read through some of these uh harsh Rauna says PP weekly and monthly. Sure amount.
PP over here.
What is this one doing?
This one, like most shit coins that we've seen today, they look like they're...
Well, this one's hit the easy bounce target already.
I guess the real question is, is this going to be a higher low here?
Possible, but I would say unlikely.
Yeah, man, I'm not bullish on
something that looks like this um I think that this one tops out kind of
where it's at right now maybe slightly higher maybe slightly higher I'll be
wrong on that if it can trade above the 50% level here which is 70 79,000
whatever the fuck denominating currency that is or like one one millionth of a cent or some shit like this.
But for right now, I would actually still be leaning on the downside.
I think that this one continues back down closer to these lows.
You know, it's already played out my LARP line bounce here.
I think next move is actually a short-term downside.
Let's see what the 10-day looks like as well.
Not terrible.
If it does want to bounce then yeah what was it 78
something like that would be fine um um now that i look at it over the long over the long term you
know you do have a kind of range play here right you know you've hit the bottom side of the range
that was in early march maybe it tests in there again but I'm not looking for this thing to break down below these regions uh or at least if if it is going to break
down I don't think it happens in the like uh in the in the near future I think that you're still
in a bounce posture from here and I think that you'll at some point bounce higher like at some
point bounce higher but uh but yeah it's really all that I have to say about, uh, about the PP right there.
We have Guinto. He says AVAX daily and weekly. Okay. This is a prior cycle shit coin. Let's see
how it's done this cycle. Surely there's going to be new all time highs because alt season,
right. And there is not actually, that's crazy. Um, you know, when I look at the quarterly here,
again, it can very easily bounce up to like 24, 25 bucks. That's exactly what I'd be looking for on a lower high pullback.
This one's kind of the same thing as PP right here as well.
Both PP and Avalanche, are they going to be putting in a higher low here and try a short-term upside move?
Or is it going to come down from here?
I'm a little bit more inclined to say this one's more likely to come to the downside. I think
at most you might get to 20 bucks in the short term. Um, but you know, just like PP, this thing
is a range play as well. It's coming off of this long. Okay. Let me just do it for this timeframe.
Uh, it's coming off of this longterm low here. So it's like, does it have that much more downside?
I don't think it's going to make a new low compared to the March low,
but it could very easily come back down around there,
put in a higher low,
and then give you a big bounce somewhere around here.
And I do think that that does happen over a long enough period of time.
It'd still be a lower high on the weekly, to be fair,
but it would be a very, very decent bounce.
Yeah, and monthly, same thing.
Yeah, that's what I'd say about that um so fair enough
nice one and we have nikki page good morning to you as well uh i'm just i'm just eating weed
honey i'm gonna have to go back and watch the intro if i have another spoonful is that even a
thing holy shit man where do you live where where do they even have this sort of concoction
all right i'm back over here on twitter right now i see k saying says aioz aioz all right i think this one sounds
familiar but i i don't recall okay yeah it is a 2021 shit coin it did get close to those prior
all-time highs so it's better than most to be fair um but just like the last couple charts
you know you are coming off of the jesus christ did, you know, you are coming off of the Jesus Christ. Did it again. Bastard.
You are coming off of this range low right here.
It's like, do you test into that low again?
Probably.
But I don't think you're going to break down just yet.
Should even in the short term, it might actually just rally from here in the short term.
It could easily rally to twenty six and a half to twenty seven cents and then pull back from there.
But I don't think i want to be really
it's it's a it's such a delicate scenario here because it's like yeah okay short term does it
balance probably more likely yes 26 27 cents whatever um but i don't think that you're gonna
fucking green dilder your way to the heavens from that exact point i do think that that is a likely
pullback region bless you sir and then and then you know does it come back down dig out this low here and then be of a big bounce i'm more inclined to say something like that but that is
getting like super ahead of myself right here and you know for all intents purposes the monthly is
bearish as fuck like it's ugly as fuck um it's just you know are you gonna break down on this
exact test right here or does it uh you know or does it bounce first, you know, or does it bounce first? I I'm, I'm inclined to say it bounces first. Um, quarterly same, I mean, just quarterly ugly as hell, ugly as hell amount. Um, if it
bounced up to like 30, 35 to 40 cents, that would be a gift from God in my opinion. Um, so yeah,
that's, that's what I've said about AIOZ. Hopefully that was helpful, sir. Uh, Missouri,
it's spun weed. It spun weed honey what is that does
that actually work these fucking weed scientists in america gotten really good with this stuff
looking forward to going back there
christian cassilla says i just don't see how tomorrow can be bullish at all china is going
to announce huge tariffs alongside japan and korea on U.S. It's the exact same way that that you can't see that things are bullish when FTX collapses. Right.
The event itself typically marks like the the sort of height of emotions and the height of
volatility. And well, in this case, Bitcoin's already on the lows. So, you know, this is just my bullish perspective.
You know, if I'm trying to make like the biggest bullish case, not saying that it's going to be 100% correct.
You know, I could very well be wrong on that. And, you know, it all does just shit the bed.
I mean, there's good reason to believe that. Again, traditional markets, higher term timeframes.
This is one of the more obvious calls long term, long term, like this quarter.
You know, I do think does try lower at some point, but bounces first.
So we'll see.
I mean, if the bounce can reclaim, you know, significant highs, then I'm not going to be bearish off that.
Just not.
Come to Thailand, superb weed here.
I hear a lot of things are really good in Thailand, actually.
Apparently, the fruits are super, good which uh which i love um but they're also really good
in florida too man um let's see crypto juggle says cardano cardano all right cardano let's check out
this one i've been looked at this one in about a week and let's see what it's doing okay it did
come down a little bit we were looking for to come down a little bit towards this region here i think we have a chart on this one yes is it going to bounce from here
in reverse it's the same issue as most these other shit coins right it is bouncing off of the 377
exponential on the daily it's very difficult to get bearish um when things are kind of hanging
on to a major movement average like this so i am inclined to I am inclined to say that it's more likely to bounce here than not,
maybe close up to like 70 cents or so.
But that doesn't reverse even the short-term trend.
But just like XRP, I mean, this one does have a significantly different chart.
Is this a monthly higher low being put in here?
Well, I guess the hopium for that is alive as long as you're above the
march slash february low i mean it's essentially one in the same there so
yeah give it a chance to bounce i don't think that this next bounce is going to be like the
move that brings it back on to um you know one dollar plus but the longer that holds sideways
here the more and more like that this actually does form a macro higher low.
And at that point, I mean, it'd be pretty good. It'd be very good, actually.
As far as monthly momentum, it will actually turn down if it fails to reclaim 98 cents this month.
So what I'm seeing for a lot of these things is that the monthly momentum pivots have moved up significantly for a lot of these,
especially the ones that are in the critical zone, the bullish, sorry, the critical bullish control zone, it's implying to me that if we don't
see Bitcoin reclaim significant levels, the same ones that we spoke about throughout this
stream, on the monthly pivots, then, well, that's going to be bearish in and of itself.
Probably a signal in and of itself.
That also implies that if you're bullish, you're kind of looking for this move to materialize uh kind of soon i mean within 30 days there's only 30 days
in this month right um so yeah all right let's uh let's get back on over here to uh to twitter
whoops i can hear my stupid voice again there we go all right um um um hurling says, for nostalgia, Bonk, USDT. Okay, let's check out Bonk.
It's Elsa's favorite coin.
Similar to a lot of the other shit coins we've seen,
you know, it is coming off of these month...
Damn it, did it again.
Let's just go for this.
It is kind of coming off of this low right here.
So it's like, is it going to break it on this current move?
I don't think so.
I think you're in for a bounce first.
Is this a higher low? It's the same question that we see across the board here. Is it going to break it on this current move? I don't think so. I think you're in for a bounce first.
Is this a higher low?
It's the same question that we see across the board here.
It's hard to say as of right now.
I would still have to lean towards, in the very, very short term, probably another push higher.
Somewhere around 12,000, whatever the fuck that number is.
But I do think that it will be rejected there. And I do think that it has one more attempt around the lows.
Maybe not to new lows, but around those lows. and then you get a real bounce then you get like the
real big bounce if it can you know if it can bounce back above the March highs then you know
this thing can move up significantly somewhere around here but until then I'll treat this one
I'll treat this one with with caution still you know like not these are like this is not a great
quarterly chart you know this thing could rally up like, this is not a great quarterly chart. You know,
this thing could rally up all the way to the red moving average reject. Um, then your trending
move to the downside begins. I mean, that's like, it can get fucking bad. That's, that's actually
the really interesting thing about, um, you know, about the crypto market right now or just markets
in general. It's like, you're, you're almost at the point of maximum financial return.
Because if you're entering into long positions here, the very obvious area to be putting in a stop loss is that March low.
And we're relatively close to it right now.
So the loss is theoretically on the lower side, a little bit limited.
And if it happens, it happens.
But until then, you know,
you do have a setup, to be fair. Personally, I still want to see things come a little bit lower than where it's already at. We did hit around 81,000 bucks yesterday. That's the upper end of
my range that I'm kind of interested in. But, you know, I still think that Bitcoin can very easily
have one more try towards 80, then put in a higher low, then work its way up. Something like this.
Anyways, let's see. Yeah, a lot of people in the live right now its way up. Something like this. Anyways, um, let's see.
Yeah. A lot of people in the live right now. Uh, Ruthie, it's awesome. It's very, very awesome to
see. We got even like almost 2000 people on Twitter. That's super cool. Um, got to do more
on Twitter, ma'am. Anyways, Matthew Smead is looking at, Oh God, it's the pulse chain. Uh,
it's on trading view now. All right. Well, I'll, I'm going to bite. I'm going to bite.
Pulse.
Oh God.
Which one is it?
Nobody fucking knows.
Is it this one?
I think it's this one.
I think it's this one.
The DAI stable coin.
Well, looks right.
Uh, look, this is not a good chart, but I do think it's going to bounce from here.
You got lower highs all the way through on the weekly, assuming I'm looking at the right
chart.
You've just retested the last major macro low from September of 2024.
Again, you're very likely to bounce here.
This thing could bounce up significantly even.
It could bounce up percentage-wise.
I mean, easily, like 40%, you know, 40 to 50%, but that's not a bullish,
but that, again, that wouldn't be bullish. I mean, that's exactly what I'd be expecting,
another lower high. So, kind of a long way of saying, hey, yeah, probably more likely to bounce
here first, but I wouldn't be holding on to a ton of hopium. You know, as long as this thing's below whatever this lower high is here at about 4,000 derps,
then, you know, it's not great, to put it that way.
We have a pulse.
There is a pulse.
It seems to be a dying pulse, though.
Again, I don't even know if I'm looking at the right one here, to be honest, ma'am.
So apologies if that is the case.
Legends Valley Music Festival says, are we bullish?
Just rewind to the very first 20 minutes of this video and you will have your answer.
I do think that there's still hopium.
Just it is, well, it's certainly unconfirmed as of right now.
And there's still potential for a real collapse if Bitcoin does lose the March lows.
But yeah, there is Hopium based off of the way that things closed.
And if you are bullish, what I could generally say for April is you'd actually be expecting above $90,000.
So I do think that all of this is kind of like on a bit of a it's it's it's like a it's it's like a timer right now.
It's like a timer. If it's bullish, you know, we do expect this month to close very likely above 90,000 bucks.
Anyways, I'll get power bottom. Indeed, I'll get on to the.
Yes, let's go back to Twitter over here. I see JM Capital.
He's looking on or he's looking at hype hype.
Yeah, I know that this one's been very popular.
We've been bearish on it for a while i do i think it's going to bounce here you know you do have bullish divergence on
the daily rsi it could easily bounce up a little bit more towards 14 and a half dollars just i can
never be bullish on a downtrend man that's the unfortunate reality um and your last lower
trending high is going to be 1670. Yeah, 1670 right here.
So as long as you're below there, yeah, there's a realistic potential that the trend continues.
I mean, it's not just a potential.
It's more probable, to be fair.
I do think that you're going to have a short-term bounce, at least, to kind of open up this month.
Like I said, somewhere between 14 to 15.
Just call it like 14 and a half, something like that.
But obviously, that would not be above and a half, something like that.
But obviously that, that would not be above this, uh, 16, $16, 80 cent high here.
So that's my line in the sand for this thing.
And the monthly, like, am I going to be bullish on a chart that looks like this?
Fuck no.
Like never, you know, there, uh, admittedly there is a limited, uh, amount of history here, but it doesn't look good to me, man.
It doesn't look good.
Um, so yeah, a long way of
saying short-term bounce. Other than that, I'll tell you what you already know. It's a downtrend.
And for me, I always favor the trend. I always favor trend continuation until proven otherwise.
Of course, at some point it will be proven otherwise. Maybe this is the point, but
this has been keeping us safe on something like this you know ever since this area over here um when it established a downtrend so yeah
marco escobar says just broke up with my lady bullish fucking dump it baby get rid of her
kidding okay uh well i mean Well, I mean, well, fair enough.
Anyways, a contributor says,
CORE's Bitcoin miner extraordinaire.
Okay, let's see it.
CORE scientific.
Not good.
Again, just absolutely ugly monthly here,
but is it going to open up this month with a bounce?
Yeah, I think so.
Or at least it's definitely trying over here.
I'm sure that you have potential for bullish divergence.
There will be potential if it can confirm a local low here.
It will confirm a local low if it trades back above last Friday's high.
At that point, I don't know, $10, $9 to $10.
But look, I'm not bullish on this thing, man.
Whatever it is, it's a, it's a Bitcoin minor
extraordinaire. It's extraordinarily fucking bearish over the longterm. This is the Eiffel
tower or the Burj Khalifa pattern right here of death. Uh, while I do think it bounces in the
short term, I don't think you're going to reclaim any, um, any significant regions, uh, shit, even
in the short term, like the last lower high nine and a half bucks is, it's kind of a big one. So
very hard one to love.
See what I court.
Yeah.
Quarterly also ugly as fuck.
I do think you're going to open up this month on a bounce.
Maybe it bounces all the way up to like nine, 10 bucks, but don't, I, I, I'm not, I wouldn't
say I'm bullish on it, sir.
I wouldn't say I'm bullish on it.
Uh, let's see.
Okay.
Let me just refresh over here.
Um, we have Carloslos rangel on twitter he says
sin please sin please um okay and then oh that's a really good question ruthie we should get into
that as well but let's look at this one first um s y n okay is this a stock or crypto i'm guessing
it's a crypto due to the nature of this stream uh and ugly as fuck exactly exactly crypto chart beautiful
it just goes down amazing let's let's let's drop the let's drop it i'm dropping it this one needs
to be nuked because it's very bad very very bad it's been a very very bad chart and that's what
happens to bad charts i get nuked to to obliteration You know, does this thing open up this month on a bounce?
Maybe.
I don't know.
If it does want to bounce, 29 to 30 cents is fine.
But that does absolutely fuck all for you for the general trend.
I mean, your trend is to the downside heavily as long as you're below 70 cents.
And honestly, I don't even think you're going to trade above there.
Like, it's certainly not this cycle but um maybe even for life it's
possible i guess this thing has been around since 2021 didn't do shit in 2024 when the rest of the
market was you know going to the moon and beyond it's never a good sign to me um but yeah short
term it can bounce long term i think the trend remains the same you're going to see new lows
on this thing probably sometime this quarter anita chu shit, it is indeed a shit emoticon.
I agree.
I agree.
It is what it is, though.
All right.
Ruthie says, is NDX set to outperform Spy from here?
So let's actually see if we can chart these against each other.
That'd be kind of cool.
No, I think it's going to be the other way around, honestly.
I think you're going to see SPY outperform NASDAQ.
In fact, we're seeing this chart as having many drives of bearish divergence.
I think that this one comes down closer to this number on the ratio.
But long term, I mean, the trend is your friend, right?
Like long term, this is massively bullish.
So I do think it's generally going to be a, um, a, uh, an opportunity down here, but, uh, that would imply, yeah, that NASDAQ is going to lose share
to spy. Um, yeah. Quarterly, uh, ugly as well. Now I'm just drawing lines. My apologies.
There we go. Uh, we have K saying, he says prime prime. Okay. I think this is some sort of gaming
thing or, or is it some sort of drink? I don't
know. I see this stupid ass drink at the, uh, at the grocery store every day. Um,
looks bad. Looks really bad. There's your traditional Burj Khalifa into the bull trap.
Uh, beautiful, just beautiful. Again, can it, can it rally, uh, to open up this month? Sure.
Um, if it wants to rally, I guess it could rally up to like five and a half to six and a half bucks, somewhere around there.
Sure.
Fine.
Doesn't really do anything for it.
Again, long term bearish as fuck.
But you do have some weekly bullish divergence building here, like significantly new lows on the weekly RSI.
Sorry.
Well, yeah, it is a higher low on the weekly RSI compared to
your August 2024 low here. So I do think that you're more likely to open up this month on a
bounce. I just think it's not going to be doing much for you to the upside. I think best, best,
best, best, best, best, best case scenario, like all of the bull moons align and I don't know,
Trump decides that Crypto Prime is the next, I don't know. I won't even go there.
Maybe like nine, ten bucks, but I don't even think that that's going to happen. I think I think you
get a short term bounce here. Maybe it comes up to like seven, eight and then and then continues
with the trend. Here's your here's a quarterly. Just very bad. Very, very bad. Very, very bad.
All right.
Let's see what else we got.
And again, for the new people on Twitter, whenever I call a chart bad, I'm not saying you're bad.
You're probably great as a person, most likely.
Probabilistically, it's a good look.
But as far as charts go, fucking bad, man.
Really bad.
Anyways, Nishan says, good job skipping my super chat uh i think i actually
did get to that one um for nishan uh yeah i'm pretty sure i got all of yours we did nifty we
did your last one about your about disconnecting before taking out major loans other than that i
haven't seen anything um any other chats from you so i I don't know if she did miss it. Elsa's on top of it today. She's actually very good.
Sometimes, sometimes not so good. Um, uh, some real retard strength in the order books on some
alt. Yeah. Again, you know, you're gonna, you're very likely to see a lot of these things open up
this month with the bounce at least. Um, just,
I'm,
I'm skeptical on these balances.
I still think that things try around the current lows at least again.
And if things obviously are bearish,
I mean,
they're just going to make new lows,
but yeah.
so fair enough.
Sophia Schmid says we X.
Okay.
Is this a thing?
It is a thing.
Okay.
It's a,
we X token. Um, not a lot of history here for the
history that we do have it goes down but there is some bullish divergence here building um on this
low so i i think your next move is a bounce probably close to like two and a half cents
but as long as you're below let's call it uh two spot six cents long-term bearish just it's not much to be going off of here but
that's that's how to read it I mean that is your trend after all but yeah short term probably plays
out a little bit more of a bounce like I said 23 and a half to maybe 24 and a half somewhere around
there it could very easily bounce towards monthly doesn't really give me much. I mean, it's just not enough history here to be
fair. Um, so yeah, difficult with the things that, uh, that have like a very limited amount
of history. I mean, they, they, you know, they can pump and dump out of nowhere to be fair.
Um, uh, Joe Cobb or Joe, Joe, Joe, God, mosh. Jesus. Am I saying that properly? Probably not.
Apologize, man. Barra, Barra token. Okay. Um,
Barra, it's a real thing. That's great. Uh, believe in something, believe in bear Jesus.
Um, yeah. So monthly highs coming in here. Did we already hit the 50% level from last low?
Yeah, it's actually there pretty much right now um this one to be fair looks a lot
different than most other uh charts that we've seen today at least i mean at least it hasn't
it has a daily uptrend here um do we have potential for hidden bullish evidence no
maybe on a 12 hour uh yeah we'll have a chance. So I guess I'm more inclined to say that this one's going to bounce in the short term, in
the short term, maybe like seven and a half to eight bucks area.
Monthly, nothing to look at there.
Biweekly can go either way.
Again, just not enough history.
10 day, five day.
These things don't really help me right now.
If I had to call it, you know, I still have to go
with the general analysis that we've been looking at for pretty much all of the shit coins today,
including Bitcoin. It's like short term, does it have a, uh, does it have a slight try to the
upside? Sure. Possible. But I do think that you come closer to these lows here at like six bucks
at some point. Um, and if it is bullish, you should expect a higher low, like a little bit
above six bucks. But I, I, I do think that at some point it comes back down close there.
So, yeah.
9-5 says, thank you for teaching the art of trading.
I mean, I'm just sharing what's worked for me, man, for better or worse.
Sometimes I'm wrong.
Sometimes I'm right.
That's just the way that it is.
It's all probabilities at the end of the day.
That's really what I've come down to.
That's really what I could synthesize everything down to in just one sentence.
It's all fucking probabilities.
Everything has a non-zero probability.
It's your job to weigh those out and then take risks based off of that.
Or at least that's the way that I think it should be done.
So, yeah.
All right.
All right.
Let's see what else we got.
I'm going to go back here to Twitter.
We have John Dude.
What's up, man?
XMR on the three month. Yeah. Mon monero i remember last we looked at this it it did look somewhat
different than most things let's see how that's working now and it does it really does look a lot
different than most things um this one actually closed not the quarterly uh the quarterly green
um i think even though no the monthly was not green but still above all major moving averages
um so i'm not bearish on that.
The problem is, though, is that it's right at the top side of the range,
which has been the sort of rejection area for this whole channel going back to 2022.
So is it ready to break out from here, or does it come back down first and then try to break out?
I'm actually inclined to say that this thing will try from here.
Sorry, not exactly from here or sorry, not,
not exactly from here.
You know,
maybe it pulls back to 200 bucks first,
but I don't think that you're going to be going much lower than that.
if this thing is going to try a real breakout above last quarter's high,
and if it could just even trade above last quarter's high,
I think that this thing's going to have a pretty big move,
towards three 50,
maybe even 400 plus.
Um, I guess it'd finally get to join the rest of the market because it hasn't really done that in 2024 during the 2024 bull market.
So hard to say there, but in a tough spot, in my opinion, like in the short term.
But if I actually had to call it, I do think, again, could come close to 200 bucks.
I don't think that you break down below 200 bucks. I do think it gives one more try to call it. I do think, again, could come close to $200. I don't think that you break down below $200.
I do think it gives one more try to the upside.
Overall, again, about $240 to $250.
And if it can just trade above there, close daily above there, I mean, yeah, I think you're in for a big breakout.
You know, decently higher.
So, yeah, has a chance there.
And very interesting to see something that just looks totally different. Crypto crypto juggle says sui. Yeah, we can look at that.
So you're saying there's a chance, Dr. J. Yes, there's always a chance. It just might be a very
low probability chance. Um, anyway, sui, uh, I think I put on my list here. Um, yeah, again,
you know, I'm never going to like a chart that.
Well, no, I shouldn't say that.
I mean, this thing at least made sense.
It was probably one of the biggest winners of this current bull market.
I'm looking for something that's obvious here, though.
Quarterly still above all major moving averages, but this is that does not look good to me.
Yeah, monthly.
I think that you could see a rally to open up this month of April, like 2.5 to
2.60-ish region.
That doesn't do anything for you, though, but maybe that's a tradable event for you in the
short term.
We can see that there is some bullish evidence building over here as well, so maybe it tries
the bounce before anything else.
But just like Bitcoin, just like most other things, I mean, this thing is in almost a full bearish posturing
of all major moving averages.
And generally, you know, I'd be favoring another return
closer to the lows after the short-term bounce.
If the short-term bounce even happens, I mean,
if I go over the five-day timeframe,
then I would generally say, okay,
I think that we've seen the high of the bounce already.
And this thing's going to try back down around those March lows.
But I don't think it's ready to break to new lows, to be honest.
I can be wrong on this, of course.
But it's testing essentially the last swing high that you saw from March of 2024.
It's just it's unlikely to break that on the first pass.
So, yeah.
Anyways, Harry Crown, Plume USD, freeze.
Sure, man.
Let's try Plume over here.
Then we'll get back to Twitter or to X.
Some people don't like when you call Twitter.
Actually, very different here on the monthly already.
Closing the last month green, where most things did not.
Again, a very limited amount of history here, but hidden bullish divergence on what seems to be the next higher low.
I would have to favor short-term upside, probably back around like 20-ish cents.
Maybe it just continues on with the trend.
I mean, this thing is one of the only things that we've seen today that's actually in an uptrend.
So there's that.
I would hold on to hopium here as long as you're above, um, Sunday's low. Um, you know, I think the general direction is up. Um, yeah. Damn, just got here. What did I miss? Are we all dead? McDonald's time. You're all, we're all live, but we actually can't even work at McDonald's because they hired a bunch of robots. So we're fucked.
bought so we're fucked all right all right what else we got what else we got uh did i do what
okay cows inu gays inu gay like g-a-y inu Can you fucking spell it in English, please?
Oh, gays.
Oh, it's the gay coin.
Nice.
All right.
Well, let's get out.
Kidding.
I'm kidding.
I'm kidding.
But it is.
This chart does deserve a nuke.
Okay.
It really does deserve a nuke.
All right. That has nothing to do with a hate crime or anything like that.
Like this chart is it's the worst one that we've seen today in fact um wow doesn't get any worse
than this man have you ever seen an rsi that looks like this it's stuck at 289 on a weekly
wow that's uh this thing is actually literally the worst thing I've ever seen. Um,
here,
here's it on log scale.
Even on logs here,
it looks just atrocious.
It's very bad.
What's up,
Sag,
Tolan.
Hopefully I'm saying that properly,
man.
Good morning to you.
we looked at that one earlier.
I think even by your own requests are,
let me see what's going on,
on Twitter.
Render for Ksang.
Okay.
R-N-D-R.
All right.
Wow, we got over 200.
Sorry, not over 200.
Over 2,100 people on Twitter watching.
Are you on Twitter, Elsa?
I don't know.
What do you mean you don't know?
What do you mean you don't know?
Oh, okay.
Okay. I see. see well there are definitely
comments there it's just it i i it moves a little bit weirder um well whatever all right anyways um
as far as render goes like i'll tell you what you already know daily weekly probably even the
monthly are in downtrends yeah monthly is in a downtrend as well i do think you're more likely
to open up this month on a bounce this thing could easily trade up to like four and four and a quarter
to four and a half doesn't do anything for it quarterly pretty ugly i would be looking at any
sort of move into the mid fours is probably a salad to be honest um does it bounce from here
though or does it come down first and then play out that bounce that i don't know nobody knows it's impossible to know if i knew well probably have a time machine or
some shit like that but uh but yeah overall if this if and when this thing does bounce during
this quarter i'd be looking for uh you know i'd be looking for a significant pushback at around four and a half to five dollars somewhere around there.
Um, so yeah.
Um, let's see, let's see what else we got, baby.
What else we got?
We are one hour and 35 minutes into this.
I, oh shit, I forgot.
I have a massage to get to in, in about 25 minutes.
So maybe we go for another 10 minutes and then we shut it off.
I guess I won't be eating potatoes before today.
I fucking love potatoes, by the way. They're great way they're great anyways kernel crypto says how about btbt okay uh i think this
is a new one for me maybe it's going to be amazing maybe it's not maybe it's going to be like
everything else it seems to be a real stock and it is looking absolutely bad getting rejected at
the exact area that you don't want to get rejected at because this is really starting to look like a monthly or sorry not even a monthly quarterly
local high on a lower high at that point yeah you know I have to be looking for this thing to come
back down first to the April 2024 lows probably a small bounce, and then I think that this thing comes closer to $1, which is a big fucking move. Yeah, pretty ugly, man. Hard to be bullish, and I tried that looks
like this, but there will be bounces. There's going to be bounces. I mean, you're already
building up some pretty significant bullish divergence here on the daily timeframe. It's
not going to take too much to get this thing on a bounce, but I don't think it's going to reverse, man. Potatoes or sweet
potatoes? Actually, I've been eating both, but I've recently switched back on to regular potatoes,
and I honestly do feel better with them. The sweet potatoes make me far too much,
and Elsa doesn't like it because I do it a lot in my sleep as well.
it's good news man um it's difficult to listen to you i really love your content but when the
It's good news, man.
kids are walking around you're swearing and teaching them bad habits okay well fair enough
man you can always it is it is what it is man you can You can try headphones or just turning it off, man, because I'm probably not going to change that.
But yeah.
Anyways, just bought, guys.
Expect a local top.
Fair warning, says YB.
People, this is a very common thing that a lot of people say.
Like, whenever I buy, it's a local high.
Whenever I sell, it's a local low.
But how can that always be true?
How can that always be true? How can that always be true?
Um, all right. All right. Uh, the, the grateful drop dive says, I hate to say it, but I feel like it's almost time to admit that the market and avoiding world war three might prefer a dementia.
Oh, I see what you mean. Um, well the market likes certainty, right? And right now there's a lot of
uncertainty. You have geopolitical uncertainty between, right? And right now there's a lot of uncertainty.
You have geopolitical uncertainty between major world powers.
You got Russia, China, America, and Iran all fighting each other in basically a Cold War.
And then you have Trump's tariffs and just crazy unhinged tweets that provides a lot of uncertainty.
And when the market feels uncertain, it typically responds with downside. Um, and that's, that's why a lot of the time when you do get an event
and like it actually has happened now, then it's typically the opposite reaction than what you,
uh, than what you would expect. I'm so tired of winning boss. Can't take winning anymore.
Time to lose, please. That's right. I like, I actually, um, president dementia or dementia president, whatever you want to call
him, you know, it was nice cause you don't have to pay attention to as much, uh, from at least
that side of things. Um, you know, when he was in office, but, uh, I don't know, man, I, I think
it's still like way too early to be judging, um, Trump's presidency. I'm still pretty open-minded
with this one. Definitely some things that, uh, that he's done that I definitely don't like. And there's been a lot of things that he's done that
I do like. So it is what it is, man. I guess we'll only know in hindsight. And how many times has
there been a president that was looked at very poorly during his actual presidency? And then,
you know, later on, 10, 20, 50, 100 years after that, people loved him. I mean, shit, like we even just had one in my lifetime, George, George W. Bush.
I remember people fucking hated this guy.
Like they hated him when he was president.
But now when people see him, it's like, oh, there's good old George.
You know, he looks like an everyday guy.
He's just, just a, just a chill guy.
And, um, and, and he seems like he's generally,
uh, you know, decently regarded now. So it's hard to say, man, it's hard to say what, uh,
what it will be. Um, no, it's, uh, it's all good crypto, bro. I understand, man. I understand.
Um, I appreciate the feedback, you know, I understand it's not going to be for kids.
It's just, it is what it is, man. I can't, uh't I can't filter myself in that way. And that's my own shortcoming, to be honest.
Anyways, let's see what else we got.
It must be close to top, says Verus and Numerus.
Buying here, too.
We have a lot of people buying here.
Like I said, trust me, my kid swears more than you.
All right.
Maybe good, maybe bad.
Nobody knows.
Yeah, let's see.
I mean, here for Bitcoin, it's rallying up here at about 83 and a half.
It is starting to look a lot more like this month is going to open up with a rally rather than open up with a short term downside move.
But that does make me bring back these statistics over here for the Bitcoin April lows.
You know, if you're going to be bullish, you expect a low early on within the month,
like very early on within the month.
And if we see Bitcoin making new lows on price for the month of April
after even the seventh day of April,
it's going to become significantly more likely that this thing is going to be a red month.
But yeah, I guess if you're bullish,
you're looking for Bitcoin to kind of put in a low very quickly here within the first week and then move its way upwards and onwards.
Maybe that's even the low right here.
I mean, could very well be, I suppose.
But I still hold on to the decent possibility that Bitcoin tries, even in the event that it's like massively
bullish. You know, I still think it probably tries closer to 80. But we shall see. I mean,
we're going to find out this month. Like I said, if things are bullish, we really don't expect
another boring month. We actually expect Bitcoin back above 90,000 bucks by end of month. So,
yeah, it's on a timer right now. Twitter doesn't capture real viewers, which is why the
number doesn't go to, Oh, okay. I see. So this is just people who have, who have joined in on
Twitter and, uh, and then they, you know, they might've left, but the number continues to just
go up. Well, that's nice. It's good. It's good. It's, it's really good for, uh, for my self
esteem. Um, but right now it says there's 2,200 people on Twitter. I'm going to go with that.
I'm going to go with that. I'm going to go with that.
Anyways, Liv says you used to swear a lot more in your old videos.
Yeah, it is quite mild now. I even slowed down my speech as well.
That's really a function, though, of not ingesting 400 milligrams of caffeine every morning.
Like, I didn't know how much coffee was normal to drink when I first started drinking coffee.
So I just drink like five, six cups
and then it's like rocket fuel is great. Now I realized you only need one. You only need one
and all good. Anyways, uh, carbon says, and actually I think we'll end on this one as well.
Um, can you look at ALCH, ALCH came ALCH, uh, alchemist AI. All right. It's got one narrative
going for it, but I don't think that's going to be enough, man. Um, yeah,
very difficult chart to be bullish on here. Uh, I'm bearish on the longterm,
as long as it's below basically the last five day high of nine cents. Uh,
I think that this thing's putting a local high here and coming down. Um,
yeah, daily momentum to the downside weekly. I'm Weekly, it doesn't even populate.
It's too new.
Five-day, not enough history there.
Three-day coming down.
I'm a lot more inclined to say that this thing is putting in a local high here and coming
back down probably at least to these range lows, which is just under five cents.
If things get a little more crazy, I'd be looking closer to here.
Three and a half cents, I guess.
But one before the next, obviously.
Anyways, Jay Jun says, my first live.
Be here for a bit.
Nice.
I'm literally just thinking of ending, actually.
I do have a few things to get to.
But maybe I'll read a few more comments and then we'll sign it off.
I have nine Eric Crowns following me on XE.
I know, man.
It's really, really bad.
I don't know how to deal with it, honestly. It's the same thing on, on Instagram as well. It used
to be really bad. Um, and it's really embarrassing too, because they'll message all my, you know,
all my, uh, followers on Instagram. And most of my followers are just like people that actually
know in real life who don't even have a fucking clue of what I actually do. And so first they
don't even, uh, they probably don't
even understand that it's a scam. And then second, they, they think it's like actually me. And then
I get messages, dude, why are you asking me to invest in, in fucking derp coin all the time?
I'm like, dude, it's not me. I promise it's not me. Anyways, uh, bro, is a Trump family going to
make crypto or respectable business? Uh, I mean, I don't know.
Like they are making it more legitimized, I guess.
What bothers me, though, is Trump giving out pardons to like these known scammers that if I'm going to talk about one thing that I don't like that he's done, that would certainly be near the top of the list, if not the top of the list.
But yeah, Matteo Paranacci definitely Italian
bon giorno Dr. Crown good morning to you as well sir may I have some euro USD action yeah let's do
this and then we will sign off on this note actually euro versus the derper short term I
do think it plays out a bit of a pullback 107 35 to 107 even And I do think that you try for a bounce there.
And personally, I do think that this one will actually bounce into a reversal.
That's just because I don't think that this thing is going to break down to new lows.
I can be wrong about that.
But what I feel quite confident on is that, yeah, short term, you see a bit of a downside
move, like 107-ish, and then try for an upside move we're
about to see momentum turn back onto the upside for the first time in a while to can close this
month out uh april above 105 which it is decently above right now um i mean shit if it came back
down below 105 there's your obvious signal this thing actually will break down but uh i i actually
don't think that's going to happen here.
Again, I reserve the right to be massively fucking wrong about this one.
But yeah.
All right.
Cool.
Cool.
Okay.
I appreciate it, Edwin.
I actually didn't know that.
But yeah, it's good.
I guess good for my own knowledge as well.
Anyways, we'll be signing off on that note. I want to say a massive thank you to everyone joining in for this live stream.
We'll do another one on Friday.
We'll also continue on
with Twitter as well. So
all good. Fun
times. As always, it was
an absolute pleasure to be speaking with you on
this nice little Tuesday morning. We'll be
