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KRANESHARES ETF DEEP DIVE $KWEB $KTEC $KEMQ $KARS
Recorded: March 23, 2026 Duration: 4:45:12Space Recording
Full Transcription
Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. good oh boy oh no
forgot to have my computer on the side muted, so I heard myself. Good morning, Spaces crew.
Happy Monday, everybody.
Oh, back to it.
New week.
Hope everybody had a great weekend.
Got some time away from the charts.
Us and all the folks down here in Puerto Rico spent yesterday enjoying Gov's wedding.
So if you see one of Gov's posts today, maybe get in the comments and tell him congrats.
Man is now happily married. Let's go.
Oh, what a night. What a good time it was.
Never been to a wedding on a Sunday, but it was a great time.
We did it right.
Now we're starting off the week.
Hopefully we're going to make some money this morning.
Some big moves overnight.
Gosh, me and Ryan were at the event last night.
We were looking at this new week opening gap.
We're like, yes, we're going to have a huge gap to fill.
And then we just fill it overnight in like two candles as well.
That was ridiculous.
Wow.
What time was that?
7 a.m.? What came out this morning that made us rip like that?
There's no data today from what I can see,
unless there's something on financial juice this morning.
Feds Moran speaking.
Is that correct?
Yes. Construction spending month over month at 10 o'clock Eastern.
What was that that came out at 7 o'clock, though?
Trying to see if I can find if anything came out.
Iran.
Trump postponed strikes against Iran's power plants.
Trump on Iran.
U.S. and Iran have had over the last two days very good and productive conversations regarding a complete and total resolution of our hostilities in the Middle East.
Got it.
So that's what made us rip the dollar down. 99.2.
So the market thinks the war's over, basically. So that's why we're
ripping, eh? Alright. Interesting.
Alright. What has Evan posted this morning? Let's see if he has gotten to anything
today. He has.
He posted the Trump thing.
Berkshire plans to invest about $1.8 billion in Japanese insurance.
From Tokyo Marine Holdings.
Is that it?
That looks like it's it.
I ain't got nothing else this morning.
But some beautiful moves in the market.
We've taken out previous day high.
We've taken out Wednesday's high from last week.
Tapping into a big spot that I'd actually like to see some shorts from.
Overall, those looks like a lot of displacement to the
upside through this gap.
So interested to see if we
can, we've already tapped into this high from
Wednesday. Looks like we're
trying to sweep that high. Would love
to get some sort of setup out of this range
from 794 to 682.
If we can set up something short there.
If not, maybe we keep it ripping
to the next four-hour spot that I have.
It's going to be some more highs
from that Wednesday's trading price action,
and we have more four-hour fair value
sitting above that at 986.
So if we do want to get over this 795.50
with a lot of momentum,
definitely see that 985 coming into play,
which is, you know, it's 200 points of room there.
So looking at that, maybe, you know, if we end up being strong,
we catch a little continuation long to that area.
If not, can we tap into that area?
I'll be looking short from that 9.85.
Would like to see us test these previous hourly lows.
We just opened up a new hour,
which means we closed the previous candle and we made a one-hour gap on that.
So I would love to see us revisit
these previous one-hour lows,
where that gap starts,
and then be able to go from there
and potentially we catch a move back to these highs here,
this London high that's been untapped.
Be okay with that.
A lot of avenues for the market to go this morning,
just really letting it choose what it wants to do.
Do we want to drop down to these hourly lows,
then trade to London high and potentially higher?
Do we want to just get a short setup from this area going into open?
Multiple ways this could go, but just let the market make that decision
and we react accordingly.
No news Monday, though, so keep that in mind. I usually don't let that you know change any
decisions I'm making but always something to keep note of. It seems like we're having some
nice volume and momentum this morning though regardless with Trump and his iran comments
guys are just getting in here like the spaces drop a little comment in the comment section repost the spaces get it out to everybody let's have a great start to the week oh
I will say, I am a little dead.
i will say i am uh i'm a little dead we were
We were up and out late.
I think Emp wants some money on roulette, though.
Let's go.
That's what we'd like to hear.
He might be hopping on spaces with us.
I don't know for sure.
We'll see.
Gold is down 2.7%.
Is that pre-market?
Yes.
Sometimes my pre-market percentage gets...
turned off.
Silver's down 8.8.
Just opposite of what the market did.
7 o'clock there.
What individuals are moving?
What do we got?
What do we got?
Looks like a lot of green out there.
A lot of green.
Apple, AMD, both up about 2%.
AMD a little more. Amazon up 2%. A both up about 2%. AMD a little more.
Amazon up 2%.
ASTS up 2%.
BA, 1.7.
HD, Home Depot, up 2.89.
NVIDIA's up 2.6.
Rocket Lab, 2.6.
Just a lot of green across my watch list this morning.
So I'd love to see it with the gap up.
We'll see if the momentum continues.
I mean, you see that with the gap up. We'll see if the momentum continues.
I mean, you see that kind of displacement from lows.
It's definitely enticing to think,
oh, wow, this is a potential, you know,
short-term bottom for a little bit.
But we'll see what the follow-through looks like, you know. You can't really base your decisions off just one move here.
But I'd like to see some follow through
if it's really going to be a potential low here
which means blasting through that london high and get into that 980 area
Yes.
Well, Rocket Lab was down 6.5 at the close on Friday as well,
so making a nice move back from all that nastiness there.
Good morning, Evan.
Yeah, good morning.
Buenos dias.
I have never felt, I've never woken up more fresh and ready to go in a morning.
Oh, yeah?
Were you refreshed?
Absolutely not.
What a morning to wake up.
Oh, my gosh.
But, boy, this should be interesting.
My tweets, I missed a little bit of the morning.
I'm sorry.
There was a Trump tweet that went a little bit of the other way.
Besides that, I haven't really seen that.
Yeah, I saw that. Market ripped. Oil tanked.
Dollars down. Love to see it.
Watchless is green.
Yeah, that was a rough wake up this morning, though.
Boy, I grabbed...
Oh my gosh.
Got in the shower so fast.
You can hear it in my voice.
Literally.
You know I was out last night.
I'm Sunday night
weddings, brother, you know.
Sunday night wedding.
Yeah, it's an interesting one.
It was a good time, though.
Shalom, shalom.
Gotta love it.
Boy, do I feel interesting this morning. I'm, uh... Yeah. Gotta love it.
Boy, do I feel interesting this morning.
I'm, uh... Yeah.
You know, I'm gonna sit back, and if anything's, like, dumb obvious, I'll take it.
But I'm really not trying to press it too hard when my brain's all scrambled like this.
So, uh, kick back, chill.
Some nice moves overnight.
If we get continuation, I guess I'll play it.
I'll try.
But I'm not going to go too crazy.
Net-net, I won some money on Blackjack yesterday,
but I did end up losing money in the end.
Blackjack.
It was fun, though.
No, you don't go to the casino and expect to win money.
Only losers do that.
Very true.
Smart people come to the educated casino
where you can put it in your favor,
a la the stock market.
Shout out, we'll trade it.
Yes, sir.
Yeah.
But I'm looking for my posts right now,
tweets and stuff.
I'll see what you'll find,
if I can come back in.
No worries.
I know we obviously had that big turnaround.
Has it been holding on to the gains?
Yeah.
We tap into any fair value gaps?
You know,
liquidity sweeps?
We ran through a new week opening gap, which I was a little butthurt about.
I didn't really want us to rip this much this morning.
I'd rather the market wait for me on that one.
But definitely saving.
I feel like a lot of people that are going home Friday thinking,
going home Friday thinking this looks horrible.
this looks horrible.
I mean, they're waking up today and going, oh, we're back.
We're so back, right?
So the continued flip-flop.
Market gets saved again off the lows,
but it looks like we'll have some pretty clear spots
to play with in the morning.
Got a one-hour fair value sitting below us.
Four-hour that we tapped in above us,
so we're kind of just trading stuck between the two.
I'd like to see us drop,
maybe play a little long out of that hourly.
But I don't know.
There's a lot of momentum.
Maybe we open up and rip and take out London High first,
and then we've got to potentially be looking a little more short.
So let the market choose.
Where does the market choose?
Silver just made a new high there.
So it's red.
Hmm.
Jeez.
Did you know that on this day in 2021, the Ever Given, which was that ship that got stuck in the Suez Canal, that's when that whole story started?
Today, whatever.
Wow.
Trump's going to be at a roundtable at 1 o'clock Eastern today.
Ron's speaking. He's already speaking.
We got construction spending at 10.
I don't think that's going to be too volatile, but worth keeping an eye on.
Oh, gosh.
Remember what they said?
That's her. Horses don't
stop. They keep going. Dude, horses
don't stop. They keep going.
And I
am a horse.
It was not me who got married,
Breezy, but I did have a good time.
All in good time.
All in good time, sir.
Yeah, thoroughly enjoyed.
It was a good time.
Got 15 minutes to open less
gosh that rip was insane
let us know what you guys are watching
in the comments here if you guys are looking at any
stickers
they're going wild this morning
look at you
UNH is even up
you'll love it
that was my T slot
we sweep those lows again
looks like we did
but that doesn't look like much of a sweep
not yet at least
we got a nice initial bounce
from those monthly lows
from November on Tesla basically just consolidated we've gotten a nice initial bounce from those monthly lows from november on tesla basically
just consolidated no real confirmation of order flow flipping on that bigger time frame we've
continued down since then making some more gaps taking out those lows again geez we're getting Well, 355.39 is getting to my line in the sand that I'd really want to see this hold.
I wouldn't, I just don't have much reason for Tesla to go lower than that if we want to actually be bullish in this area.
So it's my line in the sand right now.
Nasty on Friday.
We'll see if we can get any momentum back to the upside.
Maybe try to fill some of these gaps
from the past couple days.
Bah!
Good morning.
Good morning.
Happy Monday.
Right?
After that Hulk candle.
Dude, yeah, just drizzy candle to the upside
because Trump is, I don't know,
chilling things with Iran or whatever.
I've heard it before, but definitely a lot of momentum.
That looks spicy.
Yeah, good old Department of War tweet.
All it takes is one.
Save the market, man.
Not when you're in spy puts.
Everybody said,
who wants to go home long in the weekend?
Boom, dude.
Dude.
Literally?
Oh my gosh. Boom, dude. Dude. Literally? Oh my gosh. I just
that is rough, yeah.
The amount of times I've like seen
that and I'm just like, ah, you never
know. I was so stoked. Fuckers are crazy. They'll
go home long and they did.
I was so
stoked going in the weekend.
I know, right? It looked so nasty and then
New Week opening daft last night to the downside.
I was like, ugh.
Dude, the contracts went up on like...
They expire tomorrow,
so I opened them up on
Friday, and they went up like
100-110%, so
what are you going to do?
Yeah, is what it is.
Good shot to take, honestly.
You take those shots.
Yeah, is what it is. Good shot to take, honestly. You take those shots. Yeah, man.
You take those.
My head is banging.
All right.
10 minutes.
What is CL doing?
Dude, see, opposite of the market.
Swan tong to the downside.
We call that a swanton it's actually sweeping previous day lows it holds that like 87 could be wild interesting
we're just in the middle of this range so i just want to see
move higher to go lower
or move lower to go higher.
I just don't want to do anything right directly in the middle here.
Preferably we get that move to hourly lows.
Would be nice.
Would be nice. Would be nice.
That's Bitcoin.
That's 70. Well, that was down, down huh 67.3 just getting a little down there
oh what now i got the hiccups oh lordy
rough
bitcoin continues to chop in the range every Every pop we get just gets sold.
I'm not convinced yet.
Just not convinced yet.
Order flow hasn't flipped.
Every time we have a bearish gap open up,
we pop into it and respect it.
So until that changes, until we start inversing that,
I can't really be super optimistic on Bitcoin here.
Of course, like, yes, I did pick up some in this area.
But that doesn't mean I think it's bottom yet.
So got to see more.
Got to see that order flow flipping.
But I love the consolidation.
Whether that's, you know, accumulation to then go higher later or
just, I guess, bear flag consolidation, whatever you want to call it,
to make another leg down.
I would prefer that so I could pick it up even lower.
But you just don't know.
So I'll sit back on the higher time frame
until order flow flips.
Keep thinking we go lower,
and if we do make a new low,
I definitely want to buy some more.
Into those, like, 58s.
Love that.
Love that. Love that.
Cold dropping?
Oh no.
That was a bigger time frame.
Reminder for everybody in the audience we got about seven minutes to open if you guys haven't yet and you enjoy the show with us every single morning make sure you like the spaces throw a
little comment in the comment section maybe repost the spaces it helps us out a ton and
it's really all we ask is uh share this out with everybody you know so we love you guys we
appreciate everybody.
Let's have a great day. Great start to the week.
More of the crew should be rolling in as well throughout the morning.
I don't know if Ryan's on stream or whether he's hopping on spaces with us for a little bit.
I think he mentioned to us that he maybe wanted to hop on spaces for a bit.
So he might be here, might be there. I don't know.
I have not seen him in Discord either.
We're all having a rough morning.
Give him a little break.
Ryan was caught up a little roulette last night.
I can say it's like i was at the casino for a decent amount of time did not spend any money
it's a win in my book gosh it's rare that that happens i cannot say the same
yeah i think i can't say the same. But it didn't go crazy.
That's my problem.
I get swallowed in it.
I'm like, I start going crazy.
I can't do it.
I start full porting, bro.
Every time.
I gotta say, it was a little tough with the crowd around me.
I just wasn't gonna stop.
It's a good time, though.
I love it.
We're all hyping you up.
One time.
Will down there.
Morning, Will.
Get up here. Oh, looks like Casey had a great weekend too
Out on the lake
Let's go
With the kids
Wow, that's a beautiful spot
Willow Street
Is that an alligator or a crocodile?
I'm gonna go croc but i don't know there's croc salt water isn't it
i don't know who's here ah mr casey i was just talking about you and your uh your pictures over the weekend
looked like a great time a little sund Sunday lake time. We love it.
What's up, guys?
Is it an alligator or an alligator?
It was an alligator.
Got it.
Alligators, lakes, right?
Fresh water.
Gators.
Yeah, they got gators out there.
Gators.
Hope everybody had a great weekend.
Yes, sir. Great time. Crazy morning sir great time crazy morning so far crazy morning so far um yeah little trump iran news to soften the the blow of everything and market market gets
saved once again what do you know seems like a reoccurring theme here we talked about it last
week it's like guys like trump like he's not foreign to what's happening in the market you Seems like a reoccurring theme here. We talked about it last week.
It's like, guys, like, Trump, like,
he's not foreign to what's happening in the market, you know?
Things, the pendulum swings a little far to one end,
and he just says one thing.
He says one tweet, you know?
Everything's, it's over.
We're having great talks.
Listen, five days we're going to have a deal.
So bad.
I saw the 30-year bonds rallying.
They were down last night again.
I figured, well, this is going to get out of control.
So let me throw out a quick statement.
We're going to post-dote everything.
What do you know?
I sent the spooze 100 handles higher.
Hope you caught the long.
Oil, by the way, took a $14 ripper lower.
It's like, oh, they don't want to go
home long over this weekend, and then
it happens.
Get on spaces,
girl.
You know what, though?
It is funny because
I don't know if anybody saw this one, but
gold went all the way down to $4,100
last night.
$400 ripper off the low, by the way.
Ripper?
Yeah, bro.
I was mad that we filled that gap just at 7 o'clock this morning.
I freaking wanted to play that gap to the upside.
You know, I was looking at...
Can't really play it in one candle like that, though.
I woke up at 2 o'clock, and I'm looking at the futures, and I'm just like,
man, everything looks so ugly. rates are just keep going higher i'm like
then i sort of look at the one thing that i said last night i go why are rates going up and the
dollars going down it's like the first time i'd seen rates moving higher and the dollar not moving
higher and i saw the dollar was down a little bit and I seen the euro up.
And I'm like, man, I just wonder if there's going to be a headline coming in the next like 24 hours.
Something's going to change.
Is the dollar front running this news somewhere?
Right.
And then here we go.
Here we go.
And here we go.
Here's the interesting thing though i think the the that the the iranians are
at least refuting that there's any talks going on which is weird so why are they're refuting that
any talks with trumper going on yeah they said so the, there was, this was right after 40 minutes, 40 minutes after there was a senior security official in Iran says that this is Trump's comments or psychological warfare.
There have been no talks and there are no talks.
Oh, there is no direct communication with the U.S. nor through intermediaries.
That was Iran's Fz news agency citing a
senior security official in iran so i'm not i'm not like i wonder is this like was this like
scripted where you know trump was supposed to say this like later or on a different day and it got
like put out and he got put out before they were like ready to say, all right, we're going to make a deal.
Like he said that Whitcoff and Kushner were having holding talks last night with the Iranians,
but the Iranians have not admitted that.
So they can't admit it.
It's their whole thing is on resistance and stuff.
They cannot admit negotiations.
You probably cannot rely on Trump's comments, but I promise you do not rely on the other side. Yeah, no, it's true.
They're probably war talks. It's a propaganda war.
Propaganda war. There we go.
They're probably war talks. That's all it is.
They probably did not get to the point where they maybe had to get to,
and he probably preempted it, but they're talking. Don't worry.
And trimming AMD calls right out of the open here?
You know Trump is staring at the stock market as well.
And he gave zero details at all when everything's imploding around him.
You know, like I think both sides are lying.
I think the biggest thing is –
Trimmed AMD?
They've had the biggest – they've had some serious bond volatility in the last two weeks
and you just took yields up 50-60
basis points and that
does pose a more significant risk
trimming my spy calls for Friday
from the swing up 70%
yeah there you go
and I'm sitting on hands this morning
I have stops in that entry on the rest
I think the way I would operate it
it was all fake news and fog of war i think that was right yeah yeah um i had some cue call spreads that
i'm taking off too i want to see if we can take out three guys did you guys did you guys hear
about the massive long that it was open right before Trump dropped that. No way. Oh my God.
Yeah, there was a massive, massive long that was open.
Yep.
No way.
Like 120 million or something I was reading.
Yeah.
Someone always knows.
Man, just give me one.
Just give me one.
Was there any other markets or something?
I was in a long.
I made 18k on my prop this morning.
Absolutely insane.
I wasn't up that early.
Unfortunately, I missed it.
Yeah, I was
dead in my bed.
Palantir's popping.
Tesla's trying to pop a little bit.
Very clear scenario for me where we need to move lower
for us to move higher if I want to play long
or vice versa, move higher first and try to play low.
So let's see.
Ryan is live, by the way.
I like it.
I didn't know if he was popping.
Not a 601.
Look at Broadcom.
AMD, nice pop there.
How about Apple?
Casey, did you get in that Apple trade?
Or no?
Maybe he's...
He's trimming.
Yeah, he's trimming.
I did.
I got in some Apple call swings swings and i sold some put spreads
on friday that are up uh a nice 37 percent
yeah yeah um spy apple amd all the positions that we called out friday for the swing over
the weekend they are up big this morning.
Great setups and trades, guys.
How about those?
If you had any spreads, any iron condors or any put spreads, that stuff is coming dramatically on the collapse in volatility.
I'm in a huge, huge... It's been good.
I am up about 2K to start the Monday.
Yeah.
And I'm going to sit back on my hands and let this morning unfold for a little bit.
Love it.
Good morning, Minksy.
Good morning.
I'm waiting to see if we go below 24, 440
and flush below it on retest rejection
to take a short. If we hold
above 24, 595
or 600-ish
and looking for
longs up there.
Whoa,
whoa, whoa. New PFP. Who this? Yeah. Whoa, whoa, whoa.
New PFP. Who this?
Yeah.
Oh, yeah. I forgot.
What?
Very nice. Very nice.
I don't know. I feel like I can really pee your face out.
It looks kind of sus.
I don't know if I trust it.
Is this really mixed?
What?
You said it's kind of sus.
Definitely AI bot.
Yeah.
Definitely.
Amazon, big move up.
Right to the breakdown of that trend line, though.
Yeah, AMD just hit 209.
AMD just hit 209.
That was a really big target upside.
That was a really big target upside.
IWM a little bit weaker so far than spying Qs out of the gate.
And no surprise where SPX opened up at this morning,
if you haven't looked at it.
yeah 6600 60 yeah i mean i we we laid this out perfectly we swept uh it was 645 on spy
Yeah, 6,600.
and then 6490 down to 80 area on spx and i want to see a plus 2% open on spy and 6600 SPX and I mean we got it
regardless of how we got here it doesn't matter I'm in these positions before news even comes out
so my trades are always based off of technicals not off of Trump tweets but I'll take what I can get We have relative equal highs on ES.
Okay.
All right.
Oh, let's go, Martin.
Nice job.
Up 2.6K today on call swings.
Great job.
Very nice.
Palantir's still ripping here.
I'm taking a small Tesla call position.
I like that one, Amma, for a swing.
I'm not sure if you're in anything yet.
Yeah, Tesla against that 367 level we hit on prior high.
367.71 that was hit on Friday.
Aunt Jemima, are you in the Palantires already?
Yes, I'm in some October monthlies.
Or not October.
April monthlies, April 16th.
I was red.
I took them a couple days ago. I was red about 14%.
And now I'm nice and green.
That's how swings have been working.
You hold a few days red, and then you go 40% overnight at some point.
Exactly.
But no, Palantir is a really good one.
If you look at your daily, there's a beautiful cup and handle right now on this chart,
and it is at the top of the range right now
where it could see some rejection near 150, 160.
But I think over time, if this cup and handle does break out,
Palantir does have room to run a little bit higher.
Oh, yeah. The daily looks beautiful.
And it's one that holds up even in kind of wartime,
held up relatively well compared to most.
It's borderline defense stock in some ways.
That was one thing that kept it on my radar last week is if you look at how Spine, Q's,
and a lot of other tech names, their previous days, it was, we had some consecutive red days
in a row and it was short the pops, right? And then if you go look at Palantir throughout all
of this, it's been an area of consolidation. It's been holding up and closing green on some days and not
selling off with a lot of other things as well.
And it formed that handle for that
daily cup and handle. I was like, this thing's going to
get explosive, especially if now the
market starts to turn around and this was already
holding, it could lead now.
So, I think
I'm jealous
about these October ones that you're in
because I'm going to have to chase it probably.
Already 45% on that Tesla 0DTE.
In about two minutes here, I turned half.
Let's go.
I know that's a fast mover, guys,
but I'm taking some off the table here.
We were dancing to that song last night, by the way,
and I instantly thought...
I am so sad I missed it.
Instantly thought it.
I was like, damn.
Oh, Jordi took his shirt off and everything.
The shirt was unbuttoned almost all the way.
We got there.
Yeah, we were having a good time.
Jordi was flying.
Anyone listening, I'm trying to get someone to make a little 20-second introduction clip
with that song for the beginning of my streams.
That would be perfect.
Who's the guy that makes all those songs,
those short clips for us, Jordan?
That's me.
Wap Bender.
Oh, you mean...
No, no, no.
Yeah, Wap Bender, Wap Bender.
Is it Wap?
No, it's Wap.
I thought... I thought,
I thought,
who was,
who was making like the country song,
the rap songs?
That's,
that was Tommy.
Tommy.
Tommy.
Tommy.
It's our boy Tommy.
You got to get with,
you got to get with Tommy in the comments.
He'll run it.
Tommy does some really great stuff.
I will do that.
About 75% Tesla. Actually more now. I will do that. About 75%, Tesla.
Actually, more now.
I can't even keep up.
90 cents to $1.76.
So almost 100%.
Down to 10 runners.
Palantir is still pushing up a little bit higher, too.
Passy, what's that other one?
It closed right around 365.
And now it's going back to 380.
Not ready to go long yet.
I missed y'all. I wasn't on Thursday.
I know.
It's been a whole week.
No worries.
Yeah, Tesla looks pretty strong here.
I'm still just chilling right now.
No scalpy scalps for me.
I was watching this last night.
We were down 1.5%.
I wake up.
We're up 1.5%.
Bro.
Me and Emperor scope in that gap last night.
They were excited for it.
Just wake up to it.
I was very excited for a lot of things at the bottom.
Wake up and it's completely filled.
Oh, yeah.
Crazy.
It felt rippy last night right when Asia, right when futures opened up.
And then we created that lower low, which is fine.
But like, of course, it was news based as well.
But, you know, we've been saying a like, of course it was news base as well, but
you know, we've been saying a lot, like the market's almost underreacting to everything.
And then all of a sudden they're like, Oh yeah, hold my beer. Look at this. We're going to rip,
you know, two and a half percent in two minutes. It's amazing what a headline can do.
It works both ways. Oh yeah. Just wait. Don't worry.
There'll be some.
All right.
The talks did go good, and then all of a sudden we're back down 2%. I'm already in call spread.
We're up 1.7%.
Hell yeah.
My quant engine is showing that we're going to end bearish for the session.
and it's been
90% accurate
or 89%
for the past
10 trading days
and YM has been about
100% accurate aside from
one session
so we'll see
something I'm beta testing
still in a downtrend
last time I checked.
Well, I would love to know
the results
on that when it's
something like today, where it's
a news catalyst, where it's
a range that is
say 50% outside
normal range. When you have
this extreme range, how the results
are on that,
that would be very interesting. I'll share, I share it every day after, you know, so I'll share it.
Hell yeah. I'll check it out.
It has, it pulls in a lot of, basically where the institutions are,
where the institutions are, what is it called?
Positioned.
Okay.
So it pulls that, it pulls the catalyst, it pulls macro,
it pulls a lot of stuff.
So it's not, you know, you know, see price.
So it can kind of absorb like those outlier days pretty well
because of how many different things it's pulling from.
Gotcha.
Yeah. But it doesn't like, it gives you a bias before New York session and it does not change.
So if it says bearish, that's what it thinks it's going to end for the first three and a half hours.
Gotcha, gotcha. Hit 239 off 90 cents on those Tesla calls. I'm down to five out of 40.
I only have five left here.
Right now it's showing bullish for like my other stuff that I'm looking at,
which is obviously, you know, like mag seven and whatever, but we'll see.
I'm waiting.
No trades. Trump said they hope to meet soon uh trump on iran is what that was
but iran said that they haven't had any talks with with trump so what's going on
we're talking about that right before you jumped on.
I think they're both posturing a little bit.
I think somewhere in the middle of what they're both saying is the truth, in my opinion.
Oh, no. Rizzo's in the ER.
I don't know. It just feels like the biggest part of the war is the propaganda.
You said Rizzo's in the ER?
Yeah, he just posted in Discord.
I don't know.
Hopefully he's okay.
Yeah.
He was probably long over the weekend. He just got too excited
from his games this morning.
Hopefully that's all it is.
He was supposed to be flying to
New York
City today.
He has a really bad allergic reaction
to something. Oh, no.
You guys see the Air Canada
flight in LaGuardia? Yeah.
Yeah. That was crazy. Did they shut
down LaGuardia completely or did they?
I don't know but
that plane is looks like the whole front end just like fell out of it that's insane yeah
i watched a video on it this morning
he said he just needs to make make his flight to New York later today. Hopefully he's flying to JFK and not LaGuardia.
So there was there was 70 people that were injured on it and there was two confirmed
deaths I think at the time.
Pilot and co-pilot are both deceased.
No trades, guys. This is just chop.
Trump is speaking as well.
And Trump is speaking. Okay, well then.
So Trump, yeah, he's talking about Iran right now.
He said that he has talked to their top leadership.
He said, he said, I don't want him to be killed.
He said, if the deal happens, it's a great start for Iran and great for the region.
region.
We don't want to see
a nuclear bomb
or weapon for
Iran. No, we want to
see no nuclear bomb or weapon
for Iran. That's what he just said.
I'm going to keep all
my opinions to myself.
We're so back
and forth with all this shit every week.
It's wild.
I don't know.
Misinformation. No one believes anything anymore.
I was told four different
occasions that the United States won
this war and it was already done.
That was just on Friday,
Casey.
Yeah.
But Saturday changed.
Not even 48 hours man I think we have how many 10 hours left
right oh my goodness like that meme that's been going viral lately with the lady jerking back and forth
that's literally the internet nowadays
propaganda it's crazy.
Oh, I like the video of the old lady when they have the heat map behind her flashing red to green.
Yeah.
Red to green.
Yeah.
That's the one.
She's just all over the place.
I'm like, yeah.
I think I'm watching the market.
I might keep ripping, guys.
I feel like the market is down.
Say this.
Yeah, right?
The timing, too.
Monday morning, like, the peak pre-market time that everybody's getting on.
People waking up, 8 a.m. Eastern time, 7 a.m. Eastern time.
Like, the timing, too.
That dude was staring at the market.
Okay. that dude was staring at the market hey I'll take it I made a nice amount of money on props this morning
right I got a lot of shit over the weekend for saying that we were gonna
see a little relief rally off 645 and a plus 2% open.
People told me I don't know what the fuck I'm talking about going on in this world.
I was like, technically nobody knows what's going on in this world.
I was like, so don't act like you know, but chart tells me this,
and my position was up 70% out of the gate, and that's all that matters.
You heard?
Yeah, it's true, though. You know?
We've been holding that level.
Right back at it.
Israel will be very happy with what we have. I keep having headlines flashing.
That's what Trump's saying. Let's see what else.
Q name's still holding up.
Amazon's holding up nicely.
It's actually at pre-market highs.
Tesla, good move. AMD is still kind of chilling in the same area.
Google, a little bit weaker. Apple's printing a sell candle right now, depending on if it closes on me, 252 or not.
Medisol decent.
New high-end day cues after the buy signal.
Trump says, I want to have as much oil in the system as possible.
possible we are very willing to make a deal
We are very willing to make a deal.
when i ran they called me i didn't call
why does that have the same energy it's like i broke up with her she didn't break up with me
that's exactly what i was thinking when i read that. I didn't call them. They call me.
Crazy.
Okay.
Still pushing.
Still pushing.
Pussy too.
Let's go.
I wish I didn't sell them all so quick.
I'm kind of sad. It's a slow Monday.
Yeah, I was telling because, because I happen to be in that long when it kind of bounced and ripped this morning. And I was kind of telling traders like it's not necessarily like, oh, you're so lucky you were looking at the chart right then and there, this and that. But
like more times than not, the more you're like prepped and looking at those charts,
you set yourself up to be ready for those really strong, clean moves. So, you know,
like don't get discouraged if you feel like you're always missing the good moves, quote unquote.
discouraged if you feel like you're always missing the good moves, quote unquote.
The more time you spend just digging into the charts, it'll come.
It will.
Like if you've been, and I've done in a discord last week, if you are net even or even like
slightly red this year overall in the kind of choppy range we've had, you are beating 99% of traders.
It's been really rough. We've been range bound, not the greatest swing market. It's short in and
out, like Casey was saying a little while ago, like give yourself a round of like really a pat
on the back. If you have stayed above water the last two months and you're a newer trader, like this is, I'm not going to say it's as rough as it gets, but the range bound just really choppy stuff is about as rough as it gets.
Like as far as just that range, not saying we can't go down.
I'm not talking about overall where we're at levels, but it's just been really tough trading in at least the 10 plus years I've been trading. Some of the worst price action as far as just good moves overnight, nothing good during the day, range bound chop, just the whole thing.
So I don't know.
I feel like it's about to get good trading here soon.
Hopefully.
I agree.
It's some expansion in this market
yeah
I don't rip
the longer we
consolidate the better the next leg will be
yeah
alright see if QQQ can get a breaking base over this 593 All right.
See if QQQ can get a breaking base over this 593
and just maybe slow continuation higher.
It's hitting a trend line right now.
Lower highs, but looking good.
IWM new high of day. Spike could be printing a 15-minute reversal, closing about five minutes.
If 660 is going to be your highest level of gamma right now,
because it's a breaking close above that, it looks good.
Might not be the best place, but I want to take a short.
Well, I took a short, but I sized down and I kind of,
well, there's 10 points.
Okay, now three, it's moving pretty fast.
So I'm just gonna play it light.
All right. So I'm just gonna play it light.
All right, there's 16.
Jeez.
Okay, there's 27 points, 30.
Gonna scale one out. Oh, there's 27 points 30. gonna scale one out oh there's 40.
okay now i have a runner left and i still have a position running what the helly it flipped me to a long you on trade trade of eight? Yeah, and it can't close.
Yeah, that happened to me.
I had massive issues.
So that happened to me twice last week.
I had to log out, refresh the screen, log back in, and then I could close it out.
I had to do it real quick.
What the?
Yeah.
But it's only on one account.
Uh-huh.
I did that.
Mm-hmm.
I had the exact same thing.
I hit, because i was copy trading all
of them and when i hit close cancel market all it closed four of the accounts but left one of
them open and i couldn't close it and i had to log out refresh log back in and then to close it
well i was just able to close it because... Freaking weird.
And then they'll get you on freaking hedging.
Yep.
That's what happened to me on... I don't want to name the...
Yeah.
Well, it's the...
I mean, it's the trade copier that's doing it, technically.
But... Okay, well, I'm out of that position. And it's the trade copier that's doing it, technically.
But... Okay, well, I'm out of that position.
That's a nice small catch, but I still think we're going to come down.
Q's still fighting that trend line, doesn't like it.
If we retrace above or up to like 67, 70-h and reject there, I'll reenter a short.
Okay, let's see.
Are we going to reject?
No rejection?
Not yet.
Come on, go, go, go.
Okay, let's see.
Maybe again we reject around that 594,600.
You're short, Mixi?
I was, not now.
For MQ, I want it to get to 630.
I want IWM to get to 250.30, and I want to get a short on either one.
I am looking at longs here.
You a bad, bad boy.
Yeah.
There we go.
Let's see if we can close on our top of this and just get the next 15 candle upside.
Got one minute closing on the 15 minute candle.
Looking good so far
we're gonna push back up into the mid 80s potentially 90 on es
use maybe 650
wants to get a little crazy crazy we're in a really tight range since we've
opened so thing i'm most upset about is i wanted mu at 395 to 400 and we were at 403
three and this fucking news came out and fucked me
and this news came out and me
i still haven't done anything in this ring
all right 15 minutes going to close with the bullish reversal. I want to see the next 15 minutes take us higher.
Look for dips to buy.
Right.
So, before I get on that.
Yeah, currently in the five minutes showing lean bull. Thank you. I've been trying to get the forms together.
Can we retake that short?
Yeah, it's definitely an interesting spot to look.
Let's see if it gets slapped here
yes back down to 70 looks good for a longs
on the dip
okay i'm short again. What is Trump saying now?
Trump is still speaking?
Yeah, he says that the strait will be open very soon if it works.
Iran has agreed to no nuclear weapons.
Trump on the airport love that Musk
is offering to pay
let him do that
let him do it
oh my god let him do it
that boy gonna pay for this
hell yeah
come on let's just That boy gonna pay for this? Hell yeah.
Come on.
Let's just... Come on.
Don't stop.
Don't stop, baby.
I know we are above the nine.
Technically, we're still in an uptrend.
100% on spy calls here.
Nice.
I'm trying to be greedy because I want to see if this next 15 minute pops.
Come on.
Here we go.
There we go.
Come on.
I'm greedy today.
There we go.
There we go.
All right.
Continue to move a stop up.
All right.
There's your 6685 on ES.
I'm watching now reverse that it stopped me out.
I'm going to close my last spot as well.
That's good enough for me. Market continues to just slowly trend upside 661.15 and then 663 and then 666.
Big targets upside on SPY.
You do have a really big spot here for resistance on SPX though.
I closed my Rivian swing longs here.
So it really went up and took me out and...
And bring us right back in.
Yeah, SPX is Thursday.
Thursday high up here.
It's around the low 6630s.
I'd be hesitant
in taking shorts, but I'm not
opposed to selling calls.
The best place to take shorts is under that
540-ish, but I am
still there-ish, and
that pisses me off.
I need to adjust my stop.
My stop is at like 70 ticks, which is not a lot.
I mean, these five-minute candles, I mean, you're getting a lot of points within one candle right now.
Yeah, yeah.
It's true.
It's insane.
I'll re-enter my short zone. Damn it at that it's your five and at 21 it's not fair oh my god i just missed my short tube it's okay we'll re-enter yeah see if spx can back test around like 66 0 8 area and then bounce
put in a lower high and then i might flip it short let's see
should be 2qqQ5 net 21 bounce here.
Same with spy.
I personally think we're due for chop, unless something else significant gets said today.
I'm reentering a short.
It was 15 17 10.
looks like the when you go to the gas station and you're watching the numbers.
Yeah, I mean, overall this morning, nothing's happened.
We're basically at opening price.
Haven't taken out these range highs or lows yet, so I'm just sitting until we actually make a decision.
Come on.
Roll out.
Autobots.
Roll out.
Stopped.
Right now, if you're trading, you've got to take your quickly, like your points. you are It
Olds cruising hmm oil still down 10% 10 percent core we've ripping palantir ripping counter's up 5.4 percent today Okay. It's really a no-news Monday. um Okay. my twitter is like glitched, what the fuck? I think Tesla just made a new high of day.
Yeah, it's still curling up.
Let me see.
Or it's testing equal highs.
I can't zoom in that much.
It's good for Tessie because it was getting slammed.
Yeah, Tessie's still holding up good.
Nvidia not doing much.
I mean, AMD not doing much.
Amazon did just make a new highive Day over pre-market highs.
Stock just went to like 213.
Google's trying to curl up.
Meta is flat.
And Microsoft is still kind of choppy.
Apple just made new lows.
You got a mixed bag right now.
Hub says,
straighter formulas will open very soon
if a plan is successful.
What's the plan?
You don't say, huh?
You don't say huh you don't say
every sector right now is basically green uh xle
green uh xle
xlv and xlp are like 0.0 something everything else is up really nice i mean even home builders
is the strongest everything's looking pretty good i just can't do anything here
no dead smack middle of a range like drop lower so i can long drop or rip higher so i can surely i
don't care yeah give me something here because i'm not gonna diddle in the middle i'm not doing
that shit i don't have the confidence here at all yep yeah since that impulsive break this morning
uh spy and nq has been very range bound so i'm obviously still leaning a little bit more bullish
than anything i think any dips down to 654, 655 on
SPYs, great area for a long, and then vice versa for a short, I think 665 to 666. If we rip up
there, it's a great spot to slam it for a short. If we put on Qs, on the Q slash NQ range from last
week, last week's high to pre-market low. So the weekly range, we hit resistance almost to the penny on the one minute at the 618. And we keep trying to bounce
at the 0.5. So we're within that golden pocket of the whole week range. So that's very interesting
as well. So I really kind of on NQ specifically, 24665 is that 618,
and then 24.500 even is the .5.
So kind of that range, not interested.
Want it below or above that.
Yeah, I agree.
It's holding well, though.
Oh, yeah. I'm going to... We like that. that i'm gonna pull up spx real quick i'm gonna
see how far out of the money i can go with selling options and if there's any juice behind it because
i mean we are spy is currently up how much right now. That'd be close to 2%, right?
1.8, Q's is 1.95.
IWM up 2.9.
Q's new high a day.
I think we can slow grind higher.
But this is probably going to be scalpers paradise within this range.
Yep. And it paradise within this range. Yep.
and it's,
it's a big range.
So if you are playing like props and stuff,
play small,
you don't need to,
you know,
you'll get burned up.
It's a big range.
Vertical $20 wide.
And you got,
no, the juice isn't really there.
I mean
I at least want to see if I can go out over 100 points today.
I'd be comfortable with like 6720s on SPX
but your premium on 6720, 6740 is $25 right now. Not the best.
The call premiums don't really have the juice. Puts probably still have more juice.
Because if you flip it and probably go $100 out of the money the other direction, so let's say $65, $20, you're getting about more than double right now.
So your put premiums are still about twice, probably times 2, 2.5, greater on the premiums and the swing.
Yes, Rondier.
So you're asking if the messages regarding Trump and Iran are true?
I mean, from what we know
market is up on that
the continued game of ping pong you know in this range
okay i'm an iwm 250 calls for 325 expiration.
Just got myself some extra time.
I'm looking for a move over 250 here.
What's he us doing?
I think NQ is going to maybe even go for those highs too, another 100 points.
Maybe even go for those highs too, another 100 points.
I think we're just going to be in a slow, steady melt.
I'd like to see 595 on Qs and then negazone starts at 596 30.
Q's print another buy signal on that previous five minute.
Come on, I do give me that pop over 250.
I see it.
I see you girl.
I'll be back.
We reject that 650-ish.
There you go.
594 cues.
Nice.
Yes, about to hit 6690. Come on, a little bit higher.
Israeli sources say it's too early to know if Trump is going to end the war.
His statement was surprising.
They're pissed.
So they didn't even.
They're pissed.
Oh, God, it just gets better and better.
They're pissed.
It was like last week.
Like, I mean, you know, and I'm an independent.
I'm just going to be honest.
But like trump acting
shocked like nato or countries weren't like jumping over themselves to step up in the situation like
yeah i mean i don't know are you surprised just i don't i don't know man i know i'm not a liberal
i voted red more than blue in my life y'allall. Promise you that. But are you surprised? Come on.
Here's that 661.15 on Spy.
This is... I don't even know why I have this level on here.
Let's see.
This was Wednesday's low, close of the session.
Now you'd want to see breaking base above this level and then slow melt to 6 63. Thank you. Yeah, I mean the market right now is just basically reacting to these headlines that
are coming out. Alright, target hit on ES.
Let's go.
All right. Okay. there we go all right qqq about to approach next target upside as well trim spot move stops up
daily levels at 594.7. Yeah, I should hit close to about 6,700 around the same time. Exactly 200% hit on those Teslas.
I'm down to three, which isn't really shit, but I do have
three left because they're not pulling back at all.
Second
target hit if you're long, 6,700
ES, 594, 70 break
on Q's. We're going
for those highs off the news.
God.
Fucking, I love
trading so much.
Me too. Last week I hated it.
God.
Go out of you.
Rip it, baby. Billy Goat, nice job.
Outlong Spy, $150 off the buy signal.
Let's go.
Nice job.
Just freaking dollar dollar bill, y'all. Dollar dollar bill bill y'all dollar dollar bill y'all.
Where's Frank? I know Frank's getting paid too.
I'll be up in the club
Shaking forward to it
The slow break higher
Yeah
Towards London
We got London high on top still
Every time you come around my London, London Bridge. All right. Alright, well at least we're cruising towards the top of the range, one side of the range. Thank you. Yes, I got those roads vehicle huh and they grind it to London
125 points from the additional buy signal.
Big trim spot up there.
Watch for the pullback on Q's back down to the 592.76.
Higher low, buy the the dip melt up. Spy is going to be closer to about 659.80, that 660 area again.
Then rinse and repeat until proven otherwise.
Depending on how this 10-minute does close on this pullback, it is going to be a nasty shooting star.
Don't be greedy when hitting targets. Okay. Okay. Okay. Okay. Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay. Okay. Okay. WM for a loss.
Really wanted to get a short of time. almost 250% hit on Tesla.
I'm down to just two runners and they're more like gains porn contracts.
90 cents to about three.
I mean,
it's true.
90 cents to three 10.
So I got just a couple left for fun.
Beautiful trade.
Nice little trade.
Uh, yeah, you're coming to a decent spot right here on Tesla. This, Beautiful trade. Nice little trade. Thank you. Thank you.
Yeah, you're coming to a decent spot right here on Tesla, this 384, 50, 385 area.
Tesla, I mean, freaking what a move this morning.
I wish I would have opened up a swing with it.
Same.
Me and Will talked about it on Friday, but I didn't want that. I already had three positions already prior,
and I didn't want to keep on adding more risk over the weekend,
even though I was like, man,
a lot of these charts are hitting key spots for these swings,
but I don't want to go five, six positions long over the weekend
and then Monday be like fucking obliterated
because whatever.
Oh, I get it.
I ate a 2K loss on Tesla about a week and a half ago.
So I get it.
I swung half of what I wanted to,
but I mean, still happy.
Ooh, what was I beat?
Not formed. Ooh, what was I beat? Platformed.
Has anyone tried out Lucid for futures?
Yeah, I'm trading some accounts right now.
Yeah, I do Lucid.
I like it.
Yeah, actually, I like it so far as well.
I really like the dashboard personally
and just how it shows everything in all your accounts.
That's like that whole. And when you get funded, they your accounts that's like just like that and when
you get funded they switch you right away i like that yeah it's kind of cool because you uh their
dashboard updates in real time which is nice it's instant um and then right now like so yesterday
i just i wanted to test them out just because i heard good things about it. So I bought a 50K, traded it here this morning.
The account's up 270 bucks on little M&Q longs on it.
But I paid like 50 or 60 bucks for the account.
And it's a one time, it's not monthly, which is always nice.
But then at the same time as well, when you get funded,
I believe they don't have any activation fees on those accounts either.
Which is nice. And then end of day drawdown,
which is good.
That's something that I like
as well.
So I'm just seeing a lot of
good things and
we'll see how it goes.
But so far I'm liking Lucid.
Yeah. If you don't
mind the consistency rule, I kind of like the pro account there more than the flex, which I'm liking Lucid. Yeah. If you don't mind the consistency rule,
I kind of like the pro account there more than the flex,
which I know is very odd because it's three-day payouts.
But you have consistency, which I don't mind.
The consistency rule never bothers me.
So for the funded, though, for the pro,
it's not end-of-day drawdown, isn't it intraday?
I think it's a 65% of peak profits on the day.
But it is end-of-day overall,
but you can't lose more than a certain amount on the day.
If I'm not mistaken.
I just like the three-day payout on that.
It's end-of-day drawdown on the pros.
It is? Okay, cool.
Yeah.
I think it's like a 65 65 of peak daily loss limit or
something something like that i forget gotcha yeah i don't mind the consistency depends on what the
percentage is honestly um i mean if you're if the rule like what they used to be on a few of maybe
like 20 um 20 or 30%.
I mean, it's doable, but personally,
do I like 20 and 30% consistency rules?
Absolutely not.
I mean, so I like having either the flex plans,
currently where I have no consistency rule,
apex is 50 on these ones right now,
which that's really easy to achieve.
But so far, so good.
I'm really liking.
Yeah, I like Lucid a lot.
I know they're relatively new.
If you like the top setbacks,
like being able to slide your take profit and your stop loss,
I suggest instead of doing trade of eight,
check out the trade C on Lucid.
It's amazing. It's better to me. It's better than all of them. Better than Wealth Charts,
better than Trade of Eight, better than Trading View. I truly love the Trade C. It's the only one
if you like being able to slide your stops, this and that, super easy to do and super easy to link
your accounts. Check out the TradeSea on Lucid.
I guarantee you like it. Like truly.
Well, that's good. I didn't even know that.
So that was an issue I'm having right now is I group trade all of my Apex right now on TradeEvate.
And because I'm now using these Lucid accounts, you can't combine it, obviously, on TradeEvate because it's different credentials for the logins.
So you would need something like TradeSync or like a third-party platform
to have them all together.
So I was like, okay, so I have to trade these two separately in different tabs.
So I have Lucid connected to one of my monitors on TradingView
to execute over there.
I didn't even notice at the top of Lucid,
it said TradeSea on here.
So I'm going to go check that out right now.
Yeah, I love it because it's really easy to slide.
Like how easy it is to slide your take profit
and your stop losses on Trade or Project Ads.
It's like that easy.
I like the TradeSea a lot, a lot.
Probably my favorite, my favorite platform to trade of all the props.
I'm going to go ahead.
I don't know.
Maybe I'm missing something, but the wealth charts are not my jam.
Mm-mm.
Five-minute nine- test in the hold so far. Tesla another new high. I don't know if Trump is still speaking. Thank you. Whoa, whoa, whoa.
What is going on? The whole computer just froze. Whoa, whoa, whoa.
What is going on?
The whole computer just froze.
What the world is happening?
Okay, that crashed.
Alright, there we go. We're back.
Let's see if I want to hold this five-minute gap that we're dipping into.
Such a slow grind here. Thank you. do
do Do-do-do-do. Hold still holding up.
Hustle's up 4.17% now.
Reclaiming that monthly low again.
It's got that big gap above our heads now as well.
Yep, and that's right at on queues. We're, we're rejecting right at that range, the 618 of the
range last week's highs to these pre market lows. So just kind of paying attention to that here.
Everything's holding good. It's just starting to become like choppy. so my quant uh engine had a data quality issue.
Not the model issue.
And if it had like stale data in there just this morning,
because there was like a bunch of updates made over the weekend.
The verdict would have been bull if it was able to pull live data.
Damn it. That to pull live data. Damn it.
That's okay though.
That's what happens in beta testing.
It's like brain new. So Thank you. Thank you. So, the couple minutes before the Trump announcement this morning, it looks like it was $1.5 billion.
Yeah, I saw that.
That's crazy.
The oil too, like
$192 million oil short too.
Isn't that crazy?
Insane.
Sorry,
what was the whole thing?
I didn't see it.
Just a couple minutes before the Trump announcement,
1.5 billion worth of ENS futures were bought in a single block
and then 192 million oil futures at the same time.
That's insane.
That's a lot of money.
Yeah, they shorted oil and bought ES and and then literally 10 minutes later, the news came out.
Yep.
You even see it on the volume candles when they bought it. That's hilarious.
Like three minutes before four minutes.
uh i mean going far out on spx right now you can sell 6500s about 130 out of the money and then go
about 80 out on the call side um not bad 20 wide so like 67 tens for the upside 6,500 on the downside and click about 60 bucks
on the premiums per contract for the iron condor. If we stay inside this range,
SPX would have to completely reverse the entire move and fill the entire gap to the downside by
end of day for the puts to go in the money. And then we would probably have to see a,
for the puts to go in the money.
And then we would probably have to see another pretty large extension.
And SPI would have to get close to another 1.25% upside
after this entire move for the call sides to go in the money.
So not bad for an iron condor idea here.
I like that. Thank you. I'm looking for shorts across the board on some things, but I gotta wait until I get to places. All right, nice back test on SPY.
Again, the 660.
We just hit 659.95 pop for cues again 592 76 was the level and
nice pop off of that again just higher low by the dip off the daily levels pop back higher until
proven otherwise same thing over and over again. Yeah. If you are wanting to scalp this price action.
Yes, IWM. go, go, go.
I'm not long anymore, but I will assure you.
Okay.
Okay. Thank you. Gracias. Thank you. Thank you. dropy dropy
spready spready
I'm already spread baby
you take NDX
I took NDX call spread
right at the open
and they went like yeah they went like
70 to 80 percent in like literally 10 minutes even with us going up no it's just too much
too much uh iv spiky spiky Thank you. I do not want that to be the end for Tesla because I actually want to short Tesla.
I have a big spot of resistance.
I'm long, guys.
You're long?
Mm-hmm.
Good, good, good.
I want it higher.
I'm just scalping right now.
I want it higherM to go. I'm on ministry.
Cheers.
I took that with you.
Thanks.
There's 17 points.
All right, y'all. I am logging out i'm gonna eat something i'll see you guys in the morning sounds good amma jama good news ma'am
have a great day
have a good day
is tessie still cooking still
did just make another leg up didn't it a few minutes ago
coming back in
there's half gap on tessie not yeah gap. Somebody tell me not to take Tesla puts right here.
Half gap's like 390.
Casey, if you take them, let me know.
I'll just say fucking it.
I'll join you.
Okie dokie.
I was waiting to see if we get to 387.
I don't know if we're going to do it.
Yeah.
I have a spot that starts here.
Jordan said you could see 390 on Tesla.
That would be another spot where I have
where I'd be definitely 100% short.
Yeah, that's like half cap.
I don't know if you get that today, though.
I don't think we're going to get that.
That'd be a gnarly rip further than what we already did, yeah.
That's what I'm thinking about.
Front running up the 10.
I want to see how the 15 and 30 minute closes here in about five minutes and then i might
short tesla let me go ahead and get contracts pulled up oh oh i forgot that it's
i'd probably do wednesday contracts
uh if i take tesla puts i'll probably take the 370s for March 27th.
Oh, you're going to go Friday expiration?
Okay.
Yeah.
Friday expiration.
I don't know.
Wednesday could be good, too, the 375s.
But I usually don't like doing 0 to 3s.
DTs. DTEs. Really? That's all I was going to give us that's that being a little stingy today
i always feel like those days where we take out previous day high and previous day low
thanks for tough training feel like those days where we take out previous day high and previous day low makes for
tough training
iwm new higher day good nice little black break off the uh 21 v whack
it needs to go higher
needs it different Okay. Wednesday expiration, Tesla.
I'm selling, not selling, I'm getting 380 puts.
He's selling puts in bullish.
Yeah, like... Got a starter there
if we dip
probably trim around
381.40
then 380
hey that's my target to the penny
hell yeah
I'm watching your screen penny. Hell yeah.
I'm watching your screen.
I'm sure you are.
What number am I holding up right now on my camera?
Three.
Oh my god.
Was it actually three?
No. Fuck.
Were you even holding up a number?
No. Oh my gosh.
He wasn't even holding it up.
Tricked me.
You were thinking it though.
I was thinking it too.
Shit.
I was going to give it to you if you did say it too.
That's the first number I thought of but I went a little different than what I was thinking
So I got my starter in Tesla I guess IWM, go, go, go.
30 seconds left until the 15 and 30 minute closes on Tesla.
I want them to close red.
Let's see if they do.
Spine cues can balance.
It's back tested the same levels levels again in IWM's
pushing. 15 closed green over the upper wick still i'm still not in I'm gonna cut this position if it doesn't freaking start going better.
Okay, maybe.
I spoke nicely to it.
Sometimes you gotta do that.
Yeah.
There we go.
Q is trying to print a buy signal, but Candlestick just started.
I'm gonna scale some out. Yes, go IWM. I need another dollar out of you at least. I'm gonna scale more.
Oh shoot, I click close all no.
There's 47 points though.
They go same spot on Q's.
Three candles back to back all that held.
Like 41 or something.
Let's go.
I'm going to go 100, don't worry.
Damn it.
There it goes.
God, this is really going to go three for three today.
Damn it.
There it is.
Bam. All right.
If you took cues again
592.76
we're approaching 594.70 again
tram
tram tram
there it is
594.70 big stick
alright guys I'm gonna go
sounds good
see y'all
tomorrow sounds good see you tomorrow bye see you baby
all right overextended tick right here hitting the same level Thank you. Idubs ripping. Thank you. We have to scout that short real quick. ID hideout clicking on the air. I'll scalp this short real quick.
Let's see
75 up here it's not a bad area Thank you. I can't get underneath and get down closer to 50. I see why it's still cruising.
Looking monstrous.
Five, four, three, two, one.
And I'm out.
He's out.
Still no IV high on NQ.
He has to grab it.
Is your 650 break? I got filled it.
650, 350.
Nice little scout.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay.
Okay. Okay. Okay. I'm going to test. I think it's Hussle still grinding.
New high today.
Yeah, I want to see if we can make new highs now on Qs.
It is about a tap into a big spot, though.
What is this?
Like four-hour highs from Thursday.
Might see some rejection at this 385 area intraday
good day for tessie
fine spx es all took it it should be queues his turn now come on play a little catch up yeah
it's a 690 there.
It's got that IV high.
Maybe it tries to run to London, but
we'll see.
I mean, you got, what, 24,700.
24,700 just above.
I have a
daily level at
24,725.
I think that can be a good target upside if we do make a higher high. Thank you. You'd have to make a new hive down QQQ for me to say that that's three for three on the signal.
It has to break that 10-20 high.
It'll have an overextended tick right up here.
Best case scenario, tick cools down, price stays the same, tick bounces, then you can tick that high on queues.
Yeah. I step on the tick a little bit.
See if it can pop back up.
See if Qs can make a new high day here.
Five, four, three, two, one.
Great bear.
690.
Just grab it.
690.
Yeah, 25.
Yeah.
I feel like a rug's coming soon, eventually.
Mm-hmm, mm-hmm.
All right.
I wouldn't be surprised.
I'd like to see 596 on QS and 665 up there on SPY.
We get up in that area today.
That's where I'm going short.
The only way.
Yes, still continuing check out that i thank you
she goes
new hire day by a penny no nq missed it by like what was that 689 690 missed it by a point
I can bring it back down just chopper sideways print these SPX is IWM previous week high is 251.71.
It's almost there.
What did you say it was?
251.71.
I think I want to kiss you That's where I want to start a short
Somewhere around there
That was hilarious
Oh my gosh
That is exactly where I want to start a short
Right around the 251.70 area
Yeah where I want to start short right around the 251 70 area. Yeah.
I kind of want to short scout this thing again, but now I'm just being greedy.
Okay. I'm just being greedy. oh look at it there it is fucking same thing again just the same trade from earlier that i took I was like I kind of want to short scalp this again I think I can get a quick 20 something
points and it just hit it I think two I think it just hit 50 again 651
Tesla the highs are getting smaller and smaller and smaller and smaller.
I'm waiting for my ad.
I would be over trading if I took anything else today.
I never took trading.
Well, not really over trading because a lot of things I had going into the day.
but there's no reason to give profit back in price action like this if you're up nice
I feel like there's someone who's trading this right now who's going on tilt.
So I'm going to go ahead and be the one to tell you to fucking stop and close your account for a little bit and take a walk.
Walk done.
Yeah, because...
For you and your dog.
I just feel like... I know I just saw some of the Discord kind of say something similar.
They're just getting on the wrong side of trades right now.
I think people, because the price action is so slow and they're getting antsy to take trades,
they're chasing these candles in the direction.
And then you're not getting your instant gratification. Then're stalling doing a small pullback whatever and then you're trying to
flip it and verse it down there on the pullback thinking we're finally going to break down and
catch a larger move they buy it back up we're just repeating that over and over again i feel like
there's people going on a small tilt right now at this price action so
i'll i'll be the one to tell you to shut your down right now and chill out for a little bit
if that's you
you're i mean we're playing with a small range right now. I got a one-minute trend line right here on SPY.
Do I full port long or no?
All in.
All in.
Don't be a bitch.
Mm-hmm. Can you describe to us your outfit right now?
I am wearing my Wolf Financial t-shirt let's go
and sweatpants that's what i'm wearing
how was last night short oh good time. We woke up.
It was a rough wake-up.
It was a rough wake-up.
It was a rough wake-up, bro.
Oh, my gosh.
But we here.
We made it.
We aligned.
We Gucci. we gucci gucci gang gucci gang gucci gang gucci gang but yeah great time
a lot of people too like a lot of great people oh this absolute grandma was just
busting it down on the dance floor, bro. I
couldn't believe it. I couldn't believe it, bro. Like have more energy than any of us
young people in there. I was, I was baffled. Couldn't believe it. Cranking on the dance
floor. Love to see it. Josh. So awesome. Basically, I had equal opening highs there on Qs and rejected.
I'm going to look at my ad to my Tesla soon. The edge driving high on Enque. Thank you. Oh, yeah, that freaking short scalp.
I'm trying to drop in more.
I'm trying to drop them all.
Oh, no.
All right, now watch to see if they buy it right here. Thank you. Look at that.
Look. Look at that. Look at that.
Oh my god.
That was stupid.
I shouldn't have taken that trade.
I said I was done.
I shouldn't have taken that trade.
I shouldn't have.
You're hilarious.
That was dumb.
I literally pulled up trade of eight.
I went and only pulled up my three evals
and I was like, fuck it.
It went long.
It filled me at...
What did it fill me at?
Oh my gosh.
I just went long five MNQ at 618.
And covered it at 638.
Just quick 20 points. That was so do me that stole that shit
yeah condor i'm gonna trim at 50 percent we're almost there
he stole that shit watch it rip back to fucking Hive Day, too.
5 minute 21, if anyone wondered.
That's it.
High or low.
Again, just...
If Emp was here, he probably would have told me I'm buying it there as well.
Just every dip like that until proven otherwise.
Oh, oh, spreads are getting a little wide
on this iron condor.
Might get lucky with the fill soon. Are they taking out this ID on NQ or not? I'm going to get my pants. Thank you. I I beat it up I beat it up oh gold got slots nice Thank you. Oh. Back to me.
All right.
About $5 away on the premiums on SPX for 50% on the Iron Condor.
Spreads are getting a little wide, so depending on your broker,
you might be able to catch a fill.
Might not, but we'll see if they can hit 30. I promise I'm done for the day now.
I just posted my account P&Ls at the top there.
Again, the swings, mainly the long swings paid out nice on the main account.
And then futures accounts showing all funded and the eval ones,
and I broke it down separately overall.
So 3,700 on the day.
2,400 of that is real money.
The other 1,300 so far is on those eval accounts.
All of that's posted there at the top. And I'm sitting in this SPX Iron Condor as well,
looking to make an extra couple hundred dollars in the Webull main account on that.
Other than that, there's nothing else interesting here for me to enter into new.
Love it, brother. Good stuff this morning.
Appreciate you.
Amazing work.
You deserve all shots of vodka that you want.
Oh, I'm going to go get fucked up.
Brochnist.
Means strength.
Bessie could be setting up for that short soon.
Finally coming in a boat, thank you.
Look at that 30-minute knots.
On Tesla?
Yeah, on Tesla.
Look how it's about to close in one minute.
Look at that. All the way up to the top of the zone.
385.
I added, by the way.
Look, I just said I was done.
Now I'm convincing myself.
You ain't done.
You going all inshore with me.
You ain't done.
You going all inshore with me.
I'm not going to take it.
That's what they all say.
I mean, first main target's downside on Tesla is going to be 381.40, 380.
After that, it's 378.74.
I'll send you this chart.
Again, I'm not taking it.
Just closed green, but still it's like the candle.
So. Thank you. there's people in my discord that are in tesla puts right now
damn right gosh dang smart those are smart people i know you know it's it's funny it's it's going to
be setups like this that were like i talk about I'm like, yeah, I'm done.
I've already taken too much, and I'm not going to take this one.
And then that's the one that's going to go, like, fucking berserk.
Right.
Tessa just sells all the way back down to, like, 376,
and those puts go to, like, 200%.
I'd give you a kiss if that happens.
Oh, I deserve a lot more than a kiss if that happens.
What? I'd give you a kiss if that happens. Oh, I deserve a lot more than a kiss if that happens.
Got into you guys this morning.
Shit.
You see my P&L?
You see his pee?
It's probably looking like it wants to roll a little bit let's see it
I mean that's an ugly 30 minute
on SPX too
that hourly close
like a straight
doji candle
this could be the time where it looks like
it's going to roll though and it's not
and it's gonna lead people to fucking low accounts right now
back to the lobby
no respawn back to the lobby little timmy
there's always a respawn use code code wolf. Yeah, use code wolf.
Respawn, yeah.
Ooh, just toggled 50% on SPX.
Phil stop goes to entry.
Damn, I just need that IWM to go up another 50 cents. They didn't let it. Hello, rugby spy. you definitely just watched that with the kids the past weekend.
No, I haven't watched that in forever.
I don't know why that was...
That just popped up in my mind.
Wumbo.
Wumbo-wee.
He-wumbo.
He-wumbo.
Where's the leak
ma'am
did IWM ever hit that level
no 50
actually 40 cents off it was
I was gonna start my short there.
But it didn't get there.
It did not get there.
Oh, here goes Tezzy.
Go, bitch.
381.
I want trimming.
381, 381, 381, 40.
It's your 24, hundred back test on cues
if you get another nice red candle down right here a little bit lower like a
turn out some puts if you took them
here you go
not so much on Tesla, just spy.
SPX 50% out half stop at entry.
It's either stop at entry on the other half or 100% full profit.
There you go.
Boom.
And we're good.
We're good we're gucci gang drop drop drop drop. we got all accounts green this morning
there you go tesla
that's a five minute 21 right there i don't know how much
puts that move but wouldn't be a bad minute 21 right there. I don't know how much puts that move, but wouldn't be a bad safety
trim right there.
That's where daddy's taking a little trimming right there.
Right there. Nice.
Nice.
I saw that myself.
Okay, I'm trimming.
There we go.
14%. Not bad. Nice.
Now we get under that 382.20
and I trim at 381.40.
Oh, MU is coming down.
Yes. 395 to 400 on MU. I want to get two month out call starter.
Yeah, I think those asked us for Fridays, there. I think they went like $35, maybe $40 for contract.
Just watch this, 5-minute 21.
Spine Q is breaking down, though, closed underneath the level of support.
So that looks good.
They can either bring it down lower or they reclaim right here.
Just chop us up.
Yeah, we're dropping.
We're dropping.
Iran's foreign minister
says they had no talks with the US.
Didn't Trump say earlier that they called him?
He didn't call them.
That's why we're dropping right now.
Oh boy.
Here we go.
A little taco, here we go. A little taco taco taco.
You get a taco and you get a taco.
Everybody gets tacos.
Use trade sinker to copy trade. i'm probably going to eventually actually reached out to them
i bought tesla a dip, so nice. Nice job.
Welcome.
Tesla paid well.
Nice job.
Nice work, guys.
You.
Nice.
Nice work. Your hourly closing is in 20 minutes so far.
I think it's looking good for a little bit more downside here on tesla go hit that 381 40 about 50 cents away now
definitely a trim spot right there um
but might get lucky with this next five minute continuation candle down
Candle down.
There it is.
Oh, boom.
Tessie.
There you go.
I think it just hit 50.
Trimmed again.
Nice.
See, look, I talked myself into the trade, and I was like, I'm not going to do it.
And then, lo and behold, nice three red'm not going to do it. And then lo and behold,
nice three red bar down.
There you go.
If we get onto that 40, it's 380 next.
Actually, I would do,
well, I'd probably have to close.
Yeah.
There it is.
I'd close at 380.60.
There it is. 381.40, baby.
Look at that 30-minute.
Look at that 30-minute candle.
Should have been greedy today.
Just robbed this market for everything I had to offer. Watch the bounce now.
That is definitely trim and move a stop at entry or in profit or something. you guys are short and cute at the same time for a hundred points
jesus christ oh yeah
see they continue to bring it down for you.
Just keep trailing those stops,
baby. Don't let green trades go red.
VIX is approaching 25.
Popping up a little bit.
Out of Tesla, 110 bucks.
There you go.
I mean, what, 15 minutes?
Nice work. Tessie, you sexy bastard
You go girl
Oh my
Oh my
Oh me oh my oh my oh my oh me oh my oh man oh my look at that look at this move on tess say what you
is at
591 okay
wow they really couldn't give me iwm like another 30 cents i know
that's so fucking upsetting i know that would have been that would have been a good one too
look how that 30-minute chart is setting up now, too,
if it closes like this.
Oogle-ay.
Okay.
IWM, I'm all out here.
I'll just take it off.
I got my third target there.
Oh, wait. Did I say IWM? You did. I meant to say TESA. I meant to say TESA. I don't have IWM. So I'm like, you got in that?
You just lied to me.
Yeah, I only have TESA.
Okay.
I don't know.
This is an article that I've been doing.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. Okay. um
so that's at five actually don't look up spy that'll probably be better
okay so spy 659
i'm gonna short scalp on it mnq i had at 675. Holy shit.
Am I still streaming that chart?
I'm streaming the wrong chart.
You guys can actually see that chart.
Look at that.
Look.
Look at that bad boy.
Yeah, look.
It has the,
like in the same,
in the same five minute candle,
you see my red arrow for the short and then the cover
and then just where we're at now.
Like Jesus.
Oh, I'm disgusted.
Look at this move.
Paper hands.
Fucking McGee over here.
Oh, brother.
Oh, my God.
I suck.
Okay. Okay.
Ooh.
They're dropping it, dropping it, dropping it.
Dropping it, dropping it, dropping it.
Oh, it doesn't show the arrows.
Okay, what's SPX at?
A 20-point scalp into a 180-point move.
Disgusted with myself.
I could have bought another golf cart.
Tessie almost had 380.
Yes, yes, yes.
Damn, son.
Where'd you find this? A level here at 485 on NQ.
Damn, son. Thank you. You could probably see a tad bit lower first before maybe a bounce. My dogs are attacking me
i'll be down like in the
or 50s 460s area next
if it drops like another 60 points but you could get a little bouncy here
just a little release after that move lower
i know i know oh no i can't my dogs are literally sitting in front of me i can't see my
they're just plopped on me
i'm living through the markets through your voice, Casey, right now. It says live.
I mean, I'm all out, but...
It almost hit 380.
It got close.
Then it hit 380.4.
Let me see. 380.38.
Over 381 again?
Briefly, but now it's back underneath of it.
I think we can catch a little relief bounce right here.
Probably a small green candle pop back up.
If you do see a bounce right here on SPY, go back up to 660 area.
I think that can be a nice flip it and reverse it real quick for a re-short.
But if they don't, then watch this for another 50, 60 points downside. Cluster the 450s on NQ.
SPY and Q is coming back down, honestly,
to about opening lows.
It'd be 589.
Q's, like, 656.
50 area on Spy.
Mm-hmm, mm-hmm.
Oh, you have Tesla on the screen?
Gosh dang it, my bad, dude.
Dude.
There you go.
There you go.
Part-time streamer.
I always forget if I change the screens. I'm going to go ahead and get it. Crude oil is still popping.
Brand new way to stop. there you go
there goes that headline 380 oh oh that might be a headline? 380.
Oh, that might be a headline.
I might long it right here, though.
It just tapped into that area.
Let me tap in.
I'll take it on the evals.
I'm full porting the shit out of this thing.
Let's go.
Let me tap in
that's what we can do here. What we got?
There's a minute 50 left on this candle, but I like the area.
There's an equal low right there.
Come on, come on.
There's something about a minefield.
That's where, that's why we just dropped.
Dude, stop.
65 break.
Come on.
65 break.
Come on.
You can do it.
Put your back into it.
Come on. What are you doing, it. Come on.
What are you doing, buddy?
All right, lock it in.
We can retrace a little bit more, get back up in the 70s here.
Comes back down underneath 44.
Well, we did just hit low a day on the market open.
Yeah.
And that instantly came back.
That was like the spot right there on Qs.
I was like, it's at 589. The second I hit it, I was like, I'm there on queues I was like it's at 589
the second they
hit it
I was like
I'm gonna
full port
these evals
took me out
the rest
it's all good
man like an
extra 250
per account
I still like it
we got 20
seconds left
on this candle
this guy said he wasn't drinking anymore.
I know.
Who the fuck is this guy?
He said,
might have been down by sent five NQs on that bounce for two KG.
Jesus Christ.
I mean, nice scout, but oh my god.
I think we're going to take the low real quick on this next candle, and it can be another long year once it gets a little bit more overextended.
We got a low there.
See, we take out that 8 o'clock low, which would be 345.
No negotiations have been held with the U.S.
Oh, boy.
All right.
There's no level on Q's be be 5, probably at least 7.
It's kind of that area.
For NQ, it's probably closer to 23, 24, 370?
Tesla 378, 74.
Hit.
I know.
Damn.
Don't make me more upset.
Where is it at?
Where is it at? Where is it at?
I don't know what the level is at.
Actually, I'll be honest.
I thought I'd be up a lot more if I held that.
They're only up another dollar.
Plus, they're in the money.
It's actually pretty shocking.
Did you take Wednesday or Friday?
Wednesdays.
They're only up a dollar from where I sold at 380.60,
which is weird, actually.
I thought it'd actually be a little bit more.
We're $2 down from there and $1.30 in the money.
To the fucking penny right here on Tesla.
Look at that.
Ooh, MU, 404.
Mm-hmm, mm-hmm.
All right, where do I long this thing again for a scout for this overextension?
Let me look at IWN.
We're almost there for queues. Oh, don't be right here is that 400 sweep it sweep it and then get a little bounce
there you go.
Legs sweep them.
Legs sweep them.
Damn, Tessie.
Dude, I was lying when I said, look.
Jordan. Remember I said, look. Jordan.
Remember I said I'm not going to take Tesla
and it's going to fall to like 376, 375
and it's going to be like the biggest trade of the day?
Of course, bro.
Finally rolled over.
I know.
I'm about to scale into this long right here on MQ on these evals.
We got down to the 60s.
We're about to hit 587 on queues.
All right.
I'm like down here in these three.
370 350 area. Fix ripped. Five.
Four.
Three.
Two.
Two.
One.
Boom.
One.
Bang, bang.
Thank you. Previous hourly lows, 344.50.
Do something crazy.
Do something crazy. four two two one bang bang bang bang bang bang bang bang bang bang bang bang bang bang
another one Another one. Another one. So MU Weekly 9 is at $397.
MU Weekly 50, I mean, sorry, Daily 50 SMA is at $402.
Drop MU.
Drop MU.
Drop MU. Drop and mute. Drop and mute. Drop and mute.
Drop and mute.
50 points off the zone so far
for cues. 50 points off the zone so far for queues. 58910 is the back test of the level.
But. But it's 430 right there on NQ. And right off. my god man that was 300 points from the first entry short up there smoked 300 fucking boys
you can look at my one minute chart yeah look at that two candles i was in and out
stupid stupid
think they can still drop to take out these lows spx and then a gap I'm out. Oh, five minute inverted.
Over 426.
I'm not in anything.
I should.
I'm not going to get it in time. time yeah you are right now long let's go
let's go let's go do you hear my do you hear my dog he's like he's like uh
what's it called sneezed at me and he's got allergies yeah
He's got allergies, man.
That's like, fuck you.
Colin here is insane right now.
Sucks so bad.
I'd like to see if Spa gets down to right here
and if Qs can get down
or need 587
would be great spots
to see if they hold and bounce play
and see if they do get that
if they do get it
it's a move over 426 on NQ
and it looks like they're going to try it over 426 on NQ.
And it looks like they're going to try it.
Over 426,
we could see a quick move to 440. Oh, there it is.
426.
I told you to go long, did you not?
Quietly.
No one can know.
Yeah, me too.
Let's see if we get to the 440.
I did Jeklisko's half there. Oh, and it might be a good idea. I got to the 405. Let's see if we get to the 440.
I did Jeklisko's half there.
Oh, and it might be a good idea.
It might have been a good idea.
I'm going to put a stop at back at 405,
and then put an order if it decides to rip face. I have a stop 3 cents in profit,
and I'm up like 13 cents in profit right now.
And I'm probably going to air closed.
Nope.
No, no, no.
Come on, 440.
I'm just going to close it there at 440 to 450.
I'm just going to be done with it.
It'll be a few hundred bucks.
Here we go, 437.
Come on, 440.
436, 437, 436, 433.
440, 437, 436, 433.
440, 443.
447, 440.
I'm all out here.
Let it us.
Let it us.
I got an order at 70.
It's got to hit it to take out the last three contracts. Uh-oh, going for 450.
Yeah, I haven't. Going for 450.
There we go.
Oh, shit.
He's all out.
No, I'm not. I should.
Let's add into it.
I'm just kidding.
We're not adding to this thing.
I just pop off it though. That's a little inverted green hammer down there.
I'll cue so off the zone.
Almost damn near perfect.
He's trying to print a buy signal right now.
Candle closes in 30 seconds.
It's the only reason I was joking about adding into it.
It's the only reason I was joking about adding into it.
Five-minute inverted after multiple, multiple big red candles.
So the zone right here on queues, this is SR flip zone
from previous two sessions.
So the indicator marked it out starts at 587.54
and goes to 586.62.
And low of day is 587.49.
So it entered into it by $0.05.
And a nice reaction off of it. Thank you. All.
Hey. Hey, I'll be out here. five four
three
okay
am I good looking?
are we still at 450?
yeah I'm watching to see if it can
pop up a little bit more here
I got
May 15th 430 calls for MU.
$3,100 a contract.
Wow.
Yeah, disgusting, but I have to do it.
I've done really well trading MU, so I'm going to stick by it.
I know when I go out, it's expensive, but it's worth it.
It's worth it.
Maybe five, four, three, two, one.
Oh, shit.
I'm out.
They're listening to me.
Close enough for government work just got those evals now up
to 520
now watch another trade where this is just a scalp upside and then it's just going to go
all the way back up freaking long from 405 watch this shit go back to 24 600 i'd be so pissed. Scout this thing for like one to $200 per account
in these evals and I could have passed all of them by now.
oh some mu puts coming in and you
i just printed a uh that's actually a decent intraday long right there on mu
uh morning star reversal off pre-market lows almost perfectly.
Nine times out of ten.
Next candle's green.
It's already doing that now.
It's about to backtest the five-minute EMAs.
But the flow – oh, no, this flow came in 30 minutes ago.
My apologies.
They are 352.5 puts for Friday.
Give me like 25 minutes to go.
Short on the 15 and short on the five minute.
Mike. From an indicator or from your TA like you're telling me this is a short. I don't have any for SPI.
I'm using neither of those right now.
No, I do. It's just make it a five minute, not 15. doesn't mean it can't work it's the same strategy sent like essentially but
for back testing purposes when it was created it was based off intraday trading on a five minute
chart but everything that you would see line up on a five minute if it lines up on a five minute chart but everything that you would see line up on a five minute that lines up on a 15 minute it would signal but obviously results may
vary it's like turn that indicator on and go to like a one or two minute like Hail to the gnaw, gnaw, gnaw.
Yeah, lots of different MU put flow today.
You have 400 puts for Friday.
So far, you have 6.25 million at the ask, $1.73 million at the bid,
so about four times greater on those. Then you have 385s.
Someone bought 1,700 contracts for Friday at 380.
They spent $642,000 on that one single order.
And then you just had those 352.5s come in for Friday as well.
Lots of MU put flow.
I was two days early. I think we're going to come down and hit this zone on SPY.
And Q's.
Q's entered into it.
I want to see Q's go underneath 587.
Your midpoint is at 585.02 for Q's for SPY at 654.22.
You have a daily level at 655.17,
and that lines up with directly the middle of that zone.
It's going to be your low from Thursday session, March 19th.
Yes, all right.
And use a tough one to catch.
It's all about timing.
We're getting lucky with the momentum.
How does SNDK look?
SNDK is about to fill the daily gap to the downside.
Takes it to 671.67.
Do 671.67.
About $10 lower from where it's at right now.
That thing's getting obliterated today.
Not really today.
I'll just say within the last hour and a half with everything else.
But, I mean, that thing's been strong.
Look at your weekly.
So far, upper wick so far, sellers present daily, just backtesting.
Underneath the daily nine, above the 21, gap fills kind of directly in the middle so.
Temporarily short term was a good short then see if it can fill the rest of the gap at some point.
Got some put flow on ticker LITE.
This one does not look too good intraday right here.
Some flow on some in the money puts for Friday.
That came in this morning.
Like 25 minutes ago their options are insane i don't recommend it
so is really bouncing back or uh oil sorry here. I just hit the top of the zone.
New low of day.
Q is not quite there.
Neither is IWM. them. I'm still there for 12 hours.
I'm not feeling at, you know, when I'm still being for 12 hours.
Do you have to be happy? Yeah, I'll make a second. I want to make a second. Okay. I have gentle fish and gentle ladies.
I will be back.
Heard that, brother. Later, Gator. I'm about to go have some lunch. I got sushi back. Heard that, brother.
Later, Gator. I'm about to go have some lunch. I got sushi waiting for me.
Ooh.
Ooh, I know. It's a good day for some
sushi. That sounds bomb.
I haven't had sushi in a while
because the wife can't. What a shame.
What a shame.
Oh, man. You should get a new wife.
Yeah, I agree.
I'm in. I'm in. I'm going to wife Yeah, I agree I'm in
I'm in
I'm gonna actually show her this, I'm gonna let her know
Kavosan, you're out
Alright, Nats is sleeping on the couch tonight
Yeah
Yeah, with the dogs
Yeah, fuck them
We'll see you guys later
Sounds good
Later man
Coming down here on Spine Queues with these lows
I'm gonna go grab some lunch as well
I'll probably jump on to the
YouTube live stream
Maybe you guys start it up in a little bit
Yes sir
Ryan's over there right now
Oh sweet
I'll go eat real quick and then go join him Sounds good We'll see you over there right now. Oh, sweet.
I'll go eat real quick and then go join him.
Sounds good.
We'll see you over there.
Sounds good.
Nice trading morning so far.
We'll see what the afternoon gives.
So I'll catch you guys later.
Sounds good.
Oh, they're finally going to take out these hourly lows. It's 345.
Let's see here.
Pretty good thing with any close. up see how everything very close pretty close yeah it's about to take it as well looks like those they could with each other
if they do grab this
gotta look for those lows to be swept though my opinion
did you take any trades today jordan no no i'm just around with like paper trading and
shit because i didn't trade at all because i'm just boring throughout the slow morning here so
i'm just like play around on paper trading but that's that's as much as I've done this morning.
We're going to meddle around in the middle, this range, which I didn't particularly like.
I don't want to really take risk in that until we took one side.
Looks like we're finally about to take out the lows, which is nice.
Gold looks like what's more downside Where's that?
Yeah, it's a little difficult one
It's like a 6am move, 7am move
That's rough
Then we got some news later this week
Tomorrow we got flash manufacturing
PMI 945
Some data at 10.
it's kind of a dry week of data though not much going on next week looks a little more stacked
i don't think we have any earnings anymore really oh i mean got game stop tomorrow apparently
game stops an interesting one.
They really just don't do an earnings call or anything.
I know.
It's rough.
PDD, Beyond.
Carnival.
PDD, is that?
Yeah.
Oh, Pindodo.
Interesting.
There's only a couple reports.
That'll be a good one.
Beyond Me.
Oh, Ondas was this morning. I didn't know that.
Was it really?
Pinduoduo
owns Timu.
Hmm.
Oh, we're edging these hourly lows.
Great.
Oh, yeah're edging these hourly lows. Great. Yeah, noise.
On this is doing okay.
I mean, it's up like 3%, but it doesn't look amazing on that bigger time frame chart.
It's still in this consolidation.
still in this consolidation.
No idea what that earnings call look like.
STS red today
Circle's still red
Rocket Lab flipped slightly red as well
UNH also red
I started off with a nice morning too
Pre-market
Tesla finally came back in a little bit
I actually just got a notification about
UNHG that I was down 5%
so it's funny you're telling that
so I guess UNH down 2.5%
yeah a little slappy there
really just in a range here on the daily
just towards the bottom of it now
let's see if some buyers step in down here
but it's really just been going back and forth
in this 30 range
tesla could be interesting down here if it gets some real momentum off these lows
and a back where i liked it a few weeks ago that all looks pretty good on that bigger time frame
see if it can bounce after sweeping those lows from january it didn't quite hit the
november lows i don't necessarily think it needs to but
got that gap that we filled already but we have two gaps above us as well to potentially trade
into a meta I don't know bottom of the bigger time frame range like this I started to get
interested in some of these individuals for trades not for really investing but
like how much are we down from highs actually not horrible I mean you are down 24% on meta
from highs so it's not like it's a horrible long-term ad
what happened to me finally take out out hourly lows. We did.
Bye-bye now.
Big spot we're breaking into.
Big hourly gap from that news at 7 o'clock this morning.
I'm also just noticing that at 2 p.m. Eastern, which is still a little ways from now, hour and a half,
but when that comes in,
we will be getting a new four-hour candle
and forming a four-hour gap
that I'd like to see us tap into.
Of course, we don't know
where that four-hour gap
will actually start yet
because this candle hasn't closed.
So wherever this candle low
on the four-hour candle
that we're on right now,
wherever that low ends up being
once this closes up.
That's where that gap will start.
Just got that notification that Micron now down 5%.
Yeah, they were talking about Micron this morning.
Gap to potentially test in that 390 area.
392s. Oil is still going.
The winter market is still drilling.
I think oil is going to have some problems in the 93 area, though.
Might get slapped there.
Gold still looks rough. Let's see if we can make the low here. Thank you. so
hard to be super bearish here when you're taking out these bigger time frame lows i still don't
think we would really lift off until the next four hour candle opens though
let me create that gap but maybe i'm wrong overall just wouldn't be wouldn't be bearish
tapping into these lows here gotta look for some sort of balance in this area but
this gap is pretty big goes to 930 basically you know the start of that news candle
so until we actually run through that entire area i have to be thinking more bullish Thank you. Dang TSA at the airport is bad apparently.
The airport is bad, apparently.
Everybody better miss their flights home.
Yeah, wow, that's crazy.
They're saying two-hour lines here.
That's rough, bro.
Well, thank you
uber's holding on green.
I had a decent day.
Chopping a lot, but pre-market had that nice move with the market.
Not really selling off as much, at least not yet.
Let's see.
Alantir's still
up 4.5. Nice bounce from those hourly lows so far.
damn
lines going outside
these boys are cooked
oh beautiful bounce from those hourly lows yeah that's exactly why i was mentioning like not
not really you can't be feel bearish here. Not for me.
See if the bounce actually gets the momentum and we start to turn around.
But either way, just this whole area,
I don't want to be pressing shorts. Not much else on the news side, huh?
Except for that Trump stuff this morning.
Sorry. Thank you. Oh, Prozone computer, come on.
What the hell just happened? There we go.
Oh my gosh.
Oh my computer's caught. Thank you. Amazon's still holding up while. Oh, gosh.
Microsoft's trying to roll.
Computer's frozen again.
Okay. Thank you. my god Thank you. Gracias. Oh, they put a halt on this market sideways.
Yeah.
Got 15 minute gaps above our heads that we could go retest from this hourly suite.
Let's get some actual structure to get there.
It's really all I see happening from here, or they just continue to lose it further into this gap
to the downside, which I'm not expecting necessarily.
So I actually see that displacement to these lows.
Crypto has been interesting.
It's been freaking all over the place, but right now it's not so bad 70k 2100 for a eath yeah i'm still not convinced she's stuck
every time we run to just get slapped
wouldn't mind seeing 58s
wouldn't mind it
I don't know if they give me that
monthly looks rough
crypto winners upon us
but she'll be back
one day we'll be back.
Oh, these guys are... I might just start swimming to the on.
These guys are hilarious.
Oil.
Trying to hold on this dip.
See if they can hold over that 90 or not
currently trumps live always fun Always fun. awesome DK got smacked today into that gap It looks like it's holding that half gap, though.
Didn't even test it.
674.53.
Back testing previous all-time highs.
SNDK has been a monster.
What is it?
What's the indicator?
Oh, it's just SNDK. sndk yeah oh sandesk yeah fair
thank you Imagine being like a lone TSA agent
Having to deal with that entire line
Oh hell no
That poor person
That's having a rough day. Is it raining
you guys are talking about the uh the tsa line right now and they just go are y'all standing
in the rain in the rain in line the door the line is like out the door these guys it is like Ripping rain. Damn.
That's so rough. Oh my gosh.
I can't even think about trying to leave this place right now.
Frickin' in that airport. Ugh. I wonder if they're doing pre-check.
Yeah. That would be the move.
Sometimes they lock that shit down though
not doing tsa pre-check. Oh, of course.
Dude,
if I got there,
I would be,
I don't know what I would do.
Evan,
you'd be so livid,
bro.
man,
I get this pre-check and I'm not getting the pre-check line.
Are you kidding me?
Evan would not be happy,
bro.
I had questioned the, uh,
what, what, what trip I'm going on.
Yeah, don't take this guy to Costco.
Costco parking lot is like worst place forever.
Too much.
Too much.
What are they talking about usda line um that's the first thing when you go in they get to put your bag through guy just never does it there's like it's for like um fruits and
vegetables and stuff you can't take it back gotcha i was say, never have I ever.
TSA's not watching right now.
They should not allow me to walk through without doing that.
Never had an issue.
I'm sure they're not watching right now.
I don't think I'd give off fruit smuggler either very much.
Kind of do, honestly.
If you were going to smuggle anything, it'd be some fruit or something like that
you Thank you. Did you know that on this day in 2021, the Ever Given got stuck in the Suez Canal?
Ah, yeah. You were mentioning that.
Wow.
This was also the bottom of the 2020 crash, I believe.
Wait, today's date?
I need to double-check this, but...
Wow, six's date? I need to double check this, but... Wow, six years ago?
I have a mic thing that it only took S&P 500 22 trading days to fall 30%, the sharpest decline ever.
Damn.
These Korean sweet and spicy puffs are just crazy, dude.
It's a chicken wing and a puff. by the way if you're still hanging out in spaces with us
make sure you guys like the spaces if you haven't throw a little comment below
and repost the spaces we're going to be running a fun conversation here at the top of the hour
with uh with our boy henry from crane sharess, talking about some China ETFs that they have.
He really specializes in the China area at Crane Shares.
So it's going to be fun to deep dive into that area of things a little bit.
We don't talk about that much on the spaces.
So we're going to run that into the top of the hour and then uh we'll be hopping on stream
after so that's what the rest of the day looks like i don't know if this market really really
does too much from here but i want to watch that 2 p.m four hour candle that opens up and see where
that wants to go maybe we take out these lows that we made.
And try and trade higher from there.
It's kind of what I'm looking at.
Not much data this week, so it's going to be pretty raw price action. Thank you. Oh, interesting.
I feel like they changed the chat button on X to get to the DMs, which looks different now.
Yeah, a little weird.
I think it's comments
for a second.
Yeah, it's interesting.
What are we doing, Ax?
What are we doing?
What are we doing?
Where are we going? still rejecting
crude oil back down 9% you slapped Slapped.
Gold holding up a little bit better.
Gold had a wild candle today.
Oh, yeah.
Apple Maps is launching ads.
Apple Maps launching ads?
Mm-hmm.
Hmm.
I guess that makes sense, honestly.
But L's.
That's...
Another way to say, hey, give us 99 cents and we'll take the ads away.
Gold's trying to bounce thing that still might be a bit of a short here.
Do you see the green shirt that she has a countdown below?
Oh yeah. Still on Golden.
I still want to see it at the hourly spot.
43 3838.50.
Kind of same spot we're looking at on NK of the hourly.
Just a little farther for gold. Coming back, crude oil.
Coming back.
Let the market rip couple a little bit. It's happening in that five minute gap.
Not running through, just respecting bearish order flows still on in queue.
Same thing with gold.
RTY and YM also just haven't looked very good all day since after the free market rip. Well, if you're in the audience, stick around for this next combo gonna be a fun one deep in
or deep diving into some of the china etfs from crane shares i know a lot of you guys have probably
had them on your radar uh one of the top ones is kweb so if you know that that is uh that's That is from our boys at Crane Chairs.
I did send that Crane Chairs account an invite.
Feel free to pop up whenever, Henry.
Circle, UNH, ASTS still red on the the day rocket lab decided to recover a bit trying to hold on green not by much
sndk as well headed for that half gap retracement from uh what was that march 13th march 16th gap
there we get henry up here in the crane shares account yes hi how's it going, Henry? It's going well. How are you?
Doing really well.
Starting the fresh week off.
A little bit of an interesting morning
with some of the news we got, huh?
Yeah, yeah.
Things are looking up.
With this administration, things
can change very rapidly, and
we're seeing that happening yet again.
you know, knock on wood
um but uh yeah certainly certainly interesting um saw some movement in the names we tracked as
well which which was really positive um alibaba i think over three percent today
uh which is really exciting.
Yeah, I'm excited to talk about it.
And just for the audience, I know I did mention it,
but for anybody that's popping in right now,
we are converting over to talk a little bit about some of the China ETFs from Crane Shares.
Henry here really specializes in the China side of things here.
So going to be breaking down that.
If you guys have any questions, feel free to use that purple bubble on the bottom right. This is definitely the time to ask those type of questions having Henry on. So Henry, really appreciate you having on before we do
run into anything. I know we will be talking about some tickers here. Let me just for the
audience, quick disclaimer, and investors should carefully consider if funds investment objective,
risks, charges and expenses before investing. fund's prospectus and summary prospectus contain all this and all the other
information about CraneShares ETFs. So just go to craneshares.com. You guys can find that
prospectus and just make sure you're reading over that and actually understanding the products that
you might be investing in here. But with that said, Henry, pleasure having you back on. I know since the last time we talked, been some wild things going on in the market. And then
this morning we get hit with a crazy candle right in pre-market. Overall, just curious on your
thoughts on the market right now. And I know we're going to deep dive a little more into the China
side of things, but what are you thinking about this volatile market right now?
What are you thinking about this volatile market right now?
Yeah, you know, I was having a...
Oh, sorry. Can you hear me?
I was having a discussion with...
Am I coming through okay, by the way?
My Wi-Fi is low. I hope...
Oh, you're good. We got you. Loud and clear.
Okay, great.
Yeah, so I was having a discussion with some of my team this morning.
And, you know, it's the equity volatility, like the actual action we've seen, I think, so far this year in equities has actually not compared to previous years compared to 2022 has not been the most exciting or scary thing in the world, right? I mean, it's been, suffice it to say, like, you know,
I think volatility could go higher and equities could move lower. We've seen, it's been relatively
calm. I think given everything that's going on geopolitically, even in the bond market rates,
I think the equity market's actually been relatively calm so far this year, actually, which might sound funny.
But I think it's true when you look at compared to 2022.
So that begs the question of, you know, are we like we're seeing now?
Are we seeing a, you know, return to kind of a more of a, you know, cautiously bull market?
Maybe. Or, you know, could there be more of a larger storm
in store for equity? Because I don't think we've seen that yet.
Yeah, agreed. It's going to be interesting. And now we're kind of in a bit of a bit of a dry
period just with news and earnings right now, which definitely makes things interesting. I feel
like the market is just extra sensitive to whatever is being said politically or geopolitically.
So it makes for an interesting market to trade, that's for sure.
Right. Yep, absolutely.
Yeah, so Henry, walk me through some of the China ETFs you guys are running right now
and how that's given investors different ways to access the onshore versus offshore China.
I know you guys, obviously, big one is K-Web, some others we talked about last time, KTEC,
KEMQ as well. So curious if you could just kind of lay out the suite of ETFs that you guys have
on the China sector. Sure, no problem. So we have a variety of ETFs all on China, and a lot of them are thematic.
So K-Web is our largest. That's what we're known for.
So that's China Internet companies, Alibaba, PDD, Meituan,
all of these Internet firms that were what we like to call the, still are,
we like to call the transmission engines of china's consumption economy that have now pivoted into into uh very much into becoming ai plays um in in china so
that's our flagship fund that's our largest largest fund today um and then we also so yeah
you mentioned k-tech which is hang sang tech so that's um more of a broader, not just internet basket, but specifically only Hong Kong listed.
We also have KSTR, KSTAR, which is the top 50 companies in China's STAR board.
The STAR market, which is known as a science and technology specific innovation board of
the Shanghai Stock Exchange, super new, launched about five years ago.
And it's kind of supposed to be the NASDAQ of China, quote unquote, focusing on those tech names.
And then, yeah, KEMQ takes the K-Web thesis, which is that, you know, most of the spending,
consumer spending, middle class consumer in China is going
to occur online. It's going to occur through these internet companies. And it applies that thesis to
broader emerging markets and broadens it out, including Latin America, Southeast Asia, and the
Middle East and others. Right. And so that's really exciting theme that we're seeing play out globally.
And we're providing access to at the same time.
And just on the thematic space, we have healthcare, China Healthcare, KURE. We have China Clean Technology. That's been an interesting one. KGRN in the thematic space. We also have CARS,
K-A-R-S, which is Global Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility, but it is heavily skewed towards China,
given that China is currently the second largest, well, probably, depending on how you measure it,
the largest market for electric vehicles globally.
And then I would say broad benchmark products.
We have KBA, which is top 50 most liquid uh stocks in the a share
market so that's the onshore market um specifically so yeah we try to be very modular in our approach
um where we when you look at an etf some of our competitor etfs are a bit of a uh hodgepodge
between mainland and and offshore listings and we like to kind of give people
the option to know, because both markets trade very differently. And we like to give people the
options to maybe trade them, whether it's against each other or manage risk in that way. Right. So
that's one way we are really differentiated from our competitors, as well as, of course, our ongoing research and updates on China, which we really pride ourselves on.
Yeah, it's really great stuff, Henry. I appreciate that.
I'm curious, how do you, you know, when you look at all these ETFs, all these products you guys offer,
how do you think, you know know investors should be combining multiple of these
screen shares ETFs into one portfolio? I know this is not obviously financial advice, but I'm
curious if you look at some of these products that you have and say, oh, you know, these would be
almost a good pairing in a portfolio together to kind of counterbalance each other out. I'm curious if you have any thoughts there. Yeah, it's an interesting question.
I think that, well, one example could be,
if you take K-Web, right?
So let's say you've got K-Web.
Some of the feedback we get from K-Web recently
has been underperformance versus the kind of chip makers, the more that
hardware tech, hard tech names. Those names have done better. Certainly year to date,
even I think if you look back 12 months, they've done better. And so, you know, sometimes people say, oh, maybe K-Web is missing those hardware names, right?
But if you dynamically look at K-Web and then you could also pair it with KSTR, for example,
again, this isn't a recommendation, but I've seen people do this,
adding KSTR to get exposure to those chip-making names,
those hardware names mostly listed on mainland
that have done so well over the past year, right?
And then the great part about that is if you were to do that,
you could then, based on your outlook
or what's going on in the market,
you could dynamically adjust your weight to either theme, right?
And that tracks both on an
onshore offshore lens but also on just you know k-web is internet it's good it's all software
basically I mean now it's it it's AI too and but it's all internet right and it's not the hardware
so if you want to add the hardware you're gonna want to look at at at K star right and then you
really get that full kind of China technology exposure right but again we didn to want to look at K-Star, right? And then you really get that full kind of China technology exposure, right?
But again, we don't put them in the same fund.
We think people should be able to manage risks beyond that, right?
Now, we do offer for financial advisors, we offer model portfolios as well.
And so internally, we do have teams that work on this kind of ETF allocation
approach, right? And we think our funds are uniquely situated to do that, right? And then,
of course, the thematic funds, right, allow you to express your view if you're bullish on a
particular industry or sector, you know, within China.. 100 percent yeah and the e-commerce in China the whole market has grown very rapidly. I'm curious
when you guys you know the K-West Tops holdings are Alibaba, PDD, Metuan, JD, some others. How are
these companies driving the next phase of China e-commerce growth for this next year?
the next phase of China e-commerce growth for this next year?
Sure. So I'm glad you asked because we just had Alibaba's earnings last week.
Yeah, I didn't read up on that too much. Was it overall positive for things?
So they were slightly underestimates for the top line revenue and the bottom line as well.
And but let me tell you that I think that completely masks the underlying story here.
If you looked at their full report, if you were on the call, as I was on their earnings call, you heard there's so much going
on in the background with AI and cloud.
They're projecting, well, they achieved cloud growth.
So their cloud growth revenue growth strictly from cloud reached 36% year over year growth,
which is off of 26% previously.
And they're projecting for their annual growth for their cloud businesses.
They're expecting, okay, revenue to almost double every year for the next five years in cloud.
Okay.
Whether they'll be able to achieve that is one question.
But that's quite a projection to make,
right? And I think that was missed. And everyone focused on, well, they're only growing at 2%.
And that 2% growth, right? And I'm sure this was factored into a lot of analyst models,
but just it's important to remember that a lot of people don't realize, so I pointed this out,
that 2% growth was, if you include in the year-over-year comparison,
that's if you include the revenue that they were getting last year from these brick-and-mortar
retail businesses that they sold, right? So that's no longer included in their revenue
for that they reported for the fourth quarter of 2025, right? So that's really important.
And if you exclude that from the year-over-year comparison,
they actually grew revenue at 6%,
which is pretty good for this industry, okay?
And then, of course, you come to profitability.
This is a really, really competitive.
The e-commerce, again, cloud's growing really fast,
but it still doesn't make up a majority of their revenue, okay?
And this e-commerce industry in China is really, has become
really, really competitive, whether it's subsidy wars from the instant commerce push that all these
companies are doing, or it's just because, you know, there's the urban wallets are the same and
they're the ones driving most of the demand. Anyway, you look at it, this is a very competitive
market and you've got to spend to maintain your market share, right? So as cloud grows as a portion of their revenue,
that's going to look, that's going to create a much better profitability picture for this company.
Now, yes, they did miss estimates, again, just slightly, but top bottom line. So that's not
great. But that stock, I mean, they should not have been down, in my opinion, should not have been down 7% when they reported this earnings,
right? It's too much. And you're seeing that today. Today, Alibaba is up 3%, 4%, right?
You know, it just took, again, that macro picture is really, really playing a role here.
And you're seeing an improvement in the macro picture and you saw a significant you're seeing a significant uplift in Alibaba today with that overall sentiment
improvement right just because this is a very this company is not being valued properly
and and the last point I'll make is they actually disclose that they're projecting revenue for their
chip making units they actually have a chip making unit they're projecting revenue for their chip making units. They actually have a chip making unit.
They're projecting revenue for that unit to be on par with, if not higher than the revenue made by Cambricon,
which is one of the leading fabulous chip makers listed in mainland China.
And Cambricon trades at six times sales.
Alibaba nowhere near this right so if you did a summer the parts and you valued that chipmaker as again the same as camera con a camera con but
we don't know if it's profitable but camera con that barely makes any profit
I don't I think they're not profitable right so but if you simply apply that
value their evaluation to Alibaba's chipmaker that's a significant lift up
from what the company is currently valued at.
And we think in the realm of just, again, applying some of the parts,
we look at 30%, 40% higher valuation from our models for Alibaba overall.
So it's a really bullish picture.
And I just don't think markets are valuing this company properly.
Yeah, I could agree with that 100%. Do you think Alibaba or maybe some of these others that you have in KWeb,
which ones do you think are really leading in building with AI?
I've just seen AI as really changing the whole e-commerce world.
So I'm curious, are there any specific ones that you see
that are really outshining in that area?
Yes, I think it is Alibaba that's definitely a leader when it comes to AI.
Just given the, again, the growth projections that they're putting out there are quite astonishing.
And yeah, so I think they are the leader.
I will say Tencent does pretty well in this as well.
I think in terms of, it's funny,
in terms of total users of like chatbots,
I think actually ByteDance, I think,
does better than either one.
Unfortunately, they're still privately held company.
They're not publicly traded, so they're not in K-Web.
So Alibaba and Tencent,
but Alibaba and Tencent are doing better on the enterprise AI,
enterprise cloud services, which are very important when you're talking about China
because a lot of people don't know this either. Cloud, like a lot of businesses in the U.S.
have been on the cloud for a while. They've used software, whether it's Salesforce,
so they've paid for this, you know, people talk about the SaaS apocalypse, right? In the US, most businesses pay for some kind of SaaS, some kind of software as a service.
And so in China, that's not the case. In China, it's still, I think, almost 50% of businesses
don't yet have cloud, are not in the cloud, so to speak, right? They're not paying for software
as a service. They're not paying for data.
And so they're entering this.
So this penetration is rising.
They're entering this in the age of AI, right?
So that's going to look very favorable when they look to, okay, which vendor am I going to choose?
Am I going to use Salesforce or Microsoft or Alibaba?
They're going to look at Alibaba and Tencent and say, well, these guys are leading in AI.
These guys are AI forward.
We're going to go with them
because that's the market we're entering into.
Meanwhile, you have,
they're going to start competing in this market,
in this cloud market, I think,
with the US, the American players
because a lot of software,
we sell a lot of software still.
In the United States,
we sell a lot of software in China. Okay. These AI forward businesses, I think are going to long-winded way of saying, yes, I think Alibaba and Tencent are the AI leaders, certainly in enterprise cloud.
ByteDance does better with the AI leaders.
ByteDance does better with the AI leaders.
I think that's a long-winded way of saying, yes, I think Alibaba and Tencent are the AI leaders.
Certainly in enterprise cloud.
ByteDance doescent are the AI leaders, certainly in enterprise cloud.
ByteDance does better with retail individual users for chatbots, but they're private.
That was really good stuff, Henry. I appreciate that breakdown.
One of my other favorite thematic plays that you guys have, and I highly recommend the audience looking at this one,
and of course all the other tickers we've talked about,
but cars, ticker K-A-R-S,
I thought it was super cool for EVs and future mobility.
I'm curious, you know, in a world where Chinese consumers
are increasingly digital first,
how are these other funds tying into the broader
consumer and tech ecosystem?
and tech ecosystem?
Well, I think you look at cars players like Xiaomi.
I mean, yeah, Xiaomi and Xpeng.
Xiaomi was a smartphone maker.
That's still most of their business and they are the first known um you know mobile phone company um to make the the
to bridge the gap and go into automobiles apple talked about doing this a few years ago um and i
think it was a long time ago maybe five six years ago i remember them talking about doing having some collaboration doing like an Apple car was a concept but Xiaomi actually went and did this and
did it in record time okay and the car are integrates their operating system on
their smartphones computers etc kind of all your devices, if they're Xiaomi,
it'll all connect together seamlessly very well.
And so that's really exciting,
and that's something that's happening,
that Xiaomi has done in China
that you're not really seeing done everywhere else.
And actually, as a funny anecdote,
the CEO of Ford, Jim Farley, actually ordered one of the xiaomi um i think
it was one of the roadsters and actually ordered one and uh admitted to actually using that because
they were doing competitive research using that as his daily driver uh for a while so
and that's the ceo of ford. So it just speaks to the...
Uh-oh.
Henry, I think we lost you.
He's got rugged off stage.
Right in the middle.
Don't worry, we'll get him back up.
We'll get him back up.
Let me send him a message.
He knows I don't want him to go and continue his whole spiel if he doesn't realize that we cannot hear him.
Let me make sure he got this DM.
Henry, if you can hear me, try and leave and come back, and we'll get this all figured out here.
For those that may have't seen, though,
Evan threw a post up top as well.
Some of the posts from CraneShares,
highly recommend you guys follow that account.
And check out some of the posts they're doing.
Obviously, the website has all the perspectives on it
and all the other information you guys can deep dive into as well.
But just always some solid, great posts coming out on this timeline here. So highly recommend if you guys
want to stay updated with you know, all the news that is going
on with a lot of these products. They're mainly posting a lot
about tickers that are inside of k web as well just news
happening there. So really great account to be following. I
highly recommend you guys take advantage of that. Let's see if
we can invite and get Henry back.
It's been a great conversation.
Shout out, Henry.
And something for me to learn on as well.
I don't know about you guys in the audience,
but you could probably clearly tell
that I am not well-versed in these areas.
So having these conversations is always really nice.
It opens my eyes a little bit to other areas for it to other areas out there what's that
it's a good time for it too pdd earnings coming up this week as well i know it's an interesting
time i know i'm trying to get uh trying to get henry back up on stage but i know there's no dms
on crane shares my text
You got any thoughts, Evan, on some of the pieces we talked about?
I know we haven't gotten Henry back up here.
No, I think it's a really interesting conversation.
I think it's a really interesting conversation.
I obviously, most of my knowledge base and information I have is from a US-centric,
so I like to hear the other side of it.
When I think about Tesla and EVs and all this area. That's definitely one of them that's talked about
a lot on, you know, Chinese leadership and Chinese whatever there. And then also on robotics. And
that's kind of another area that was interesting for me. So those are the two spots that I'm like,
kind of intrigued to hear the other side. I feel like we hear so much.
People talk about here, and I'm sure Henry will come in and kind of reaffirm this.
There's really bustling communities of people building within China on those developments, on those areas.
And I find it very intriguing to be able to watch and see their side and see where some of them are leading and figure it out.
And yeah, so for me, those two areas, the KRS, I think, is the one for the cars area.
And then kind of the China robotic scene, which I think is something that will increase aggressively over the next couple of years.
It's an area that I'm watching and I'm kind of excited about.
You know, I don't know if it's a full humanoid robotics thing first over just robotics in general.
I'm intrigued.
I know. I wonder how that plays out.
Yeah, so my mind is, I'm excited to hear thoughts on that one.
Yeah, maybe you can ask him if it's kind of what's happening in the robotics area.
If he thinks humanoid robotics is coming first versus some of the other ones.
Or, you know, what form factor it is is an area I'd be intrigued by.
I saw, I was with Craneshares at Future Proof.
And they had their Coidbot.
They had a humanoid robot at the event just walking around.
I still have the little toy you got. I still have the little toy you got.
I do have the little toy as well.
They had a full one there.
It was pretty cool.
Watch this stand up.
We got some God with some good pictures with it.
So that was fun.
Yeah, that was very cool to see.
I mean, what, just last future proof,
I don't think anybody was even thinking
we would have humanoid robots standing at the booths at the next one and boom, literally a year later.
It's crazy.
At PDD earnings on Wednesday, that will be interesting for KWeb.
Definitely something to watch if you guys are invested in KWeb.
KWeb.
What are they looking for?
What are they looking for?
I see that here.
Looks like they're looking for $17.93 billion in revenue.
Estimate for EPS is $3.21.
Interesting there.
Haven't looked at PDD much in the past, to be honest, on the chart side of things.
Been a little rough on this weekly for sure.
We're coming down to those May and June lows from 2025 here.
So definitely, definitely getting to the lower end here.
Did we get Henry back up here?
I think we may have.
I don't know if it's working for him or not.
May have been glitching a bit.
Oh, I think we got him.
There he is.
We got you back, Henry.
Hey!
There he is.
I don't know what happened there. think uh spaces will have some glitches yeah uh sorry about that it might have been on my end as well i apologize
no worries oh yeah we just had uh our wi-fi um switched recently so yeah my apologies don't know where they came from I think
we were talking about KARS still did you guys hear my response to that I don't
know you cut off like right in the middle of it oh okay I think I was
talking about yeah I think I think the only thing you might have missed is you know know, so talking about speaking of a company like Xiaomi, you know, really exciting what they're doing, bridging the gap between personal electronics.
Oh, no.
Another rug.
Right when we got him.
Rough times.
Rough times.
Oh, I just hope he's not.
Thinking we're still able to hear him.
Rugged again.
I swear I'm not getting checks from your Ruggs USA right now.
I promise.
I'm not...
Yeah, we might have to run that, Evan.
I think it's a good move.
Let me make sure Sam can actually message him.
I'll give him a call.
You're going to call Sam?
Yeah.
Okay.
Sounds goody.
For the audience, I know this has kind of been shaky here,
just keeping Henry on stage.
Wi-Fi is a little rough, as I know all about that,
being in Puerto Rico.
Oh, wait, I think he got him back up.
Is he back?
Yeah.
There he is.
All good, all good. Little glitchy today. Yeah. These spaces, wait. I think he got him back up. Is he back? Yeah. There he is. All good. All good.
Little glitchy today.
Yeah. Spaces, man.
They can be rough sometimes, but we always make it work.
We make it work.
Yeah, we do. Me and Evan were
actually chatting a little bit just about the robotics,
and I know he was at the Future Proof
event where he was at your guys' booth
and was able to see the Koi'd
robot, which I thought was super awesome.
It was funny.
The week after, I went to NVIDIA's GTC, and I saw a lot of robots there, too.
There's one even had Coid on us as well.
Shout out.
But it was pretty cool to watch it walk around Future Proof.
It got a good crowd around it.
People liked it.
I want to steal a question here, Jordan if i could go for it please you know
i guess they just don't want us to talk about cars so unfortunately i guess that's just what
the world's going to now um but i'm curious on like your thoughts on humanoid robotics
are a big thing right now and you know might be the thing but i'm curious your thoughts on
robotics versus humanoid robotics like is the form factor here going to have to look like a
human? Like, what type of changes? Like, my thought process is maybe, you know, what the
first steps are versus what the ultimate goal is. Maybe the, you know, maybe the first step is just
robotics and it gets to the humanoid robotics. But I'm just curious your thoughts on this,
on like the form factor and maybe how that plays into different businesses. You know, obviously we've talked about like actuators and all these things in there, and
I'm sure different form factors might need some different stuff.
So there's a way to play it.
But I'm just curious on like your thoughts there on like the humanoid robot form factor.
And if you kind of see that evolving and changing into just whatever stuff, maybe it's purpose.
I don't know.
Yeah.
Yeah, so I think that a lot of robotics today,
when you think of, you know, I think if you refer to robotics meaning non-humanoid,
non-human form robotics, right?
A lot of that already exists.
We've seen a lot of automation in a variety of industries and manufacturing, etc.
And not fully, and there's probably still more to be developed.
And so I think that to me, having this humanoid distinction, right, really just ensures that what we're talking about here
is the forefront of robotics. Because one could even say that, I mean, what is a robot, right?
Your dishwasher is kind of like a robot in the sense that it accomplishes a task that you would
do with your hands, right? So I think it's really more important. I don't think
it's as important that, you know, these robots look exactly like human beings someday and use
silicone and what have you, you know, I think that's less important. I think what is important
is that, no, no, we are talking, is that we are talking about the forefront, the cutting edge of robotics here.
So I think that's one element.
I think another element is, it sounds strange at first,
but the reality is that, yes, I think we are going to need,
or, well, need is a difficult word,
but there will be demand for human form robots in some areas, in some places,
especially in countries with low birth rates, aging populations like Japan and Korea, for example,
in order for them to maintain, I think that, again, this is a very long term, but in order for them to maintain sufficient productivity growth, I think they'll need to embrace robotics in certain roles.
And those roles that they'll need to use robotics in will be more and more sophisticated and complex.
And of course, the world today is built for the human form, right?
So, you know, how are you going to replace X worker in X field, right?
You may need, in many cases, you will need a human form robot, right?
So I think those, to me, I think those are the two elements here, right?
It's that we want to make sure we're on the cutting edge of robotics, you know, not just like some appliance company that's adding some new feature.
Then number two, yes, there will be demand.
There's likely to be demand for human form robots.
Not everywhere, but in some places, in some cases, yes.
Anything else, Evan, or all good?
I think it's all good.
Some great stuff there on the robotic side of things.
I wanted to give you a chance to maybe finish your thought on cars.
I know you were getting into that a bit, Henry, and spaces kept glitching out for you. So if you wanted to kind of finish your thought on cars i know you were getting into that a bit henry and spaces kept glitching out for you so if you wanted to kind of finish your thought there feel free
oh yeah sure um you know i think that um with cars you get a you get a global approach to the
whole ecosystem of electric vehicles and future mobility.
So we tag on, we add future mobility in there because you're also getting autonomous driving
players, right? And others. And it's global and it's agnostic of like, we don't, it's like China's
the largest component of cars because it's the largest market for electric vehicles, full stop, right?
Other funds that use different indexes, what we developed in partnership with Bloomberg, it's a Bloomberg index, is to be truly agnostic to other kind of constraints in terms of geography, right? And really look at, hey, this is the world today.
Here's where the demand is for electric vehicles. That's where you want to be
invested, you know, now and then, you know, we mentioned Xiaomi. Xiaomi has been in the news a
lot lately. It's very interesting company. Good car is a good way to get access, right? They don't have a U.S. listing.
They're only in Hong Kong, right?
And there are a few like that in cars.
CATL, which is Contemporary Amperex Technology,
they are actually the largest battery supplier in the world
by a large margin.
A lot of people don't even know who they are.
They're listed in mainland China, so even more difficult to get as a single stock.
Right. So there are a few of these examples in the Kars portfolio.
So Kars is a very good example of what we like to do with a lot of our project products,
which is provide this unique access to our to our clients.
I love that. It's really good stuff. And it's really what, you know, sets you guys apart from
some of these other companies that are trying to do a similar thing. And I love that. So big shout
to you guys and make sure if you're in the audience, you're following that crane shares
account if you aren't already a lot of great posts going out there every day. So make sure you're taking advantage of that.
Henry, when we look ahead for the rest of 2026, I'm curious, are there any specific
catalysts that you're looking at, you know, whether it's with AI or, you know, consumption
recovery?
Or is there one that you're most excited about looking forward for, you know, to impact
excited about looking forward for, you know, to impact some of these ETFs that we've been
some of these ETFs that we've been talking about today?
talking about today?
So, there is.
And I'm actually looking forward to, I think there's been too much excitement.
I think in the sense that, you know, as I mentioned before, when you talk about Alibaba,
As I mentioned before, when you talk about Alibaba, Tencent, these Chinese e-commerce
companies, our story was and still is, these are the transmission engines of China's consumer
economy.
And now that's shifted where the narrative is, oh, it's AI and cloud.
And it is.
And that's great.
And that's growing really strong. That was the strongest part of Alibaba's portfolio, Alibaba's balance sheet growth in the latest quarter. And
that's all great, right? But still a majority of the revenue comes from e-commerce, from domestic
China commerce, right? And that growth has been stagnant, okay?
I think that this year,
we could finally see a meaningful,
and again, meaningful, but I think gradual,
and you want it to be gradual,
uptick in consumption growth overall in China
and consumer confidence, okay?
And I think that's actually a very big deal
because this has been stagnant for a long time.
Arguably since like just after the pandemic,
they had a peak of consumer confidence.
It still has not recovered.
It is quite remarkable that a lot of these stocks
have done so well because, again,
that's because of their growth in the cloud services
and that AI-driven cloud growth.
But we still haven't seen a meaningful pickup in consumer spending growth.
And so I think we may get a little bit of that this year.
And that's really exciting to me, actually, because that's, again, still a lot of these companies' revenue.
I think if it comes across in their growth rates at all, people are going to say, oh, wait, I forgot that this helps as well, right? That this is also
accretive to the top line and to the bottom line. And I think that's really, I think that that could
be a really positive story, a little bit boring, less about craziness with AI agents and everything. But I think that's something that I'm
really looking for and looking forward to, knock on wood, for the rest of the year. Now, why do I
think we're going to see that this year in 2026? And why didn't we see it last year? And am I just,
you know, being a perennial optimist, right? Which one could say that I am.
But I think that if you look at a CPI number in China, it was the highest, only 1%.
But that's the highest in two years.
Okay, like this economy was experiencing severe deflationary pressure in that period, in that two year period, past two years, even longer, depending on how you measure it.
And of course, deflation hurts spending.
You don't want to spend money when your money is going to be worth more tomorrow, right?
So that's really important to get consumer spending on track.
Also, they just released the five-year plan,
the new five-year plan for the next five years, China's development.
For those of you who don't know,
the five-year plans are absolutely crucial
in understanding what the government's gonna do in China.
And they make it very clear,
they put a plan out every five,
they get a five-year plan every five years.
And this is taken very seriously. We've seen,
our CEO, John Crane, used to tell me, you know, when I was back doing business in China,
he would actually know people who would switch their jobs based on what the five-year plan said
and how that plan and its objective changed from year to year. So it's a big deal.
This one that just came out is focusing a lot,
yes, a lot on technology innovation and that's great,
but also on consumption to some extent.
So I think that's really positive.
I think that could play a big role.
Absolutely agree. Some really great pieces, Henry. This conversation has been awesome. I appreciate you coming on.
I'm curious, when all these pieces being hit today, there's a lot of people in the audience that might be wanting to go and do some research on these tickers, go to the website.
What do you think is the best way that someone deep dives and does research into these tickers to then make the next
step? Sure. So you can check out our research at craneshares.com. So there you'll find many
resources on our funds, recent articles, reports, various updates, as well as, of course, the prospectus and risks,
which are important to read. And so that's a really good place. We also have a,
we produce a daily note called China Last Night. That's at chinalastnight.com. So I definitely go
ahead and check that out as well.
And I think, yeah, I mean, there are also a lot of great resources around,
that you can find around,
I know APCO does some nice research into China specifically.
We've done, you know, there are various robotics.
You know, I think robotics is a little bit tougher.
I think there needs to be, I hope somebody has like makes a robotics, you know, research
media company and maybe there already is one.
I just, I don't have a third party to share. But yeah, definitely check out our website.
We've got a lot of good stuff in there. Yeah, big shout out to the China last night website as well.
I've been on there a few times recently. And I just think there's a lot of people in the audience
that are trying to stay updated with everything going on in China. And that's a great spot
to be. Definitely just there's news coming out every few minutes, there's new stuff popping
up all the time. So if you want to stay updated on what's going on, that's great spot to be in,
of course, crane shares.com to dive into any of the specific tickers there. Henry, is there anything
that you really want to hit on that we maybe haven't touched on during this conversation yet?
in this conversation yet?
Um, I suppose, um, you know, just going back to write the market reactions, uh, we've
seen, um, with Alibaba's earnings, we had 10 cent last week too.
Um, you know, there was some really steep, um, drawdowns that are, you know, we're seeing
Alibaba correct itself today.
Um, and it really, I think seeing Alibaba correct itself today. And it really,
I think it's not driven by the fundamentals. I think that, yes, they, again, Alibaba came in below, slightly below the revenue expectations, but the underlying story is
just so strong. And I think, again, I wouldn't, I would be careful with some of these steep drawdowns on the day,
on a day when things are escalating in the Middle East, right?
Or Trump's China's trip getting postponed, right?
There are a lot of these macro factors in the names that we track that are distracting
from the fundamental story. And I think that's important
to remember. And to see some of these macro-driven downdrafts as a potentially attractive entry
point to a larger story, that is still very positive. We didn't mention it today. We did launch some 2x funds for Alibaba and PDD.
And so that's Tigger KBAB, KPDD. The reason I'm mentioning PDD is because they're reporting
earnings this week. And so that'll be another China e-commerce theme to watch for their earnings report,
which is expected on Wednesday.
I don't expect anything too earth shattering from that earnings report.
But again, this market is so sensitive and not willing to immediately believe
and give credit to some of these
underlying fundamental growth stories.
So that'll be interesting to watch on Wednesday, I believe.
Yeah, I agree.
That's all I got.
That's some great stuff, Henry.
Definitely something to watch on Wednesday.
I know I mentioned that to the audience,
but if you're holding K-Web or, of course, just holding PDD,
something to watch on Wednesday. But, yeah, mentioned that to the audience, but if you're holding K-Web or, of course, just holding PDD, something to watch on Wednesday.
But, you know, with that said, Henry, if you have any last thoughts for us before we get wrapping up, we'd love to hear them.
Otherwise, this is a great conversation.
That's all I got for today, guys. Thank you so much.
Always a pleasure, man. Big shout out to you. Maybe this next conversation we get you on the live stream.
I like to switch it up here and there and, know give the people show the people your face a little bit
right show show you show them that you're an actual human you know people people like to see us so uh
maybe next time we get on stream and we'll continue to switch it up a little bit but always appreciate
you man and uh if you guys in the audience aren't already following that crane shares account
make sure you are and that's gonna do it for today so big shout out to you big shout out to the on stage throughout conversation all good hop it on stream
i'm pretty the party that needs so we'll see for the rest of the day and uh for everybody else
we'll see you bright and early back on spaces tomorrow morning peace out everybody great
bye have a good one, Henry. Thank you.
